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文档简介
China
Internet
Sector2022
Outlook:
Finding
silver
liningsin
challenging
timesJasmine
Wang+852
2101
7181jasmine.wang@Kenneth
Fong+852
2101
6395kenneth.kc.fong@Ivy
Liu+852
2101
7103ivy.liu@Ivy
Ji+852
2101
7951ivy.ji@Lauren
Zuo+852
2101
7986lauren.zuo@Ashley
Xu+852
2101
7153ashley.xu@Sophia
Tan+852
2101
7735sophia.tan@
11
January
2022Equity
Research
China
Joanne
Ding
of
Credit
Suisse
Securities
(China)
Limited
("CSS")
provided
administrative
and
other
support
in
the
preparation
of
this
research
report
that
do
not
require
a
license.
CSS
is
a
Sino-foreign
joint
venture
between
Credit
Suisse
AG
and
Founder
Securities
Co.,
Ltd.
CSS
is
not
licensed
to
provide
securities
investment
advisory
service
by
the
China
Securities
Regulatory
Commission
in
the
People’s
Republic
of
China.DISCLOSURE
APPENDIX
AT
THE
BACK
OF
THIS
REPORT
CONTAINS
IMPORTANT
DISCLOSURES,
ANALYST
CERTIFICATIONS,
LEGAL
ENTITY
DISCLOSURE
AND
THE
STATUS
OFNON-US
ANALYSTS.
US
Disclosure:
Credit
Suisse
does
and
seeks
to
do
business
with
companies
covered
in
its
research
reports.
As
a
result,
investors
should
be
aware
that
the
Firm
may
have
aconflict
of
interest
that
could
affect
the
objectivity
of
this
report.
Investors
should
consider
this
report
as
only
a
single
factor
in
making
their
investment
decision.211
January
2022China
Internet
Outlook
2022Table
of
contents
Executive
summary6
Key
themes
worth
monitoring
in
2022
Growth:
Transitioning
from
user
growth
to
operational
optimisation
Regulation:
Focus
on
implementation
Ecosystem:
Inter-connectivity
entering
the
next
phase
Competitive
landscape:
Levelling
the
playing
field
Investment
focus:
Hard
technology,
overseas
market
and
shareholder
returns
Earnings:
Consenses
earnings
may
still
see
meaningful
adjustment
Subsector
outlook10142134363739
Online
games:
Opportunities
still
exist
in
the
new
normal
E-commerce:
Opportunities
may
arise
in
2H22
Advertising:
Stay
selective
as
macro
weighs
demand
Local
services:
Weak
near-term
visibility
despite
penetration
potential
Education:
Vocational
education
riding
on
policy
tailwinds
Travel:
The
eventual
recovery
could
be
on
the
horizon
Online
Entertainment:
Long
tunnel
before
lightStock
implications
Stock
picks:
Tencent,
NetEase,
Kuaishou,
PDD,
JOYY,
T
42
60
77
100
108
115
121135Note:
Share
price
and
mkt
cap
in
this
report
are
based
on
market
close
of
Jan
5,
2022.JOYY
☆
☆☆
☆311
January
2022China
Internet
Outlook
2022Focus
tables
Assessing
our
stock
picks’
exposure
to
6
key
themes
in
2022GrowthRegulatory
impactInter-connectivity
benefitCompetitive
landscapeEarning
upside
ValuationattractivenessTencentNetEaseKuaishouPDD
☆☆☆☆☆☆☆☆
☆☆
☆☆
☆☆☆☆☆
☆☆☆☆
☆☆☆☆☆
☆
☆☆☆☆☆☆☆☆
☆
☆☆
☆☆☆☆☆☆☆☆
☆☆
☆☆☆☆☆☆☆☆
Assessing
subsectors’
correlation
with
6
key
themes
in
2022T
☆☆
☆
☆☆☆☆☆☆
☆☆☆☆☆☆☆☆☆MarketCapPriceTarget
PriceUpsideP/E(x)PEG
(x)P/S
(x)EV/EBITDA
(x)Company
Tencent
PDD
NetEase
Kuaishou
T
JOYYRating
O
O
O
O
O
O(US$bn)
530.7
59.5
64.1
36.6
15.9
3.6(Local)
430.6
48.5
95.5
67.6
24.9
46.1(Local)
615.0
86.0
145.0
160.0
33.0
78.0
(%)
43%
77%
52%137%
32%
69%2021E
26.9x
42.2x
22.5x
n.a.107.8x243.2x2022E
23.4x
25.9x
19.4x
n.a.
30.1x
25.1x2023E
1.3x
0.1x
1.2x
n.a.
0.1x
0.1x2021E
6.1x
4.5x
4.7x
3.0x
5.2x
1.4x2022E
5.2x
3.8x
3.9x
2.7x
4.3x
1.3x2021E15.8x41.4x22.9x
n.a.
n.a.34.6x2022E19.2x20.6x19.6x
n.a.88.2x
9.8x☆☆☆=high/favorable;
☆☆=moderate;
☆=low/unfavorableValuation
sheet
of
our
stock
picksSource:
Company
data,
Refinitiv,
Credit
Suisse
estimates;
Note
that
share
price
and
mkt
cap
are
as
of
5-Jan-2022411
January
2022Internet
sector
corrected
39%
in
2021:
The
multiple
de-rating
due
to
regulatory
scrutiny
that
structurally
lowered
the
sector’sreturn
as
well
as
earnings
downgrade
amid
a
weak
macro
environment
in
2H21,
caused
a
sharp
sector
correction.Sector
outlook:
While
1Q22
could
still
be
difficult
for
the
sector
given
the
tough
base,
uncertainty
over
the
regulatory
impact
andmore
street’s
earning
downgrades,
we
do
see
opportunities
emerging
in
2022.
From
a
trading
perspective,
the
low
street
expectation,
light
investors
positioning
and
depressed
valuation
would
leave
room
for
upside
surprise.
Operationally,
the
structural
changes
post
regulatory
actions
will
provide
a
level
playing
field
that
fosters
healthier
competition,
despite
a
lower
near-term
return.
Top
line
growth
may
be
slower,
but
margin
and
earnings
may
have
upside,
in
our
view.
Last,
we
note
that
the
recent
regulatory
tone
is
more
balanced—pro
growth
and
stabilization—and
suggest
“focusing
on
the
positive
role
of
capital”
while
setting
a
bottom
line
for
capital
expansion.
In
terms
of
intensity,
the
worst
may
be
behind
us.6
key
themes
for
2022.
(1)
Growth.
Under
the
heightened
regulatory
environment
and
peaking
internet
traffic,
internet
companiesare
increasingly
looking
inward
for
growth
from
operating
efficiency
enhancement
and
value
creating
opportunity
leveraging
its
existingtraffic.
(2)
Regulation.
With
the
regulatory
legal
framework
largely
in
place,
the
focus
would
be
implementation:
new
advertising
draftrule,
game
approval
resumption
and
overseas
listing
status
of
the
ADRs.
(3)
Ecosystem.
We
expect
inter-connectivity
to
continue.Internet
companies
will
negotiate
to
resolve
issues,
including
platform
security
and
mutual
benefits,
as
they
dismantle
the
walledgarden.
(4)
Competition.
With
the
government’s
anti-trust
efforts,
dominant
leaders
are
more
mindful
of
market
share,
creatingopportunities
for
others
to
catch
up.
(5)
Investment
focus.
Hard
technology
and
overseas
market
would
be
the
focus.
Internetcompanies
would
also
look
for
ways
to
unlock
shareholder
value
(e.g.,
buyback
and
spinning
off).
(6)
Earnings
forecasts.
Webelieve
the
street
has
not
factored
in
the
downside
from
macro
and
investments
and
upside
from
margin
saving.
Among
the
big-capinternet
companies,
we
hold
different
views
from
the
street
on
BABA
and
Meituan
(on
the
downside)
and
PDD
(on
the
upside).Executive
summaryFinding
silver
linings
in
challenging
times
China
Internet
Sector:
Review,
outlook
and
key
themes511
January
2022#1.
Online
games.
Remains
our
preferred
pick
for
its
relative
resilience
to
macro
weakness,
stable
competitive
landscape
and
progressof
overseas
growth
as
a
new
driver.
The
resumption
of
Banhao
approval
would
be
a
catalyst
while
we
see
medium-term
upside
from
thedecrease
of
app
store
channel
fee
(Apple
vs
Epic)
as
a
margin
driver.#2.
E-commerce.
We
remain
cautious
for
1H22
for
slowing
consumption
and
heightened
competition
that
could
lead
to
furtherearnings
cut,
but
we
see
opportunity
in
2H22
on
potential
recovery
helped
by
the
government’s
stimulus
measures
and
the
possibleless-rapid
pace
of
short-video
platforms’
market
share
gain.
Among
the
big
players,
we
do
see
operational
improvement
for
JD
(To-B
&3P)
and
PDD
(brand
effort
&
UE
improvement
from
CGP)
helping
deliver
stronger
performance
despite
the
weak
macro.#3.
Advertising.
The
1H22
outlook
stays
dim
owing
to
the
weaker
macro,
and
the
structurally
impaired
demand
(education
andfinancial
services)
will
take
time
to
rebase.
The
measures
for
regulating
internet
advertising
(draft)
rule
also
present
overhang
for
short-/long-form
video
platforms.#4.
Local
services.
Monetisation
potential
for
the
sector
is
still
huge,
but
the
macro
slowdown
and
fluid
Covid
situation
are
limitingoffline
activities.
Rider
cost
pressure
from
social
security
requirement
and
labour
shortage
may
cloud
the
near-term
outlook.#5.
Education.
We
continue
to
favour
the
China
vocational
education
sector
for
its
undemanding
valuation
(high-single-digit
to
low-teenforward
P/E),
visible
growth
with
policy
support.#6.
Travel.
Despite
the
near-term
uncertainties,
we
see
good
entry
points
for
OTA
names
to
position
for
the
eventual
recovery
over
thenext12-18
months.#7.
Entertainment.
We
remain
cautious,
given
the
increased
competition
and
content
investment
that
drag
margin
with
stricterregulatory
content
scrutiny
and
constrained
monetisation
hurting
growth.Executive
summaryFinding
silver
linings
in
challenging
timesSub-sector
ranking
by
order
of
preferenceOnline
gameE-commerceAdvertisingLocal
servicesEducationTravelEntertainment611
January
2022
Executive
summary
Finding
silver
linings
in
challenging
times
Stock
picks
from
three
angles(1)
Steady
core
holdings
with
visible
earnings
outlook.
Tencent’s
under-monetised
assets
&
user
base
should
provide
longer-termopportunity
&
visibility.
After
the
recent
special
dividend
of
JD
shares,
we
believe,
investors
would
also
start
attributing
more
value
to
itsunderlying
investments
which
make
up
close
to
half
of
its
market
cap.
NetEase
has
consistently
demonstrated
its
ability
to
deliver
steadyshareholder
return
and
a
strong
track
record
of
content
development
with
a
sticky
gamer
base.
Near-term
catalysts
include
the
resumptionof
game
monetisation
approval
and
launch
of
highly
anticipated
titles
like
Harry
Potter
overseas
(2Q22)
and
Diablo
(1H22).(2)
Higher-beta
names,
but
improving
fundamentals
underappreciated.
Kuaishou’s
operational
improvement
&
easingcompetition
(Douyin
scaling
down
user
acquisition)
should
allow
it
to
deliver
stronger
earnings
&
user
growth
in
2022.
Recent
S&Mefficiency
improvement
should
filter
through
earnings
in
upcoming
quarters.
The
medium-term
upsides
include
efforts
to
attract
morebranded
merchants
and
helping
e-commerce
and
advertising.
PDD
now
is
trading
only
at
26x
2022E
even
if
we
conservatively
assumeadj.
earnings
at
only
Rmb17.9
bn
in
2022E
(vs.
average
of
c.Rmb3.5
bn/Q
in
2Q-3Q21).
With
APRU
uplift
(as
brand
efforts
bear
fruit),S&M
scaling
down,
and
improving
UE
from
CGP,
we
see
further
earnings
upside.(3)
Deep-value
names
post
recent
share
price
correction.
JOYY
is
currently
trading
at
a
depressed
price
of
US$46/share
vs:
(1)cash
of
US$25/share;
(2)
US$45/share
to
be
received
from
Baidu
(if
the
deal
goes
through);
and
(3)
Huya’s
market
value
of
US$3,
withthe
rest
of
the
overseas
business
pretty
much
for
free.
Baidu
YY
acquisition
approval
and
capital
action
would
be
catalysts.
T
isnow
trading
at
17x
2023E
(assuming
earnings
back
to
2019
pre-Covid
level),
a
similar
level
in
Apr-2020
at
the
height
of
the
global
Covidoutbreak.
Yet
looking
into
2022,
we
are
arguably
finally
seeing
light
at
the
end
of
the
very
long
tunnel.
With
the
further
containment
ofCovid
globally
and
potential
loosening
in
domestic
zero-Covid
policy,
we
see
T
as
a
prime
beneficiary
and
leveraged
reopening
play.711
January
2022Online
games.
Instead
of
Metaverse
which
is
still
at
a
nascent
stage,
we
believe,
the
near-term
upside
could
come
from
thereduction
of
app
store
channel
fee
that
would
lift
game
developers’
operating
margins
meaningfully.
Watch
out
for
the
progress
ofcourt
case
between
Epic
and
Apple.
This
should
benefit
both
Tencent
and
NetEase
.Food
delivery.
On
top
of
the
well-understood
headwinds
such
as
weak
macro
and
Covid
resurgence,
another
challenge
forMeituan’s
food
delivery
business
is
the
shortage
of
delivery
riders,
especially
in
the
higher-tier
cities,
according
to
our
channel
check.Together
with
the
gradual
rollout
of
social
security
insurance
for
riders,
we
expect
the
pace
of
unit
economic
improvement
to
beslow.Livestreaming
e-commerce.
After
the
high-profile
case
of
Viya’s
tax
incident,
we
expect
platforms
to
put
more
efforts
to
promotemerchants’
self-operated
livestreaming
(less
costly)
and
reduce
reliance
on
KOLs.
While
merchants’
livestreaming
will
take
longertime
gain
momentum,
this
could
potentially
benefit
take
rate
of
platforms
and
lift
merchants’
profitability.Levelling
the
playing
field.
Kuaishou
should
benefit
from
Douyin’s
scaling
down
of
user
acquisition
and
limiting
time-spend,
whichstarted
in
Sep-2021
due
to
anti-trust
concern,
on
top
of
its
own
operational
improvement.
This
changing
competitive
landscape
isunderappreciated
by
the
market,
in
our
view.Some
operational
changes
for
companies
to
watch
out
for.
They
include
JD
3P
initiatives
(benefit
ad
revenue)
and
steppingup
of
To-B
in
lower-tier
cities
(due
to
its
price
advantage),
PDD
branding
effort
through
Qunmaimai
(benefiting
ARPU),
Kuaishouadvertising
upside
with
improvement
in
algorithm,
and
Tencent’s
continuous
push
for
mini-programme
as
the
landing
page
toenhance
ad
conversion.Executive
summary9
takeaways
from
this
reportHow
we
think
differently
from
street….811
January
2022Capital
action
opportunities?
After
the
recent
share
price
correction,
Huya
&
JOYY
are
trading
below
cash
value.
A
few
othernames
also
imply
single-digits
for
core
operations.
We
expect
internet
companies
to
be
more
active
in
unlocking
shareholder
valuegiven
the
depressed
valuation.
For
Tencent’s
recent
sell-down
of
SEA,
we
believe
that
it
does
not
mean
it
will
speed
up
the
disposal
ofits
other
investments,
but
to
lock
in
some
profit
from
its
investment
at
the
beginning
of
the
year
to
support
its
common
prosperityfunds,
as
it
is
funded
by
non-GAAP
investment
income.Advertising.
Our
comprehensive
assessment
and
outlook
for
the
key
internet
verticals
in
2022
after
surveying
a
few
ad
agencies.
Wealso
highlight
the
key
ad
drivers/initiatives
and
challenges
for
individual
companies
in
2022.E-commerce.
A
quick
summary
of
the
key
e-commerce
challenges
and
opportunities
in
2022.Regulation.
A
comprehensive
wrap
of
the
key
regulations
in
2021
and
their
implications
with
further
detailed
discussion
in
each
ofthe
sub-sectors.Executive
summary9
takeaways
from
this
report911
January
2022Executive
summaryChina
internet
comparison
tableSource:
Company
data,
Refinitiv,
Credit
Suisse
estimates;
Note
that
mkt
cap
and
share
price
are
as
of
5
Jan
2022Mkt
CapPriceTarget
PriceUpsideEPSP/E(x)PEGP/S(x)Share
price
performanceCompanyTickerCcyRating(US$bn)(Local)(Local)(%)2021E2022E2021E2022E2023E2021E2022E1
month
3
months1
yearMajor
PlatformsAlibabaTencentBaiduMeituan
BABA.N
0700.HKBIDU.OQ
3690.HKUSDHKDUSDHKDOOOO329.3530.7
50.9153.5121.2430.6143.9195.1175.0615.0190.0290.044%43%32%49%65.113.352.8(2.8)49.915.351.1(0.9)15.3x26.9x17.4x
n.a.13.5x23.4x17.9x
n.a.0.7x1.3x1.0xn.a.2.5x6.1x2.6x5.5x2.1x5.2x2.4x4.2x
-2%
-4%
-3%-16%-22%
-9%
-8%-22%-50%-26%-33%-34%Average19.8x18.3x1.0x4.2x3.5x-6%-15%-36%China
EcommerceAlibabaJDPDDVipshopBaozunDingdongDada
BABA.N
JD.OQ
PDD.OQ
VIPS.NBZUN.OQ
DDL.NDADA.OQUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDOOONUON329.3
98.0
59.5
5.4
1.0
3.3
2.5121.2
63.0
48.5
7.8
13.0
14.0
10.6175.0108.0
86.0
7.7
12.0
35.0
25.0
44%
71%
77%
-1%
-8%151%135%
65.1
10.4
7.3
9.0
2.5(28.6)
(9.0)
49.9
15.3
11.9
9.9
5.8(23.5)
(2.3)15.3x38.7x42.2x
5.5x33.4x
n.a.
n.a.13.5x26.3x25.9x
5.0x14.2x
n.a.
n.a.0.7x0.4x0.1x0.4x0.2xn.a.n.a.2.5x0.7x4.5x0.3x0.7x1.0x2.3x2.1x0.6x3.8x0.3x0.6x0.7x1.5x
-2%-16%-13%-15%
-7%-14%-30%-22%-17%-49%-29%-31%-42%-48%-50%-34%-74%-73%-64%
n.a.-73%Average27.0x17.0x0.4x1.7x1.4x-0.1x-0.3x-0.6xEducationHope
EducationChina
EducationGroupChinaEastEducation1765.HK0839.HK0667.HKHKDHKDHKDOON
1.512.2
4.7
2.523.0
5.072%88%
7%11.0x15.7x12.4x
9.5x13.8x
9.5x0.6x0.9x0.4x4.1x6.6x2.1x3.3x5.4x1.9x
-3%
-7%-22%18%
-5%-41%-34%-22%-70%Average13.0x11.0x0.6x4.2x3.5x-11%-9%-42%Online
games
and
EntertainmentNetEaseTMEiQiyiMOMOHuyaBilibili
NTES.OQ
TME.N
IQ.OQMOMO.OQ
HUYA.N
BILI.OQUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDUSDONNNNO64.110.7
3.3
1.8
1.414.695.5
6.3
4.2
8.7
6.538.0145.0
8.5
4.6
12.0
8.5
85.0
52%
34%
10%
38%
30%124%
27.1
2.5
(6.5)
9.4
1.3(15.5)
31.3
2.4
(4.5)
11.7
(0.9)(14.5)22.5x16.1x
n.a.
5.9x25.1x
n.a.19.4x16.6x
n.a.
4.8x
n.a.
n.a.1.2x5.2xn.a.0.2x0.5xn.a.4.7x2.1x0.7x0.8x0.9x5.1x3.9x2.1x0.7x0.8x0.8x4.1x
-8%
3%-16%
-7%
-7%-33%
-1%-15%-49%-21%-28%-46%
-6%-69%-78%-35%-70%-63%YYKingsoft
YY.OQ3888.HKUSDHKDOO3.65.846.069%39%
243.2x
0.5
157.6x25.1x55.6x0.1x0.3x1.4x6.0x1.3x5.1x3%1%-16%
6%-43%-39%China
LiteratureKuaishouZhihu0772.HK1024.HK
ZH.NHKDHKDUSDOOO
6.236.6
2.647.367.6
4.7
89.0160.0
8.0
88%137%
71%
1.3(4.9)(1.5)
1.7(2.8)(1.6)30.9x
n.a.
n.a.22.6x
n.a.
n.a.0.7xn.a.n.a.4.3x3.0x5.7x3.6x2.7x3.3x
-7%-15%-26%-17%-22%-53%-19%
n.a.
n.a.Average71.6x24.0x1.1x3.2x2.6x-10%-24%-47%TravelTTCOM.OQUSDO15.924.933.032%1.55.3
107.8x30.1x0.1x5.2x4.3x-6%-21%-27%Tongcheng
Elong0780.HKHKDO4.014.119.035%0.60.719.0x16.4x0.6x3.3x2.9x-17%-27%-6%Average63.4x23.3x0.3x4.3x3.6x-12%-24%-17%Advertising
and
verticalsWeiboBeikeAutohomeWB.OQBEKE.NATHM.NUSDUSDUSDONN
7.820.1
4.032.017.131.444.019.337.038%13%18%19.3
1.520.520.5
3.921.010.7x74.4x
9.8x10.1x27.9x
9.6x1.3x0.3x1.9x3.3x1.6x3.5x3.1x1.6x3.4x
0%-13%
-4%-33%-11%-36%-22%-72%-68%Average31.6x15.8x1.1x2.8x2.7x-6%-26%-54%1011
January
2022China
Internet
SectorSix
key
themes
worth
monitoring
in
2022202020211111
January
2022The
Internet
sector
corrected
39%
in
2021,
much
weaker
than
NASDAQ’s
+69%
and
HSI’s
-15%.Regulatory
scrutiny
has
been
a
main
theme
for
the
sector.
On
top
of
the
sector-wide
regulations
(e.g.,
anti-monopolyand
data
security
&
privacy),
the
sub-sector-specific
rules
(minor
protection,
labour
protection)
together
with
China’scommon
prosperity
goal
(e.g.,
tax,
reduce
inequality
&
more
support
to
SMEs)
have
brought
certain
structural
changes
tothe
industry
and
dampened
the
industry’s
return.Compounded
by
a
weaker
macro
starting
in
2H21.
Share
prices
took
a
another
hit
in
4Q21
as
weaker
macro
also
started
to
filter
through
the
industry’s
growth
outlook.Timeline
of
key
regulatory
events
in
China’s
internet
spaceWrapping
up
2021A
perfect
storm
for
the
internet
space
in
2021
July
2021China
orders
K-9AST
to
registeras
non-profitorganisationsOct
2020Jack
Mapublic
speechDec
2020CEWC:
Platformantitrust,
prevention
ofcapital’s
disorderlyexpansion
2021
priorityJuly
2021Days
after
listing
debut,
Didi
undercybersecurity
reviewSAMR
rejected
proposed
mergerof
Huya
&
Douyu;
TME
ordered
togive
up
exclusive
rightsNov
2020President
Xi:
good
lawscan
protect
healthydevelopment
of
neweconomy,
new
modelFeb
2021Platform
antitrustrules
officiallyreleased
andeffectiveAug
2021NPPA
launchmeasureslimiting
minors’game
play
timeSept
2021
Data
Security
Law
effective;
Tencent
starts
small
step
on
interconnectivityApr
2021Alibaba
gets
recordfine
on
monopolisticpractice;
Antsummoned
forrectificationApr
2021SAMR
probesMeituan
forsuspected
“2pick
1”
practiceOct
2021Meituan
getsless-than-expected
finefor
“2
pick
1”Nov
2021
PIPL
effective
Dec
2021Taobao
toplivestreamer
Viyafined
Rmb1.34bnfor
tax
evasionsDec
2021CEWC:
focus
onpositive
role
capital
canplay
while
effectivelycontrol
its
negativeeffect
in
20221211
January
2022Wrapping
up
2021Share
price
correction
breaking
into
earnings
&
multipleSource:Companydata,Bloomberg,CreditSuisseestimates;NotethatFYendingat31-Mar
ofnextyearisappliedforBABA’sfinancialdata;Sharepriceisasof
31-Dec-2021forayearlywrap-upCompanyTicker2021
price
%1-year
forward
1-year
forwardP/E
2020
Year
P/E
2021
Year
P/E
re-rating
end
endImplied
P/E(CSe
2022E)EPS
21-23E
CAGR1-year
forward
1-year
forwardP/S
2020
Year
P/S
2021
Year
P/S
re-rating
end
endRevenue
21-23E
CAGRMajor
Platforms
BABA.N
0700.HKBIDU.OQ
3690.HKAlibabaTencentBaiduMeituanAverage-49.0%-19.0%-31.2%-23.5%-30.7%
22.8x
29.5x
21.3x116.3x
47.5x
12.2x
24.6x
13.8x617.7x167.1x-46.5%-16.5%-35.0%431.0%
83.2%22.4x33.1x23.7x
n.a.26.4x22.8%
n.a.32.5%
n.a.27.7%5.9x7.7x3.1x8.3x6.2x2.1x5.4x2.3x4.7x3.6x-64.9%-30.1%-24.6%-44.0%-40.9%16.8%
n.a.13.1%
n.a.14.9%China
Ecommerce
BABA.N
JD.OQ
PDD.OQ
VIPS.NBZUN.OQ
DDL.NDADA.OQAlibabaJDPDDVipshopBaozunDingdongDADAAverage-49.0%-20.3%-67.2%-70.1%-59.5%
n.a.-63.9%-55.0%
22.8x
36.6x463.1x
17.8x
21.2x
n.a.
n.a.112.3x12.2x24.9x20.0x
5.4x15.1x
n.a.
n.a.15.5x-46.5%-31.9%-95.7%-69.7%-28.9%
n.a.
n.a.-54.5%22.4x46.0x45.9x
5.0x13.1x
n.a.
n.a.26.5x
22.8%
51.3%110.3%
11.0%
71.6%-19.1%
n.a.
41.3%
5.9x
1.0x17.5x
1.0x
1.6x
n.a.
6.1x
5.5x2.1x0.6x3.4x0.3x0.6x0.8x1.9x1.4x-64.9%-39.7%-80.8%-71.2%-61.2%
n.a.-68.9%-64.5%16.8%20.7%36.5%
5.8%10.1%49.6%55.5%27.9%Online
games
and
Entertainment
NTES.OQ
TME.N
IQ.OQMOMO.OQ
HUYA.N
BILI.OQ
YY.OQ
3888.HK
1024.HK
0772.HK
ZH.NNetEaseTMEiQiyiMOMOHuyaBilibiliYYKingsoftKuaishouChina
LiteratureZhihuAverage
6.3%-64.4%-73.9%-33.0%-65.2%-45.9%-43.2%-31.5%
n.a.-19.5%
n.a.-41.1%22.1x34.0x
n.a.
7.3x18.7x22.8x16.0x41.2x
n.a.38.3x
n.a.25.1x20.5x18.0x
n.a.
5.0x
n.a.
n.a.25.0x33.9x
n.a.23.9x
n.a.21.0x
-7.6%-47.2%
n.a.-30.8%
n.a.
n.a.55.6%-17.7%
n.a.-37.7%
n.a.-14.2%29.5x22.3x
n.a.
6.6x
n.a.
n.a.41.7x77.3x
n.a.42.7x
n.a.36.7x
n.a.
2.9%-40.1%
19.3%
36.5%-12.3%264.7%142.2%-19.2%
28.5%
n.a.
47.0%5.0x5.9x2.7x1.2x2.3x5.9x1.5x8.1xn.a.5.0xn.a.4.2x4.2x2.2x0.7x0.8x0.9x4.7x1.3x5.2x3.0x3.8x3.6x2.8x-16.7%-62.2%-73.3%-31.0%-59.6%-20.7%-16.5%-35.5%
n.a.-25.1%
n.a.-37.8%
n.a.
n.a.
7.7%
6.1%
4.5%39.3%
8.3%21.7%29.6%19.2%83.9%24.5%TravelTCOM.OQ
0780.HKTTongcheng
ElongAverage-27.0%
-3.7%-15.4%
n.a.14.8x14.8x30.3x14.1x22.2x
n.a.-4.4%-4.4%39.9x22.5x31.2x156.3%
n.a.156.3%n.a.3.1x3.1x4.3x2.6x3.4x
n.a.-17.0%-17.0%30.4%
n.a.30.4%Advertising
and
verticalsWB.OQBEK
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