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12Jun202516:37:53ET│44pages
WeeklyREITandLodgingStrategy
TalesfromtheRoad;MarketingTakeawayspostJune2025Nareit
CITI'STAKE
We’vebeenonthe“road”hostingnumerousinvestormeetingsfollowingtheJuneNareitconferencelastweek(SummerintheCity–June2025NareitReview).Whilethemacro-economicenvironment,capitalmarkets,andpublicpolicyaretopofmind,throughoutourconversationswehavereceivedsomecommonsectorandstock-relatedquestions.Weoutlinethequestionsandprovideanswerstoeachinthisreport.Aswealwayssay,manyofourbestideascomefromquestionsaskedandconversationswithinvestors!
TheMostCommonQuestions—Thequestionsweaddresshereininclude:Willdatacenterdemandin2025bebackhalfweighted?You’reOverweightseniorhousingandUnderweightlifesciencestocksinyourmodelportfolio,whatwouldchangeyourview?Doyoustillbelieveinthe2Hindustrialdemandrecovery?Howdoyouthinkhoteldemandistrendingfollowing1Qupdates?Howdoyouthinknetleasenamesarepositionedatthisjuncture?Whathasbeenthefeedbackonthe90-daypositivecatalystwatchonBXP?WhydidyourotateintoINVHandwhyhaveSFRsunderperformedrecently?Howdoyoufeelaboutstrips?Will2Qearningsbeacatalystforthestoragesector?HowcouldtowersbeimpactedbyEchoStarrisks?
NickJosephAC
+1-212-816-1909
nicholas.joseph@
Office/Healthcare/CREServices
SethBergey,CPA,CFA+1-212-816-2066
seth.bergey@
Industrial/Retail/ColdStorage
CraigMailman+1-212-816-4471
craig.mailman@
Lodging/NetLease
SmedesRose
+1-212-816-6243
smedes.rose@
Residential/SelfStorage
EricWolfe
+1-212-816-2640
eric.wolfe@
DataCenter/Towers
MichaelRollins,CFA
michael.rollins@
Associates
MadeleineFargis
madeleine.fargis@
AngelaJi
angela.ji@
NickKerr
nick.kerr@
SydneyMcEntee
sydney.mcentee@
SeeAppendixA-1forAnalystCertification,ImportantDisclosuresandResearchAnalystAffiliations.
CitiResearchisadivisionofCitigroupGlobalMarketsInc.(the"Firm"),whichdoesandseekstodobusinesswithcompaniescoveredinitsresearchreports.Asaresult,investorsshouldbeawarethattheFirmmayhaveaconflictofinterestthatcouldaffecttheobjectivityofthisreport.Investorsshouldconsiderthisreportasonlyasinglefactorinmakingtheirinvestment
decision.Certainproducts(notinconsistentwiththeauthor'spublishedresearch)areavailableonlyonCiti'sportals.
2
WeeklyREITandLodgingStrategy
12June2025CitiResearch
UpcomingEvents
Figure1.Citi-SponsoredEvents,NDRs,and
Analyst/InvestorDays
Citi
Citi
June18,2025
Citi-HostedExpertCall–CMBSMarketObservationswithJeffBerenbaum,Citi’sHeadofCMBSandAgency
Virtual
June24-25,2025
Citi's2025AsiaPacificPropertyConference
HongKong
June25-27,2025
Citi-HostedNDRwithTanger(SKT)ManagementTeam
Mid-West
July9,2025
Citi-HostedSelf-StoragePrivateOperator&BrokerDinner
NewYork,NY
July15,2025
Citi-HostedExpertCall-TheStateoftheOfficeMarketwithNewmark
Virtual
July16,2025
Citi-HostedExpertCall-TheStateoftheNetLeaseMarketwithTheBoulderGroup
Virtual
July21,2025
Citi-HostedExpertCall-TheStateoftheIndustrialMarketwithNewmark
Virtual
July28,2025
Citi-HostedExpertCall–TheStateofSeniorHousingandSNFMarketWithNIC
Virtual
October13-17,2025
CitiAustralia&NewZealandInvestmentConference&CitiAustraliaPropertyTours
Sydney
December8,2025
Citi-HostedResidentialPropertyTourinDallasaheadofNareit
Dallas,TX
December8-11,2025
Citi-HostedMeetingsatNareitREITworld
Dallas,TX
March1-4,2026
CitiGlobalPropertyCEOConference
Hollywood,FL
February28-March3,2027
CitiGlobalPropertyCEOConference
Hollywood,FL
March5-8,2028
CitiGlobalPropertyCEOConference
Hollywood,FL
March4-7,2029
CitiGlobalPropertyCEOConference
Hollywood,FL
March3-6,2030
CitiGlobalPropertyCEOConference
Hollywood,FL
June25,2025
EQIXAnalystDay
NewYork,NY
September8,2025
BXPInvestorDay
NewYork,NY
December3,2025
AREInvestorDay
NewYork,NY
Figure2.IndustryEvents
&
September8-10,2025
NICFallConference(SeniorHousing)
Austin,TX
December8-11,2025
NareitREITworld
Dallas,TX
©2025CitigroupInc.NoredistributionwithoutCitigroup’swrittenpermission.Source:CitiResearchandCompanyReports
©2025CitigroupInc.NoredistributionwithoutCitigroup’swrittenpermission.Source:CitiResearch
Figure3.PerformanceIndices
PerformanceIndices(*denotestotalreturns)
WTDChange
(%)
QTDChange
(%)
YTDChange
(%)
Last30Days
(%)
Last90Days
(%)
Last6Months
(%)
Last12
Months(%)
FTSENAREITEquityREITTotalReturnIndex*0.1%-0.1%0.8%0.5%3.0%-2.8%13.0%
CitiModelREITPortfolio*0.6%0.8%3.0%1.2%4.5%-0.4%16.3%
MSCIUSIMIRealEstate25/50*0.5%-0.3%2.4%0.8%3.2%-1.8%13.6%
MSCIREITIndex(EquityREITfocused)*0.1%0.0%1.0%0.5%3.0%-2.6%13.3%
DJUSSelectREITIndex0.0%-0.7%-0.5%0.2%1.8%-4.4%8.5%
WilshireUSRealEstateSecuritiesIndex0.0%-0.5%-0.5%0.3%2.0%-4.3%9.5%
REITsinS&P500(largecap)-0.2%0.5%2.9%0.4%3.2%-1.5%11.8%
REITsinS&P400(midcap)1.0%-1.5%-1.9%1.2%2.0%-6.3%7.7%
REITsinS&P600(smallcap)0.6%-4.1%-3.6%0.5%-1.7%-9.2%11.6%
Russell20000.8%7.1%-3.3%2.8%7.8%-8.3%6.5%
DowJonesIndustrialAverage0.3%2.3%1.0%1.3%5.1%-2.2%10.7%
S&P5000.4%7.5%2.6%3.2%9.1%-0.5%12.0%
S&P500Financials-0.5%2.4%5.5%0.3%7.5%2.9%24.8%
S&P500Utilities-0.3%2.6%6.9%1.4%4.6%4.2%14.9%
NasdaqComposite0.5%13.5%1.6%5.0%13.4%-1.8%13.0%
10-YearTreasuryYieldbpschange-1217-19-812-2-1
GlobalRealEstate(USD)0.9%5.0%7.0%2.6%7.3%3.7%14.4%
AsiaRealEstate(localcurrency)0.5%4.6%3.2%0.4%4.7%4.7%2.6%
EuropeRealEstate(localcurrency)1.5%8.8%6.8%3.7%10.8%5.4%4.9%
Source:FactSet
CitiModelPortfolioandGlobalPricingsasof6/10/2025.Allotherreturnsasof6/11/2025.
WeeklyREITandLodgingStrategy
12June2025CitiResearch
3
Figure4.RecommendationListsforInvestmentStrategies
CitiResearchLargeCapList
CompanyName
Ticker
Prop.
Type
Rating
6/11/2025
Price
Spot
NAV
Implied
Cap
Rate
Prem/
(Disc)toPriceChange
SpotNAVWTDQTD
YTD
Total
Return
Div.
Yld.
25AFFOTEV/Fixed
Payout2025EFFO2025EAFFOEBITDADebt/Cov.
RatioGrowthMult.GrowthMult.Mult.GAVRatio
Public
Float
Model
Port
Weight
REIT
Index
Weight
Model
Port
OW/UW
($)
($)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(x)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(%)
(x)
($B)
(%)
(%)
(bps)
AMH
AMH
SingleFamily
2
36.34
38.49
5.2
(5.6)
(0.9)
(3.9)
(2.1)
3.3
75
4.5
19.6
6.5
22.8
21.5
24
4.9
13.4
1.2
1.1
13
AmericanTower
AMT
Towers
1
214.36
N/A
N/A
N/A
(4.1)
(1.5)
16.9
3.5
N/A
N/A
N/A
6.8
20.3
N/A
N/A
N/A
100.4
0.3
0.0
27
CamdenProp
CPT
Apts.
1
117.42
134.91
5.9
(13.0)
1.4
(4.0)
2.1
3.6
84
-0.5
17.2
-1.7
23.4
18.5
20
4.2
12.8
2.6
1.0
155
CBREGroup
CBRE
CREServices
1
133.83
N/A
N/A
N/A
5.3
5.4
5.4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
11.1
N/A
N/A
29.9
0.4
0.0
43
CrownCastle
CCI
Towers
1
99.43
N/A
N/A
6.9
(7.0)
(4.6)
9.6
6.9
N/A
N/A
N/A
-7.5
14.2
N/A
N/A
N/A
43.3
0.3
0.0
35
DigitalRealtyTrust
DLR
DataCenter
1
175.84
166.44
6.9
5.6
(0.6)
22.7
(0.2)
2.8
76
6.0
24.7
5.1
27.4
25.4
24
6.7
59.2
6.2
4.8
137
Equinix
EQIX
DataCenter
1
893.70
838.54
N/A
6.6
(2.3)
9.6
(4.2)
2.1
49
30.8
31.8
8.4
23.5
22.9
N/A
13.2
87.4
7.9
7.7
22
EquityRes
EQR
Apts.
2
69.27
79.46
5.6
(12.8)
1.1
(3.2)
(1.6)
4.0
86
2.0
17.4
3.8
21.5
18.8
20
5.9
26.2
5.4
2.3
316
GamingandLeisureProp.
GLPI
GamingNetLease
1
47.63
48.45
7.3
(1.7)
2.6
(6.4)
0.5
6.4
79
2.8
12.3
2.7
12.3
14.3
N/A
4.3
13.5
1.2
1.1
18
HostHotels&Resorts
HST
LodgingREIT
1
15.97
21.10
7.7
(24.3)
1.3
12.4
(7.7)
5.0
42
(3.2)
8.4
(3.2)
8.4
10.5
N/A
9.0
11.1
1.2
0.9
24
InvitationHomes
INVH
SingleFamily
1
33.32
36.92
5.4
(9.8)
0.4
(4.4)
5.1
3.5
71
2.8
17.2
2.7
20.3
18.6
24
2.9
20.4
2.9
1.8
109
KimcoRealty
KIM
Retail
2
20.99
25.26
7.1
(16.9)
0.0
(1.2)
(8.3)
4.8
84
5.2
12.2
7.1
17.6
14.9
33.7
3.8
14.2
2.9
1.2
165
LamarAdvertisingCo
LAMR
Specialty
1
121.67
N/A
N/A
N/A
0.5
6.9
1.2
5.1
75
5.7
14.4
3.6
14.7
14.5
N/A
N/A
12.5
1.1
0.9
18
MarriottInternational
MAR
LodgingCorp
2
266.06
0.00
0.0
0.0
0.2
11.7
(4.2)
1.0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
16.5
0.0
7.3
73.7
0.4
0.0
40
OmegaHealthcareInvestors
OHI
SkilledNursing
1
37.02
28.39
6.8
30.4
(1.1)
(2.8)
1.3
7.2
93
4.7
12.3
5.1
12.9
15.0
34.7
4.7
10.6
1.3
0.9
43
Prologis
PLD
Industrial
1
108.50
133.44
5.4
(18.7)
(0.3)
(2.9)
3.6
3.7
99
3.1
18.9
(2.7)
26.5
22.7
22.9
5.4
100.6
10.7
8.7
204
PublicStorage
PSA
SelfStorage
1
300.16
279.85
5.2
7.3
(0.9)
0.3
1.2
4.0
76
1.0
17.8
9.9
19.1
19.1
14.9
7.0
52.7
5.1
4.1
100
SBACommunications
SBAC
Towers
1
224.75
N/A
N/A
1.9
(7.1)
2.2
10.3
1.9
N/A
N/A
N/A
2.2
16.8
N/A
N/A
N/A
24.1
0.5
0.0
47
SunComm
SUI
Mfd.Homes
1
125.42
134.66
5.4
(6.9)
0.8
(2.5)
6.0
3.3
76
1.2
18.5
(5.7)
22.8
20.2
29.2
4.2
16.0
2.7
1.4
134
UDR
UDR
Apts.
2
41.57
45.92
5.7
(9.5)
1.2
(8.0)
(2.3)
4.1
87
1.7
16.5
1.9
21.0
19.1
27.6
5.3
13.8
3.6
1.2
244
Ventas
VTR
DiversifiedHealthcare
1
63.41
49.39
5.5
28.4
(0.4)
(7.8)
8.5
2.8
63
8.1
18.5
10.3
22.3
20.3
35.6
3.2
28.6
4.1
2.3
177
VICIProperties
VICI
GamingNetLease
1
32.48
30.01
6.4
8.2
3.2
(0.4)
12.7
5.3
74
3.4
13.9
3.4
13.9
16.0
34.7
3.9
34.3
3.5
2.9
62
WelltowerInc.
WELL
DiversifiedHealthcare
1
150.24
76.11
3.3
97.4
(2.7)
(1.9)
20.3
1.6
57
16.0
30.1
16.7
35.3
32.9
25.0
5.5
98.4
13.5
8.2
526
Weyerhaeuser
WY
Timber
1
27.36
N/A
N/A
2.8
4.6
(6.6)
(2.8)
2.8
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
19.8
0.2
0.0
23
REITLargeCap/Wtd.Avg.
4.7
12.3
(0.7)
2.4
3.9
3.3
65
8.3
19.4
4.4
20.9
21.0
20
6.6
37
77.7
51.3
2,642
REITLargeCap/Str.Avg.
5.6
4.1
0.0
0.7
2.6
3.9
71
5.0
16.8
3.1
18.7
18.5
25
5.7
37
REITTotal/Wtd.Avg.
6.0
5.3
0.1
(0.0)
1.0
4.0
73
5.7
18.7
3.9
20.6
20.2
30
5.6
10
CitiResearchMidCapList
CompanyName
Ticker
Prop.
Type
Rating
Price
Spot
NAV
Implied
Cap
Rate
Prem/
(Disc)toPriceChange
SpotNAVWTDQTD
YTD
Total
Return
Div.
Yld.
25AFFOTEV/Fixed
Payout2025EFFO2025EAFFOEBITDADebt/Cov.
RatioGrowthMult.GrowthMult.Mult.GAVRatio
Public
Float
Model
Port
Weight
REIT
Index
Weight
Model
Port
OW/UW
($)
($)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(%)
(x)
(%)
(x)
(x)
(%)
(x)
($B)
(%)
(%)
(bps)
AgreeRealty
ADC
RetailNetLease
2
74.54
57.97
5.5
28.6
0.7
(3.4)
7.6
4.1
72
3.8
17.6
3.4
17.4
20.9
31
4.3
8.2
1.9
0.7
123
AmericoldRealtyTrust
COLD
ColdStorage
2
17.76
29.26
11.6
(39.3)
3.2
(17.2)
(15.9)
5.2
60
6.4
13.8
4.6
11.5
13.4
63
4.4
5.1
0.5
0.4
12
EastGroupProp.
EGP
Industrial
1
172.09
188.75
5.2
(8.8)
0.5
(2.3)
8.1
3.3
78
7.2
19.2
6.9
23.9
22.1
13
12.3
9.0
3.0
0.7
232
EssentialProperties
EPRT
RetailNetLease
1
32.74
23.68
5.5
38.3
0.7
0.3
5.6
3.7
64
6.6
16.3
7.9
17.5
20.6
32
4.6
6.5
1.9
0.5
136
KiteRealtyGroup
KRG
Retail
1
22.44
32.45
8.3
(30.9)
(0.7)
0.3
(9.0)
4.8
75
(0.8)
10.9
(1.0)
15.5
14.3
31
4.1
4.9
2.2
0.4
177
RymanHospitalityProp.
RHP
LodgingREIT
1
98.62
107.62
6.1
(8.4)
1.9
7.9
(4.4)
4.7
57
(6.4)
12.3
(6.4)
12.3
10.9
35
3.8
5.9
1.1
0.5
62
REITMidCap/Wtd.Avg.
6.6
0.0
1.0
(2.2)
0.5
4.2
69
3.3
15.6
3.1
17.1
17.8
28
6.1
7
10.6
3.2
743
REITMidCap/Str.Avg.
7.0
(3.4)
1.1
(2.4)
(1.3)
4.3
68
2.8
15.0
2.6
16.4
17.0
34
5.6
7
REITTotal/Wtd.Avg.*
6.0
5.3
0.1
(0.0)
1.0
4.0
73.4
5.7
18.7
3.9
20.6
20.2
30
5.6
10
CitiResearchSmallCapList
CompanyName
Ticker
Prop.
Type
Rating
Price
Spot
NAV
Implied
Cap
Rate
Prem/
(Disc)toPriceChange
SpotNAVWTDQTD
YTD
Total
Return
Div.
Yld.
25AFFOTEV/Fixed
Payout2025EFFO2025EAFFOEBITDADebt/Cov.
RatioGrowthMult.GrowthMult.Mult.GAVRatio
Public
Float
Model
Port
Weight
REIT
Index
Weight
Model
Port
OW/UW
AmericanHealthcareREIT
AHR
DiversifiedHealthcare
2
($)
35.90
($)
22.03
(%)
5.3
(%)
63.0
(%)
1.2
(%)
18.5
(%)
27.2
(%)
2.8
(%)
72
(%)
13.3
(x)
22.7
(%)
16.2
(x)
25.8
(x)
22.2
(%)
32
(x)
2.9
($B)
5.7
(%)
1.0
(%)
0.5
(bps)
55
CurblineProperties
CURB
Retail
2
22.79
22.30
5.8
2.2
0.0
(5.8)
(1.2)
2.8
N/A
N/A
22.3
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2.4
1.0
0.2
78
Highwoods
HIW
Office
2
31.40
35.98
8.7
(12.7)
1.0
5.9
6.0
6.4
102
(6.1)
9.3
(8.0)
16.0
11.8
46
3.6
3.4
0.6
0.3
37
MacerichCo.
MAC
Retail
2
16.24
19.76
8.2
(17.8)
0.8
(5.4)
(16.8)
4.2
54
(6.3)
11.0
(0.3)
13.0
14.7
56
2.1
4.1
0.5
0.3
14
MillroseProperties
MRP
Specialty
1
27.63
35.72
8.8
(22.6)
(0.0)
4.2
N/A
8.6
99
N/A
11.5
N/A
11.5
N/A
0
N/A
4.6
0.5
0.0
55
NationalStorageAffiliates
NSA
SelfStorage
2
33.72
38.53
6.5
(12.5)
0.5
(14.4)
(9.5)
6.8
103
(3.5)
14.3
(4.0)
15.2
16.5
40
3.3
2.6
2.1
0.2
191
OUTFRONTMedia
OUT
Billboard
1
16.37
N/A
N/A
N/A
0.5
1.4
(6.6)
7.4
N/A
1.9
8.9
0.7
9.0
10.9
N/A
N/A
2.7
0.2
0.2
3
ParkHotels&Resorts
PK
LodgingREIT
1
10.53
20.49
8.2
(48.6)
2.5
(1.4)
(23.4)
9.5
52
(6.3)
5.5
(6.3)
5.5
10.4
53
2.5
2.1
0.2
0.2
3
PotlatchDeltic
PCH
Timber
1
39.84
N/A
N/A
4.6
2.5
(11.7)
1.5
4.6
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3.1
0.2
0.0
25
SabraHealthcare
SBRA
SkilledNursing
1
18.25
13.67
7.0
33.5
2.2
4.5
8.8
6.6
81
3.3
12.7
3.8
12.3
15.3
43
3.9
4.3
0.4
0.4
6
SLGreen
SLG
Office
2
65.28
55.20
5.5
18.3
1.4
13.1
(2.0)
4.6
114
(31.7)
11.8
(54.1)
24.8
15.7
68
1.3
4.6
0.8
0.4
39
Tanger
SKT
Retail
1
30.36
36.41
7.7
(16.6)
0.3
(10.2)
(9.4)
3.6
51
6.9
13.4
23.0
14.2
15.3
27
4.7
3.4
2.3
0.3
204
SmallCap/Wtd.Avg.
7.9
(18.3)
0.7
(1.4)
(8.3)
6.5
83
(4.3)
11.7
(3.4)
12.1
12.4
36
2.8
3
5.2
1.4
380
SmallCap/Str.Avg.
7.7
(18.7)
0.8
(2.2)
(8.6)
6.5
82
(4.1)
11.8
(3.6)
11.7
12.9
39
2.9
3
REITTotal/Wtd.Avg.*
6.0
5.3
0.1
(0.0)
1.0
4.0
73.4
5.7
18.7
3.9
20.6
20.2
30
5.6
10
CitiResearchYieldList
CompanyName
Ticker
Prop.
Type
Rating
Price
Spot
NAV
Implied
Cap
Rate
Prem/
(Disc)toPriceChange
SpotNAVWTDQTD
YTD
Total
Return
Div.
Yld.
25AFFOTEV/Fixed
Payout2025EFFO2025EAFFOEBITDADebt/Cov.
RatioGrowthMult.GrowthMult.Mult.GAVRatio
Public
Float
Model
Port
Weight
REIT
Index
Weight
Model
Port
OW/UW
GamingandLeisureProp.
GLPI
GamingNetLease
1
($)
47.63
($)
48.45
(%)
7.3
(%)
(1.7)
(%)
2.6
(%)
(6.4)
(%)
0.5
(%)
6.4
(%)
79
(%)
2.8
(x)
12.3
(%)
2.7
(x)
12.3
(x)
14.3
(%)
N/A
(x)
4.3
($B)
13.5
(%)
1.2
(%)
1.1
(bps)
18
Highwoods
HIW
Office
2
31.40
35.98
8.7
(12.7)
1.0
5.9
6.0
6.4
102
(6.1)
9.3
(8.0)
16.0
11.8
46
3.6
3.4
0.6
0.3
37
MillroseProperties
MRP
Specialty
1
27.63
35.72
8.8
(22.6)
(0.0)
4.2
N/A
8.6
99
N/A
11.5
N/A
11.5
N/A
0
N/A
4.6
0.5
0.0
55
NationalStorageAffiliates
NSA
SelfStorage
2
33.72
38.53
6.5
(12.5)
0.5
(14.4)
(9.5)
6.8
103
(3.5)
14.3
(4.0)
15.2
16.5
40
3.3
2.6
2.1
0.2
191
OmegaHealthcareInvestors
OHI
SkilledNursing
1
37.02
28.39
6.8
30.4
(1.1)
(2.8)
1.3
7.2
93
4.7
12.3
5.1
12.9
15.0
35
4.7
10.6
1.3
0.9
43
OUTFRONTMedia
OUT
Billboard
1
16.37
N/A
N/A
N/A
0.5
1.4
(6.6)
7.4
N/A
1.9
8.9
0.7
9.0
10.9
N/A
N/A
2.7
0.2
0.2
3
ParkHotels&Resorts
PK
LodgingREIT
1
10.53
20.49
8.2
(48.6)
2.5
(1.4)
(23.4)
9.5
52
(6.3)
5.5
(6.3)
5.5
10.4
53
2.5
2.1
0.2
0.2
3
SabraHealthcare
SBRA
SkilledNursing
1
18.25
13.67
7.0
33.5
2.2
4.5
8.8
6.6
81
3.3
12.7
3.8
12.3
15.3
43
3.9
4.3
0.4
0.4
6
Yield/Wtd.Avg.
7.4
3.9
1.0
(2.1)
(0.3)
7.1
87
1.6
11.6
1.5
12.3
13.2
34
4.1
5
6.7
3.2
355
Yield/Str.Avg.
7.6
(4.9)
1.0
(1.1)
(3.3)
7.3
87
(0.5)
10.8
(0.9)
11.8
13.5
36
3.7
5
REITTotal/Wtd.Avg.*
6.0
5.3
0.1
(0.0)
1.0
4.0
73.4
5.7
18.7
3.9
20.6
20.2
30
5.6
10
CitiResearchPotentialM&AList
CompanyName
Ticker
Prop.
Type
Rating
Price
Spot
NAV
Implied
Cap
Rate
Prem/
(Disc)toPriceChange
SpotNAVWTDQTD
YTD
Total
Return
Div.
Yld.
25AFFOTEV/Fixed
Payout2025EFFO2025EAFFOEBITDADebt/Cov.
RatioGrowthMult.GrowthMult.Mult.GAVRatio
Public
Float
Model
Port
Weight
REIT
Index
Weight
Model
Port
OW/UW
CubeSmart
CUBE
SelfStorage
2
($)
43.32
($)
44.67
(%)
5.5
(%)
(3.0)
(%)
0.1
(%)
2.7
(%)
3.5
(%)
4.8
(%)
85
(%)
(1.4)
(x)
16.7
(%)
0.6
(x)
17.7
(x)
19.1
(%)
25
(x)
6.9
($B)
9.9
(%)
0.0
(%)
0.8
(bps)
(83)
GamingandLeisureProp.
GLPI
GamingNetLease
1
47.63
48.45
7.3
(1.7)
2.6
(6.4)
0.5
6.4
79
2.8
12.3
2.7
12.3
14.3
N/A
4.3
13.5
1.2
1.1
18
HudsonPacific
HPP
Office
2
2.48
2.54
7.7
(2.4)
5.5
(15.9)
(18.2)
0.0
N/A
(42.4)
8.0
(77.6)
22.3
13.9
82
2.4
0.4
0.0
0.0
(3)
NationalStorageAffiliates
NSA
SelfStorage
2
33.72
38.53
6.5
(12.5)
0.5
(14.4)
(9.5)
6.8
103
(3.5)
14.3
(4.0)
15.2
16.5
40
3.3
2.6
0.0
0.2
(21)
Netstreit
NTST
RetailNetLease
2
16.41
18.21
7.2
(9.9)
1.3
3.5
18.9
5.1
66
(1.7)
13.3
1.6
12.8
18.2
38
4.7
1.3
0.0
0.1
(12)
PlayaHotels&Resorts
PLYA
LodgingCorp
2H
13.50
0.00
0.0
0.0
0.1
1.3
6.7
0.0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
10.0
0
N/A
1.7
0.0
0.0
0
SITECentersCorp.
SITC
Retail
2
11.98
16.04
9.2
(25.3)
1.1
(6.7)
(21.6)
0.0
0
N/A
20.8
N/A
23.4
6.3
33
3.1
0.6
0.0
0.1
(5)
SunstoneHotel
SHO
LodgingREIT
2
8.90
13.54
8.1
(34.3)
1.5
(5.4)
(24.1)
4.0
40
11.3
9.9
11.3
9.9
11.2
22
4.2
1.8
0.0
0.2
(15)
SunComm
SUI
Mfd.Homes
1
125.42
134.66
5.4
(6.9)
0.8
(2.5)
6.0
3.3
76
1.2
18.5
(5.7)
22.8
20.2
29
4.2
16.0
0.0
1.4
(137)
VerisResidential
VRE
Apts.
2
15.22
21.57
6.0
(29.4)
1.1
(10.0)
(8.0)
0.7
14
6.6
23.9
(0.2)
21.5
23.8
46
1.7
1.4
0.0
0.1
(10)
Pot.M&A/Wtd.Avg.
6.1
(6.7)
1.2
(3.3)
1.5
4.5
73
0.9
15.2
(1.3)
16.9
17.3
29
4.6
5
1.2
3.9
(268)
Pot.M&A/Str.Avg.
6.3
(12.5)
1.5
(5.4)
(4.6)
3.1
51
(3.0)
13.8
(7.9)
15.8
15.4
35
3.9
5
REITTotal/Wtd.Avg.*
6.0
5.3
0.1
(0.0)
1.0
4.0
73.4
5.7
18.7
3.9
20.6
20.2
30
5.6
10
*Year-to-dateandweek-to-datetotalreturnpursuanttoNAREITEquityTotalReturnIndex.
PleaseseeourWeeklyreportpublishedJanuary30,2025forthebasisforourPotentialM&Alist:WeeklyREITandLodgingStrategy:LookingfortheRightPartner–ThoughtsonREITsM&A
PleaseseeourreportpublishedJanuary30,2025hereforthebasisofourPotentialM&AlistSource:CitiResearchandFactSet
Pricingsasofmarketclose6/11/2025.
4
Figure5.CitiModelPortfolioPositioning
Model
PortfolioIndex
SectorPositionWeightWeight
OW/UW
KeyO/Ws/PositionsKeyU/Ws/NoPositionsCommentary
Healthcare
O/W
18.9
15.3
366
WeareoverweightthehealthcareREITsectorgivenitsresiliencyduringeconomicdownturnsandtheneeds-based
natureoftheirproductofferings.Withinthesector,wepreferseniorhousingandskillednursingwithselectexposuretooutpatientmedicalandlifescience.
DiversifiedHealthcare
O/W
18.9
12.6
632
AHR,OHI,SBRA,VTR,
WELL
Seniorhousingshouldbenefitfromstrongtoplinegrowthdrivenbyoccupancyandpricingpower.Thelabor
environmentcontinuestoimprove,whichshouldsupportNIOmarginexpansion.Theoutlookforskillednursing
continuestoimproveandweexpectoccupancyandrentcoveragetoincreasefurtheraslaborpressureseaseandoperatorscontinuetoeffectivelycontrolcosts.
HealthcareOffice
U/W
0.0
2.7
(266)
ARE,DOC,HR
Outpatientmedicaldemandremainssolid,withbetterre-leasingspreads,greaterleaseescalators,andsolidretentiongrowthdrivenbytrendstodeliverhealthcareinlowercostsettings.Althoughwebelieveinthelifescienceindustry
longer-term,weexpectthatnear-to-mediumtermsupplyheadwindswilltocontinuetoweighonfundamentals.
Residential
O/W
18.6
15.9
268
Needsbasedrealestatewithanattractiverentvs.buyconsideration.Increasingconstructionstarts,potentiallyslowingjobgrowth,andhigherturnoverarerisks.
SingleFamily
O/W
4.1
2.8
126
INVH,AMH
Solidoperatingresultsdrivenbylowerturnoverandunaffordablehousingmarket,offsetbydifficultcomps,increasedsupplypressureandpotentialregulatoryrisks.
Apartments
O/W
11.8
10.7
108
CPT,EQR,UDR
AVB,ESS,IRT,MAA,VRE
Inthenear-to-mediumterm,webelieverentgrowthremainsmodestandthenacceleratesin2H25into2026withlowerdeliveries.
ManufacturedHomes
O/W
2.7
2.4
35
SUI
ELS
Solidorganicgrowthandselectaccretiveexternalopportunitiesbalancedbycompanyspecificrisks.
Industrial
O/W
13.8
12.0
178
EGP,PLD
FR,REXR,STAG,TRNO
Wefavorindustrialgiventheexpectedre-accelerationinnetabsorptionandstabilization/improvementinmarketrentgrowthduring2025/2026alongwithslowingdevelopmentstartsfollowingaperiodofheighteneddeliveriesin2024,whichshouldallhelpsupportpremiumcashSSNOIgrowthrelativetothebroaderREITspace.WethematicallyfavorthoseindustrialREITsthataremoreexposedtonear-shoring/on-shoringtrends.
DataCenters
O/W
13.9
12.2
167
DLR*,EQIX*
WearepositiveondatacentersasthegroupcontinuestobenefitfromafavorabledemandenvironmentwithrespecttovolumeandpricingfromCorecloudandexpandingGenAI,alongwithvarioussupplylimitations
Towers
O/W
1.3
0.0
127
AMT*,CCI*,SBAC*
Overweightasthegroupshouldreturntomorenormalizedorganicrevenuegrowthratesinfutureyears,whileweviewvaluationasattractiveinaflat-todown-rateenvironment.Improvingdomesticleasingactivityassoonas1H25couldbeapositivecatalyst.
CREServices
O/W
0.5
0.0
50
CBRE
JLL,CWK
Webelievetheindustryshouldbenefitfromlongtermseculardemandtailwindsincludingcontinuedoutsourcingofcommercialrealestateservicesneeds.Transactionactivityandleasinghavestartedtopickbackup.
Timber
O/W
0.5
0.0
45
PCH*,WY*
RYN*
WearepositiveonlumberproducersWY&PCHgivenleveragetoaccelerating1-familyconstructionandresilientR&Rdemand;USTimberlandassetsarefurtherpositionedfavorablygivengrowingcarbonoptionality,Canadianlog&lumbersupplyrestrictions,lumbercapacityadds,andstabilizingsawlogpricesintheSouth&PacNW.
Lodging
O/W
2.9
2.6
33
HST,MAR,PK,RHP
DRH,H,HLT,PEB,PLYA,
SHO
Selectnamesreflectattractivevaluation(PK),positivepositioninggivenimprovingvisibility(HST,RHP),strongbalancesheet(HST),andcontinuedexpectedrecoveryinurbanfull-serviceassets(MAR).
OutdoorAdvertising
O/W
1.3
1.1
22
LAMR*,OUT*
Shouldbenefitfromhigherpricing,whilefixedcostnatureofsiteleasesmakebothcompaniesinsulated(onarelativebasis)frominflationinducedcostpressures.
ColdStorage
U/W
0.6
0.7
(12)
COLD
LINE
Weremainunderweightcoldstorageduetoaweakdemandenvironment.Onarelativebasis,wepreferCOLDoverLINEgivenrelativevaluationgap.
SelfStorage
U/W
7.2
7.9
(62)
NSA,PSA
CUBE,EXR
Mutednear-termfundamentalsduetoslowhousingmarketanddifficulttransactionmarketgivenvolatilerates.
Retail
U/W
8.8
10.3
(153)
CURB,KIM,KRG,MAC,
SKT
AKR,BRX,FRT,REG,SITC,
SPG
AFFOgrowthispoisedto
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