who -Snapshot - Greater Horn of Africa food insecurity and health - grade 3 emergency - 12 July 2023-此为英文文档

Creationdate:07February2023Sources:IGAD/ICPACmeteorologicaldataandpredictionsGHoAand

/ipc-country-analysis/ipc-mapping-tool/

,CountryHRPFeedback:SamuelOmara

omaras@

CumulativeSAMAdmissions

Jan2022–May2023

60M

peopleinIPC3+in7countries,

representing27%ofthevulnerablepeopleinneedofaid

MALNUTRITIONCASES(2022-2023)

DISPLACEMENTS

RefugeesandIDPsintheGreaterHornofAfrica,

2019-2023(30June)

Est.Acutelymalnourishedchildren(2023)

GAM:11.5M|2.9MSAM

Year_2022Year_2023

RefugeesIDPs

600000

7.90

400000

300K

-

254K

200000

122K

4.304.304.404.474.61M

1K

10K

64K

GREATERHORNOFAFRICA

FoodInsecurityandHealthSnapshot

Asof12JULY2023

ThegreaterHornofAfricaisfacingadirefoodinsecuritycrisisresultingfromextremeweatherevents,alongwithconflict,thefalloutfromtheCOVID-19pandemic,andhighfoodandfuelprices.Mostpartsoftheregionhavejustcomeoutofadrought,theworstonrecord,whileotherareasfacedsubstantialfloodingimmediatelyafter.TheonsetofElNinowasconfirmedinearlyJuly2023,amidexpectationsthatthisclimatephenomenonwillbringanotherperiodofextremeweatherevents,alongwithmorediseaseoutbreaks.Almost60millionpeopleareestimatedtobefoodinsecureintheregion,anincreasefromabout37millioninmid-2022whentheemergencywasdeclared.On-goingoutbreaksofmeaslesandcholeraareamajorpublichealthconcern,notleastbecausethecombinationofmalnutritionandthesediseasesoftenprovesfatal.

RAINFALLFORECAST

DISEASEOUTBREAKS

IPCCLASSIFICATION

218Mpeopleassessed.

Projectedfoodinsecuritylevelsacrossdifferenttimelines

ProjectionPeriod

AssessedPopulation

Crisis(IPCPhase3)

Emergency(IPCPhase4)

Catastrophe(IPCPhase5)

IPCPhase

3+

IPC3+as%ofassessedPop

DJIBOUTI

(Jul-Dec23)

1,181,675

185,312

100,102

0

285,414

24%

KENYA/Asal

Counties

(Mar-Jun23)

16,618,409

4,213,529

1,224,686

0

5,438,215

33%

SOMALIA

(Apr-Jun23)

16,955,266

4,688,500

1,854,380

40,350

6,583,230

39%

SOUTHSUDAN

(Apr-Jul23)

12,374,205

4,822,000

2,899,000

43,000

7,764,000

63%

UGANDA/

Karamoja

(Apr-Aug23)

1,285,000

480,270

101,705

0

581,975

45%

Sub-Total

14,368,376

6,179,873

83,350

20,652,834

12.15M

11.64

11.70

800000

OTHERFOODSECURITYESTIMATES

9.90

ETHIOPIA

2023

123,000,000

Peopleinneedoffoodassistance

(Source:HRP2023)

20,100,000

16%

SUDAN

(Jun-Sep2023)

46,874,000

PeopleacutelyfoodinsecureJun-Sep

2023(Source:WFP)

19,100,000

41%

TotalfoodinsecurepopulationinneedofassistanceIGADCasedload

59,852,834

0

20192020202120222023

EthiopiaSomaliaSouthSudanKenyaUgandaDjibouti

Sudan

Source:IPCFoodInsecurityProjections*Dataisnotcompleteforallcountries*IPCnumbersforEthiopia-OCHAHRP2023

Source:UNHCR

/en/documents/details/102234

Source:WHO,countryMoH,UNICEF,NutritionPartners

TheboundariesandnamesshownandthedesignationsusedonthismapdonotimplyofficialendorsementoracceptancebyWHOortheUnitedNations.

DISPLACEMENTS

GREATERHORNOFAFRICA

Asof12JULY2023

Sudan-FoodInsecurityandHealthSnapshot

ThesituationinSudanhasbeenworsenedapre-existingclimate-inducedfoodandhealthcrisis.Priorto15April2023,over3millionpeopleneededshorttolong-termfoodassistanceduetopoorharvests.Thecountrywasalsointhegripofdiseaseoutbreaks,includingmeasles,hepatitisE,dengueandmalaria.However,nowover3millionpeoplehavebeendisplacedandatotalof24.7millionneedhumanitarianaid.4millionchildren,andpregnantandbreastfeedingwomenareacutelymalnourished.Inaddition,over100,000childrenundertheageoffivewhoandareseverelymalnourishedandhavemedicalcomplicationsneedspecializedcareatstabilizationcenters.Astaggering67%ofallmainhospitalswereoutofserviceasof31May.

RAINFALLFORECAST

DISEASEOUTBREAKS

IPCCLASSIFICATION-(Oct22–Feb23)

46.8M

peopleassessed.

19.1MpeopleinIPC3+inSudan,

withanestimated25M*peopleinneedof

humanitarianassistance(HRPMay2023).

ProjectedfoodinsecurityoutcomesOctober2022-February2023

MALNUTRITIONCASES(January–December2022)

EstimatedAcutelymalnourishedchildren(2023)*

GAM:3M|610KSAM

3.7MIDPs

1.1Mrefugees

30Kreturnees

Severalfactorsaccountfortheworseningsituation.Theseincludesignificant

increasesinthepricesoffoodandothercommodity,areducedharvest,aswellas

continuedconflict

Source:UNHCR(30June2023)*since2021

Source:IPCFoodInsecurityProjections,*OCHA/HRPMay2023

Source:WHO,countryMoH,UNICEF,NutritionPartners,*HRPMay2023

TheboundariesandnamesshownandthedesignationsusedonthismapdonotimplyofficialendorsementoracceptancebyWHOortheUnitedNations.

Creationdate:07February2023Sources:IGAD/ICPACmeteorologicaldataandpredictionsGHoAand

/ipc-country-analysis/ipc-mapping-tool/

,CountryHRPFeedback:SamuelOmara

omaras@

Cases(confirmed)

Disease

Death(CFR%)

ReportingPeriod

Malaria

3,176,001*

1(0.0003%)

01/01/23-07/05/23

Measles

94**

3(1.4%)

01/01/23-12/06/23

Meningitis

57

4(0.6%)

01/01/23-07/05/23

581KpeopleinIPC3+(45%).In

Karamojaregion,anestimated1.2Mpeopleneedhumanitarianassistance

GREATERHORNOFAFRICA

Asof12JULY2023

Uganda-FoodInsecurityandHealthSnapshot

Karamojaregion,locatedinthenortheastpartofUganda,isoneofthepoorestregionsinthecountryandcontinuestohavethehighestfoodinsecurityandmalnutritionlevels.Thisisbecauseofextremeweather,includingprolongeddrought,poorfeedingpractices,structuralpoverty,aswellaspoorhygieneandsanitation.Malariaanddiarrheacasesarestillhighintheregion,whichplacesahighdiseaseburdenonchildren,leadingtomalnutrition.Thisisexacerbatedbyhighfoodprices.Over580,000peopleareincrisisleveloffoodinsecurity(IPC3+)representing45%ofassessedpopulation,withover100,000intheemergencystage(IPC4).

RAINFALLFORECAST

IPCCLASSIFICATION–(April–Aug2023)

DISEASEOUTBREAKS

1.28M

peopleassessed.

ProjectedfoodinsecurityoutcomesApril2023-August2023

MALNUTRITIONCASES–Karamoja(2022-2023)

Est.Acutelymalnourishedchildren(2023)

GAM:89K|20KSAM

DISPLACEMENTS

-IDPs

1.56Mrefugees

-returnees

Source:UNHCR(30June2023)

Source:WHO,countryMoH,UNICEF,NutritionPartners

Source:IPCFoodInsecurityProjections

TheboundariesandnamesshownandthedesignationsusedonthismapdonotimplyofficialendorsementoracceptancebyWHOortheUnitedNations.

Creationdate:07February2023Sources:IGAD/ICPACmeteorologicaldataandpredictionsGHoAand

/ipc-country-analysis/ipc-mapping-tool/

,CountryHRPFeedback:SamuelOmara

omaras@

12.4M

peopleassessed.

PleasenotethatthisIPCAcuteFoodInsecurityanalysiswasintegratedwithanIPCAcuteMalnutritionanalysis

Worsingsituationduringtheleanseason,April-July2023,withanestimated7.8millionpeople(63%ofthepopulation)willlikelyfaceIPCPhase3acutefoodinsecurityorworse

GREATERHORNOFAFRICA

Asof12JULY2023

SouthSudan-FoodInsecurityandHealthSnapshot

SouthSudancontinuestofacemultipleconcurrentcrises,includinghighlevelsoffoodinsecurity,inter-communalviolence,conflict,extensivefloodinganddiseaseoutbreaks.Thefoodinsecuritysituationisexpectedtodeterioratein2023,with7.8millionpeople(abouttwo-thirdsofthepopulation)projectedtobecomehighlyfoodinsecure.Acriticalnutritionsituationexistsintheconflict-affectedareas.Overall,43,000peopleareonthebrinkofdyingfromstarvationunlesstheyreceiveemergencysupport.Accesstohealthservicesisamajorchallenge,particularlyamongdisplacedpopulations.SouthSudanisalsoamongthecountriesreceivingthehighestnumberofrefugeesfromSudan,with146,853havingcrossedintothecountryasof8July2023.

RAINFALLFORECAST

DISEASEOUTBREAKS

IPCCLASSIFICATION–(Apr–Jul2023)

7.8MpeopleinIPC3+inSouth

Sudan.Aprojected9.4Minneedofhumanitarianassistance(HRP2023)

MALNUTRITIONCASES(2022-2023)

Est.Acutelymalnourishedchildren(2023)

GAM:1.4M|346KSAM

DISPLACEMENTS

2.2MIDPs

301Krefugees

627Kreturnees

Source:UNHCR(30June2023)

Source:IPCFoodInsecurityProjections

Source:WHO,countryMoH,UNICEF,NutritionCluster

TheboundariesandnamesshownandthedesignationsusedonthismapdonotimplyofficialendorsementoracceptancebyWHOortheUnitedNations.

Creationdate:07February2023Sources:IGAD/ICPACmeteorologicaldataandpredictionsGHoAand

/ipc-country-analysis/ipc-mapping-tool/

,CountryHRPFeedback:SamuelOmara

omaras@

RAINFALLFORECAST

IPCCLASSIFICATION–(Apr–Jun2023)

DISEASEOUTBREAKS

6.6MpeopleinIPC3+inSomalia.

Est.6.6Mofthe16.9MSomalisneedhumanitarianassistance*.

17M

peopleassessed.

DiseaseCases(confirmed)Death(CFR%)ReportingPeriod

29(0.3%)

—

Cholera10,446(25)**

Malaria101,008(3,751)**

Polio(cVDPV)2(cVDPV2)**

Measles3,354(859)**

01/01/23-25/06/2301/01/23-31/04/2301/01/23-01/07/2301/01/23-04/06/23

ProjectedfoodinsecurityoutcomesApril-June2023

—

MALNUTRITIONCASES(2022-2023)

EstimatedAcutelymalnourishedchildren

(2023)GAM:1.8M|478KSAM

DISPLACEMENTS

2.97MIDPs

36Krefugees

7Kreturnees

Source:UNHCR(31Mar2023)

Source:WHO,countryMoH,UNICEF

GREATERHORNOFAFRICA

Asof12JULY2023

Somalia-FoodInsecurityandHealthSnapshot

Somaliaisbracingtorecoverfromthreeyearsofdroughtthatbroughtnearfamineconditionsandthedeathof43,000peoplein2022.TheMarch-Mayrainyseasonusheredinsomerespitetofarmersandherders.Butfloodingdisplacedover250,000peopleanddamagedinfrastructure,includinghealthfacilities.Decadesofconflict,frequentepidemicsofcholeraandmeasles,widespreadpoverty,continuetoweakenandcausewidespreadfragilitytothecountry’shealthsystems.Nearly6.6millionpeople–overhalfthecountry’spopulation-werelikelytoexperiencehighlevelsofacutefoodinsecuritybetweenAprilandJune,with1.8millionchildrenexpectedtobeacutelymalnourished.Over40,000people(IPC5)arefacingdeathfromstarvationunlesstheygetimmediate

humanitarianassistance.

Approximately6.6millionpeopleacrossSomalia,abouthalfthecountry’spopulation,areexpectedtofaceCrisisorworse(IPCPhase3orabove)betweenAprilandJune2023.

Source:IPCFoodInsecurityProjections

TheboundariesandnamesshownandthedesignationsusedonthismapdonotimplyofficialendorsementoracceptancebyWHOortheUnitedNations.

Creationdate:07February2023Sources:IGAD/ICPACmeteorologicaldataandpredictionsGHoAand

/ipc-country-analysis/ipc-mapping-tool/

,CountryHRP,*UNICEF,HumanitarianActionforChildren2023Feedback:SamuelOmara

omaras@

DISEASEOUTBREAKS

RAINFALLFORECAST

IPCCLASSIFICATION–(Mar–Jun2023)

5.4MpeopleinIPC3+inKenya.

25%ofthepopulationanalyzedwilllikelybeinIPCPhase3.7%inIPCPhase4.

16.6M

peopleassessed.

DiseaseCases(confirmed)Death(CFR%)ReportingPeriod

Anthrax17**3(17.6%)01/01/23-22/06/23

Cholera8,388(462)**132(1.6)01/01/23-29/06/23

Malaria2,481,274**13(0.0005)01/01/23-22/06/23

Meningitis432(4.7%)01/01/23-07/05/23

Polio(cVDPV)3**-01/01/23-10/07/23

Measles634(141)**8(1.3%)01/01/23-29/06/23

ProjectedfoodinsecurityoutcomesMar–June2023

MALNUTRITIONCASES(2022-2023)

EstimatedAcutelymalnourishedchildren(2023)

GAM:970K|243KSAM

DISPLACEMENTS

-IDPs

624Krefugees

-returnees

Source:UNHCR(30June2023)

Source:WHO,countryMoH,UNICEF,NutritionPartners

GREATERHORNOFAFRICA

Asof12JULY2023

Kenya-FoodInsecurityandHealthSnapshot

Kenyaisfacingseverefoodinsecurityfollowingaprotracteddroughtthatimpactedonlivelihoods,affectingmillionsofpeoplemainlyinthenorthandnorth-easternaridandsemi-aridregion.Highratesofsevereacutemalnutritioncontinuetoweighonthehealthstatusofchildrenandwomen,amidanincreaseindiseaseoutbreaks.DespitesomerelieffromtheMarch-Mayrainyseason,projectionsarefordelayedrecovery.Extremeweathereventsheightenedcommunities’vulnerabilities.Ongoingoutbreaksincludecholera,measlesandvisceralleishmaniasis.Asof17July2023atotalof1,861choleracasesand194relateddeathshadbeenrecorded.Highfoodpricesinthewakeofthepost-COVIDrecoveryexacerbatedtheirabilitytomeetnutritionalrequirements.

Source:IPCFoodInsecurityProjections

TheboundariesandnamesshownandthedesignationsusedonthismapdonotimplyofficialendorsementoracceptancebyWHOortheUnitedNations.

Creationdate:07February2023Sources:IGAD/ICPACmeteorologicaldataandpredictionsGHoAand

/ipc-country-analysis/ipc-mapping-tool/

,CountryHRP,Feedback:SamuelOmara

omaras@

DISEASEOUTBREAKS

DiseaseCases(confirmed)Death(CFR%)ReportingPeriod

RAINFALLFORECAST

IPCCLASSIFICATION–(Jul–Dec2022)

20.1M*peoplefoodinsecure.>20M

peopletargetedforhumanitarianassistanceduetodrought(OCHAHRPFeb2023)

123M

peopleassessed.

01/01/23–18/06/2327/08/22–06/07/2301/04/23-24/06/2301/01/23–04/06/2312/08/21–06/07/2301/01/23-18/06/23

5(0.7%)169(1.32%)5(0.5%)105(0.01%)222(0.99%)60(1.3%)

AnthraxCholeraDengueMalariaMeaslesMeningitis

725(2)**12,7706,1781,097,119**22,4484,500**

OCHA-DroughtOperationalPrioritization-asof30November2022

MALNUTRITIONCASES(2022-2023)

Est.Acutelymalnourishedchildren(2023)

GAM:4.2M|1.2MSAM

DISPLACEMENTS

3.14MIDPs

926Krefugees

1Kreturnees

Source:UNHCR(30June2023)

Source:WHO,countryMoH,UNICEF,NutritionPartners

GREATERHORNOFAFRICA

Asof12JULY2023

Ethiopia-FoodInsecurityandHealthSnapshot

TheMarch-MayrainyseasonbroughtimprovementsintheconditionofcropsandlivestockinEthiopia.Yettheeffectofdelayedandsub-optimalrainsoverfiveconsecutiveseasonspersiststotheextentthatEthiopiafacessignificantdeteriorationinfoodsecurityalongwithpersistentlevelsofacutemalnutritionworsenedbyconflictanddisplacement.Over20millionpeoplearefacingcrisislevelsoffoodinsecurity(IPC3+).Otherchallengesincludethedisruptionofessentialhealthservices,routineimmunizationservices,coupledwithalackofcleanwaterandsanitationservices,andmentalhealthdisorders.Thecountryalsocontinuestograpplewiththeriskofinfectiousdiseases,suchasCholera,Diarrhea,Meningitis,HepatitisEandMalaria.

Source:since2019norecentIPCassessmentwasconducted,*nationalestimatesequivalenttoIPCwerepublishedbyIGAD

Theboundariesandnamesshownandthedesignationsusedonthismapdonotimplyofficialendorsementoracceptance