物流市场论文：基于市场匹配率的物流运行效率研究.doc

物流市场论文：基于市场匹配率的物流运行效率研究【中文摘要】随着中国经济发展进程的进一步加快,物流已经成为我国现代经济的重要组成部分,受到越来越多的社会关注。一个国家物流系统的运行效率在相当程度上反映着该国经济的运行效率。物流运行效率的高低将直接影响社会经济的发展和人们生活质量水平的提高。因此,研究我国物流运行效率的影响因素,有利于提高我国整个经济的发展水平。另外,如何提高物流运行效率已成为国家发展亟待解决的现实问题。本文主要是从物流市场供给与需求的匹配程度角度来研究物流运行效率的高低。作者认为物流市场供给与需求的匹配率越高,则物流运行效率也越高。首先,分析两个不同发展规模的物流市场,然后通过顺序统计理论得出两个市场的供需匹配程度,根据供需匹配率得出结论：物流市场越活跃、规模越大,则供需匹配率越高。其次,通过传化物流成都基地两个不同发展规模的实际数据,验证了物流市场活跃程度及规模与供需匹配率的关系。通过分析表明：物流供需匹配率越高,则物流运行效率就越高。最后,从物流服务供需匹配角度就如何培育物流市场,从而提高物流运行效率,提出了一些培育措施,具有一定的参考价值。【英文摘要】As the development race of Chinas economy accelerates gradually, logistics has become an important part of modern economy. More and more people are concerning it.To a certain extent, a countrys logistics system efficiency reflects the operating efficiency of the economy. The efficiency of logistics will directly affect the development of social economic and the improvement of quality of life. Therefore, the study on factors which influence efficiency will improve Chinas overall economic development level.In addition, how to improve the efficiency of logistics has becom a practical problem which will be solved for a national development.This thesis mainly studies the level of operational efficiency of logistics market from the matching rate of supply and demand. The author thinks that the higher of supply and demand match rate of logistics market is, the higher of the efficiency of the logistics is! First, the author analyzes the development of two different sizes of the logistics markets. Then, the author obtains the matching rate of supply and demand by the theory of order statistics. The author gets a conclusion that by the matching rate of supply and demand:the higher the level of activity in the logistics market is, the higher of supply and demand matching rate of logistics market is. Second, the author gets the actual data from the Chuanhua logistics of Cheng Du. Then, the author proves the conclusion that the matching rate of supply and demand has a positive correction with the level of activity in the logistics market. The analysis shows that the higher of supply and demand matching rate of logistics market is, the higher of the efficiency of the logistics is! Finally, from the matching rate of supply and demand, the author proposes some measures for how to foster the logistics market to improve the efficiency of logistics.They have some referential values.【关键词】物流市场 供需 匹配率 效率【英文关键词】Logistics market Supply and demand Matching rate Efficiency【目录】基于市场匹配率的物流运行效率研究摘要6-7Abstract7第1章 绪论11-161.1 研究意义11-121.2 国内外现状分析12-141.3 研究目标141.4 研究内容及创新点14-151.4.1 研究内容14-151.4.2 创新点151.5 研究方法及技术路线15-161.5.1 研究方法151.5.2 技术路线15-16第2章 物流市场运行效率及供需匹配机制16-212.1 物流市场162.2 物流市场主体16-172.3 经济学上的效率172.4 效率的评价指标原则17-182.5 效率的评价方法18-192.6 供需理论192.7 匹配理论19-202.8 交易费用理论20-21第3章 不同规模的物流市场供需匹配率预测21-313.1 背景介绍213.2 匹配原理21-223.2.1 效益函数21-223.2.2 匹配技术描术223.3 建立供需匹配模型22-263.4 建立供需匹配函数26-273.5 连续匹配机制27-31第4章 传化物流成都基地运行效率实证分析31-394.1 背景介绍31-354.1.1 “公路港”物流31-324.1.2 利用信息有效整合资源32-334.1.3 提供一站式高效服务334.1.4 降低物流成本33-344.1.5 传化理念助推成都物流发展34-354.2 传化物流成都基地市场边界354.3 不同发展规模的两阶段数据收集35-364.3.1 数据收集35-364.3.2 第一阶段发展状况364.3.3 第二阶段发展状况364.4 实证结果及分析36-374.4.1 实证结果36-374.4.2 结果分析374.5 物流服务供需匹配率对运行效率的影响37-394.5.1 物流服务供需匹配率对物流成本的影响37-384.5.2 物流服务供需匹配率对物流服务水平的影响384.5.3 物流服务供需匹配率对物流运行效率的影响38-39第5章 物流市场培育措施分析39-505.1 案例分析395.2 集聚效应分析39-415.2.1 传化物流成都基地实现四大资源集聚405.2.2 传化物流成都基地集聚效应40-415.3 传化物流成都基地市场主体收益分析41-455.3.1 物流基地收益41-435.3.2 司乘人员43-445.3.3 货主成本分析44-455.3.4 结论分析455.4 提高物流服务供需匹配率的物流市场培育措施45-505.4.1 有