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文档简介
PublicationDate:
September2023
Authors:
MichaelPhilpott
AlzbetaFellenbaum
SarahMcBride
FiberDevelopmentIndexAnalysis:2023
MIA
BroughttoyoubyInformaTech
FiberDevelopmentIndexAnalysis:2023
1
Contents
Executivesummary
2
Driversofgigabitfiberprogress
5
Today’sgigabitmarket
10
TheFDI2023:Keyresults
16
Bestpracticespromotingfiberdevelopmentandenablingfasterdeployment
23
Bestpracticecasestudies
29
Appendix52
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FiberDevelopmentIndexAnalysis:2023
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Executivesummary
TheFiberDevelopmentIndex(FDI)tracksandbenchmarksfiberdevelopmentacross93
countriesandterritories.Fiberinvestmentisvitaltothequalitydeliveryofalldataservicesand,therefore,itmeritsthoroughcontextualanalysis.Unlikeotherfiberbenchmarksthatlargelytrackhouseholdcoverageand/orpenetration,theFDIincludesawidersetoffiberinvestmentmetrics,including:
•Fibertothepremises(FTTP)coverage
•Fibertothehousehold(FTTH)penetration
•Fibertothebusiness(FTTBusiness)penetration
•Mobilecellsitefiberpenetration
•AdvancedWDMtechnologyinvestment
Inadditiontothefiberinvestmentmetrics,theFDIthen,basedonOmdia’sanalysisofOokla
Speedtestdata,goesontoquantifytheoverallbroadbandqualityofexperienceimprovementsdrivenbythatinvestment,namely:
•Mediandownloadspeed
•Medianuploadspeed
•Medianlatency
•Medianjitter
Fiberinvestmentisanessentialmetricforgovernmentinstitutions,networkoperators,andotherstakeholderssuchasmediacompaniesandotherinterestedpartiestotrack.Asa
broadband-accesstechnology,opticalfiberprovidesanoptimized,highlysustainable,andfuture-proofqualityservice.Thissuperiorlevelofqualityisessentialforthedevelopmentoffuturedigitalservicesandapplicationsacrossallverticals,including(butnotlimitedto)
entertainment,education,homeworking,corporateservices,smartcity,andhealth.Onlyby
maximizinginvestmentinnext-generationaccesscancountriesoptimizetheirgrowthpotential,andfiberoptictechnologyiskeytothatinvestment,whetherthisisinthebackhauloraccess
network.
Singaporeonceagainleadsthe2023FDI,withmaximumscoresinsevenoftheninemetrics.
ItiscloselyfollowedbytheUAE,Qatar,andChina,thelatterofwhichhassurprisinglydropped
twoplacesinthisyear’sFDI,mainlybecauseuploadspeedandlatencymetricshaven’t
increasedasfastasinothercountries,eventhoughChinahasimpressiveresultsforFTTPcoverage,penetration,andoveralldownloadspeed.
Inthepast,severalotherwisehighlydevelopedbroadbandterritoriesthatranklowerinthe
fiberindex—suchastheUK,forexample—havesufferedfromlessclearorambitiousnationalplans,providingweakerincentivesforoperatorstoinvest.Tosomeextent,thiswasoftenlinkedtolessfavorablegeographicalanddemographicconditionsthatmadegovernmentinitiatives
expensiveand,therefore,likelytocomeupagainstsignificantpoliticalobjections.However,dueinsomeparttotheimpactoftheCOVID-19crisisdemonstratingjusthowimportant
broadbandnetworksare,governmentsaroundtheworldarenowstrengtheningtheir
broadbandtargetsandincreasingtheirfocusandinvestmentsinfiber-basedinfrastructure.Forexample,theUKnowhas“ProjectGigabit,”whichisinvesting£5bnintoconnectinghard-
©2023Omdia.Allrightsreserved.Unauthorizedreproductionprohibited.
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FiberDevelopmentIndexAnalysis:2023
3
to-reachcommunitieswithgigabitbroadband.Thisinvestment,aswellasgreaterprivate
investmentinfiberaccesstechnology,isenablingtheUKtograduallymoveuptheFDIranking,risingfourplacesin2023.
ThiswhitepaperhasbeensponsoredbyHuawei,withallanalysisandconclusionsarrivedatindependentlybyOmdia.
Keypointsandrecommendations
•Thebenefitsofhigh-speedbroadbandarenowwellunderstood.Especiallysincethe
COVID-19pandemic,governmentsaroundtheworldnowunderstandthesocialandfinancialbenefitsofinvestinginhigh-qualitybroadbandnetworks.ThebroadbandindustrysupportsawiderICTindustrythattypicallyaccountsforbetween2and7%ofacountry’soverall
GDPandprovidesforavastrangeofindustries,frommanufacturingtohealthinstitutionstoeducationalfacilities,aswellasupholdingsocialaspectssuchaswell-beingandsocialequality.
•Broadbanddemandsfromconsumersandenterprisesareonlysettogrow.Thedemands
onbroadbandnetworkswillonlyincreaseduetothecontinuedgrowthinthenumberand
varietyofconnecteddevices,morebandwidth-hungryapplications,andanever-growing
relianceonthecloud.Toenablefutureinnovationandsocioeconomicgrowth,broadband
operatorsmustcontinuetoinvestintheirnetworks.Todoso,governmentsandregulators
mustensurethatthecorrectlegislationandregulationsaresettoencourageandenablesuchinvestmentandprovidethenecessaryfundingwherenormalmarketforceswouldn’twarrantit.
•It’scriticalthatthedigitaldivideisnotfocusedsolelyonbeingconnectedversus
unconnected.Broadbandconnectivityisnowessentialtoeverydaylife.However,thequalityofthatconnectivityisalsovitallyimportant.Toworkwell,manydigitalapplications,suchasvideoconferencing,gaming,andvideostreaming,needhigh-speed,low-latency,andhighlyreliableandconsistentnetworks.Thoseindividualsandbusinessesthathavesuchaccesswillbeatasignificantadvantageoverthosethatdon’t.
•Fiberisnotjustabouthighspeed.Concentratingonlyonspeedmakesthebusinesscaseforinvestinginfiberaccessdifficulttojustify,especiallyascopper-basedaccesstechnologies
continuetoimprovetheirownspeedcapabilities.However,fiberalsobringsarangeofotherbenefitstoanoperator,includinghigheroverallqualityofservice(QoS),lowermaintenancecosts,lowerenergycosts,andsmallerphysicalinfrastructurerequirements.Allsuch
characteristicsneedtobeconsideredwhendevelopingfiberinvestmentplans.
•Governmentsshouldpasslegislationtoenablegigabitsocieties.Governmentsshould
ensurethattelecommunicationsinfrastructurecanbedeployedmostefficientlybyrequiringallnewdevelopmentsandrealestatetobeequippedwithin-buildingminiducts,fiber,in-
buildingaccesspoints,orotherphysicalinfrastructuretoacceleratedeploymentandreducerolloutcost.
•Toencouragegreaterfiberdeployment,allregulatorsmustfollowbest-practicepolicies,including:
—Facilitatingdeploymentthroughmunicipalityapprovals,usingexistingresources
(governmentbuildings,streetlights,ducts,etc.,)andsharinginfrastructure/facilities
—Introducingflexibilityinpartnershiparrangements,suchasallowingagreementsbetweenplayers/co-financing/collaborativemodels/public-privatepartnerships/innovative
partnerships
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FiberDevelopmentIndexAnalysis:2023
4
—Providingfinancialsupportthroughinvestmentsupport,incentives,andsubsidies(e.g.,universalservicefunds)
—Implementingregulatoryflexibility,includingremovingoutdatedornon-essentialregulation
—Improvingaccesstotelecomsfacilitiesandphysicalinfrastructure,improvingprocedures
forrightsofway,andaccessingpublicinfrastructureaswellasbroadbandmapping
—Settingcoverage/minimum-speedtargetsthroughanationalbroadbandplanoruniversalserviceobligation
—Supportinginnovation,research,anddevelopmenttoimproveconnectivity,itsuse,anditsapplications
©2023Omdia.Allrightsreserved.Unauthorizedreproductionprohibited.
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FiberDevelopmentIndexAnalysis:2023
5
Driversofgigabitfiber
progress
Thebenefitsofgigabitbroadbandservices
Thesocioeconomicbenefitsofbroadbandarewellknownanddocumented.Sincethe
pandemic,broadbandaccesshasbecomemoreimportantthaneverfortheconsumer,with
activitiessuchasworking/schoolingfromhome,videocommunication,smarthomeusecases,andonlineentertainmentbecomingastandardpartofeverydaylifeinmanycountries.Withinbusiness,cloud-basedserviceshavebeenmainstreamforovertwodecades,andworkloads
haveshiftedalmostexclusivelytothecloudasenterprisescontinuetheirdigitaltransition(transformation)efforts.
Tomeetsuchdemand,broadbandnetworkshavealreadygonethroughseveralgenerationsofevolution,migratingfromlargelycopper-basedinfrastructuredeliveringjustkilobitspersecond,tomorefiber-basednetworksofferinganaverageglobalspeedof200Mbps.
However,suchinnovationcannotstandstill.Thedemandsonbroadbandnetworkswillonlycontinuetoincreaseduetothecontinuedgrowthinthenumberandvarietyofconnected
devices,morebandwidth-hungryapplications,andanever-growingrelianceonthecloud.Tomeetthisdemandandenablefutureinnovationandgrowth,broadbandoperatorsneedtocontinuetoinvestintheirnetworkstoenablegigabitsocieties.Todoso,governmentsand
regulatorsmustensurethatthecorrectlegislationandregulationsaresettoencourageandenablesuchinvestmentandthatfundingisprovidedwherenormalmarketforceswouldn’twarrantit.
Theresidentialandbusinessdriversforgigabit
broadband
Consumerdemandforbroadbandnetworksisonlysettogrow
Consumerbroadbanddemandswillcontinuetoincreaseexponentiallyasweheadtoward
2030andbeyond.Thedemandwilllargelybedrivenbythreekeydistinctivebutrelatedtrends:
•Arapidincreaseinthenumberandtypeofconnecteddevices
•Acontinuedmovetohigher-quality,immersivemediaexperiences
•Anewgenerationofinternetapplicationsbasedonacloud-firststrategy
©2023Omdia.Allrightsreserved.Unauthorizedreproductionprohibited.
MIA
FiberDevelopmentIndexAnalysis:2023
6
Therapidincreaseinconnecteddevices
By2027,74%oftheglobalpopulationwillbeconnected,with56%ofresidentialhouseholdsenjoyinghigh-speedfixedbroadbandconnectivity.InhighlydevelopednationssuchasChina,thebroadbandpenetrationofthepopulationovertheageoffourwillbequicklyheading
toward100%.
However,itisnotjustpeoplebutalsothingsthatarebecomingconnected.In2020,the
averagenumberofconnecteddevicesinfixedbroadbandhouseholdswasapproximately13,by2030,thiswillhaverisentoaround44.ThebulkoftheseconnecteddeviceswillcompriseIoTdevices,sensors,andotherhouseholditemssuchasappliancesandhealthandfitness
products.However,therewillalsobesignificantincreasesinthenumberofsmartTVsaswellasnewerdevicessuchasVRheadsetsandnewinnovationsuchasglasses-free3Dscreens.
Figure1:Connecteddevicesperbroadbandhouseholdwillapproximatelydoubleeveryfiveyears
DEVICESPER
HOUSEHOLD
DEVICESPER
HOUSEHOLD
250%
DEVICESPER
HOUSEHOLD
1.8
PCs
200%
200%
growthin
consumerIoT
3.8
smartphones
PCsstartingtodecline
b2025
Source:Omdia©2023Omdia
Gamesconsolesindecline
b2030
100%
growthinconsumerIoT
44%growth
insmart
TVS
growth
inVRdevices
growthinVRdevices
0.7
Smart
TVs
44
25
13
2020
Theshifttolargerscreensandhigher-qualityvideo
Thenumberofvideo-enabledconnecteddevicesisincreasing,thescreensonthosedevicesaregettinglarger,andtheyofferhigherandhigherlevelsofvideoquality.By2027,61%ofalldevicesshippedwillhaveascreenand63%ofthosescreenswillbefullorultraHD.
TheTVwillremainanimportantscreeninthehomefortheforeseeablefuture.ThemodernTVhasevolvedbeyondasimplereceiverforlinearbroadcastvideotoafullhomeentertainmentsystem.Insomecases,theTVisevenacontrolhubforthesmarthome.By2027,93%ofall
TVsshippedwillbesmart.Theywillalsocontinuetoincreaseinsizeandresolution.By2027,30%ofTVsshippedwillhavescreensthatmeasure60inchesormore,and76%willhave4Korhigherresolution.
©2023Omdia.Allrightsreserved.Unauthorizedreproductionprohibited.
Bandwidthrequirements(Mbps)
FiberDevelopmentIndexAnalysis:20237
ComingofageforAR/VR
Today,augmentedreality(AR)glassesandmixedreality(MR)headsetsarestillrelativelyrare.However,virtualreality(VR)headsetsarebecomingmorecommon,largelydrivenbyincreasedinvestmentfromorganizationssuchasMeta(Facebook)andQualcomm.ApplerecentlymadeitsfirststepintoMRdeviceswiththelaunchofitsVisionProAR/VRheadset.WithApple’s
brandandmarketingpower—togetherwithitstightlyintegratedhardwareandsoftware—VisionPro’suserswillbegreetedbyfamiliaruserinterface,apps,andpersonalcontent.
Ifthecompanysuccessfullybridgesexistingconsumerexperiencesintonewimmersive
environments,itwillgivefreshimpetustotheMRmarket.VR/MRheadsetsutilizemultiplefull-HDvideostreamspersessionandheavilyrelyoncloud-basedcontentandapplications.
Thetechnologywillplaceheavydemandsonbroadbandnetworkswithregardtobandwidth
andlatency,withhighlevelsofreliabilityandconsistencyneededforittoworkseamlessly.
AccordingtoOmdia’sforecast,standaloneVRconnecteddevices’installedbasewillgrowfrom17.7millionin2022to59.9millionin2028.
FromSDtoHDtoUHDto3D
Thisdrivetoincreased-qualityvideoexperienceswillalsoplacehigherandhigherdemands
onthenetwork.Usingcompressiontechniques,today’svideostreamingservicescanofferHDvideousinglessthan5Mbps.Buthigh-quality4Kvideostreamscanrequirespeedsofupto
50Mbps,and8Kvideostreamsrequireupto300Mbps.
AdvancedservicessuchasVRand3DTVwillseeafurtherchangeintermsofnetwork
demand.High-qualityVRapplicationscanrequirespeedsofupto1–2Gbpspersession,andlive3DTVcanrequireupto5Gbpsperstream(Figure2).
Figure2:Advancedvideoapplicationswillrequireultra-highbandwidthperstream
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
©2023Omdia.Allrightsreserved.Unauthorizedreproductionprohibited.
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FiberDevelopmentIndexAnalysis:2023
8
Greaterrelianceonthecloud
Overtheyears,therehasbeenapushforhostinggreaterintelligenceinthecloud.This
hasseveraladvantages,fromreducingthecost,internalcomputepower,andbatterysize
ofdevices,toconsistentlyusingthelatestsoftwareversionandbeingabletosupport
advancedtechnologiessuchasbigdataanalyticsandnewcloud-basedapplications/use
casessuchascloudgaming,networkattachedstorage(NAS),autonomousvehicles,andthemetaverse.However,asapplicationsbecomemoreinteractive—relyingheavilyonreal-time
communication—bandwidth,latency,andservicereliabilityandconsistencybecomeincreasingpriorities.Inthefuture,therefore,althoughspeedwillremainimportant,latencyandservice
consistencywillbecomeequallysignificantformanyapplications.
Enterprisetechnologyandapplicationlifecycle
Asenterprisesturntodigitaltechnologiesandwaysofworking,theircapacityneeds
toincreaseexponentiallyoverthenextfiveyears.“Digital”technologyisrelevanttoall
businesses.Thegoalistocollect,store,andanalyzedata,generatingvaluableinformationfortheorganizationtomakefaster,betterdecisions.
Technologyandmarketforceshaveconvergedtomakethisdigitalrevolutionpossibleforbusinesses:
•IoTprobesandsmartdevicescollectever-largeramountsofdatafromsitesandfromthefield.
•Networkconnectivityisuniversal,cost-effective,andsupportsthecollectionandtransferoflargedataloads.
•Thecloudrevolutionhasmadestoring,accessing,andprocessinglargedataloadsefficientandcost-effective.
•Analyticsandautomation,backedbyAI/MLandnaturallanguageprocessing,organizetheselargevolumesofdataintousefulinformation.
Newadoptionplusoperationalscalingmultiplytrafficgrowth
Manynewdigitaltechnologiesareinplay,andenterprisesareprioritizingbasedonbenefitsandtheirrequirements.Sometechnologyadoptionismovingfast,andsomeismoregradual.Forexample,visualprocessingandcognitiveanalyticsarepopularandgrowingquickly.An
imageorvideostreamcanprovidefarmoreinformationthanjusttextorbasicdata,and
networkedcamerashavebecomeinexpensivetodeployorembedinotheritems.Visual
processinghasprovenversatile.Itiseffectiveforusessuchasworkersafetyandcompliance,sitesecurity,peopleandinventoryidentification,andqualitycontrol.Bycontrast,operationaltechnology(OT)hasbeenslowertomigratetodigital.AreassuchasAR/MRshowgreat
promise,butin2023,headsetsandtheirusefulbusinessapplicationsarestillmostlyunderdevelopment.Otherdigitalapplications’adoptionfallssomewhereinbetween.
Newtechnologyadoptionisonegrowthfactor.Anothergrowthfactoristheexpansionand
upgradeoftechnologiesintheorganization.Abusinesswithexperienceinvisualprocessingwillbecomfortableaddingmorecamerasorswappingtonewercamerasthatsupporthigher-resolutionvideo,orthattransmitmoreimagesperminute.
Severaldigitaltechnologiesstandoutfortheirpotentialtogrowexponentiallyoverthenextfiveyears:visualprocessingandcognitiveanalytics,anddatacollectionfromnetworkedIoT
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FiberDevelopmentIndexAnalysis:2023
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devicesandprobes,areprojectedtogrowtrafficupto20-fold.ImmersiveAR/VR/XRand
locationtrackingareprojectedtogrowtraffic10-to11-foldoverthenextfiveyears(Figure3).
Figure3:Forecastnetworktrafficgrowthforkeytypesofdigitalapplications,2023–27
Visualprocessing
IoT
20
X
High-speed
compute
Content
distribution
7X
Virtualfunctions
Storage
5X
applications
4X
3X
2X
Source:Omdia©2023Omdia
Servers
Enterprisesoftware
Vehiclesupport
NewvideoAR/VR/XR
11
X
Locationtracking
10
X
In-houseapplications
OTLegacy
Note:Thethicknessofthearrowindicatestheaveragecapacitytheapplicationconsumes
Asnetworkmanagersknow,establishedITplatformsandapplications—notnewones—are
oftenthebigbandwidthconsumersfortheorganization.Visualprocessing,cognitiveanalytics,andIoTareallprojectedtogrowquicklythrough2027.Butthesenewertechnologieswillstillcollectivelygeneratejust250Mbps—lessthan1%—ofanaveragelargeenterprise’stotaltrafficin2027.
ThebigfourdigitalITsolutionsthatwillrepresentthebulkoftheaveragelargeenterprise’strafficloadin2027are:
•Newvideoandimmersiveexperiences.Eventhoughtheuseofsomenext-generation
technologieswillstillbelimited,newvideoandimmersiveexperiencesneedlargeamountsofreal-timebandwidthtosupporthigh-value,interactiveapplications.
•Distributedstorage.Digitalapplicationscangenerateverylargeamountsofdata,especiallyiftheytransfervideoorimages.Manyofthesedatasourceswillbemirroredoff-site.Storeddatawillalsobeshiftedaroundforreuse,suchasrunningadditionalwavesofanalytics.
•Contentaggregation,distribution,andconsumption.Contentcontinuestobecomerichermedia—whetherthat’susinghigherresolution,multiplestreams,orcross-taggingacross
manydifferentdatasources.Knowledgeworkerswillneedtocontinuetostepuptheirpaceofcontentconsumption,whichwillincreaseincomingandoutgoingdataflows.
•Virtualfunctions.Virtualnetworkingandcommunicationshelpmanagehowthebusinessconnectsandoperates,drawingoncloud-hostedresourcestoprocesssecureconnectivityandcollaboration.
©2023Omdia.Allrightsreserved.Unauthorizedreproductionprohibited.
Speed(Mbps)
Canada
France
Japan
SouthKorea
Turkey
SaudiArabia
US
Australia
Brazil
Canada
China
France
Germany
India
Indonesia
Italy
Japan
Mexico
Nigeria
SaudiArabia
SouthAfrica
SouthKorea
Spain
Turkey
UK
US
Australia
Brazil
Canada
China
France
Germany
India
Indonesia
Italy
Japan
Mexico
Nigeria
Russia
SaudiArabia
SouthAfrica
SouthKorea
Spain
Turkey
UK
US
Australia
Brazil
China
Germany
India
Indonesia
Italy
Mexico
Nigeria
Russia
SouthAfrica
Spain
UK
Russia
FiberDevelopmentIndexAnalysis:202310
Today’sgigabitmarket
Gigabitsupplyanddemandcontinuetogrow
Althoughmedianbroadbandspeedsarestillinthe200to250Mbpsrangeforeventhemost
developedbroadbandcountries,gigabitbroadbandservicesarenowcommonlyadvertisedinmanycountriesaroundtheworld.Omdia’sMobile&BroadbandPricingTrackerillustrateshowquicklythetop-advertisedbroadbandspeedshavechangedovertheyears(Figure4).In2012,acrossthe20countriesanalyzedinOmdia’spricingtracker,thehighestbroadbandspeedon
offerwasonly200Mbps.Bytheendof2022,gigabitbroadbandserviceswereavailablein17ofthe20countries,withmultigigabitservicesofferedineightand10Gbpsservicesinthree.
Figure4:Gigabitservicesarebecomingincreasinglycommon
Maximumadvertisedbroadbandspeeds,selectcountries
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
2012
2017
2022
Withavailabilitycomesdemand,andalthoughbytheendof2022,only8%ofglobal
broadbandsubscriptionsweregigabitbroadbandservices,thispercentagewillincreaseto32%ofsubscriptionsby2027andisexpectedtobeover40%by2030(Figure5).
©2023Omdia.Allrightsreserved.Unauthorizedreproductionprohibited.
Shareofconsumersubscriptions(%)
FiberDevelopmentIndexAnalysis:202311
Figure5:Take-upofgigabitspeedbroadbandserviceswillaccelerate
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
20212022202320242025202620272028
Subscriptionsbyspeed(<10Mbps)Subscriptionsbyspeed(10–29Mbps)
Subscriptionsbyspeed(30–99Mbps)Subscriptionsbyspeed(100–499Mbps)
Subscriptionsbyspeed(500–999Mbps)Subscriptionsbyspeed(≥1000Mbps)
Source:Omdia©2023Omdia
Closingthegigabit-digitaldivide
Theworld’spopulationisbecomingincreasinglyconnected.Bytheendof2027,74%ofthepopulationwillbeconnectedeitherviahomebroadbandorapersonalmobiledatasubscription.Ifweremovepeopleundertheageoffour,thefigureincreasesto82%.
However,asalreadydiscussed,notallbroadbandconnectionsareequal.Connectivity,speed,latency,consistency,andreliabilitycanalldiffersignificantly,affectingwhatusecasesand
end-userexperiencescanbereceived.Forexample,31%ofpeopleby2027willonlyhave
accessviaapersonalsmartphone,and56%ofthoseconnectionswillbe4Gtechnologyor
less.Therefore,althoughtheywillbeconnectedandabletoaccesssomedigitalapplications,therangeofusecaseswillstillbelimitedcomparedtopeoplewhoalsohavefixedbroadbandservicesintheirhomes.Ofcourse,thefixedbroadbandconnectioncanalsodifferintermsofspeedandquality.AsalreadydiscussedandillustratedinFigure5,by2028,44%ofconsumerbroadbandsubscriptionswillbeonspeedsof1Gbpsorabove,whereas18%willstillbeon
speedsoflessthan100Mbps,and7%lessthan30Mbps.
Thesepercentagesdifferhugelybasedonregionandcountry.Justfocusingongigabit
broadbandservices,Figure6showsthatby2028,55%ofconsumerbroadbandservicesin
Oceania,Eastern&South-EasternAsiawillhavespeedsofover1Gbpsormore,comparedtoonly11%inLatinAmerica,5%intheMiddleEast,and3%inAfrica.
©2023Omdia.Allrightsreserved.Unauthorizedreproductionprohibited.
24%
FiberDevelopmentIndexAnalysis:202312
Figure6:Thegigabitdigitaldividewillgrowoverthenextsixyears
Percentageofconsumerbroadbandsubscriptionswithspeedsof1Gbpsormore
70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
0%
66%
53%
25%
20%
6%
11%12%
6%6%
0%1%1%3%2%
3%
2022
Africa
Central&SouthernAsia
LatinAmerica&theCaribbean
NorthAmerica
2028
MiddleEast
EasternEurope
WesternEurope
Oceania,Eastern&South-EasternAsia
Source:Omdia©2023Omdia
Greateravailabilityoffiber-broadbandnetworksisessentialforgigabitevolution
Thedeploymentofgreaterfiberbroadbandnetworksiskeytotheevolutiontowardgigabit
societies.Othertechnologies,suchascableand5G-FWA,arecapableofgigabitspeeds,but
cableonlyaccountsfor15%ofallglobalconsumerbroadbandconnectionsandisexpectedtodeclineby12%overthenextfiveyears.FWAisgrowinginpopularity,largelyduetotherolloutof5Gnetworks,butwillstillonlyaccountfor6%ofbroadbandconnectionsby2027.Certainly,FWAisanimportantcomponentoftheoverallbroadbandmix,atleastinthemediumterm,
asitcanenablehigh-speedbroadbandservicestobedeployedinmoreruralareaswhere
FTTHisstilltoocostprohibitive.However,evenhere,itiscriticalthatthose5Gbasestationsaresupportedbyopticalfiberbackhauliftheyaretoprovideagood-qualitybroadband
experience.Fortheremainderofpremises,fibershouldbethelong-termtechnologyofchoiceasitisthemostfuture-proofofallbroadbandinfrastructures.
DrivinggreaterFTTHcoverage
Currently,onlyathirdofcountriesinOmdia’sFiberDevelopmentIndexhaveFTTHcoverage
ratesof70%ormore,withjustthree(Qatar,Singapore,andSouthKorea)havingreached
100%andafurtherthree(China,Japan,andUAE)on99%.Thebottomthirdofcountries
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