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WorkingPaperNo.1107
ArtificialIntelligence:Friend,Foe,Fraud
by
L.RandallWray
LevyEconomicsInstitute
February2026
TheLevyEconomicsInstituteWorkingPaperCollectionpresentsresearchinprogressbyLevyInstitutescholarsandconferenceparticipants.Thepurposeoftheseriesistodisseminateideastoandelicitcommentsfromacademicsandprofessionals.
LevyEconomicsInstituteofBardCollege,foundedin1986,isanonprofit,nonpartisan,independentlyfundedresearchorganizationdevotedtopublicservice.Throughscholarshipandeconomicresearch,itgeneratesviable,effectivepublicpolicyresponsestoimportanteconomicproblemsthatprofoundlyaffectthequalityoflifeintheUnitedStatesandabroad.
LevyEconomicsInstitute
P.O.Box5000
Annandale-on-Hudson,NY12504-5000
Copyright©LevyEconomicsInstitute2026Allrightsreserved
ISSN1547-366X
1
ABSTRACT
Theover-hypedDrevolutionbubbledandcrashedattheendofthe1990s,leavinga
largelyunusedphysicalandvirtualinfrastructurethateventuallysupportedtheriseofsocial
mediathatdid—indeed—transformlife.Notnecessarilyinagoodway.AsRobertGordon
famouslyclaimed,youcanseetheevidenceofthedigitalrevolutioneverywhereexceptinthe
data.Still,manybillionaireswereminted.Afternearlyaquartercenturyofgrowth,itseemedtohaverunitscourseuntildigitaltechmovedintothepaymentssystempromisinganother
revolutionbasedoncryptocurrencies.That,too,wasover-hypeduntilTrump’sreelection
loosenedrulestoallowcryptotoinfectthefinancialsystem,targetinginparticularthe
accumulatedretirementsavingsofAmericans.Morebillionairesminted.AsP.T.Barnum
(purportedly)proclaimed,“there’sasuckerborneveryminute”andtheyaddupbutthenumberisstillfinite.ThelatestrevolutionisAIandithasgeneratedthebiggestbubble,byfar.Weare
stillintheearlystages,butnotonlyisAIalmostsingle-handedlydrivingthestockmarket,itisalsodrivingthe“real”economywithitsinvestmentsindatacenters.One-hundredandthree
Americanbillionaireswerecreatedsince2024,muchofthoseowingtoAI-relatedstockpricesandinvestments.ThispaperwilllookindetailattheclaimsmadeforAI,thefinancial
arrangementsthataresupportingitsgrowth,andthedangersitposesfortheUS(andglobal)
economies.WhilesomearguethatthecurrentbubblelookslittleliketheDbubble,thatistrue,butbesidethepoint.ThefragilefinancingoftheAIbubblelooksmuchmorelikethe
financialshenanigansthatcrashedintotheGlobalFinancialCrisis,and—unliketheDbubblethatleftuswithaphysicalinfrastructurethatwouldeventuallyproveuseful—theAIbubblewillleavebehindwasteanddestruction.
JELCODES:B52;E22;E32;O11;O16;O31;O38;O43;P170
KEYWORDS:ArtificialIntelligence;financialfragility,AIbubble;techbillionaires;financialfraud;technologicalrevolution;Dbubble;GlobalFinancialCrisis;fraud;innovation;
labordisplacementbyrobots
2
AsthelongCOVIDlock-downslowlyretreatedfromournation’scolleges,allowingustoreturntoclassrooms,facultyweresuddenlyhitwithanewandperhapsmoredangerouschallengeas
AI-drivenchatbotschangedforeverhowweapproachteaching.Atfirst,mostofusforbadeits
use,threateningstudentswithfailureshouldtheydareto“cheat”byusingittoanswerhomeworkquestions.Butwhenfacedwithreasonablywell-writtenbutlargelynonsensicalessayson
heterodoxeconomics(withtheargumentsobviouslyscrapedfromonlineorthodoxcritiques),proofofindiscretionwasproblematic.
Enterchatbotsthatwouldoutthechatbots!Unfortunately,thoseprovedtobeasunreliableasthechatbotsthattriedtowriteanessayonMinsky’sfinancialinstabilityhypothesis.So,Itriedanewtactic:Iusedchatbotstowritethreeorfouressaysansweringahomeworkquestion,then
synthesizedthoseintoalargelymisguidedessaythatIforcedstudentstocritique.ThatlastedtwosemestersafterwhichIabandoneditastoomuchwork.Istoppedassigningtake-homewritingassignmentsandreturnedtotheoldtechnology:in-classpen-and-paperessayexams.
AIisnoweverywhere.Itcannotbeavoidedanditinterfereswitheveryactivityonelivinginthemodernworldmightundertake.Elementaryandhighschoolteachershavegivenupteaching
readingandwriting—whatisthepoint,whenAIcanandinevitablywillwriteeveryassignmentgiventotheirstudents
.1
Evidenceisaccumulatingthatnotonlyarestudentsincapableofwritingontheirown,butalsothattheycannolongerthinkontheirown.Ratherthanwastingtime
pondering,theyjustasktheirhandybotthatis,literally,intheirhandwiththeentireuniverseofhumanknowledgetherefortheasking.Theirbotnotonlyknowstheanswers(orhallucinates
them),butitalsoknowsthequestions,theinterests,thelovesandthehatesoftheirbestie.Theanswersmaynotbefactuallycorrect,buttheyaretherightanswersbecausetheirbotlivestoplease.
WhilesomesupportersofAIremindusthathand-heldcalculatorsweresaidtoposetheriskthatkidswouldneverlearnmath,thatisnot
1AsNakedCapitalism(Smith2026)reported,“Afourthgraderaskedtheirteacher,“WhydoIneedtolearnhowtoreadifAIcanreadforme?”
3
afaircomparisonbecausecalculatorsreplacecomputationafterwelearnedhowmathworked.AIshowsupbeforestudentseverlearnhowtothinkthroughaproblem.Whatwearewitnessingisthatstudentsarenowincapableinsittinginanykindofintellectualdiscomfort….ThisiswhatpeoplemisswhentheycompareAItocalculators.It’snotjustmath.That’sliterallyeverysubject,includingthinkingitself.(Smith2026)
TheEconomist(2025)reported:
Overthecourseofaseriesofessay-writingsessions,studentsworkingwith(aswellaswithout)ChatGPTwerehookeduptoelectroencephalograms(EEGs)tomeasuretheirbrainactivityastheytoiled.Acrosstheboard,theAIusersexhibitedmarkedlylowerneuralactivityinpartsofthebrainassociatedwithcreativefunctionsandattention.Studentswhowrotewiththechatbot’shelpalsofounditmuchhardertoprovideanaccuratequotefromthepaperthattheyhadjustproduced.
NakedCapitalism(Smith2026),again,reports:
Researcherscallitcognitiveoffloading.Theydevelopthispatternofgeneratingfirstandthinkinglater,orreallygeneratingfirstandnotthinkingatall.Andthescarypartisthesestudiesareshowingcognitivedeclineinadults,peoplewithfullydevelopedbrains.IfAIisdoingthistoadults,thenwhatisitdoingtoabrainthat’sstillforming?
ThinkaboutAmerica’selectiondeniers,vaccineskeptics,andconspiracytheorists—thevast
majorityofwhomfinishedschoolbeforeAI,andpresumablylearnedhowtoread,write,and
evenreason.However,sinceleavingschool,overthepastfewyearstheyhavebeeninundated
withsocialmedia—nowdrivenbyAI—tosuchanextentthattheyembracepatentlyridiculousmusings(BarakObamawasborninKenya[O’Rourke2025]andimmigrantsareeatingourpets[ArkinandIngram2024])andalt-rightreports(HillaryClintonwasinvolvedwithapedophiliagangoperatingoutofapizzajoint[Putterman2020]).
YettheargumentsforAIareappealing,evenmesmerizing.AIwillmakeusmoreproductive,
replacingmonotonousworkandfreeinghumanstofocusoncreativeendeavors.Itwillvastly
speed-upthecreationofnewdrugstofinallytacklecancerandotherdiseasesthathavelong
seemedintractable.Doctorsthatarelimitedbyinsurersto15-minuteexaminationsarehappytomeetwithpatientspreppedbyAItoself-diagnosetheirailmentsandcomewithashortlistof
treatmentoptions.ShopperssavetimeastheirgrocerhasusedindividualizedAIprofilingtofilltheircartsbeforetheyevenstepintothestore.Surveillancepricingensuresthateachindividualpaysapricethatexactlymatchestheirwillingnesstopay.
4
EmployersuseAIsystemsthatadjustworkerpayinrealtimetorewardperformanceand
positivecustomerfeedback.Workersarefinallyrewardedfortheirindividualmarginal
productivityasemployerscloselysurveileveryworkereverysecondofeveryworkingday.
Bankerssetcreditcardandmortgageratestooptimallyburdeneachborrower—withrichfolkgettingrewardsoncreditcards,anddesperatelow-incomeborrowerspaying28%onloans
neededtopurchaseajunkyusedcartogettowork.
Neoclassicaleconomicshascomeintoitsown!Prices,wages,andinterestratesaresetto
preciselyclearallmarkets—simultaneously—somethingthatwasimpossiblewithrealhumansandreal-worldmarkets,withalltheirwell-knownflaws.
SomeoftheAIforecastsaredownrightawe-inspiring.GDPgrowthratesof20percentperyearareclaimedtobelikelyonceAIautomatesathirdofalltasks.Thiswillobviatetheproblemofdecliningbirthrates—asartificialgeneralintelligence(AGI)allows“forrunawayinnovation
withoutanyincreaseinpopulation,supercharginggrowthinGDPperperson”thatwillallowGDPgrowthratestosurpass30percentperyear(Economist2025b)!
TylerCowenpredictsthatAI-runfactorieswillproducemanufacturedgoodsthatare“essentiallyfree.”WilliamNordhausbelievesthiswillbringon“singularity”whenoutput“becomes
infinite.”Proponentswarnthatwhenthatsingularitycomes,“youhadbetterberich”(Economist2025b)
.2
Woebethefateofthosewithoutcapital.WhileanythingproducedbyAIwouldbe
virtuallyfree,“anythingstilllabour-intensive—childcare,say,oreatingout”wouldbeexpensive.
Donotworryaboutjoblossasthedisplacedworkerswillbecomeowners.Intheverynear
future,“people’sonlysourceofremuneration[willcome]asrentiers—ownersofcapital.”Truecapitalism!Theworkerlesseconomyofthenearfutureishumanity’sultimatedestination!Lavishrichesareontheirway—nosavingnecessary!Keynes’s“EconomicPossibilitiesforour
Grandchildren”mightyetbeachieved.By2030!
2ContrastthiswithMusk’sassessmentthatsavingforretirementisunnecessarybecauseAIwilleliminatescarcity(Quiroz-Gutierrez2026).
5
Now,ofcourse,thisisgoingtorequirealotofinvestmentinAI.Accordingtoestimates,globalspendingonAI-relatedenterprisesreached$1.5trillionin2025andinvestmentshouldtotal$5to$7trillionbetween2026–30justforthedatacentersrequired.Noworries(Storm2025a)
.3
Today,Nvidia,themostimportantchipmakerisvaluedatmorethan$4.5trillion,andaddingthemainplayers,Amazon,Google,Meta,andOpenAIbringsthatupto$17trillion.WithWallStreet
banksandprivateequityjumpingintosupplycomplexfinancingreminiscentoftheDandhousingbubblesofthenaughts,achievingthefinancialleveragerequiredtofueltheAIboom
shouldnotbeaproblem
.4
InthenextthreesectionswewilldigdeeperintotheissuessurroundingthegrowthofAItoconsiderwhetheritisourfriend,afoe,orlargelyjustanoverhypedfraud.
FRIEND?
Robotshavelongbeenafeatureofsciencefiction:Asimov’s1950IRobotlaysoutthethreelawsofroboticswhileintheearly1960s,TV’sLostinSpacefeaturedarobotasafamily’sfriendandprotectorandTheJetsonsfamilywasservedbyarobotichousekeeper.Threeorfourgenerationslater,roboticsisfinallycatchinguptothatfictionalscience.
Intherealworld,however,machineshavebeensubstitutingforhumanlaborfortensof
centuries,continuallytakingonmorecomplextasksevenifwewouldnotassignmuch
intelligencetothem.Whiletherehasalwaysbeenafearthatmachineswouldtakeawayourjobs(fomentingunrestbyLuddites)orreducehumanitytomereappendagesofmachines(Smith,
Marx),intruthnewjobsandentirelynewoccupationshavebeencreatedatasufficientpacetomorethanoffsetjoblossesevenasmachinesmadeworklessphysicallydemanding.
3OnJanuary28,2026,Bloombergreported:“Microsofthasbeenrushingtobakeartificialintelligencetools,
includingthosepoweredbyOpenAI,intoitsproducts,bettingthatchatbotsandautomationtechnologywillboostsalesofthecompany’sproductivitysoftwareandcloudservices.Capitalexpendituresforthefiscalsecondquarterhit$37.5billion,up66%fromayearearlierandexceedinganalystestimatesfor$36.2billion.”
4InearlyFebruary,thereweresomehiccupsinfinancialmarketsassomeplayersstartedtoworryaboutthecontrastbetweenthehugeinvestmentsanddebtsincurredversusthereportedrevenue.
6
Whileaneconomy’sproductivityisdifficulttomeasure(laborinputandtheoutputofgoodsandservicesarebothheterogeneous),thereislittledoubtthatmachineryandroboticshave
contributedgreatlytotheriseoflaborproductivity.Moreoutputperworkermeansthereare
moregoodsandservicestobeconsumedbytheworker’sfamily.Forexample,in1909,
Americanseachpurchasedanaverageof3,400caloriesworthoffooddaily,costingthem43
percentoftheirincome;todaytheybuy3,900caloriesthatcostsonly11percentoftheir
income—leavingathirdoftheirincometopurchaseothertypesofgoodsandservices(The
Economics2025b).Whilethegainsarenotequallyshared,andwhilechronicallyhigh
unemployment(andunderemployment)remainsaproblem,asRobertGordon(2016)highlightedinhisbookonthe“specialcentury,”industrializationspurredunprecedentedgrowthof
productivity.
However,Gordonfindsthatwhatisarguablythemostimportantinnovationofthepastthree
decades—theinternet—doesnotshowupintheproductivitydata.Heofferssomepossible
explanations.Computerscertainlyincreasedproductivityinmanyapplications,buthebelievesmostofthegainsprecededtheinternet(asfirmscomputerizedoperationsintheeraof
mainframecomputers).Whiletheinternethasobviousentertainmentvalueandisusefulforsocialmedia,itdoesnotseemtoimprovelaborproductivity.
FlaviaDantasandI(2022)havearguedthatGordoninexplicablyunderplaystheroleofeffectivedemandinthisfinding.Whilehecreditstheroleplayedbygrowingaggregatedemandinthe
secondhalfofthespecialcentury(thatis,fromthe1920stothe1970s),hedoesnotaddressthechronicstagnationofthegrowthofaggregatedemandfromthe1970stothepresent.Thesupplysideoftheeconomywillnotgrowquicklyifthedemandsideisnotgrowing.Perhapsthe
problemisnotthatlaptopcomputersandtheinternethavefailedtoboostproductivity,butthat
insufficientaggregatedemandleadstoslowgrowthandthusapparentlylowproductivitygrowth.
Forexample,herecognizestheimportanceoftheBabyBoomandthedevelopmentofthe
suburbsinfuelingrapidgrowthofthesupplysideintheearlypostwarperiodinAmerica—butseemstoignorethestagnationofdemandfromthe1970sasthemaincauseoflackluster
performanceofproductivity.Sincenewtechnologyisintroducedlargelythroughinvestmentin
7
productivecapital,itisnotsurprisingthatlackofdemandmeanslittleinvestmentinnewtechnologytoboostoutputforwhichthereislittledemand.
Theintroductionoftheinternetled,ofcourse,totheDbubble.Investmentsinfiberopticstemporarilyboostedbusinessspendingandpurchasesofcomputersandthensmartphones
boostedconsumptionspending—allowinggrowthduringClinton’ssecondtermtotemporarily
matchgrowthofthe“goldenage.”Thecollapseofthatbubble(and,soonafter,thecollapseof
thehousingbubble)reducedspendingandbankruptedmanyDfirms.However,the
internet’slegacyinfrastructureremainedandgraduallydemandgrewtobringmuchofitonline.Eventhoughconsumersregularlytradeduptofastercomputing,pricesfellforawhileandthenwenthorizontal.Sinceproductivitygrowthisessentiallymeasuredasoutputvaluerelativeto
paidlaborinput,itwasrelativelystagnantduringthedecadesofthespreadoftheinternet.Butifproductivityweremeasuredbycomputingpowerembodiedinthe“internetofthings,”ithas
growntremendously.
Inotherwords,theapparentlackofproductivitygrowththatcanbeattributedtotheinternetis
notbecausetheinternetfailedusbutratherbecausethemetricweuserequiresnominalspendingtogrow.Whiletherewasaninitialburstofspending(layingfiberopticcablesandstartingup
thousandsofinternetfirms—manyofwhichweredestinedtodiequickly)thesimultaneous
burstingofthebubblesinDs,housing,andcommoditymarketsledtoveryslowgrowthofaggregatedemand.Thecombinationofslowgrowthandnegativeimpactsoftheinterneton
manysectorsoftheeconomy(onlineshoppingreplacedbrickandmortarstores;onlinework
reducedcommutingandfoottrafficatlunchtime;streamingreplacedmovienightatthecinema,etc.)ledtolowmeasuredgrowthofproductivity.
Forthesakeofargument,letusassumethattheinternetisourfriend—thatthebenefitsoflivingonlineoutweighthecostsofaddictiontosocialmedia,thethreatsofidentitytheftandother
kindsofinternet-relatedfraud,andthelossofin-personinteraction.WhatdoesAIpromisetoaddtooureconomythatisalreadyonline?
8
First,thereistheinvestmentinphysicalinfrastructurerequiredforAI—largely,buildingdatacentersaswellasrampingupelectricitygeneration—togetherthatissaidtorequirespendingordersofmagnitudegreaterthanwhattheinternetboomgenerated.ThatwillboostgrowthofGDPandcreatejobs(atleastintheshortrun).Bytheendof2028investmentindatacentersisexpectedtoexceed$3trillion.(Anotherestimateisthat122gigawattsofdatacentercapacitywillbebuiltbetween2026and2030atacostofbetween$5trillionand$7trillion.)Thepowerrequirementforthedatacentersisestimatedtototal57gigawattsbetween2025and2028—
equivalenttomorethanfiveNewYorkCities.(Globally,datacenterdemandforelectricityisprojectedtoriseby19to22percentannually.)
5
AIalsoneedschips,lotsofthem.Thebiggestproducer—accountingforabout94percentofthechipsneededforAI—isNvidia,whichwasthefirstpubliccorporationtoreachamarketvalueof$5trillion.(AddingAmazon,Google,Meta,andOpenAIbringsthetotalcapitalizationofthe
biggestAI-relatedfirmsto$17trillion—morethantheentirestockmarketvalueatthepeakoftheDbubble.)Finally,AIspendingonmodeltrainingandinference(projectedat$8.67billion)addstoGDPgrowth(Smith2025).
Alltold,theAIboomaccountedfor40percentofGDPgrowthinthefirsthalfof2025—
amazingforasectorthataccountsforonlyafewpercentoftotaloutput.Thetechsectormore
broadlydefinedaccountedforvirtuallyallofthegrowthofGDPinthefirsthalfof2025(therestoftheeconomygrewbyonly0.1percent).Upto80percentoftheriseofthestockmarketin
2025wasduetoAI-relatedfirms.Clearly,spendingrelatedtobuildingupAIhasbeenan
importantdriverofaggregatedemandandofwealthcreationintheformofrisingshareprices.
WhataretheimplicationsofscalingupuseofAIforfirms,workers,andconsumers?Abovewesawsomeoftheclaims—attheextreme,eventualeliminationofallwork.Itseemslogicalto
assumethatAIwouldcontinuetoeliminatethedrudgeryoflowskilledwork.Theevidencesofar,however,isthatAIhashadabiggereffectonthehighlyskilledworkingoncomplextasks
5WhilethegrowthofelectricityrequiredislargerelativetocapacityaddedintheUSoverthepastcoupleof
decades,Chinaadded1500gigawattsinthepastfouryears!Chinesecapacityisabout3900GWnowversusabout1400GWfortheUS.
9
suchasresearchandmanagement.Further,AI’sbiggestimpactonproductivityispositively
correlatedwithcompetence:topperformersbenefitmorethanlowerperformingpeers.However,neitherlow-paidnorhigh-paidworkersseemtobereplacedbyAI—thebiggestlosersappeartobemiddlemanagement.Therearesomeexceptions—suchascashiersreplacedbyself-check-out.Yet,wagegrowthremainsrelativelystrong(evenwiththeFed’sreluctancetoloosenpolicy,andwithlowhiringinaslowingeconomy),indicatingthatAIisnotyetreducingdemandforlabor
significantly.
ThiscouldchangeasAIbecomesmorewidelyadopted.OnlyabouttenpercentofAmerican
companiesaremakingmuchuseofitsofartoproducegoodsandservices.WhileitmakessensetoexpectAItoeventuallyreplacealotoflabor,theevidenceissofarunclear.Oneareathatis
oftenmentionedasparticularlysuitedforAIiscoding,whereAIisalreadywidelyused.Itcangreatlyincreasethepaceofcodingandreduceerrors.Thismakescodersmoreproductive,
althoughperhapsthatwillincreasetheirvaluetofirms—increasingwagesratherthanreducingemployment.Asmentionedearlier,italsomakesdoctorsmoreproductiveandprobably
improvesrelationswithpatients.
MedicalbreakthroughsareoftenmentionedasthefieldthatwillbenefitgreatlybyuseofAI,
whichcanquicklydevelopnewdrugtreatmentsfordeadlyailments.Theproblemisthatthe
biggestdelayinadoptingnewtreatmentsisnotthetimerequiredtocreatethedrugsorvaccines(thinkoftheCOVID“moonshot”),butratheritistherequirementfortrialsandapproval.Whilewecouldloosentheregulatoryprocess,thatwouldraisethespecterofanotherthalidomide
disaster(avoidedintheUSAbecausetheFDArefusedtoapproveit).Further,manyofthemostseriousdiseasesthatwewouldliketotacklearerelativelyrare,makingitdifficulttolineup
volunteerstoparticipateincontrolledtests.WhileAImightindeedprovetobeuseful,the
benefitsareoverstatedunlessaccountistakenofthetimerequiredtotest,approve,produce,anddistributethenewdrugs.
Incontrasttothewildestimatescitedearlier,DanielAcemogluestimatesthatAIwillincreaseglobalGDPbyonlyapercentortwooverthenextdecade(althoughheassumesalowtake-up,withonlyabout5percentoftaskstakenawayfromworkers)(TheEconomics2025b).This
10
wouldmaketheimpactofAIontheeconomymoresimilartothatoftheinternet—inspiteof
significantimpactsonhumanlives,theimpactoneconomicgrowthmightbefarbelowtherosyprojections.
AIisalreadywidelyusedbyconsumers—whethertheylikeitornot!(ThenewGoogleforcesitsAI“overview”summaryonallusers;Appleplansto
remakeSiri
intoanA.I.chatbotthatwillbeinstallediniPhone,iPadandMacoperatingsystemsandwillreplacetheexistinginterface.)It
hassignificantlychangedhowpeoplebrowsetheinternetasqueriesincreasinglygothroughAI.Thiscanreducethenumberofsitesonevisitstofindtheinformationdesired.AIhelpsorganizecalendars,bookrestaurantsandvacations,identifystockstopurchase,summarizepassages,
outlinearguments,anddoyourkid’shomework.Itcansurveilyourhousewhenyouareaway,translatelanguagesinrealtime,writesongs,andcreatepornographicmovies.AIbotsoffer
advice,consoletheirhumanpartners,andinsomecasesserveasloveinterests(perhaps
generatingmoredivorcesasmarriedhumansfindtheirbotsmoreappealing).Itcanimprove
weatherforecasts,helpairtrafficcontrollerssafelylandplanes,and—potentially—increasethepaceofformulationofdrugstotreatillness.
Sofar,muchoftheuseofAIis“free”—totheconsumer,butnottotheprovider.ThedownsideofthisequationisthatrevenueflowingtofirmsprovidingAIisminisculewhiletheirdebtis
growingrapidly.Thisisclearlynotsustainable—anissueweexamineinthenextsection.
FOE?
Letusexaminesomeofthe(possibly)detrimentalimpactsofAI.HerewefocusonwhatmightbecalledunintentionalconsequencesofthespreadofAIthatcanhavenegativeeconomicandsocialimpactsonhumans,society,andtheeconomy.ThisincludesactivitiesthatareenabledbytheuseofAIbybadactors.Inthenextsectionwewillfocusonfraudthatisinsomesense
intentionallyperpetratedbythepurveyorsofAI.
11
Deepfakes,FinancialFrauds
ElonMusk’sAI,Grok,recentlymadenews,butnotinagoodwayasitcreatedandsharedon
Musk’sXplatformalmost2millionnonconsensualsexualizedimagesofrealwomeninthefirstninedaysaftertheappwasreleased(Conger,Freedman,andThompson2026).Therewerealsotensofthousandsofsuchimagesofchildren.Atfirst,Musklaughedofftheuproar—theabilitytocreatelife-likepornmovieswasa“feature”,nota“bug”ofAI’spossibilities.However,he
relentedandbannedsuchcontentfromX,buttheappremainsonGrokandthereareplentyofotherAIforumsthatoffersimilarapps.
AIhasalsobeenusedtofalsifypoliticalcandidatestatements—literally“puttingwordsintotheirmouths.”TheTrumpadministrationusedAItomanipulatethephotoofacivilrightsattorneyinashockingmanner
,6
andTrump(orhisstaff)postedaracistdeepfakedepictingtheObamasasmonkeys(Gomezetal.2026).Theinternetisnowfulloffakedvideosofeveryimaginabletype.ItiseasytotrainAItoclonevoiceswithonlyashortrecordingoftherealdeal—fuelingscams.Thelistgoesonandon:phishing,deepfakeimpersonations(achildintroubleneedsmoney
fromgrandma),spearfishing(useofsocialmediatogleaninformationfortargetedpersonalattacks),andgenerativeAIfraud(impersonatingaCEO;creatinganonexistentborrower).
AIhasmadeiteasyandcheaptocreateveryreal-lookingimposterwebsitesthatmimiconlineretailers:
Artificialintelligencecodingagentshavebeengettingsocapableandintuitive,basicallyanyonecanprogramtheirownsoftwarewithoutmuchtechnicalknowledge.Wanttobuildyourselfawebsite?JusttellyourAIcodingagentwhatyouwant,etvoilà.Butloweringthebarriertosophisticatedwebdesignisalsoopeningthedoortomorescams.CybersecurityfirmNetCraftsaidlastyearitidentified100,000AI-generatedwebsitesimpersonatingalmost200differentbrands….“It'sthesamescam.It'sjust,it'scheapertodoitonabroaderscale,”saidCharlesHendersonwithcybersecurityfirmCoalfire….AImakesitpossibletogeneratedozensofofficial-lookingsitesadaywithjustafewprompts.(Carino2026)
6“TheWhiteHousepostedamanipulatedphotoofherarresttoitsofficialsocialmediaaccount,depictingMs.LevyArmstrong,acivilrightsattorneyandactivist,ashysterical—tearsstreamingdownherface,herhairdisheveled,
appearingtocryoutindespair”(Green2026).Asthearticlesays,itiscommonforTrumpandtheWhiteHousetomanipulatephotosforpostingonsocialmedia,butofteninan
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