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Chapter One,The Market - Appreciating Economic Modeling,天马行空官方博客:/tmxk_docin ;QQ:1318241189;QQ群:175569632,The Purpose of this Chapter,To begin to understand the art of building an economic model To begin to understand three basic elements of modeling in economics: Purpose Simplification through assumptions Value judgment,The Purpose of an Economic Model,The purpose of an economic model is to help provide precise insights (精确的洞察力)on a specific economic phenomenon. Thus: Different phenomena needs different model; Simplification by assumption is necessary,An Illustration: Modeling the Apartment Market,Purpose: How are apartment rents determined? Are rents “desirable”? Simplifying assumptions: apartments are close or distant, but otherwise identical distant apartments rents are exogenous (外生变量) and known many potential renters and landlords,Two Very Common Modeling Assumptions,Rational Choice (理性选择): Each person tries to choose the best alternative available to him or her. Equilibrium (均衡): economic agents interact with each other, resulting in an equilibrium, in which each person reaches an optimal decision given others decisions.,Modeling Apartment Demand,Demand: Suppose the most any one person is willing to pay to rent a close apartment is $500/month. Then p = $500 QD = 1. Suppose the price has to drop to $490 before a 2nd person would rent. Then p = $490 QD = 2.,Modeling Apartment Demand,The lower is the rental rate p, the larger is the quantity of close apartments demanded p QD . The quantity demanded vs. price graph is the market demand curve for close apartments.,Market Demand Curve for Apartments,p,QD,Modeling Apartment Supply,Supply: It takes time to build more close apartments so in this short-run the quantity available is fixed (at say 100).,Market Supply Curve for Apartments,p,QS,100,Competitive Market Equilibrium (竞争性市场均衡),Quantity demanded = quantity available price will neither rise nor fall so the market is at a competitive equilibrium.,Competitive Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,pe,100,People willing to pay pe for close apartments get close apartments.,People not willing to pay pe for close apartments get distant apartments.,Comparative Statics (静态比较分析),What is exogenous in the model? price of distant apartments quantity of close apartments incomes of potential renters. What happens if these exogenous variables change? Note: We are not analyzing the transition process or dynamic process.,Comparative Statics,Suppose the price of distant apartment rises. Demand for close apartments increases (rightward shift), causing A higher price for close apartments.,Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,pe,100,Higher demand causes higher market price; same quantity traded.,More Comparative Statics (Do Them Yourself),Suppose there were more close apartments. Or, renters income rises;,Elaboration of the Basic Model: Taxation Policy Analysis,Local government taxes apartment owners. What happens to price quantity of close apartments rented? Is any of the tax “passed” to renters?,Taxation Policy Analysis,Market supply is unaffected. Market demand is unaffected. So the competitive market equilibrium is unaffected by the tax. Price and the quantity of close apartments rented are not changed. Landlords pay all of the tax.,Imperfectly Competitive Market Case 1: A Monopolistic Landlord,Landlord sets a rental price p he rents D(p) apartments. Revenue = pD(p). He chooses p to maximizes p D(p), subject to D(p) = S (total number of apartments in his hands) Typically, his optimal p is such that D(p) S, that is, there are vacant apartments.,Monopolistic Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,Middle price,Middle price, medium quantity demanded, larger revenue. Monopolist does not rent all the close apartments.,100,Vacant close apartments.,Imperfectly Competitive Market Case 2: Perfectly Discriminatory Monopolistic Landlord,Imagine the monopolist knew willingness-to-pay of everybody, Charge $500 to the most willing-to-pay, charge $490 to the 2nd most willing-to-pay, etc.,Discriminatory Monopolistic Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,100,p1 =$500,1,Discriminatory Monopolistic Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,100,p1 =$500,p2 =$490,1,2,Discriminatory Monopolistic Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,100,p1 =$500,p2 =$490,1,2,p3 =$475,3,Discriminatory Monopolistic Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,100,p1 =$500,p2 =$490,1,2,p3 =$475,3,Discriminatory Monopolistic Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,100,p1 =$500,p2 =$490,1,2,p3 =$475,3,pe,Discriminatory monopolist charges the competitive market price to the last renter, and rents the competitive quantity of close apartments.,Rent Control (房租管制),Local government imposes a maximum legal price, pmax pe, the competitive price.,Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,pe,100,pmax,Excess demand,The 100 close apartments are no longer allocated by willingness-to-pay (lottery, lines, large families first?).,Value Judgement (价值判断),Which of the following is better? Rent control Perfect competition Monopoly Discriminatory monopoly But, what do you mean by “better”?,Pareto Efficiency (帕累托效率),Vilfredo Pareto; 1848-1923. A Pareto outcome allows no “wasted welfare”; i.e. the only way one persons welfare can be improved is to lower another persons welfare.,Pareto Efficiency,A Pareto inefficient outcome means there remain unrealized mutual gains-to-trade. Any market outcome that achieves all possible gains-to-trade must be Pareto efficient.,Pareto Efficiency,Competitive equilibrium: all close apartment renters value them at the market price pe or more all others value close apartments at less than pe so no mutually beneficial trades remain so the outcome is Pareto efficient.,Pareto Efficiency,Discriminatory Monopoly: assignment of apartments is the same as with the perfectly competitive market so the discriminatory monopoly outcome is also Pareto efficient.,Pareto Efficiency,Monopoly: not all apartments are occupied so a distant apartment renter could be assigned a close apartment and have higher welfare without lowering anybody elses welfare. so the monopoly outcome
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