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欧洲电子家电市场解析2022年上半年热点事件对欧洲家电市场的影响012022年上半年消费者信心下降©GfK2疫情+战争,家电零售市场面临前所未有挑战
全球GDP增长从2021年6.1%,降到2022年预计3.6%通货膨胀Inflation
is
reaching
an
all
timehigh.
GDP
forecasts
are
reviseddownwardsCOVID-19俄乌冲突MarketCOVID
still
affects
people
andbusiness
but
a
little
more
freedomthan
2020
with
OOH
activitiesShortages
of
FMCG
goods.
Risingenergy
costs.
People
displacement.Disruptions供应链问题Raw
material
costs
are
quite
high,manufacturing
cost
are
increasing.Chip
shortages.©GfKsUnUqWbV9UlX9ZoPoP7NbPaQsQoOmOtRiNoPmMjMtRrRbRsQrRMYnRoQxNsOnP俄乌战争导致欧元区GDP增长率预计的大幅调低对GDP增长点位的修正,Jun22
vs.
Dec21欧元区GDP
2022:+2.6%(reducedfrom
4.3%)Source:
oecd-economic-outlook-june-2022-presentation
-
OECD
()©GfK俄罗斯:
在大量保值消费后市场迅速下滑,中国品牌份额提升Sales
value
USD(NSP)
growth
rate
vs
week
1
in
%Week
1
–202022
|俄罗斯Sales
value
USD
sharesWeek
1
–202022
|俄罗斯中国品牌份额Feb
24th
–1st
dayofconflictBigticketitems
are
inhighestdemand–topitems
often
>1,000$
in
IT
andTelco.MDAprovides
durabilityof
the
valuegainedfrom
rubles.20016012080通讯产品小家电ITWeek721%消费电子大家电26%Week
10400Week
15Week
2028%31%-40-8012345678910
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20Growth
benchmarked
vs
week
1
20221-Sep-22Source:
Market
Intelligence:
Sales
Tracking/weekly,
calendar
week1–
15,2022©GfK欧元区消费者信心下滑明显EU
27
–
June
2022
消费者信心指数美国欧元区25201510599.6
102.1Jun21vs.0-595.695.8-10-15-20-25Jun22201720182019202020212022.State
of
Consumer
Technology
and
Durables
WebinarSource:
OECD;
Consumer
Confidence:
Amplitude
adjusted,
Long-term
average
=100,Jan2008
–Mar2022;
China:
onlyMay2022
data
available6©GfK欧洲和美国通货膨胀率上涨明显,土耳其、阿根廷、埃及通胀高企俄罗斯欧元区21.3%5.3%3.4%
6.7%2.3%0.3%美国7.7%4.7%2.9%中国中东和中亚20211.8%2.1%0.9%13.2%2022F2023F12.8%
10.5%东南亚3.8%拉美和加勒比印度2.0%2.8%3.2%5.5%
6.1%
4.8%11.2%9.8%8.0%澳洲3.9%2.7%Inflation
rates,
average
consumerprices
(in%
change)Source:
Inflation
annual
%change
IMFData
Mapper|
WEOApr2022
WorldEconomic
Outlook(April2022)
-
Inflationrate,
average
consumer
prices()EU
Area:AT,
BE,
CY,
DE,EE,ES,
FI,FR,
GR,
IR,
IT,
LT,
LV,LUX,Malta,
NL,
PT,SK,
SIMiddle
East
&Central
Asia:beltfromMauretania
toKazakhstan,
incl.North
Africa,
Somalia,
Georgia,
Pakistan©GfK全球原油和海运成本虽有缓解,但还处于阶段性高位Costsof
production
&shipment
still
on
veryhigh
levelsthoughPrices
|growth
ratesvs
previousyear’s
month+34%Europeanfactoriesdonotproduce
the
total
productline
of
brands-14%Jan-Jul
22CrudeOilLithiumSteelJan-Jul
22Lead
TimeChina
->US+434%63daysJuly2022Vs-3%Jan-Jul
22Jan-Jul
2280
daysShippingCosts
allroutesDec
2021+3%-21%Shipping
Costs
AsiaShipping
North
Europe
North
Europe-22%
US
East
Coast+40%Jan-Jul
21July12,
22
vs
July
2021July12,
22
vs
July
2021.MD1A6-GNloovb-a2l
1Strategic
Insights8Source:
/commodities|Shippingcosts:
,
/freight-resources/coronavirus-updates/©GfK战争影响欧洲能源价格上涨明显能源批发价格上涨,至少两位数的增长欧洲15国能源价格指数变化(2009年1月=100)欧洲家庭能源费用上限上升近700欧元7/05/2022©GfK9欧洲大家电市场价格上升剧烈欧洲大白电9个产品均价变化走势|
Average
Price
growth
+/-%
vs
FY
2019MDA9AverageEURprice
growth+/-%
YoYNew
pricelevelsestablishedASP
increase
in
2021fromFebonwardsFY
2019
ASPwas
used
asbenchmark354€Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
21
21
21
21
21
21
21
21
21
21
21
21
22
22
22
22
22MDA
-0.5
1.6%
1.2%
0.1%
-2.0
1.6%
-0.5
0.7%
0.9%
0.2%
-1.2
-3.6
-1.4
-0.1
3.5%
5.2%
4.0%
7.3%
6.3%
6.9%
7.3%
8.0%
7.5%
6.7%
8.1%
12.1
13.5
17.7
20.11-Sep-2210©GfK全球及欧洲家电市场趋势变化02上半年全球大小家电零售市场同时下滑Insert
date©GfK11全球技术消费电子产品零售市场(不含北美)在高位基础上开始减速销售额美元(NSP)
in
%
/
growth
rate
YoY
in
%B2C
Consumer
Market
YTD:
Jan-Jun
202210%消费电子2%办公产品-8.5%-6.7%21%15%IT产品-5.2%410Bil.
USD(-5.6%)大家电含空调-2.6%1%8%影像产品-12%Total
sales
value
USDandgrowth%YTD2022小家电通讯产品-6,4%-6.4%43%Source:
GfK
Market
Intelligence:
Sales
Tracking,
International
Coverage
(excl.NorthAmerica),
USD(NSP)
Value
&growth2022
vs2021,CEincludes
Multifunctional
Technical
Devices
and
SDAincludes
PersonalDiagnostics.TCGConference
Deck
Q2
2022
–GlobalStrategic
InsightsJune
2022.©GfK全球(不含北美)彩电市场:今年上半年销量同比延续下滑态势,中东&非洲成为销量唯一正增长区域销售额同比增长率%区域销量占比%Jan
22-Jun
22-5,7全球Jan
22-Jun
227,38,98,57,7拉美14,9拉美中东&非洲中东&非洲发达亚太新兴亚太西欧、中东欧独联体37,8发达亚太-9,65,4新兴亚太-4,825,6GLOBAL
(67)监测市场不含北美©GfK大家电(不含空调)市场:在2021年高增长基数下呈现下跌态势,发达亚洲和西欧销售额下降销售额同比(美元)-2.2%销售额
美元
%654亿美元640
亿美元新兴亚太-2%-11%8%发达亚太3333拉美11810中东&非洲9811%7%754俄罗斯&乌克兰&哈萨克斯坦54中东欧西欧-1%3230-7%Jan
21-Jun
21Jan
22-Jun
226/28/2022Market
Intellingence:
Sales
Tracking,
Global
MDA9
ex
NA©GfK14PRJ82721
-RG
5357026
-RP35928484
-ID
553793281欧洲大家电上半年市场表现:
嵌入式灶具企稳,
其他产品下滑Jan-Jun
2022–MDA
EU23Growth
in
USD(NSP),
Sales
ValueUSD5%Growth
rate
+/-Jan-Jun
2022Size
invalueSalesMio
USDJan-Jun
20220%-5%嵌入式灶具洗碗机烤箱洗衣机冰箱EU23:
-7.1%油烟机冷柜微波炉-10%-15%-20%-25%干衣机刀空调Sales
Mio
USD
Jan-Jun
20222,500
3,00005001,0001,5002,0003,5004,0004,5005,00015Source:
GfK
Market
Intelligence:
Sales
Tracking.,
c
oSmD
Ap
aGr
i
lsoobnaJl
ar
en
p-
Journt
A2u0g2
22
0t
o2
22:0G2l1o;bsaal
l
eSst
rvaat
el
ugei
cUI
nSsDi
gohft
sa
l–l
NtrFacked
product
groups
forallGfK
panelmarket
不含CIS©GfK小家电市场:2022年上半年,发达亚洲和西欧的主要增长地区出现显著减速小家电合计:销售额美元%销售额美元同比
-6%350
亿美元316亿美元新兴亚太发达亚太拉美0%22%24%-10%19%18%13%5%5%7%6%9%中东&非洲中东欧*西欧8%10%-1%39%36%-14%Jan
21-Jun
21Jan
22-Jun
22Source:
GfK
Market
Intelligence:
Sales
Tracking
ex.North
America,
IN,
GR,
EG,;
CIS放到中东欧*PRJ249348-RG
5804951-RP
42286052©GfK欧洲小家电市场:
空气炸锅和美发器保持高增长,
其他产品下滑Jan-Jun
2022–SDAEU23Growth
in
USD(NSP),
Sales
ValueUSD30%Growth
rate
+/-Sizein空气炸锅Jan-Jun
2022value15%SalesMio
USDJan-Jun
2022美发器0%电吹风咖啡机电熨斗电水壶电暖器吸尘器净水器电风扇口腔护理电动剃须刀-15%-30%吐司机食物料理机Sales
Mio
USD
Jan-Jun
20222,000空气净化器05001,0001,5002,5003,0003,5004,000Source:
GfK
Market
Intelligence:
Sales
Tracking,
comparisonJan-Jun
2022
to
2021;
salesvalue
USD
ofalltracked
product
groups
forallGfK
panelmarket
EU23,不含CISPRJ249348-RG
5804951-RP
4228605617©GfK欧洲小家电市场还是以欧洲本土品牌占主导中国品牌持续扩大份额小家电-
零售额占比
%欧洲品牌中国品牌韩系品牌日系品牌美洲品牌其他5295676056241011HY201HY211HY201HY21西欧中东欧Source
Market
Intelligence
Sales
Tracking,
Period
:Jan-Jun2022©GfK18升级替换是欧洲家电消费主旋律西欧14国家
|2022年1-5月销售额同比高配置便捷高端节能ValuetrendValuetrendValuetrendWashingFA
Front
9kgWashdryer+2Tumble
DryersHeatPump+14+2Smart*
WMWM
AutodosageSmart*
Ref.+16+19+47+16+20WashingFA
Front
10kgOvens
withSteamInductionFullflexVentedhobs+7+7+28+42Tumbledryers
+8kgRef.
3+(excl.SBS)+13+10Smart*
OvensSmart*
HobsHygiene
&
Well-BeingOvens
withmeatprobe+13ValuetrendFS
Ref.
Combibottom+200cm
heightSmart*Tumbledryers+2+18+11WM
with
SteamDrumCleanWM+23DWStandard+14placesetsSmart*
DW+14+30+22+51+45*Smart
excl.
Check/DiagnosisOvens
+75lt.Drumshower/Powerjet
WMTumble.
withsteam19©GfK1-Sep-22.
MDA
Trends
inWEU欧洲消费者愈加重视家电产品能效,会购买能效等级更高的产品Q:购买家电时哪些产品功能配置是你最看的?冰箱、洗衣机、冷柜、洗碗机合计能效等级结构Energy
Efficiency
&
Noise西欧
国,0<750
Jan-May2022欧元,14Level
parts
of
NEL63%销售额份额销量份额上架份额6,66,910,941%8,17,5AB35%7,919%12,815,1CDEEnergyEfficiencyFrostFreeNoise
Level
Rapid
Freeze18,123,019,025,830,9F22,9GUNKNOWNn.a.63%62%24,721,739%36%7,08,6WashProgrammesEnergyEfficiencyNoise
LevelSpinSpeed7/05/2022gfknewron
consumer:
ES,
FR,GB,
IT,
PT,
NL,
BE,GR,
DE©GfK20消费者对高能效产品的渴望伴随着巨大的价格溢价MDA
9|
WEU
14|AveragePrice
NEWvs
OLD
EnergyLabel|YTD
May
2022FAFront>8kg2DR
BTM
incl.
Regular|NOFrostFullsize1,302634OldNewNew517507New1,107459OldOld362758759852732650703623535545375FA+++(2020)DCBAA+++(2020)EDCBA+++(2020)FEDC1-Sep-22©GfK21PRJ
82721
-
RG
4057395
-
RP
40036951
-ID
586876980欧洲在线市场:比重虽有回落,但消费习惯已经养成,市场比重高于疫情西欧14个国家
|大家电监测市场|欧元销售额占比
|2019年1-5月–2022年1-5月100%20.525.428.932.380%60%40%20%0%在线渠道线下渠道YTD
2019YTD
2020YTD
2021YTD
20221-Sep-2222©GfK对比2021;西欧五国今年primeday促销周的表现偏弱销售额增长:Prime
Day
促销周对比过去12个月周平均2021-
Prime
Day
Week
(Wk
25)
vs
Avg
Week
of
past
12
months2022-Prime
Day
(Wk
28)
vs
Avg
Week
of
past
12
months18%通讯产品0%20%大家电IT+办公产品消费电子5%0%0%-14%-28%31%小家电5%Source:
Market
Intelligence
salesTracking
Countries:
EU5Categories:*COOLING,
WASHINGMACHINES,
AIRTREATMENT,
VACUUMCLEANERS,
SHAVERS,
FOODPREPARATION,
DENTAL
CARE,
HOT
BEVER.MAKER,
MOBILECOMPUTING,
MONITORS,
POINTING
DEV,
KEYING
DEV,MEDIATABLETS,
Smartphones,
Laser
PrintingDevices,
Inkjet
PrintingDevices,
PTV/FLAT,
Soundbar/base,
AUDIO
HOME
SYS.,
DESKC.excl.MEDIABOX&MEDIASTICK,
HEADPHONES,
HEADSETSFor
Mat2022
figure
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