美债违约将冲击亚洲经济增长一托福阅读机经背景.docx

智课网TOEFL备考资料美债违约将冲击亚洲经济增长一托福阅读机经背景 The Asian Development Bank (ADB) released its updated economic outlook on Wednesday. The bank revised downward its growth expectations for the region this year, and added that further significant changes in the forecast will have to be made if the U.S. government defaults on its debt obligations later this month. 亚洲开发银行(ADB)星期三公布了最新的经济展望，把亚洲地区今年的增长幅度向下调整。不过，如果美国政府本月晚些时候发生债务违约，有关预测还会出现重大变化。 In a revision released on Wednesday, the ADB revised down its GDP growth forecast for Asia to 6 percent from the 6.6 percent it predicted in April. That is due to softer-than-expected economic activity in China and India and worries about the impact of the quantitative easing program in the United States. 由于中国和印度的经济扩张比预期缓慢，再加上担心美国量化宽松”货币政策的影响，亚银星期三把亚洲GDP增长幅度从4月预测的6.6%下调到6%。 What the revision does not include is what would occur if U.S. lawmakers do not raise the governments debt ceiling this month. That would prompt an unprecedented technical default by the United States on its financial obligations. 修改后的预测并不包括美国国会如本月拒不提高政府借款上限所带来的后果。这将导致美国国债技术性违约。 The ADBs chief economist, Chang Yong-rhee, tells VOA that would certainly mean slower growth, not only for the U.S. but for Asia as well. The resulting market turmoil, he forecasts, would bring the biggest economic storm to the region since the 2008 financial crisis. 亚洲开发银行的首席经济师李昌镛(Changyong Rhee)对美国之音说，美国国债技术性违约将导致美国和亚洲经济发展放慢，随后的股市不稳会导致亚洲出现2008年亚洲金融危机以来的最大的经济风暴。 We can expect a large outflow from the region. And probably the foreign direct investment and funding issues will come again. So I would rather say that, maybe, not as strong as 2008 but the impact can be close to that, said Chang. 他说：“预计会有大量资金流出，可能会再次出现外国直接投资和资金短缺的问题。所以我要说， 可能不会像2008年那么严重但是影响跟2008年差不多。” Chang, speaking from Hong Kong, pointed out that some Asian countries would weather the financial storm better than others. 李昌镛在香港接受采访时说，有些国家会比其他一些国家更有能力抵御金融风暴。 If youre talking about low-income Asian countries which have a very limited linkage with the U.S. economy and also their financial markets are relatively closed, I think the impact will be less. But if youre talking about Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, South Korea, Hong Kong and Singapore whose capital markets are more open and their growth has been fueled by the capital inflows recently, they will be significantly impacted, explained Chang. 他说：“一些低收入的亚洲国家跟美国经济的经济联系非常有限，金融市场也相对封闭，他们受到的影响比较校但是印尼、马来西亚、泰国、韩国、香港和新加波的资本市场更开放，最近的发展受到外来资本的刺激，他们会受到很大影响。” Chang says if a new debt limit is not approved by the U.S. Congress, in the next few weeks the ADB will begin to run a new model to devise fresh growth projections for the Asian region. 李昌镛说，如果美国国会不批准新的借款上限，亚洲开发银行今后几个星期就要测试新的模式，为亚洲地区今后的经济发展做出新的预测。 For 2014, the bank now pegs regional growth at 6.2 percent, down from its projection of 6.7 percent forecast six months ago. 亚银星期三的预测把亚洲明年的经济增长从六个月前预计的6.7%降低到6.2%。 U.S. Treasury Secretary Joseph Lew warned Congress on Tuesday that he had already taken every extraordinary measure he could to keep under the current legal debt limit of $16.7 trillion dollars. The treasury, Lew said, would run out of borrowed money by October 17th and the funds could be exhausted even sooner if the partial government shutdown that began Tuesday is not ended quickly. 美国财政部长杰克卢星期二警告国会说，他已经采取了一切可能的非常措施把债务控制在目前的16.7万亿美元以下。他