《财务管理英》PPT课件.ppt

,chapter 1 & 3 Scope and environment of financial management,Development of Financial Management,Early 20th century: Concentrated on reporting to outsiders.,Early 21st century: Insiders managing and controlling the firms financial operations.,At the turn of the twentieth century financial topics focused on the formation of new companies and their legal regulation and the process of raising funds in the capital markets. The companys secretary was in charge of raising funds and producing the annual reports, as well as the accounting function.,Business failures during the Great Depression of the 1930s helped change the focus of finance. Increased emphasis was placed on bankruptcy, liquidity management and avoidance of financial problems.,After World War the emphasis of corporate finance switched from financial accounting and external reporting to cost accounting and reporting and financial analysis on behalf of the firms managers. That is, the perspective of finance changed from reporting only to outsiders to that of an insider charged with the management and control of the firms financial operations.,Capital budgeting became a major topic in finance. This led to an increased interest in related topics, most notably firm valuation. Interest in these topics grew and in turn spurred interest in security analysis, portfolio theory and capital structure theory.,Typical Finance Structure,Chief accountant is also called financial controller, whose responsibilities include financial reporting to outsiders as well as cost and managerial accounting and financial analysis on behalf of the firms managers. Corporate treasurer is in charge of raising funds, managing liquidity and banking relationships and controlling risks.,Financial Goal of the Firm,Profit maximisation?,In microeconomics courses profit maximisation is frequently given as the financial goal of the firm. Profit maximisation functions largely as a theoretical goal.,Problems: UNCERTAINTY of returns TIMING of returns,Shareholder wealth maximisation?,Same as: Maximising firm value Maximising share values,It takes into account uncertainty or risk, time, and other factors that are important to the owners. But many things affect share prices.,Difficulty: The agency problem,Agency problem,The agency problem refers to the fact that a firms managers will not work to maximise benefits to the firms owners unless it is in the managers interest to do so. This problem is the result of a separation of the management and ownership of the firm.,Agency Costs,The costs, such as reduced share price, associated with potential conflict between managers and investors when these two groups are not the same.,In order to lessen the agency problem, some companies have adopted practices such as issuing stock options (share options) to their executives.,Financial Decisions and Risk-return Relationships,Almost all financial decisions involve some sort of risk-return trade-off. The more risk the firm is willing to assume, the higher the expected return from a given course of action.,Risk and Returns,Why Prices Reflect Value,Efficient Markets,Markets in which the values of all assets and securities at any instant in time fully reflect all available information.,Assumption,Organisational Forms,Sole proprietorships Partnerships Companies,Nature of the organisational forms,Sole proprietorship Owned by a single individual Absence of any formal legal business structure The owner maintains title to the assets and is personally responsible, generally without limitation, for the liabilities incurred. The proprietor is entitled to the profits from the business but also absorb any losses.,Partnership The primary difference between a partnership and a sole proprietorship is that the partnership has more than one owner. Each partner is jointly and severally responsible for the liabilities incurred by the partnership.,Company A company may operate a business in its own right. That is, this entity functions separately and apart from its owners. The owners elect a board of directors, whose members in turn select individuals to serve as corporate officers, including the manager and the company secretary. The shareholders liability is generally limited to the amount of his or her investment in the company.,Limited company (Ltd) and proprietary limited company (Pty Ltd) Ltd companies are generally public companies whose shares may be listed on a stock exchange, ownership in such shares being transferable by public sale through the exchange. Pty Ltd companies are basically private entities, as the shares can only be transferred privately.,Comparison of Organisational forms,Organisation requirements and costs Liability of owners Continuity of business Transferability of ownership Management control Ease of capital raising Income taxes,The flow of funds,Savings deficit units Savings surplus units Financial markets facilitate transfers of funds from surplus to deficit units Direct flows of finds Indirect flows of funds,Direct transfer of funds,savers,firms,Types of securities,Treasury Bills and Treasury Bonds Corporate Bonds Preferred Shares Ordinary Shares,Risk?,High Returns?,Relationship?,Broking & investment banking,How do brokers / investment bankers help firms issue securities? Advising the firm Underwriting the issue Distributing the issue Enhancing Credibility,Indirect transfer of funds,financial intermediary,firms,savers,Components of financial markets,Primary and secondary markets Capital and money markets Foreign-exchange markets Derivatives markets Stock exchange markets,Primary and secondary markets,Primary markets Selling of new securities Funds raised by governments and businesses Secondary markets Reselling of existing securities Adds marketability and liquidity to primary markets Reduces risk on primary issues Funds raised by existing security holders,Capital & money markets,Capital markets Markets in long-term financial instruments By convention: terms greater than one year Long-term debt and equity markets Bonds, shares, leases, convertibles Money markets Markets in short-term financial instruments By convention: terms less than one year Treasury notes, certificates of deposit, commercial bills, promissory notes,Reviews,Introduce the history of financial management Understand the financial goal of decision-making Understand the limitations of a goal of profit maximisation Introduce risk-return trade-off of decisions Introduce market efficiency Distinguish between the forms of business organisations Understand the financial market,End of Chapter 1,Chapter 4: Mathematics of Finance,The Time Value of Money,Compounding and Discounting: Single sums,We know that receiving $1 today is worth more than $1 in the future. This is due to OPPORTUNITY COSTS. The opportunity cost of receiving $1 in the future is the interest we could have earned if we had received the $1 sooner.,we can MEASURE this opportunity cost by:,Translate $1 today into its equivalent in the future (COMPOUNDING). Translate $1 in the future into its equivalent today (DISCOUNTING).,?,?,Note:,Its easiest to use your financial functions on your calculator to solve time value problems. However, you will need a lot of practice to eliminate mistakes.,Future Value,Future Value - single sums If you deposit $100 in an account earning 6%, how much would you have in the account after 1 year?,Mathematical Solution: FV1= PV (1 + i)1 = 100 (1.06)1 = $106,0 1,PV = -100 FV = ?,Future Value - single sums If you deposit $100 in an account earning 6%, how much would you have in the account after 2 year?,Mathematical Solution: FV2= FV1 (1+i) 1 =PV (1 + i)2 = 100 (1.06)2 = $112.4,0 2,PV = -100 FV = ?,Future Value - single sums If you deposit $100 in an account earning 6%, how much would you have in the account after 3 year?,Mathematical Solution: FV3= FV2 (1+i) 1 =PV (1 + i)3 = 100 (1.06)3 = $119.1,0 3,PV = -100 FV = ?,Future Value - single sums If you deposit $100 in an account earning 6%, how much would you have in the account after 4 year?,Mathematical Solution: FV4= FV3 (1+i) 1 =PV (1 + i)4 = 100 (1.06)4 = $126.2,0 4,PV = -100 FV = ?,Future Value - single sums If you deposit $100 in an account earning 6%, how much would you have in the account after 5 years?,Mathematical Solution: FV5= FV4 (1+i) 1 =PV (1 + i)5 =100 (1.06)5 = $133.82,0 5,PV = -100 FV = ?,Future Value - single sums If you deposit $100 in an account earning i, how much would you have in the account after n years?,Mathematical Solution: FVn=PV (1 + i)n = PV (FVIF i, n ),0 n,PV = -100 FV = ?,Example 4.1 Example 4.2 Example 4.3 Example 4.4,Until now it has assumed that the compounding period is always annual. But interest can be compounded on a quarterly, monthly or daily basis, and even continuously. Example 4.5,Future Value - single sums If you deposit $100 in an account earning 6% with quarterly compounding, how much would you have in the account after 5 years?,Mathematical Solution: FV = PV (FVIF i, n ) FV = 100 (FVIF .015, 20 ) (cant use FVIF table) FV = PV (1 + I/m) m x N FV = 100 (1.015)20 = $134.68,0 20,PV = -100 FV = ?,Present Value,In compounding we talked about the compound interest rate and initial investment; In determining the present value we will talk about the discount rate and present value. The discount rate is simply the interest rate that converts a future value to the present value.,Example 4.7 Example 4.8,Present Value - single sums If you will receive $100 5 years from now, what is the PV of that $100 if your opportunity cost is 6%?,Mathematical Solution: PV = FV / (1 + i)n = 100 / (1.06)5 = $74.73 PV = FV (PVIF i, n ) = 100 (PVIF .06, 5 ) (use PVIF table) = $74.73,0 5,PV = ? FV = 100,Present Value - single sums If you sold land for $11,933 that you bought 5 years ago for $5,000, what is your annual rate of return?,Mathematical Solution: PV = FV (PVIF i, n ) 5,000 = 11,933 (PVIF ?, 5 ) PV = FV / (1 + i)n 5,000 = 11,933 / (1+ i)5 .419 = (1/ (1+i)5) 2.3866 = (1+i)5 (2.3866)1/5 = (1+i) i = 0 .19,Example 4.9,The Time Value of Money,Compounding and Discounting Cash Flow Streams,Annuities,Annuity: a sequence of equal cash flows, occurring at the end of each period.,Examples of Annuities:,If you buy a bond, you will receive equal coupon interest payments over the life of the bond. If you borrow money to buy a house or a car, you will pay a stream of equal payments.,Future Value - annuity If you invest $1,000 at the end of the next 3 years, at 8%, how much would you have after 3 years?,1000 1000 1000,Mathematical Solution: FV = PMT (FVIFA i, n ) FV = 1,000 (FVIFA .08, 3 ) (use FVIFA table, or) FV = PMT (1 + i)n - 1 i FV = 1,000 (1.08)3 - 1 = $3246.40 0.08,Example 4.11,Present Value - annuity What is the PV of $1,000 at the end of each of the next 3 years, if the opportunity cost is 8%?,1000 1000 1000,Mathematical Solution: PV = PMT (PVIFA i, n ) PV = 1,000 (PVIFA .08, 3 ) (use PVIFA table, or) 1 PV = PMT 1 - (1 + i)n i 1 PV = 1000 1 - (1.08 )3 = $2,577.10 .08,Example 4.12,Interpolation within financial tables: finding missing table values,Example 1: PV=1000(PVIFA2.5%,6) Example 2: 1000=100(PVIFA?%,12 months),Perpetuities,Suppose you will receive a fixed payment every period (month, year, etc.) forever. This is an example of a perpetuity. You can think of a perpetuity as an annuity that goes on forever.,Present Value of a Perpetuity,When we find the PV of an annuity, we think of the following relationship:,PV = PMT (PVIFA i, n ),Mathematically, (PVIFA i, n ) = We said that a perpetuity is an annuity where n = infinity. What happens to this formula when n gets very, very large?,When n gets very large, 1 were left with PVIFA = i,So, the PV of a perpetuity is very simple to find: PV = PMT/i,Present Value of a Perpetuity,What should you be willing to pay in order to receive $10,000 annually forever, if you require 8% per year on the investment?,= $125,000,Example 4.13,Other Cash Flow Patterns,Ordinary Annuity versus Due Annuity,Earlier, we examined this “ordinary” annuity:,Using an interest rate of 8%, we find that: The Future Value (at 3) is $3,246.40. The Present Value (at 0) is $2,577.10.,1000 1000 1000,What about this annuity?,Same 3-year time line, Same 3 $1000 cash flows, but The cash flows occur at the beginning of each year, rather than at the end of each year. This is an “annuity due.”,1000 1000 1000,0 1 2 3,-1000 -1000 -1000,Future Value - annuity due If you invest $1,000 at the beginning of each of the next 3 years at 8%, how much would you have at the end of year 3?,Mathematical Solution: Simply compound the FV of the ordinary annuity one more period: FV = PMT (FVIFA i, n ) (1 + i) FV = 1,000 (FVIFA .08, 3 ) (1.08) (use FVIFA table, or) FV = PMT (1 + i)n 1 (1+i) i FV = 1,000 (1.08)3 - 1 (1.08) = $3,506.11 0.08,0 1 2 3,1000 1000 1000,Present Value - annuity due What is the PV of $1,000 at the beginning of each of the next 3 years, if your opportunity cost is 8%?,Mathematical Solution: Simply compound the FV of the ordinary annuity one more period: PV = PMT (PVIFA i, n ) (1 + i) PV = 1,000 (PVIFA .08, 3 ) (1.08) (use PVIFA table, or) 1 PV = PMT 1 - (1 + i)n (1+i) i 1 PV = 1000 1 - (1.08 )3 (1.08) = 2,783.26 0.08,Is this an annuity? How do we find the PV of a cash flow stream when all of the cash flows are different? (Use a 10% discount rate).,Uneven Cash Flows,Uneven Cash Flows,Sorry! Theres no quickie for this one. We have to discount each cash flow back separately.,period CF PV (CF) 0 -10,000 -10,000.00 1 2,000 1,818.18 2 4,000 3,305.79 3 6,000 4,507.89 4 7,000 4,781.09 PV of Cash Flow Stream: $ 4,412.95,Retirement Example,After graduation, you plan to invest $400 per month in the stock market. If you earn 12% per year on your stocks, how much will you have accumulated when you retire in 30 years?,Mathematical Solution: FV = PMT (FVIFA i, n ) FV = 400 (FVIFA .01, 360 ) (cant use FVIFA table) FV = PMT (1 + i)n - 1 i FV = 400 (1.01)360 - 1 = $1,397,985.65 .01,House Payment Example,If you borrow $100,000 at 7% fixed interest for 30 years in order to buy a house, what will be your monthly house payment?,Mathematical Solution: PV = PMT (PVIFA i, n ) 100,000 = PMT (PVIFA .005833, 360 ) (cant use PVIFA table) 1 PV = PMT 1 - (1 + i)n i 1 100,000 = PMT 1 - (1.005833 )360 PMT=$665.30 0.005833,Calculating Present and Future Values for single cash flows for an uneven stream of cash flows for annuities and perpetuities For each problem identify: i, n, PMT, PV and FV,Summary,chapter 9 Risk and rates of return,In financial markets, firms seek financing for their investments and shareholders of a company achieve much of their wealth through share price movements. Involvement with financial markets is risky. The degree of risk varies from one financial security to another.,Important principle,Almost always true: The greater the expected return, the greater the risk,1926-1999：the annual rates of return in American financial market,Rates of return,Historical return The return that an asset has already produced over a specified period of time Expected return The return that an asset is expected to produce over some future period of time Required return The return that an investor requires an asset to produce if he/she is to be a future investor in that asset,Rates of return,Nominal The actual rate of return paid or earned without making any allowance for inflation Real The nominal rate of return adjusted for the effect of inflation Effective The nominal rate of return adjusted for more frequent calculation (or compounding) than once per annum,When an interest rate is quoted in financial markets it is generally expressed as a nominal rate. For example, if a bank advertises that it will pay interest of 5% per annum on deposits, this interest rate is most likely to be the nominal rate. When inflation is deducted from this nominal rate, the real rate of interest is obtained. (But this is not exactly correct!) To be more precise, ,Interest rate determinants,Adjusting for inflation,Conceptually:,Nominal interest rate i,=,Real interest rate R,+,Anticipated inflation rate r,Mathematically:,( 1 + i ) = ( 1 + R ) ( 1 + r ) i = R + r + r R,Calculating expected returns,Return A B,4% 10% 14%,-10% 14% 30%,Expected return is just a weighted average R* = P(R1) x R1 + P(R2) x R2 + + P(Rn) x Rn,Case study,Company A R* = P(R1) x R1 + P(R2) x R2 + + P(Rn) x Rn RA* = 0.2 x 4% + 0.5 x 10% + 0.3 x 14% = 10%,Case study,Company B R* = P(R1) x R1 + P(R2) x R2 + + P(Rn) x Rn RB* = 0.2 x -10% + 0.5 x 14% + 0.3 x 30% = 14%,Based only on your expected return calculations, which company share would you prefer?,The above example illustrates that,Although it is extremely difficult to predict with accuracy what the return will be on an investment, what we can do is make predictions about the range of returns, the probability with which a certain return will eventuate and hence the return that we could expect to get. So, the expected rate of return may be defined as the weighted average of all possible outcomes !,Have you considered RISK?,Risk,What is risk The uncertainty or variability or dispersion around the mean value How to measure risk Variance, standard deviation, beta How to reduce risk Diversification How to price risk Security market line, CAPM, APT,For a Treasury security, what is the required rate of return?,Reason: Treasury securities are free of default risk,For a company security, what is the required ra