XX电信市场分析.ppt

1 RomanianTelecommunicationmarket RomanianTelecomMarketOverviewPresentationZileleBIZBucharest October2004 2 RomanianTelecommunicationmarket 3 RomanianTelecommunicationmarket TheRomaniantelecommarkethassteadilyincreasedoverthelastfiveyearswithmobiletelephonyplayingtheleadingrole Source RolandBergerStrategyConsultantsestimatesandanalysis Mobiletelephony Fixedtelephony Internetandotherdatatransmissionservices EvolutionoftheRomaniantelecommarket1 EURm BreakdownofRomaniantelecommarketbysegments 2003 CAGR 8 5 Note 1 Includingfixedtelephonyservices mobiletelephonyservices Internet datatransmissionandleasedlines excludinginternaltelecomservicesonowninfrastructureofTeletransandTelecomunicatiiCFR 4 RomanianTelecommunicationmarket Source MCTI ANRC OTE ITU RolandBergeranalysis Thefixedtelecommunicationinfrastructurehasdevelopedconstantlyoverthelastyears Note E Estimate Developmentofthenumberoffixedtelephonelines m andpenetrationrate 2000 2004 CAGR 3 3 5 RomanianTelecommunicationmarket Afterasignificantdropin2003thefixedtelephonymarketisexpectedtoslightlygrowin2004mainlyduetoincreasedconsumption Evolutionoffixedtelephonymarket1 2000 2004 EURm Comments 868 903 921 825 860 The2003dropofthemarketwasmainlyduetolowertariffsinrealtermsascomparedto2002 aswellasshrinkinginterconnectionandfixed to mobiletariffsMoreovernewplayersemergingaftertheopeningupofthefixedlinemarketledtodecreasesintariffsforinternationalcallsandsubsequentlylong distancecallsInspiteofthe2004soarintariffsforlocalcalls Romtelecomislikelytodecreasethesetariffsoncecompetitionmakeswayinthelocalcallssegmentaswell Notes 1 IncludinginternationalprivateleasedcircuitsE Estimate Source ANRC RolandBergerestimatesandanalysis 6 RomanianTelecommunicationmarket 7 RomanianTelecommunicationmarket 8 RomanianTelecommunicationmarket 9 RomanianTelecommunicationmarket DuetotherapiddevelopmentofthemobilecommunicationinRomania thepenetrationratewillexceed39 bytheendof2004 Growthinthenumberofusers1 thou andthepenetrationrate 1998 2004 Source ANRC RolandBergerestimatesandanalysis Note 1 Totalnumberofuserswascalculatedbasedonoperators dataregardingmobilephoneend users exceptforZapp whichonlyprovidedthenumberofclientsandnotthenumberofend users E Estimate CAGR 54 10 RomanianTelecommunicationmarket Source MCTI ANRC OTE ITU RolandBergeranalysis Themobiletelephonymarkethasstronglyincreasedinthelastyearsandthetrendistocontinueinthefuture Note 1 Includingallservicesofferedbymobileoperators E Estimate Evolutionofthemobiletelephonymarket1 2000 2004 EURm CAGR 17 5 CommentsBolsteredbycontinuousupsurgeofthecustomerbasethevalueofthemobiletelephonymarketgrewsteadilyoverthelastfiveyearsIn2003 themarketaveragerevenueperuser ARPU hasstabilizedatapproximatelyUSD165 170similartolevelsregisteredin2002AstheadditionalusersusuallyhavelowerARPUlevelsthantheexistingcustomers theoperatorsstartedtofostersalesofnon voiceservicesthusincreasingtheaddedvalue 11 RomanianTelecommunicationmarket 12 RomanianTelecommunicationmarket 13 RomanianTelecommunicationmarket NumberofweeklyInternetusers thou Source RNC ISPs RolandBergerStrategyConsultantsestimatesandanalysis 2000 2001 2002 2003E RomaniaregisteredoneofthehighestgrowthoftheInternetpenetrationrateintheregioninthelastyears 244 CommentsTheInternetaccessanddatatransmission includingalsotheleasedbusinesslinesmarketisestimatedatapproximatelyEUR67min2003ThemaingrowthdriverwillbethebroadbandconnectionsasalargernumberofcompaniesareseekingforhighqualityandspeedtransmissionsThereisacleartrendtowardshavingInterne