二胎政策英文解读

1、BPP LEARNING MEDIA The two child policy ? Four parts ? The development of Chinas childbearing policy ? The influence of two child policy ? Different views on two child policy BPP LEARNING MEDIA Chinas childbearing policy in 60 years Various stages of the policy BIG THREE BPP LEARNING MEDIA Various s

2、tages of the policy ?Pronatalist policy（1949 1953） ?The policy shift and repeated（1954 1959） ?Family planning is put forward ，try out in some counties and cities（1960 1969） ?Limiting population growth late, sparse, less policy gradually formed and comprehensive progress （1970 1980） ?Fully implementi

3、ng the one-child policy （19801984） ?The family planning policy adjustment （19841991） ? Variety of childbearing policy （19912015） ?Two child policy fully liberalised （2015） BPP LEARNING MEDIA Various stages of the policy ?BIG THREE ?1、Family planning is put forward，try out in some counties and cities

4、（1960 1969) ?2、Fully implementing the one-child policy（19801984） ?3、Two child policy fully liberalised（2015） BPP LEARNING MEDIA The policy shift and repeated（1954 1959） ? Chinas first population census was conducted in 1953， the result of the cencus Results showed that the population is much higher

5、than expected, matching with the limited resources and backward in our country, shook the government leaders. ? “In addition to the ethnic minority areas, in all the densely populated place, propaganda and promotion of birth control, bear the children in a planned way.” ? Because of the Great Leap f

6、orward and the Great Famine, the leaders of the government thought: ? Many hands make light work. ? More people can do great things. MAKE BABY! BPP LEARNING MEDIA Fully implementing the one-child policy（19801984 ） ?The late, sparse, less policy is very useful, but with the living standard increased,

7、 the farmers willingness to have more child is stronger than before. And the compensatory birth population (from the BIG1)also began to enter the stage of childbearing age, the birth rate ,natural growth rate and the total fertility rate are all rebound. ?In this context, began to tighten the one-ch

8、ild policy in the whole country, is the one-child policy. BPP LEARNING MEDIA Two child policy fully liberalised （2016） ?In the past decade, China has become an aging society with many single senior citizens.But we need to improve the size of workforce. And we come to realize that the family planning

9、 policy is no longer suitable for the todays China. ?So, we need to make baby！ BPP LEARNING MEDIA The effect of Two-child policy ? Advantage effect -short term effect -long term effect ? Disadvantage effect 00 MO NT H 000 0 BPP LEARNING MEDIA Shortterm effect Markets demand and supply Shortterm effe

10、ct Improve the quality of labor Improve the wages in some sectors BPP LEARNING MEDIA Markets demand and supply ?Family will pay more time to take care of child ?The labor will decrease in the short-term ?Promote some sectors development ?The quantity of labor market is constant ?Decreasing the numbe

11、r of market labor BPP LEARNING MEDIA Improve the quality of labor ? Before two-policy,some family think brith in American is a good choice. ? It is a big loss for China ? Many people working or studying overseas to birth more child ? Callback the talented people BPP LEARNING MEDIA Improve the wages

12、in some sectors ? Pay more attention of next generation ? baby-related sectors development BPP LEARNING MEDIA Shortterm effect Adjust the sex ratio Longterm effect Improve the size of workforce BPP LEARNING MEDIA Adjust the sex ratio ? The fifth national census data show that the countrys sex ratio

13、is 116.9: 100 ? The data is very likely to continue to rise ? Parents affected by traditional ideas, want a boy to continue family roots ? Release two-child policy, so that young couples are not going to care about the sex of the child, because there is still opportunity to have a second child BPP L

14、EARNING MEDIA Improve the size of workforce ? Ageing population is a serious problem in Whole world BPP LEARNING MEDIA Improve the size of workforce ? Before two-child policy,the prediction of Chinas Ageing BPP LEARNING MEDIA Improve the size of workforce ? The next two-child policy also will increa

15、se the labor twenty years after the new baby entering the labor market, so the size of the structure of the labor market will be slowly changing. Therefore, under the two-child policy, the change of labor market is just a matter of time BPP LEARNING MEDIA Disadvantage effect 1.Population Trend after

16、 Policy Adjustment BPP LEARNING MEDIA Disadvantage effect From the figure we can see that the number of population incresed rapidly which will effect the resource per man. we should think about that whether the resource like food, land is enough for the new one. BPP LEARNING MEDIA Disadvantage effec

17、t 10.07% 19.07% 24.47% 46.39% 不同等级城市对于要生育二胎的数据统计图 一线城市二线城市三线城市四线城市 2.The quality of population BPP LEARNING MEDIA Disadvantage effect 3.Trend of Population Aging after Policy Adjustment BPP LEARNING MEDIA Disadvantage effect It can not radically resolve the aging problem.this policy is just incresae

18、d the denominator( the population). this problem cant settled only by increase the population. the government should establish a perfect social security system. BPP LEARNING MEDIA Disadvantage effect 4.This generation of the one-child family in the future will face is not only on both sides of the p

19、arents, and their two children, so that two people will take the whole family of eight people living pressure.it will be a big problem. BPP LEARNING MEDIA Different views on two child policy 00 MO NT H 000 0 The Chinese ordinary peoples view The Chinese experts view BPP LEARNING MEDIA The Chinese or

20、dinary peoples view 83% of respondents expressed support, the children can have a companion, looking after each other.10% of the respondents do not support, and argues that Chinas population is too much. There are 7% of the respondents said they dont have any idea; 83% 10% 7% The Chinese ordinary pe

21、ople s view SupportDont supporthave no idea BPP LEARNING MEDIA The Chinese ordinary peoples view For the question of whether you will consider to have two children, 63% of respondents said they would consider.22% said it would not consider have two kids, because of the cost of raising children is to

22、o high.there are also 15% of those surveyed said they dont care. 63% 22% 15% 0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70% Consider Dont consider Dont care Whether you will consider to have two children BPP LEARNING MEDIA The Chinese experts view ? There are experts believe that the full liberalization of the two child i

23、s not just a livelihood issues. There are a lot of deeper consideration. Chinas current fertility rate is very low. The problem of aging population is serious,and the demographic dividend is gradually disappearing. Lu Jiehua, a sociology professor at Peking University, told reporters, from a separate two children, the results of the pilot, the actual population growth is lower than expected. He believes that the full liberalization of two child policy will have good influence. BPP LEAR