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1、Chapter 10Chapter 10Making Capital Making Capital Investment DecisionsInvestment DecisionsMcGraw-Hill/IrwinCopyright 2010 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.Key Concepts and Skills Understand how to determine the relevant cash flows for various types of proposed investments Under
2、stand the various methods for computing operating cash flow Understand how to set a bid price for a project Understand how to evaluate the equivalent annual cost of a project10-2Chapter Outline Project Cash Flows: A First Look Incremental Cash Flows Pro Forma Financial Statements and Project Cash Fl
3、ows More about Project Cash Flow Alternative Definitions of Operating Cash Flow Some Special Cases of Discounted Cash Flow Analysis10-3Relevant Cash Flows The cash flows that should be included in a capital budgeting analysis are those that will only occur (or not occur) if the project is accepted T
4、hese cash flows are called incremental cash flows The stand-alone principle allows us to analyze each project in isolation from the firm simply by focusing on incremental cash flows10-4Asking the Right Question You should always ask yourself “Will this cash flow occur ONLY if we accept the project?”
5、 If the answer is “yes,” it should be included in the analysis because it is incremental If the answer is “no,” it should not be included in the analysis because it will occur anyway If the answer is “part of it,” then we should include the part that occurs because of the project10-5Common Types of
6、Cash Flows Sunk costs costs that have accrued in the past Opportunity costs costs of lost options Side effects Positive side effects benefits to other projects Negative side effects costs to other projects Changes in net working capital Financing costs Taxes10-6Pro Forma Statements and Cash Flow Cap
7、ital budgeting relies heavily on pro forma accounting statements, particularly income statements Computing cash flows refresher Operating Cash Flow (OCF) = EBIT + depreciation taxes OCF = Net income + depreciation (when there is no interest expense) Cash Flow From Assets (CFFA) = OCF net capital spe
8、nding (NCS) changes in NWC10-7Table 10.1 Pro Forma Income StatementSales (50,000 units at $4.00/unit)$200,000Variable Costs ($2.50/unit)125,000Gross profit$ 75,000Fixed costs12,000Depreciation ($90,000 / 3)30,000EBIT$ 33,000Taxes (34%)11,220Net Income$ 21,78010-8Table 10.2 Projected Capital Requirem
9、entsYear0123NWC$20,000$20,000$20,000$20,000NFA 90,000 60,000 30,000 0Total$110,000$80,000$50,000$20,00010-9Table 10.5 Projected Total Cash FlowsYear0123OCF$51,780$51,780$51,780Change in NWC-$20,00020,000NCS-$90,000 CFFA-$110,00$51,780$51,780$71,78010-10Making The Decision Now that we have the cash f
10、lows, we can apply the techniques that we learned in Chapter 9 Enter the cash flows into the calculator and compute NPV and IRR CF0 = -110,000; C01 = 51,780; F01 = 2; C02 = 71,780; F02 = 1 NPV; I = 20; CPT NPV = 10,648 CPT IRR = 25.8% Should we accept or reject the project?10-11 Danielles is a furni
11、ture store that is considering adding appliances to its offerings. Which of the following should be considered incremental cash flows of this project?I. utilizing the credit offered by a supplier to purchase the appliance inventoryII. benefiting from increased furniture sales to appliance customersI
12、II. borrowing money from a bank to fund the appliance projectIV. purchasing parts for inventory to handle any appliance repairs that might be necessary A. I and II only B. III and IV onlyC. I, II, and IV only D. II, III, and IV only复习题 Which of the following should be included in the analysis of a n
13、ew product?I. money already spent for research and development of the new productII. reduction in sales for a current product once the new product is introducedIII. increase in accounts receivable needed to finance sales of the new productIV. market value of a machine owned by the firm which will be
14、 used to produce the new product A. I and III only B. II and IV onlyC. I, II, and III only D. II, III, and IV onlyE. I, II, III, and IV复习题 All of the following are related to a proposed project. Which of these should be included in the cash flow at time zero?I. purchase of $1,400 of parts inventory
15、needed to support the projectII. loan of $125,000 used to finance the projectIII. depreciation tax shield of $1,100IV. $6,500 of equipment needed to commence the project A. I and II only B. I and IV onlyC. II and IV only D. I, II, and IV onlyE. I, II, III, and IV复习题More on NWC Why do we have to cons
16、ider changes in NWC separately? GAAP requires that sales be recorded on the income statement when made, not when cash is received GAAP also requires that we record cost of goods sold when the corresponding sales are made, whether we have actually paid our suppliers yet Finally, we have to buy invent
17、ory to support sales, although we havent collected cash yet10-15Depreciation The depreciation expense used for capital budgeting should be the depreciation schedule required by the IRS for tax purposes Depreciation itself is a non-cash expense; consequently, it is only relevant because it affects ta
18、xes Depreciation tax shield = DT D = depreciation expense T = marginal tax rate10-16Computing Depreciation Straight-line depreciation D = (Initial cost salvage) / number of years Very few assets are depreciated straight-line for tax purposes MACRS Need to know which asset class is appropriate for ta
19、x purposes Multiply percentage given in table by the initial cost Depreciate to zero Mid-year convention10-17After-tax Salvage If the salvage value is different from the book value of the asset, then there is a tax effect Book value = initial cost accumulated depreciation After-tax salvage = salvage
20、 T(salvage book value)10-18Example: Depreciation and After-tax Salvage You purchase equipment for $100,000, and it costs $10,000 to have it delivered and installed. Based on past information, you believe that you can sell the equipment for $17,000 when you are done with it in 6 years. The companys m
21、arginal tax rate is 40%. What is the depreciation expense each year and the after-tax salvage in year 6 for each of the following situations?10-19Example: Straight-line Suppose the appropriate depreciation schedule is straight-line D = (110,000 17,000) / 6 = 15,500 every year for 6 years BV in year
22、6 = 110,000 6(15,500) = 17,000 After-tax salvage = 17,000 - .4(17,000 17,000) = 17,00010-20Example: Three-year MACRSYearMACRS percentD1.3333.3333(110,000) = 36,6632.4445.4445(110,000) = 48,8953.1481.1481(110,000) = 16,2914.0741.0741(110,000) = 8,151BV in year 6 = 110,000 36,663 48,895 16,291 8,151 =
23、 0After-tax salvage = 17,000 - .4(17,000 0) = $10,20010-21Example: Seven-Year MACRSYearMACRS PercentD1.1429.1429(110,000) = 15,7192.2449.2449(110,000) = 26,9393.1749.1749(110,000) = 19,2394.1249.1249(110,000) = 13,7395.0893.0893(110,000) = 9,8236.0892.0892(110,000) = 9,812BV in year 6 = 110,000 15,7
24、19 26,939 19,239 13,739 9,823 9,812 = 14,729After-tax salvage = 17,000 .4(17,000 14,729) = 16,091.6010-22Other Methods for Computing OCF Bottom-Up Approach Works only when there is no interest expense OCF = NI + depreciation Top-Down Approach OCF = Sales Costs Taxes Dont subtract non-cash deductions
25、 Tax Shield Approach OCF = (Sales Costs)(1 T) + Depreciation*T10-23Example: Replacement ProblemOriginal Machine Initial cost = 100,000 Annual depreciation = 9,000 Purchased 5 years ago Book Value = 55,000 Salvage today = 65,000 Salvage in 5 years = 10,000New Machine Initial cost = 150,000 5-year lif
26、e Salvage in 5 years = 0 Cost savings = 50,000 per year 3-year MACRS depreciationRequired return = 10%Tax rate = 40%10-24Replacement Problem Computing Cash Flows Remember that we are interested in incremental cash flows If we buy the new machine, then we will sell the old machine What are the cash f
27、low consequences of selling the old machine today instead of in 5 years?10-25Replacement Problem Pro Forma Income StatementsYear12345Cost Savings50,00050,00050,00050,00050,000Depr. New49,99566,67522,21511,1150 Old9,0009,0009,0009,0009,000Increm.40,99557,67513,2152,115(9,000)EBIT9,005(7,675)36,78547,
28、88559,000Taxes3,602(3,070)14,71419,15423,600NI5,403(4,605)22,07128,73135,40010-26Replacement Problem Incremental Net Capital Spending Year 0 Cost of new machine = 150,000 (outflow) After-tax salvage on old machine = 65,000 - .4(65,000 55,000) = 61,000 (inflow) Incremental net capital spending = 150,
29、000 61,000 = 89,000 (outflow) Year 5 After-tax salvage on old machine = 10,000 - .4(10,000 10,000) = 10,000 (outflow because we no longer receive this)10-27Replacement Problem Cash Flow From AssetsYear012345OCF46,39853,07035,28630,84626,400NCS-89,000-10,000 In NWC00CFFA-89,00046,39853,07035,28630,84
30、616,40010-28Replacement Problem Analyzing the Cash Flows Now that we have the cash flows, we can compute the NPV and IRR Enter the cash flows Compute NPV = 54,801.74 Compute IRR = 36.28% Should the company replace the equipment?10-29New Cash Flow From Assets(straight line)Year012345OCF62000+x62000+x
31、62000+x62000+x62000+xNCS-150,0000 In NWC-yyCFFA-150000-y62000+x62000+x62000+x62000+x62000+x+y10-30oringnal Cash Flow From AssetsYear012345OCF36000+x36000+x36000+x36000+x36000+xNCS61000-10,000NWC-yyCFFA-61,000-y36000+x36000+x36000+x36000+x26000+x+y10-31Replacement Problem Cash Flow From AssetsYear012
32、345OCF5840058400584005840058400NCS-89,000-10,000 In NWC00CFFA-89,000584005840058400584004840010-32Example: Cost Cutting Your company is considering a new computer system that will initially cost $1 million. It will save $300,000 per year in inventory and receivables management costs. The system is e
33、xpected to last for five years and will be depreciated using 3-year MACRS. The system is expected to have a salvage value of $50,000 at the end of year 5. There is no impact on net working capital. The marginal tax rate is 40%. The required return is 8%. Click on the Excel icon to work through the e
34、xample10-33Example: Setting the Bid Price Consider the following information: Army has requested bid for multiple use digitizing devices (MUDDs) Deliver 4 units each year for the next 3 years Labor and materials estimated to be $10,000 per unit Production space leased for $12,000 per year Requires $
35、50,000 in fixed assets with expected salvage of $10,000 at the end of the project (depreciate straight-line) Require initial $10,000 increase in NWC Tax rate = 34% Required return = 15%10-34Example: Equivalent Annual Cost Analysis Burnout Batteries Initial Cost = $36 each 3-year life $100 per year t
36、o keep charged Expected salvage = $5 Straight-line depreciation Long-lasting Batteries Initial Cost = $60 each 5-year life $88 per year to keep charged Expected salvage = $5 Straight-line depreciationThe machine chosen will be replaced indefinitely and neither machine will have a differential impact on reve
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