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1、Risks and challenges of the EU expansion演讲I . I ntroductionF or several years now the范文E uropean Union is discussing apossible enlargement, because several E uropean countrieshave appliedfor membership in the E U . T hese areespecially the former socialist countries in E astern Europe, that have cle
2、arly turned towards the west since thecollapse of the iron curtain.T hese countries are B ulgaria,the B altic countriesL atvia, L ithuania and E stonia,oland, R omania, the S lovak R epublic, the C zechepublic,S lovenia and H ungary.I n additionT urkey,yprus andM alta are trying for quite some time
3、already tojoin theEU . T hese application are not to be acceptedwithout any further deliberation because they do bring alongsome risks and the consequences are hard to distinguishtherefore these countries are not very expected joining theE uropean U nion in the near future and will therefore notbe i
4、ncluded in the following evaluation.I I . R isks and challenges15/ 9f we wants to evaluate the risks and challenges of anupcoming enlargement of the EU, we should first take intoaccount experiences gained during previous expansion whichwere to some exte nt comp arable.H ere the souther n expansionfr
5、om 1986 should be mentioned where two economically patheticcountries sought admission to the thenE uropean C ommunity.T he admissi on p rocedure of these two can didates, beingpain and P ortugal, were lengthy and considered very problembearing. Especially the amount of produce that would add tothe a
6、lready existing agricultural over-production of theommunity was seen to be a problem since it would increasethe load on the E uropean budget. B ut seen from aglobaleconomical perspective the joining ofS pain and P ortugalwas overall positive forthe EC and the two countries,although S pain struggledw
7、ith a further rise of unemploymentand disparities within theC ommunity were further amplified.T he disparities withinthe U nion will most certainlyincrease when it comesto an eastern expansion, but theagricultural problem will not be an issue, because thecandidates have not got their focus on agricu
8、lture, alreadybecause of their communist heritage which focused on industryrather than on agriculture or the tertiary sector.n caseof the approaching expansion towardsE astern E urope the Union will have to resolve several problems, the most severebeing without any doubt the financial one that will
9、go alongwith the extension, estimated to be ?5?6 billionannually, just for the technologically underdevelopedagriculture in the new member states.T he financial problemwill also lead to a temporary discontent among the populationof the existing members, since the financial load on thecountries will
10、cause budget cuts because the new members willundoubtedly belong to the payees rather than the payers.sp ecially theM editerra nean members, for in sta neetaly,S pain etc. fear cuts in their subsidies particularlytheagricultural ones, and agriculture is already making up thebiggest part of theeU s b
11、udget. O f course it is also tobe questioned whether with the joining of economically weakcountries the economies of the richer members are notweake ned. W hat should be take n into con siderati on as wellis the impact the joining will have on the population of thecandidates, especially considering
12、the rights they will gainwhen they are citizens of theE uropean community. T hey dothen have the right to settle and work anywhere within thecommunity, this could lead to a large amount of peoplepouring into the old member countries trying to seek workthere and make their living.And since most of th
13、e Europeancountries are already struggling with high unemployment thehigh rates could be pushed up further and the discontentamong the population could worsen, especially against thebackground of Neo- N azis in G ermany and other countriessuch as B ritain or I taly. O ff course this would only bea t
14、emporary problem, which would solve itself over time asthe new members develop economically, but still this couldprove to be a major issue. O f course their comes also aminor problem along with the expansion, this problem beingeven more languages than the twelve, already being used, inwhich EU com m
15、uni cati ons would have to be carried out addi ngto the already huge administrative body of theE uropean Union and also causing further costs of theEU.B ut because the expansion represents a political necessityone should also take into account the positive aspects causedby such a historic event.W it
16、h the expansion the con ti nentwould take a huge step towards the ethnic integration withinE urope, different cultures would be facing each other andcould also profit from each other. A lso the globalcompetitivenessof the EU against the USA and Asiawould improve and another step towards global peace
17、 would be undertaken.III . C han ges in adm ini strati ont is obvious that an expansion potentially including teninstitutionalcountries would not be feasible without fundamentalreforms. F or instaneewith the existingstructure of theU n io n which allocates most of the po wer tothe E uropean C ouncil
18、, whereeach member state has one vote,it would be imaginable thatsmaller members would have amajority over the larger members.E xcept forP oland, whichis by population comparable toS pain and would consequentlybe a large member, all other candidates are relatively smallin size an population.A nother
19、 point is that with more than twenty members the decision finding and making process needs to be completely reconsidered, so it represents the actual size of the member countries in terms of population rather than giving each member a veto and especially one singlevote. T he existingvotingand weight
20、ing system is also already making the decision finding process a painfully and lengthy one, another ten different opinions added to this would make it virtually impossible to come to an agreement that at least partially satisfies all members and isA changedtherefore being supported and not vetoed ag
21、ainst.legislature would also keep the democratic thought that the entire EU is based on alive and not vanish it like the existing system. What should also be pointed out is the fact that an increase in members could lead to new coalitions within the U nion and also increase competition among theindi
22、vidual countries.T here are even critics that fear thatan eastern expansion could lead to a shift in power towards the reunified G ermany, since the potential new members arealready heavily bound and leaning towards G ermany. Whatshould also be consideredis a change in E uropeanagricultural policy,
23、whichshould actually be reformedalready. T he system of milkquotas, subsidies etc.whichsubsidises an over-productionin many areas, justnot tonot beinfuriate the farmers, because smaller farms would able to survive without the subsidies and the entire face of the E uropean primary sector would change
24、 is completely outdated. T his system could definitely no longer be kept up with even more farmers to support.IV . S uccessful without absorbing the new members?t is obvious that this question needs to be answered withEU are alreadya clear no. T he existing members of thebeing absorbed by it and the
25、y have all chosen this faith.he goals of the E uropean U nion do state the loss of sovereignty in the areas of economic and currency politics, the latter one already realized, also in the political areas of social politics, education, research, consumer protection,N ow one could arguehealth and also
26、 environmental issues.how many of these goals need to be realized in order for theB ritish point of view forEU to be successful, from the example the cooperation in economic issues and the creation of the single market have already been enough, consideringtheir opinion towards theM aastricht treaty.
27、f one wouldsee it from the B ritish point of view the EU could besuccessful without absorbing the new members, but since mostother countries would like to see the above mentioned goalsimplied and would like to realize the dream of deG aulle,A denauer and others of the U nited S tates ofE urope,the n
28、ew members would surrender a huge partof theirsovereignty and consequently would be absorbed by theEU,especially considering that they will join in acouple ofyears at the earliest when E uropean integration willhopefully have advanced beyond the point it is today.A nother point one could consider is what would happen ifthe E uropean integration would further advance up to thepoint of the U nited S tates of E urope without any newcountries joining. T his would create another sup
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