![摩根士丹利-日本新的大战略 Japan's New Grand Strategy_第1页](http://file4.renrendoc.com/view/3c53bc98148a0053f0ac144aa79b1e23/3c53bc98148a0053f0ac144aa79b1e231.gif)
![摩根士丹利-日本新的大战略 Japan's New Grand Strategy_第2页](http://file4.renrendoc.com/view/3c53bc98148a0053f0ac144aa79b1e23/3c53bc98148a0053f0ac144aa79b1e232.gif)
![摩根士丹利-日本新的大战略 Japan's New Grand Strategy_第3页](http://file4.renrendoc.com/view/3c53bc98148a0053f0ac144aa79b1e23/3c53bc98148a0053f0ac144aa79b1e233.gif)
![摩根士丹利-日本新的大战略 Japan's New Grand Strategy_第4页](http://file4.renrendoc.com/view/3c53bc98148a0053f0ac144aa79b1e23/3c53bc98148a0053f0ac144aa79b1e234.gif)
![摩根士丹利-日本新的大战略 Japan's New Grand Strategy_第5页](http://file4.renrendoc.com/view/3c53bc98148a0053f0ac144aa79b1e23/3c53bc98148a0053f0ac144aa79b1e235.gif)
版权说明:本文档由用户提供并上传,收益归属内容提供方,若内容存在侵权,请进行举报或认领
文档简介
Foundation
June11,202308:00PMGMT
JapanEconomics
Japan'sNewGrandStrategy
Japan'snewgrandstrategyisemerging.Achievingaspirationsrequiresenhancedcapabilitiesin(a)fastertechnologyadoption;(b)labormarketliquidity;(c)corporateandnationalgovernance,and(d)fiscalefficiency.Disruptionmayoccurbutwouldraiseincomeforbothcapitalandlabor.
Forimportantdisclosures,refertotheDisclosureSection,locatedattheendofthisreport.
Foundation
MorganStanleyMUFG3
Japan'sNewGrandStrategy
Japanisdevelopinganewgrandstrategy,pressuredbydemographicsathomeandgeopoliticsabroad.Asuccessfulgrandstrategyrequirescapabilitiestomatchaspirations,butJapannowlackssomeoftheneededcapabilities.Inordertoenhancecapabilities,Japanhasfourbigjobs:
1.Fastertechnologydiffusion.Japanexcelsatrecognizingproblemsandcreating/gatheringtechnologysolutions;butitlagsintimelyconsensuscreationandtimelyaction.
2.Enhancelabormarketliquidity.Newtechnologycannotspreadwithoutaretrainedandre-allocatedlaborforce.Bothreskillingandhigherlabormetabolismareneededforfasterdiffusion.
3.Enhancegovernanceofbothprivateandpublicsectors.Thepri-vatesectorhasmadegreatprogress,butstillneedsmoreattentiontofinancialefficiencyandflexibilityofbothbusinessportfoliosandinternalprocedures–especiallyHR.Thepublicsectorhasimprovedaswell,butremainshamstrunginmanycasesbylegacyrules,siloedstructure,andincentiveincompatibilitybetweenelectoral/bureau-craticproceduresandurgencyofpublicneeds.
4.Fiscalrebalancing.Thefirstpartistoreducecoststhrough(1)usingtechnologyintraditionalspendingareas(medical,pension,welfare)and(2)changingrulesinothers(raisingpensionreceiptage).Thesecondpartistousethesavingsbothtoinvestinnewneeds(reskilling,R&D)andachieveaprimarysurpluslargeenoughtostabi-lizethedebt/GDPratio.
Inthe"IndicatorsofProgress"section,weoutlinethecurrentstateofthesefourinitiatives,andlistpotentialsignsoffurtherprogressinthenewgrandstrategy.
Continuedmeasurestoimplementthenewgrandstrategywilllikelydisruptfiveindustriesinparticular:(1)Energy,(2)Agriculture,(3)Healthcare,(4)AI/IT,and(5)Education.(SeeFeldman,Robert,etal.
,JapanEconomics:TheSevenTransformations
ofaHighlyEffectiveEconomy,
MorganStanley,March6,2023.)Theresultingcreativedestructionwilllikelyraiseincomeforbothcapitalandlabor,raiseeconomicsustainability,andthusapproachthe"NewCapitalism"thatPMKishidaseeks.
4
Foundation
Contents
5GrandStrategy:TheoryandPractice
6BigJob#1:FasterTechnologyDiffusion
8BigJob#2:LaborMobilityandReskilling
11BigJob#3:CorporateandNationalGovernanceReform
14BigJob#4:FiscalEfficiency
16IndicatorsofProgress
18GrandStrategyandIndustrialDisruption
19Endnotes
Foundation
MorganStanleyMUFG5
GrandStrategy:TheoryandPractice
Aspirationsvs.Capablities.PMKishida’s“NewFormofCapitalism”qualifiesasagrandstrategy,inthesenseusedbyGaddis[Endnote1].Gaddisdefinesgrandstrategyas“alignmentofpotentiallyunlimitedaspirationstonecessarilylimitedcapabilities.”Ontheissueofwhatis“grand”,headdsthatitrelatestotheimportanceofwhatisatstake,andthescopeoftheneededwork“acrosstime,space,andscale.”Kishida’s“newformofcapitalism”isanattempttoimprovethenation’scapabilities,acrosstime,spaceandscale,inordertoachievenationalaspirations.
ThetwomajoraspirationsinNewCapitalismaretheverysametwoaspirationsthathavedominatedJapanesepolicyforsevendecades.Oneisnationalsecurity,sothatJapancanmaintainitspoliticalinde-pendenceandsecurityofsupplychainsforenergy,food,andmate-rials.Theotheriseconomicprosperity,sothatlivingstandardsarehighandrising,andthatabrighteconomicfuturecanbeachieved.
Whiletheaspirationsarethesame,requiredcapabilitiesarechanging.Therearealsotwogeneraltypesofcapabilities.Oneisthemilitary/diplomaticpowerthatallowsJapantoplayaconstructiveroleingeopolitics.Theotheriseconomic/financialpower,suchasaneducatedlaborforce,asophisticatedcapitalstock,technology,andcompetitiveeconomicinstitutions(ruleoflaw,marketcompetition,regulationofexternalities,etc.)Economic/financialpowerbringshigherlevelsofaverageproductivity,whichinturnmaintainshighstandardsoflivingandsociallyacceptabledistributionofincomeandwealth.
HistoryofJapan'sGrandStrategyApproach.Historically,therehasbeenabifurcatedassignmentofaspirationstocapabilities.Nationalsecuritywasachievedmostlybyrelianceonmilitary/diplomaticpower,whileeconomicprosperitywasachievedmostlybyrelianceoneconomic/financialpower.However,therewaslittlecrossfertil-ization.Thatis,military/diplomaticpowercontributedrelativelylittletoeconomicprosperity.Indeed,militaryspendingwascappedat1%ofGDPfordecades.Inaddition,economic/financialpowercon-tributedrelativelylittletonationalsecurity.ExportsofweaponswereeffectivelyprohibitedbyinterpretationofJapan’sconstitution,andmostuniversitiesprohibitedfacultyfromparticipatinginmilitarytechnologyprojects.
Overthelastdecade,however,thechangesingeopoliticalbalancehavemadethisassignmentofcapabilitiesandaspirationsobsolete.Bothcapabilitiesnowcontributetobothaspirations.Thisrealitymakesitallthemoreimportantforpublicandprivatesectorcapabili-tiestoworktogether,inordertoachievebothaspirations.[2]
Inshort,forJapantocontinueachievingitsaspirations,itmustnotonlycontinuetoaugmentitscapabilities,butalsomustenhancecross-fertilizationoftheirimpactonbothaspirations.
FourBigJobs:Inordertoenhancecapabilitiesandenhancetheirimpactonaspirations,Japanesesocietymustmovequicklyanddeci-sivelyinfourareas:(1)Acceleratethediffusionofnewtechnologies;(2)Makelabormarketsmoreflexibleandskill-based;(3)Improvegovernanceinbothcorporateandpublicsectors;and(4)Improvefiscalefficiencythroughbringingtheprimarybalanceabovenetinterestpayments.
6
Foundation
BigJob#1:FasterTechnologyDiffusion
Economictransformationdependsonrapiddiffusionoftechnology.systemforelectionorganization–PMKoizumidissolvedtheDietand
Theprocesshasfourparts:(a)Recognition:Recognizetheproblem;calledageneralelection.Hewonanoverwhelmingvictory,andthus
(b)Technology:Findordevelopatechnologytosolvetheproblem;theDietwasobligatedtopassthereform.Thelesson:Overcoming
(c)Consensus:Createconsensustousethetechnology;(d)Action:resistancefromorganizedvestedinterestsrequiresmarshallingsup-
Implementthetechnologyquickly.[3]portfromdiffuseinterests.[
8]
Historically,JapanhasbeenskilledatRecognitionandTechnology,
buthaslaggedonConsensusandAction.Hence,successofgovern-
mentpoliciesorcorporatestrategieswillrequirebetterperformance
onconsensuscreation,andonactionplanswithshortdeadlinesand
clear,measurabletargets.
BuildingConsensus:HistoricalexampleshelpunderstandwhyJapan
hasfallenshortonbuildingconsensus.Ahistoricalsuccesscasein
EuropewasintroductionofcoffeeintoVienna,inthemid1700s.The
pubswerefiercelyopposedtocoffee,butthecoffeehousesrepre-
sentedanewculture.Therewereviolentclashesbetweenthetwo
sides,untilEmpressMariaTheresaorderedthatthosewhosoldone
beveragemustselltheotheraswell.Aleaderwithstrongpopular
supportthusconvertedcompetinginterestsintocooperativeones.
Coffeehousesnotonlyspreadtotheworld,butalsobecamethe
venueforideaexchangeandhelpedspurbothtechnologicaland
organizationalinnovations.[4]
AninterestingfailureinthebusinessworldwastheinabilityofKodak
tocommercializeatechnologythatitdevelopedfirst–digitalcam-
eras,firstcreatedin1975.ThereasonlayinKodak'sfearofcannibal-
izingitsimmenselysuccessfulandveryhigh-marginfilmbusiness.[5]
Inbothcases,institutionalinertiapreventedrapidadaptation.
TheimpactofinstitutionalinertiawaswellsummarizedbyUpton
Sinclair,"Itisdifficulttogetamantounderstandsomethingwhenhis
salarydependsonnotunderstandingit."[6]Whenmiddlemanage-
menthasastrongsayinwhattechnologiesareadoptedordiffused,
thenthereisatendencytoavoidinnovations.Methodstoovercome
suchbarriersincludecreatingseparateorganizationstodevelopthe
newtechnologyandorganizationalchangestoreducetheimpactof
silos.[7]
Inshort,creatingconsensusrequiresactiveleadershipfromthetop.
AgoodexampleofsuccesswasthePostalReform,implementedby
PMKoizumi.Hemadeacleartothepopulationwhyhewantedthe
reform,andreceivedwidespreadsupport.Whenresistanceamong
somepoliticiansdeveloped–duetotheirdependenceonthepostal
PMKoizumi’scommunicationstylewasoftencriticizedas“populism”
and“theatrics”,butprovedquiteeffectiveasatoolforovercoming
vestedinterests.PMAbewasapoorcommunicatorduringhisfirst
term(2007-08),butbecamequiteeffectiveinhissecondterm
(2012-20).Incontrast,PMSuga,whosepro-reformpolicieswerepopular,wasapoorcommunicator,andcouldnotmusterpublicsup-
portasapolicytoolforhisagenda.
TakingQuickAction:Takingquickactionposesadifferentsetof
problemsforJapanesesociety,partlycultural.Meyer[9]pointsout
thatJapanesedecisioncultureisrareamongcountries,inthatsocial
statusanddecisionrightsarenotnecessarilycorrelated.Often,presi-
dentsofcompaniesinJapanhavefarlesspowertosetgoalsandtar-
getsthaninothercountries.Incontrast,middlemanagementismuch
stronger,becauseitoftenusespassiveresistancetoimpedechanges.
Moreover,lifetimeemploymentlessensthebargainingpowerthat
thecompanypresidentshaveovernon-cooperativestaff.
Ingovernment,whereseparationofpowerscomplicatesdecisions
further,buildingconsensusandactingquicklyareevenharder.Prime
ministersinJapanhavelowlevelsofcontroloverministriesand
administrativeorgansofgovernment.Thebarriersareinstitutional,
suchastheCommission(shingikai)system,underwhichsingle-min-istrycommissionsmustdeliberatepolicyproposals.Thesecommis-
sionsareoftendominatedbythebureaucratsthattheyaresupposed
toadvise.Overthelast20years,powerhasconcentratedmoreinthe
PM’soffice,butthelineministriesretainagreatdealofpowerto
delayanddiluteaction.[10]Moreover,politicalfactorsspurfrequent
changesofministersandviceministers,andthusdilutetheabilityof
politicianstodevelopexpertiseandtousethatexpertisetodirect
policy.
Technologypolicyprovidesaquintessentialexampleofdecisionbar-
riers.Therearetwomajorcommissionsinvolved,namely(a)the
CommissiononIndustrialStructure(19members,underthejurisdic-
tionoftheMinistryofEconomics,TradeandIndustry)and(b)the
CommissiononScience,Technology,andAcademia(30members,
underthejurisdictionoftheMinistryofEducation,Culture,Sports,
MorganStanleyMUFG7
Foundation
Science,andTechnology).Formanyyears,therewasnooverlapofmembershiponthesetwocommissionsatall.Asofthiswriting,onlyonepersonisamemberofbothcommittees–andthatperson(aneminentphysicist)isalsothepresidentofamajornationaluniversity.Theoverlapamongothermajorcommissionsisjustasthin.Recentresearchsuggeststhatscantcommunicationbetweensuchcommis-sionshindersteamwork.[11]Thenaturalresultisinconsistentandinefficientpolicies.
Thereisnopanaceatocureslowdecisionmaking;infact,itissome-timesbesttodecideslowly.Unfortunately,thereisnoacceptedmodelofoptimaldecisionspeed.Therearemanyaphorisms:
•Decidequicklyifthedecisioncanbeeasilyreversed,butslowlyifitcannot.
•UseBayesianmethodstocorrecterrorsquickly,byusingmoderndatascience.(SeeDuhig,Charles,Smarter,Faster,Better,RandomHouse,2016;Bean,Randy,andThomasDavenport,FailFast,LearnFaster,Wiley,2021)
•Planslowly,butactquicklyoncetheplanisset.(SeeFlyvbjerg,BentandDanGardner,HowBigThingsGetDone,CurrencyPublications,February2023)
•Embedcrosssilodecisionmakingintoyourorganization.(SeePentland,Alex,SocialPhysics,Penguin,2015;Tett,Gillian,TheSiloEffect,Simon&Schuster,2015.)
Japanhasthereputationforbeingveryslowtomakedecisions,butfasttoimplementoncedecisionsare(finally)reached.[12]Thefirstpartofthereputationisnotdisputable,butthesecondis.Forreasonsofsiloedsocialstructureandbottom-updecision-makingmentionedabove,thisauthorisskepticalaboutfastimplementation.Evenworse,slownesscanfrustrateplayerswhowanttoactfast,thentheseplayerstakerecklessactioninordertocreateafaitaccompli.[13]
Intheend,thequestionofdecisionspeedcomesdowntothecultureofanorganization–leadership,incentives,procedures,externalpressure,andthebusiness/politicalenvironment.Moreover,organi-zationsgothroughphasesoffastandslowaction,astheinternalincentivesandexternalenvironmentinteract.[14]Whenjudgingwhetherdecisionmakingisspeedingorslowing,itcanbehelpfultoexaminetheinternal/externalinteractions.
Foundation
8
Wage,Productivity
110
100
90
80
70
60
50
B
C
A
1520253035404550556065707580WorkerAge
40
WageProductivity
BigJob#2:LaborMobilityandReskilling
Thelifetimeemploymentsystemiscollapsing,butthelegalstruc-
turethathassupporteditremainsinplace.Thus,thepaceof
improvedlabormobility–asinequanonfortechnologydiffusion–
dependsonhowquicklylawsandcustomscanbeadaptedtothereal-
itiesofthecurrentlabormarket.
Howdoesnewtechnologyalterthispicture?Thekeyelementisthat
newtechnologiesaremorequicklyabsorbedbytheyoung,andso
theproductivityprofileshiftstotheleft(Exhibit2).Suddenly,the
economicsoflifetimeemploymentareentirelydifferent.Withthe
newtechnology,areaCismuchlarger.
Breakdownoflifetimeemployment:Thefirstreasonforthebreak-Astechnologychanged,Japanesecompanieshadtoact,inorderto
downofthelifetimeemploymentsystemistechnologyacceleration.controlcosts.Oneactionwastohiremorenon-regularworkers–
AsshowninExhibit1,theeconomicviabilityoflifetimeemploymentwhodonotreceivethestronglegalprotectionsagainstdismissal.
dependsontwoelements:anage-basedwagesystemandanage-Thelawsaroundsuchhiringwereeasedinthe1990s,andworkers
basedproductivityprofilethatisaninvertedU.Intheearlyyearsofhiredoutsideof“indefinitelaborcontracts”(i.e.fixed-termcontract
work(A),thewageexceedsproductivity,andsothefirmisinvestingworkers,temporaryworkers,andday-workers)rosesharply.Hiring
intheemployee.Astheemployeelearnsthejob,productivitystartsunderthelifetimeemploymentsystemwascurtailed.Asecond
toexceedthewage(B),andthefirmearnsareturnontheinvestment.actionwastoenhanceworkertrainingprogramsinsidefirms.
However,inlightofpoorincentivestoacquirenewskills,produc-However,trainingoutsidefirms(e.g.sendingpromisingemployeesto
tivitystartstofall;afteracertainage,workerswithoutdatedskillsforeignMBAprogramsetc.)wascurtailed,sincefirmsdiscovered
seeproductivityfallbelowthewage(C).Constrainedbylaw,thefirmthattheywerelosinghigh-trainedemployeestootherfirms.
cannotfirelowproductivityworkersbeforeretirementagewithout
considerablelegalandreputationrisk.Forthefirm,lifetimeemploy-Thisproblemisonlygettingworse,astechnology(especiallyITtech-
mentiseconomicwhenthefirm’sinvestmentinyoungworkers(A)nology)accelerates.Inresponse,firmsarehiringmoremid-career
anditsnetcostforworkersnearretirement(C)addtolessthantheemployees,andenhancinginternaltrainingprogramsforscarce
excessproductivity(B)inthemiddleyears.skills.[15]Wagecompetitionisrising,andsothebenefittojob-
moversisrisingaswell.
Exhibit1:LifetimeEmploymentWorksfortheFirmwhenB>A+CExhibit2:ImpactofTechnologicalProgressonAge-WageProfile
Wage,Productivity
110
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
1520253035404550556065707580
WorkerAge
WageProductivityProdutivity2
Source:MorganStanleyResearch
Source:MorganStanleyResearch
MorganStanleyMUFG9
SpringWageHike,Headline[t+1],%
Foundation
Thesecondreasonforweakeningoflifetimeemploymentisthelaborshortage.Immigrantsupplyhasslowedsharply.UntilCOVID,foreignworkersupplywasrisingquickly,by14%inboth2018and2019.Thisslowedtoatrickle(4%)in2020,andasprinkle(0.2%)in2021.Therecoveryin2022wasonly5%,bringingthetotalto1.8mln(2.66%ofthelaborforce).Withtheyensoweak,theattractivenessofJapanasadestinationhaswaned.
Domesticdemographicssuggestacontinuedworseningoflaborshortage.First,thepopulationinthe20-69agegroupwilllikelyfallbyanother4millionormoreinthe2022-32decade.Second,theaverageageofthatpopulationwilllikelyrisebyabout1.4years,com-paredtoaflataverageageinthe2012-22years.[16]Third,thegendergapinparticipationrateshasalreadycontractedsignificantly(seeExhibit3),implyingthatfurtherrisesoffemaleparticipationmaynotbeabletoeasethelaborshortage.Formales,whoseparticipationrateshistoricallyhavebeeninthehigh90%range,therehasbeenamodestupwardshiftforthe60-64group,butthisgroup’sparticipa-tionrateisnowclosetothatformenunder64.
Thethirdreasonforthelaborshortageistheskillgap;Japaneseworkersaresignificantlylesseagertopursuetrainingoutsidetheworkplacethanworkersinothercountries:Lowlabormobilityimplieslowpayofftonewskills.Theresultisthatfirmshavetroublekeepingupwithchangingskillneeds.
Inshort,reskillinghasbecomeakeyfactorinJapaneselabormarkets.Unfortunately,Japanislaggingothercountries.[17]IntheOECD’s“DashboardonPrioritiesforAdultLearning”from2019,Japanscoresbelowaverageinall6categories.[18]Thegovernmentrecognizes theproblems:InPMKishida’splansfornewcapitalism,athree-yearallocationbudgetofY400bln($3bln)wasakeyfeature,withthegoalofretrainingabout1mlnpeople.Thegovernmentisconsidering
Exhibit3:LaborForceParticipationRatesbyAgeandGender,1988,2022
ParticipationRate(%)
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
→
个
AgeofWorker
75.+
65.74
60.64
55.59
50.54
45.49
40.44
35.39
30.34
25.29
20.24
15.19
Male'88Male'22Female'88Female'22
Source:MinistryofHealth,LaborandWelfare(forpopulationdata)andMinistryofInternalAffairsandCommunications(forlaborforcesurveydata)
weakeningthetaxadvantagesonretirementpaymentsforthosewhostaywithafirmforover20years.However,theproblemmaybelargerthantaxtweakscansolve:ArecentstudybyMcKinseyGlobalInstitutecalculatedabasecaseinwhichJapanwouldcreate10-11mlnnewjobsasaresultofnewtechnologies.[19]
Train,Pay,andKeep.HowwillJapanadapttothefurtherworseningofthelaborshortage?Forcompanies,theansweris“train,pay,andkeep.”Thefirstresponseisincreasingbothon-the-jobtrainingandexternaltrainingofferedtoemployees,evennon-regularemployees.Thesemeasuresaddressboththeretentionissueandtheskillgapissue.Thesecondresponseistoraisewages.Indeed,thespringwageroundin2023was6.5standarddeviationsabovethepointthatcon-sumerpriceincreaseswouldhavepredicted.(SeeExhibit4.)Throughtheseresponses,firmshopetoincreaseretentionandraiseskills.
MonetaryCompensationforDismissal.Intimesofgreattech-nologychange,thethornyissueofjobcutsisinevitable.Akeylaborpolicydebatehasbeenonthequestionof“monetarycompensationfordismissal.”Whileimportantinsomecases,thedetailsofcurrentproposalsdonotsuggestanymajorchangeoflabormarketliquidity.
•First,thetypeofdismissaldiscussedforthissystemis“wrongfultermination,”whichisdefinedundertheLaborActArticle16tobe“dismissalsthatlackobjectiveandrational reasons,andwhichcannotberecognizedasconsistentwith socialnorms.”
•Second,becauseofthisdefinition,theworkerinvolvedmustseekthejudgmentofalaborboardoracourt.Whilethecaseisunderconsideration,theemployeecannotfindanotherjob,becausehe/sheisassertingcontinuedemploymentatthefirm.
Exhibit4:SpringWageRoundComparison
20
23Spring:3
.69%;6.5s
dev
abovem
edianfore
cast
y
=0.1919x+
1.9557
R²=0.456sderr=0
.2
ove
rall=
2022CPI
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-2.0-1.00.01.02.03.04.0
CPIIncrease[t],%
Source:LaborPolicyinstituteoftheMinistryofInternalAffairsandCommunications,“WageHikesofMajorCompanies”(ShuyoKigyoShunkiChinageRitsu),andMorganStanleyResearchcalculations
10
Foundation
•Third,evenifthecourtdecidesintheworker’sfavor,theonlyremedyisinvalidationofthedismissal,andpaymentofbackwagestotheworker.
“Monetarycompensationfordismissal”wouldonlyenhanceaninad-equateremedy,butwouldnoteliminatethedifficultyandcostofdeterminingwhetheradismissalwas“wrongful.”[20]
ClearerRulesonFairSeverance.Inshort,theproblemdoesnotlieinmonetarycompensationperse,butratherinthecomplex,lengthy,anduncertainprocessthatsurroundsseverance.Hence,Japanneedslaborreformsthatwouldmakelabordisputessimpler,shorter,and
surer–nottomentionfairtoworkersandemployersalike,butalsosupportiveofretrainingandhigherlabormobility.Thatis,therearemanyeconomicexternalitiesassociatedwithlowlabormobility,andsosomesortofpublicinterventionmaybejustified.
Whilehard-and-fastlawsmaybetooinflexible,Japan’slabormobilityneedsmaybeaddressedwithanationalguidelineonseverancepack-ages.Theseguidelineswouldhavetoinclude(a)monetarycompen-sation(basedonlengthofservice,jobcontent,etc.),(b)healthandlifeinsuranceextensions,(c)familysupportforschooltuition/elderlycare,(d)assistanceinhuntingforthenextjob,and(e)retrainingforhigh-demandskills.
MorganStanleyMUFG11
Foundation
BigJob#3:CorporateandNationalGovernanceReform
CorporateGovernance
ReformsofcorporategovernancebeganinearnestwithAbenomics.EvenbeforetheItoReportofAugust2014,theTSEhadlaunchedtheTSE400Index,theFSA'sStewardshipCodehadbeenimplemented,andtheCompaniesActhadbeenamended.Thesereformstriggeredasignificantincreaseinexternaldirectors,slimmingthesizeofBoards,increaseddiversityonboards,andmoretransparent,goals-basedrulesonselectionofboardmembers.Inaddition,theyrequiredinstitutionalinvestorstoincreasedialogwithcompanies,tovotetheirshares,andtoannouncehowtheyhadvoted.Somespecificchangesarelistedbelow.
SignificantProgress
•Shareoffirmswithmorethanamajorityofindependentdirectors:TSE120183%,20208%;PrimeMarketsharein2022,12%;JPX_Nikkei400in2022,16%.
•Shareoffirmswithmorethan1/3independentdirectors:TSE12018,32%;2021,72%;PrimeMarketshareoffirmswithmorethan1/3independentdirectors2022,91%.
•ShareofcompanieswithEnglishdisclosure:TSE1201412%;PrimeMarket2022:91%
•NumberoffirmsthatsupportTCFD:Japan1228,US467
•DomesticinvestorsvotingagainstAnti-TakeoverMeasures:2014,48%;2022,79.9%
•Shareoffirmswithelectronicvotingrightsforinstitutionalinvestors:TSE12014,20%;PrimeMarket202292%
•Shareofstockownedbyfinancialinstitutions:2000,22%;2021,7.2%
•NumberofActivistFundsactiveinJapan:2014,8;2023,69.
•ESGFundtotalAUM:Mar2020:$1.1bln;Mar2023,$3.5bln
•ShareofPrimeMarketfirmswithNOfemaleseniorexecu-tives:2018,62%;2022,18%.
LittleProgress
•Shareofstockownedbynon-financialbusinesses:2000,21.8%;2021,20.0%
•Shareofcashonbalancesheet:TOPIX2001,25%;2021,22%.(ThefigurefortheUSwasabout5%
温馨提示
- 1. 本站所有资源如无特殊说明,都需要本地电脑安装OFFICE2007和PDF阅读器。图纸软件为CAD,CAXA,PROE,UG,SolidWorks等.压缩文件请下载最新的WinRAR软件解压。
- 2. 本站的文档不包含任何第三方提供的附件图纸等,如果需要附件,请联系上传者。文件的所有权益归上传用户所有。
- 3. 本站RAR压缩包中若带图纸,网页内容里面会有图纸预览,若没有图纸预览就没有图纸。
- 4. 未经权益所有人同意不得将文件中的内容挪作商业或盈利用途。
- 5. 人人文库网仅提供信息存储空间,仅对用户上传内容的表现方式做保护处理,对用户上传分享的文档内容本身不做任何修改或编辑,并不能对任何下载内容负责。
- 6. 下载文件中如有侵权或不适当内容,请与我们联系,我们立即纠正。
- 7. 本站不保证下载资源的准确性、安全性和完整性, 同时也不承担用户因使用这些下载资源对自己和他人造成任何形式的伤害或损失。
最新文档
- 钢结构屋盖结构施工应急预案
- 2024建筑工程合同协议书
- 2023年服装、鞋帽加工机械项目安全评价报告
- 2024医疗器械区域代理合作协议书
- 2024建设工程施工三方协议书模板下载
- 2024家政服务合作协议
- 2023年旋片真空泵项目安全评价报告
- 2023年立方氮化硼晶体项目风险评价报告
- 冷冻食品项目评估报告
- 2023年光学纤维面板系列项目安全风险评价报告
- 2024年山东省淄博市淄川区中考二模数学试题
- 新湘教版六年级下册美术抽测试题及答案(200分)
- MOOC 中国文化翻译-河南理工大学 中国大学慕课答案
- 2022(新版)青岛版五年级下册科学全册知识点汇总含思维导图
- 土地复垦方案编制规程第1部分通则
- 2018年北京职业院校技术技能比赛项目时间安排
- 人力资源人员应急预案
- 金汇镇集建区集体土地上居住房屋协议动迁补偿安置方案
- 内控审计工作底稿—资产管理
- 电磁场的相对论变换
- 二年级上册数学期末总复习各单元知识点思维导图
评论
0/150
提交评论