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QuantifyingtheRevenueYieldsfromTax
AdministrationReforms
HassanAdan,Jean-MarcB.Atsebi,NikolayGueorguiev,Jiro
Honda,andManabuNose
WP/23/231
IMFWorkingPapersdescriberesearchin
progressbytheauthor(s)andarepublishedto
elicitcommentsandtoencouragedebate.
TheviewsexpressedinIMFWorkingPapersare
thoseoftheauthor(s)anddonotnecessarily
representtheviewsoftheIMF,itsExecutiveBoard,
orIMFmanagement.
2023
NOV
N
Ar
R
*TheauthorsaregratefultoElenaD’Agosto,YongquanCao,SeydouCoulibaly,ElizabethGavin,JanGottschalk,AnamariaMaftei,AndrewMasters,AndrewOkello,PauloPaz,andMiguelPechofortheirinsightfulcommentsandtheusefuldiscussions.TheyalsothanktheparticipantsoftheIMF’sFiscalAffairsDepartmentseminars.WealsothankDhruvGandhiforexcellentresearch
assistance,andDáneaTrejoCarcamoandVictorMaradiagaforeditorialassistance.TheviewsexpressedherearethoseoftheauthorsandnotnecessarilythoseoftheIMF,itsExecutiveBoard,ormanagement.
©2023InternationalMonetaryFund
WP/23/231
IMFWorkingPaper
FiscalAffairsDepartment
QuantifyingtheRevenueYieldsfromTaxAdministrationReforms
PreparedbyHassanAdan,Jean-MarcAtsebi,NikolayGueorguiev,JiroHonda,andManabuNose*
November2023
IMFWorkingPapersdescriberesearchinprogressbytheauthor(s)andarepublishedtoelicit
commentsandtoencouragedebate.TheviewsexpressedinIMFWorkingPapersarethoseofthe
author(s)anddonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviewsoftheIMF,itsExecutiveBoard,orIMFmanagement.
ABSTRACT:Despitethecriticalityoftaxadministration(TA)reformsinenhancingdomesticrevenue
mobilization,fewstudieshaveattemptedtoquantifytherevenueimpactofsuchreforms.Thispaperfillsthis
gapbyestimatingtherevenueyieldsassociatedwithvarioustaxadministrationcapabilities,basedonthe
InternationalSurveyonTaxAdministration(ISORA),theTaxAdministrationDiagnosticAssessmentTool
(TADAT),andTAreformepisodesdatasets(identifiedbyAkitobyetal.,2020).ItusesaHausman-Taylor
cross-countrypanelregressionandaneventstudyforspecificTAreformepisodes.Ourresults(usingthe
ISORAdata)showthatanincreaseintheoverallstrengthofTAfromthe40thpercentiletothe60thpercentileisassociatedwithanincreaseintaxrevenueby1.8pp.ofGDP(witha95percentconfidencerangeof0.5-2.6pp.ofGDP).Similarly,theevent-studyassessmentshowsthatsustainedTAreformsledtoanincreaseintaxrevenuesbetween2to3pp.ofGDP,inlinewiththeexperienceinthreecountrycases(Jamaica,Rwanda,andSenegal).Also,therevenueyieldsareincreasingovertimetomorethan3pp.ofGDPafterthe6thyear
followingacomprehensivereform.Theanalysisalsohighlightsthesignificantimpactofspecificmeasures
including:i)strengtheningcompliancerisksmanagement,ii)enhancingpublicaccountability,iii)establishing
LargeTaxpayerOffices(LTO),iv)strengtheningaccountabilityandtransparency,andv)enhancingtimelyfilingoftaxdeclarations.
RECOMMENDEDCITATION:Adan,H.,Atsebi,J.,Gueorguiev,N.,Honda,J.,Nose,M.(2023).Quantifying
theRevenueYieldsfromTaxAdministrationReforms.IMFWorkingPaper,WP/23/231.InternationalMonetaryFund,Washington,DC.
JELClassificationNumbers:C1,E62,H2,H83,O23
Keywords:TaxRevenuesYields;TaxAdministration,ISORA,TADAT.
HAdan@IMF.org,JAtsebi@IMF.org,NGueorguiev@IMF.org,
Author’sE-MailAddress:
JHonda@IMF.org,
MNose@IMF.org
WORKINGPAPERS
QuantifyingtheRevenueYields
fromTaxAdministrationReforms
PreparedbyHassanAdan,Jean-MarcAtsebi,NikolayGueorguiev,Jiro
Honda,andManabuNose
IMFWORKINGPAPERSQuantifyingtheRevenueYieldsfromTaxAdministrationReforms
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Contents
I.Introduction
4
II.EstimatingtheImpactsofOverallStrengthofTaxAdministration
6
A.Data
6
B.StylizedFacts
7
C.EmpiricalMethodology
11
D.Results
13
1.OverallStrengthofTaxAdministration
13
2.SpecificComponentsofTaxAdministration:MultivariateModels
18
III.EstimatingtheImpactsBasedonReformEpisodes
19
A.DataandStylizedFacts
19
B.EmpiricalMethodology
21
C.Results
24
1.Difference-in-DifferencesinaStaggered-AdoptionDesign
24
2.SyntheticDifference-in-DifferenceswithCommonSupport
25
3.ControlledInterruptedTime-seriesAnalysisCaseStudies
27
a.Jamaica–ComprehensiveTAReforms
27
b.Rwanda–ComprehensiveTAReforms(LessLTOandSegmentation)
28
c.Senegal–ComprehensiveTAReforms(LessImprovingCompliance)
29
IV.ConcludingRemarks
30
AnnexI.DataDescriptionsandSources
32
AnnexII.DescriptiveStatisticsandStylizedFacts
33
AnnexIII.ResultsforMultivariateModels
35
AnnexIV:TheImpactofTaxAdministrationReformsinthePost-GFC
37
References
38
BOX
1.TheNewIMFFADTaxAdministration-AssessmentandYieldTool.............................................................18
FIGURES
1.ScatterPlotBetweenISORAIndexesAcrossVintages(2017vs.2014)
8
2.ComparisonsofTAStrength,Practices,andCharacteristicsAcrossIncomeGroupLevels
9
3.TaxRevenuesandISORAandTADATAggregateIndexes
10
4.ScatterPlotBetweenISORAandTADATAggregateIndexes
11
5.EstimatedRevenueYieldsfromanIncreaseoftheStrengthofTaxAdministration
14
6.Tax-to-GDPRatiobyCountryGroup
21
7.GroupTimeATT(Yieldin%)
24
8.DurationATT(Yieldin%)
25
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9.CountryGroupvs.ControlGroup
26
10.CITSAJamaicavs.ControlsAverage
28
11.CITSARwandavs.ControlsAverage
29
12.CITSASenegalvs.ControlsAverage
30
TABLES
1.EstimatedRevenueYieldsfromanIncreaseinTAStrengthfromthe40thtothe60thPercentile
14
2.BaselineResults,Overall,Strength,ISORA
16
3.BaselineResults,Overall,Strength,TADAT
17
4.TAReformsinEMsandLIDCsAftertheGlobalFinancialCrisis
20
5.AggregatedATE
25
ANNEXTABLES
AI.1.DataDescriptionsandSources
32
AII.1.SummaryStatistics
33
AII.2.CorrelationsBetweenISORAandTADATIndexesAcrossYears
33
AII.3.CorrelationsamongISORAandTADATIndexes,andbetweenISORAandTADATIndexes
34
AIII.1.MultivariateModels,ISORA
35
AIII.2.MultivariateModels,TADAT
36
ANNEXFIGURES
AIV.1.RevenueRatioIncreasevs.RevenueRatiopriorYear
37
AIV.2.Pre-vs.Post-GFCRevenue/GDPRatio
37
IMFWORKINGPAPERSQuantifyingtheRevenueYieldsfromTaxAdministrationReforms
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I.Introduction
1.Canwequantifytheimpactoftaxadministration(TA)reforms?Thispapertacklesthis
seeminglystraight-forwardbutchallengingquestionthroughasetofempiricalapproaches.Giventheneedtoenhancedomesticrevenuesforacountry’sdevelopment(particularlyindevelopingcountries),manycountrieshavebeenimplementingtaxpolicyandadministrationreforms.Criticalasthesetaxadministrationreformmeasuresare,thequantificationoftheirbenefitsinvolvessignificantchallenges.Toaddressthese
challenges,weproposeamethodologytomeasurethestrengthoftaxadministrationanditspractices,
althoughthedataontaxadministrationisquitelimitedforanalysesoveranextendedperiod.Wealsoemployanempiricalmethodologythataccountsforthepotentialendogeneityofthestrengthoftaxadministrationanditspracticestotaxrevenues.
2.VeryfewempiricalstudieshaveexploredtheimpactofTAreforms.
1
Ebekeetal.(2016),Crivelli(2019),andChangetal.(2020)conductedcross-countryanalysesontheestablishmentofLargeTaxpayersOffice(LTO),Semi-AutonomousRevenueAgency,thestrengthoftaxadministration,andtaxperformance.Further,therehasbeenanemergingmicroeconomicliteraturethatidentifiestheeffectivenessofTAreformsusinganexperimentaldesigninasingledevelopingcountrycontext,relatedtotheuseofthird-party
information(Pomeranz,2015;Carriloetal.,2017)andorganizationalreformsinstrengtheningtax
administration(Basrietal.,2021).
2
However,inacross-countrycontext,amorerobustempiricalframework(thataccountsforslow-movingfeaturesofTAindexesandtheendogeneityrelatedtoacountry’sTAstatus)isneeded.AdetailedexaminationofspecificreformepisodesisalsoneededtobetteridentifytherevenuegainsandpredicttheimpactofTAreformsovertime(i.e.,howlongafterthereformtheeffectstartsmaterializing).
3.Tofillthegapintheliterature,weemploytwodifferentmethodologiestoestimatetheyieldsfromTAmeasureswhileaddressingtheshortcomingsofearlierstudies.Theuseofthedifferent
methodologiesaimsatcross-checkingtheresults,whichmayleadtocomplementaryfindings.
.Inthefirstpart,thispaperappliesanempiricalstrategyusingcross-countrypaneldatawithslow-movingindicatorsofTAstrengththataccountsfortheendogeneityoftheTAreformimpact.
Specifically,theHausman-Taylorcross-countrypanelregressionwithendogenoustime-invariantvariable(ChatelainandRalf,2021)estimatesthecontributionofcharacteristicsoftaxagencytodomestictax
revenues,controllingforotherkeydeterminants(macroeconomic,structural,andtaxpolicychanges)asidentifiedinthepastliterature.
.Inthesecondpart,anevent-studydesignisusedtoquantifytheyieldsfrompastTAreform
episodesinLow-IncomeDevelopingCountries(LIDCs)andEmergingMarkets(EMs)withsustainedrevenuemobilizationeffortsintheaftermathoftheglobalfinancialcrisis(GFC)(Akitobyetal.,
2020).Thisanalysisemploysthreerecentextensionstothecanonicaldifference-in-differences(DID)to
1Cross-countrystudiesfocusedonmacroeconomicconditions(Tanzi,1992;Gupta,2007;IMF,2018),taxpolicy(Dabla-Norrisetal.,2020;NgomaandKrsic,2017;Akitobyetal.,2020),andgovernanceorsocio-politicalinstitutions(IMF,2019;Morrowetal.,2022)askeydeterminantsoftaxrevenues.
2OncorporationtaxationinIndonesia,Basrietal.(2021)examinedtheimpactofmore“intensive”taxadministration,throughthecreationofmedium-sizedtaxpayerofficesandincreasingtherevenuestaffing-to-taxpayersratioonactualtaxfilingsandpayments.Comparedwiththeelasticityoftaxableincomewithrespecttothecorporatetaxrate,theyfoundthatimprovedtaxadministrationcreatessignificantreturnsingeneratingrevenues(equivalenttoraisingtopCITratesonallfirmsbyeightpercentagepoints).
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estimatetherevenueyieldsfromTAreformsindifferentgroups,whileprovidinginsightsontheevolutionoftheyieldsintheyearsfollowingthereforms.
4.Ourfindingsarethreefold.
.First,improvementsintheoverallstrengthoftheTAareassociatedwithasignificantincreasein
taxrevenues.Specifically,wefindthatanincreaseinthestrengthofthetaxadministrationthatwould
moveacountryfromthe40thpercentiletothe60thpercentileinthedistributionofIMFmembercountriesbythisindicatorisassociatedwithanincreaseintaxrevenuesbyupto1.4percentagepoints(pp.)ofGDPforallcountriesand1.8pp.ofGDPforEMsandLIDCs.
3
ThesepointestimatesofrevenueyieldsarebroadlyconsistentwiththeestimatesinoureventstudyofspecificTAreformsaftertheGFC(i.e.,additional
revenuesbetween2tocloseto3pp.ofGDP).
4
.Second,whilesignificantTAreformsmayleadtosomeinitialgains,itcouldtaketimeforthefullresultstoberealized.Theevent-studyanalysisrevealsthattherevenueyieldsareincreasingovertimetomorethan3pp.ofGDPafterthe6thyearfollowingafar-reachingandcomprehensivereformacrossseveralpracticesoftaxadministration.
.Third,severalspecificTAmeasuresarestronglycorrelatedamongthemselvesandassociatedwithbettertaxperformance.UsingISORA,ourresultssuggestthatcomplianceriskmanagement
improvementshavethehighestrevenueyields.Inaddition,publicaccountabilityandLTOalsoplayamoresignificantroleinincreasingrevenueinEMsandLIDCs.WhileusingTADAT,wefindthataccountability
andtransparency,andtimelyfilingoftaxdeclarationsmatterthemostforraisingrevenues.Wealsofind
highcorrelationsamongISORAandTADATsub-indexes.ThissuggeststhatdifferentTAfunctionssupportandreinforceeachother.
5.ThispaperbroadenstheanalysisbyChangetal.(2020)andprovidesacomprehensive
databaseinbenchmarkingacountry’sstrengthofTAanditspracticesagainstcomparatorsacross
multipledimensionsandestimatingrevenueyields.Fromanoperationalperspective,thecomprehensivedatabaseandanalysis,aswellasanoperationaltooldevelopedinparallel
(Box1)
,helptoidentifygapsinTAandsystematicallyestimatethecontributionofpastorfutureTAreformsforIMFmembercountries.
6.Thispaperisorganizedasfollows:ThefirstpartanalyzestheroleofTAstrengthandpracticesontaxrevenuesusingtheISORAandTADATdatasets(seebelowfordatasetsdescription).Thesecondpart
studiestheimpactofTAreformsinthepost-GFCperiod.Ineachpart,SectionApresentsthedataandstylizedfacts,SectionBdiscussestheempiricalstrategy,andSectionCpresentsthefindings.Lastly,thepaper
concludesandprovidessomepolicyrecommendations.
3Inoursample,17countriesachievedanimprovementoftheirISORA’sOSindexthatishigherthananamountequivalenttothechangefromthe60thpercentiletothe40thpercentileduringtheperiod2014-17.ThosewiththehighestincreaseareGrenada,St.VincentandGrenadines,Uruguay,Greece,Ghana,Poland,andMyanmar.
4Giventhelimitedavailabilityofdata,theanalyseswithISORAandTADATdatadonotnecessarilycovertheperiodsofthereformepisodesinsectionIII(Jamaica,Rwanda,andSenegal).Basedontheepisodes,weassumethatthereformsdescribedinsectionIIIwouldbroadlycorrespondtoanincreaseinTAstrengthequivalenttothechangefrom40thpercentileto60thpercentile.
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II.EstimatingtheImpactsofOverallStrengthofTaxAdministration
A.Data
7.WeusetheInternationalSurveyonRevenueAdministration(ISORA)andtheIMF’sTax
AdministrationDiagnosticAssessmentTool(TADAT)datasetstomeasurecountries’overallstrength
oftheTA,aswellasthestrengthacrossthedifferentcharacteristicsandpracticesoftheTA.The
ISORAsurveyscountries’TAfeaturesthroughbothnumericalandcategoricalsurveyquestions(with982datapoints)onawidespectrumofpracticesandinstitutionalfeaturesagreedonbyfourpartnerinternational
organizations.
5
Thedataiscollectedthroughavoluntaryself-assessment,wherecountriesrespondtoan
onlinequestionnaire.Itcovers154countries,including36AdvancedEconomies(AEs),71EMs,and46LIDCs,andencompassesfourvintages.
6
However,weonlyusethefirsttwovintagesforouranalysis,ISORA2016
andISORA2018,giventhemajorrevisionofthesurveyforthesubsequentvintages.
7
TheISORAandTADATdataareincreasinglybeingusedindepth-researchonTA(seee.g.,Dabla-Norrisetal.,2020).
8.UsingtheISORAdata,wecloselyfollowChangetal.(2020)toconstructanoperational
strengthindexofTAandsevensub-indexesmeasuringthestrengthofspecificTApracticesand
characteristics.Thesevensub-indexescoveradministrativeandoperationalpracticesandstructural
foundations(laws,regulations,andpolicies)oftheTA.Theyencompass:i)complianceriskmanagement(CRM)approach,ii)theuseofthird-partydata,iii)digitalizationofservices,iv)serviceorientation,v)publicaccountability,vi)thedegreeofautonomy,andvii)theestablishmentofLTOorlargetaxpayerprogram.Inaddition,theyarecompiledastheequallyweightedaverageofthespecificquestionsrelatedtoeachsub-index.
8
,
9
Wealsocompileanoveralloperationalstrength(OS)indexastheequallyweightedaverageofthesevensub-indexes,whichmeasuresthestrengthoftheTAacrosspracticesandcharacteristics.
9.TheTADATdataprovidesinformationontherelativestrengthsandweaknessesofkey
componentsofacountry’sTAbyfocusingontheperformanceofthemajornationaltaxes.
10
Startingin2013,ithascovered86countries,with11repeatedassessmentsinthepre-pandemicperiod(i.e.,between
5TheISORAdatasetisthecollaborationoftheInter-AmericanCenterofTaxAdministrations(CIAT),theFiscalAffairsDepartment(FAD)oftheIMF,theIntra-EuropeanOrganisationofTaxAdministrations(IOTA),andtheOrganisationforEconomicCo-operationandDevelopment(OECD).Moreinformationaboutthesurvey,questionnaires,ISORAdataandrelatedpublicationscanbefoundfollowingthislink:
/?sk=BA91013D-3261-42F8-A931-A829A78CB1EC.
6TheinitialISORAdatasetcovers159countries,howeverduetosomemissingvalues,wecover154countriesinouranalysis.
7ThefivevintagesincludeISORA2016,ISORA2018,ISORA2020,ISORA2021andISORA2022coveringrespectively,theyears2014–15,2016–17,2018–19,2020,and2021.UntilISORA2021,thesurveywasrunbiennially.FollowingtheISORA2018,amajorrevisionofthequestionnairehasresultedinadiscontinuityofmanyquestions,asmallersetofquestionsaskedannually,and
additionalquestionstobeaskedeveryfouryears.ThismajorrevisionlimitsusfromusingtheISORA2020and2021vintagesforouranalysis.SeeCrandalletal.(2021)foracomprehensivedescriptionoftheresultsoftheISORA2018.
8FormoredetailsonthecomputationoftheISORAsub-indexes,pleaserefertoAnnexIinChangetal.(2020)ormodule3ofthedevelopedFADoperationaltoolTA-AYTthatprovidethedifferentquestionsusedtoconstructtheindexes.
9OtherdatafromtheISORAisalsoused.Thisincludes:i)theratiooftaxstaffoverthelaborforce;andii)theactivetaxpayersoverthelaborforce,measuringthehumanresourcecapacityandtaxpayers’baseoftheTA,respectively.
10TADATdatasetisnotpubliclyavailableforseveralcountries.DetailedinformationabouttheTADATdatasetandmethodologycanbefoundfollowingthislink:
/home#overview.
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2013and2019).
11
TADATassessmentfocusesonninekeyperformanceoutcomeareas(POAs)capturingthemostcriticalTAfunctions,processes,andinstitutions,including:i)integrityoftheregisteredtaxpayerbase,ii)effectiveriskmanagement,iii)supportingvoluntarycompliance,iv)timelyfillingofdeclarations,v)timely
paymentoftaxes,vi)accuratereportingindeclarations,vii)effectivedisputeresolution,viii)efficientrevenue
management,andix)accountabilityandtransparency.
12
TheseninePOAsarecompiledusingthe32high-levelindicators(HLIs),whichareintheirturnconstructedusing55measurementdimensions(MDs),followingthe
TADATaggregationM1andM2methodstoconstructthe32HLIs.
13
Wealsocompileanoverallperformanceassessmentreport(PAR)indexastheequallyweightedaverageoftheninePOAs,whichmeasuresthe
strengthoftheTAacrossallpracticesandcharacteristics.
10.Otherdataforempiricalanalysesincludethetax-to-GDPratioandstandardmacroeconomic
controls.Asadependentvariable,thetax-to-GDPratio(excludingtradetaxesandsocialsecurity
contributions)isused,whichiscompiledfrommultiplesources.Weexcludetradetaxesandsocialsecurity
contributionstoaccountforthevolatilityofcommoditypricesandexcluderesourcerevenues,andbecause
otheragenciesthantheTAmaycollectthoserevenues.Wealsouseseveralcontrolvariablescomingfrom
differentsources.Theyarediscussedinthemethodologysection,andtheirdatadescriptionsandsourcesarepresentedinAnnexI.
B.StylizedFacts
11.ThissectionpresentsseveralstylizedfactsontheTAstrength,itspractices,and
characteristicsusingISORAandTADATdatasets.ItdiscussesthedifferencesbetweenISORAand
TADATaggregateindexesandthecorrelationsamongindexesovertimeandbetweenthemselves.It
alsoprovidescomparisonsofTAstrength,practices,andcharacteristicsacrossincomegrouplevels,aswellasaforetasteoftherelationshipbetweenTAstrengthandtaxrevenues.Thesummarystatisticsoftheindexes
constructedusingISORAandTADATdatasetsarepresentedinAnnexII.Ourmainfindingsarethefollowing:
a)ThestrengthofTAgenerallychangesonlyslowlyovertime,withsomeexceptions.Lookingatthe
changesoftheISORAandTADATindexesovertime(acrossvintagesandrepeatedassessments,
respectively),weshowthatTAstrength,practices,andcharacteristicsonlyslightlychangedoverthe
years––theyareslow-movingvariables(seeillustrationin
Figure1
forISORA).ItindicatesthatittakestimeaswellasstrongandsustainedeffortstoimproveTAstrength.
TableAII.
showsthatthecorrelations
betweenISORAindexesfor2014and2017areelevated.Forinstance,eightoutofthetenISORA’sindexeshaveacoefficientofcorrelationhigherthan0.8.
14
b)ThestrengthofTA,itspractices,anditscharacteristicsvarysubstantiallywiththelevelsof
economicdevelopment.Theresultsofthecomparisonacrossincomegrouplevelsarepresentedin
11Thisisaverydynamicdatabase.Thenumberofassessmentshasnowincreased(seetheexactnumberasoftoday:
/home)
.However,sinceourfocusisontheperiod2010-2019,wedonotincludeanyoftheassessmentsafter2020(post-pandemicperiod).
12TADAT’stimelyfilingandtimelypaymentscoresfactorinthecredibilityofthedataprovided:ifregardedasnotcredible,
administrationsreceivethelowestscore.i.e.,thesearenotonlyameasureoftheactualtimelinessoffiling,buttheyarecombinedwithanassessmentofwhethertheadministration’srecordkeepingonfilingandpaymentisreliable.
13PleasefollowthislinkforthedescriptionoftheM1andM2methods:
/tadatAtAGlance.
14Onexceptionalbasis,therewereafewcountrieswhichdemonstratedsignificantimprovement.Thoseare:Grenada,St.VincentandGrenadines,Uruguay,Greece,Ghana,Poland,andMyanmar.
INTERNATIONALMONETARYFUND
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Figure2.
TheTAstrength,asmeasuredbytheISORAandTADATindexes,isonaveragemuchstrongerinAEs,whileLIDCshavetheweakestTA(PanelA).ThesefindingspointtothepotentialscopeforLIDCsandEMstofurtherimprovethestrengthofTAacrossallpracticesandcharacteristics.
Figure1.ScatterPlotBetweenISORAIndexesAcrossVintages(2017vs.2014)
2017ISORA'sOS
1
.8
.6
.4
.2
AEsEMsLIDCs45deg.line
0.2.4.6.81
2014ISORA'sOS
Sources:Authors’calculationsusingISORA.
.ForISORA,AEshavehigherscoresthaninEMsandLIDCs,exceptfortheestablishmentofLTO.
15
EMsalsohavehigherscoresonaveragethanLIDCs,exceptforautonomyandestablishmentofLTO,
wheretheyhavealmostsimilarscores.InEMsandLIDCs,theweaknessesaremoreaccentuatedfortheuseofthird-partydataanddigitalization,andcomplianceriskmanagement.
.ForTADAT,thedifferencesinTAperformancebetweenAEs,EMs,andLIDCsaremore
pronounced.AEshavehigherscoresacrossallpracticesandcharacteristics(inparticularfortimelyfilingoftaxdeclarationsandtimelypaymentsoftaxes),whicharealsohigheronaveragethaninEMsandLIDC.Also,EMshavehigherscoresonaveragethanLIDCsacrossallpracticesandcharacteristics.However,
theyhaveweakerscoresforeffectiveriskmanagement,accuratereportingindeclarations,timelyfilingoftaxdeclarations,andefficientrevenuemanagement.LIDCshavethelowestscoresonaverageacrossallpracticesandcharacteristics,especiallyfortimelyfilingoftaxdeclarations,efficientrevenuemanagement,accuratereportingindeclarations,andeffectiveriskmanagement.
.Notsurprisingly,thestrengthofTAandtaxrevenuesarepositivelycorrelated.Specifically,wefindthatthecorrelationbetweenISORAandTADATindexesandtaxrevenues(excludingtradetaxesand
socialcontributions)ishigh,althoughthereisahighvarianceamongpeergroupcountries
(Figure3)
.
c)Therearesignificantheterogeneitiesbyincomegroups.AEstendtocollectmoretaxrevenueswithstrongerTA.Ontheotherhand,LIDCshave,onaverage,weakerTAandtendtocollectlowertax
revenues.TherearesignificantlylargevariationsinTAstrengthinEMs,wheresomecountrieshaveweakerTAsimilartoLIDCswhileothershavestrongerTAsimilartoAEs.
15TheLTOindicatorreflectsonlythepresenceofanLTO,notnecessarilytheperformanceorefficiencyoftheoffice/program.
Anotherreasonisthatsomemoremoderntaxadministratio
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