大四上学期交通规划原理课程设计.doc

一、居民出行发生、吸引预测表1 现状住户及土地利用情况小区编号发生特征吸引特征12 34工业用地农业用地12402250554098056.2615.2323602450652066069.3323.69355833607840112088.2536.87424036503620130031.4522.5453301180336066044.2340.5865906680553032055.2122.5774105470489074021.3631.68应用原单位（一）进行计算如下： 3.55 2.80 2.17 1.97 280 552现状住户及土地利用情况，根据原单位（1）确定表1.1 出行发生量小区1234出行发生量1852630012021.81930.621104.40 21278686014148.41300.223586.60 31980.9940817012.82206.430608.10 4852102207855.4256121488.40 51171.533047291.21300.213066.90 62094.51870412000.1630.433429.00 71455.51531610611.31457.828840.60 合计9684.4701128094111386.6172124.00 表1.2 出行吸引量小区工业用地农业用地出行吸引量115752.88406.9624159.76219412.413076.8832489.2832471020352.2445062.244880612442.0821248.08512384.422400.1634784.56615458.812458.6427917.4475980.817487.3623468.16合计102505.2106624.32209129.52由于该调查区域的发生与吸引的总量不平衡，要使ioi=joj所以可推导得到 Dj，=Dj*f f=ioijDj因此对吸引原单位进行修正后的结果为 得修正后的出行吸引量： 表1.3 修正后的出行吸引量小区工业用地农业用地出行吸引量112965.346919.34 19884.7 215977.3810762.91 26740.3 320337.5716750.89 37088.5 47247.7810240.44 17488.2 510192.9818436.43 28629.4 612723.3710254.07 22977.4 74922.5014392.95 19315.5 合计84366.9087757.03 172124.0 二、交通分布预测由（一）中出行吸引、发生量表，得将来发生、吸引量表O D1234567现在将来114001100330098020001080740106002110428001190121011003590980218011050235863590660180010201220970145077103060843150100013011402340220095010910214885158068016001320120015001900978013066622109901900390012301450660123403342971150126018001330178095025401081028840现在10880688011740107901336091301042073200将来19884 26740 37088 17488 28629 22977 19315 172124 采用平均增长系数法对吸引量进行调整求得发生交通量增长系数FOI和吸引交通量增长系数FDIFO10=U1/O10 FD10=V1/D10 FO3FO4FO5FO6FO73.9699 1.9696 1.3361 2.7090 2.6680 FD3FD4FD5FD6FD73.1592 1.6208 2.1429 2.5167 1.8537 收敛精度为5%，上述结果不满足收敛精度，所以进行第一次迭代：由公式 qij1=qij0(FOi0+FDj0)/2得OD1234567合计1 2673.045 3232.718 8497.752 1769.772 4133.920 2434.156 1422.535 24163 21584.854 3582.596 3202.660 2065.404 7677.968 2279.086 4347.127 24739 31710.273 2592.668 6416.148 2851.247 3728.820 3145.999 4222.103 24667 45980.647 2928.135 333.369 2046.517 4811.648 4934.926 1816.063 22851 52499.352 1775.742 3596.202 1951.541 2087.412 2889.597 3030.301 17830 65012.983 3264.857 5574.745 8443.071 2983.931 3788.630 1505.688 30573 72584.991 4129.442 5244.438 2852.039 4281.719 2462.731 5742.546 27297 合计22046.1 21506.1 32865.3 21979.5 29705.4 21935.1 22086.3 172124 发生交通量增长系数Fo1Fo2Fo3Fo4Fo5Fo6Fo70.8734 0.9534 1.2408 0.9404 0.7329 1.0934 1.0565 吸引交通量增长系数FD1FD2FD3FD4FD5FD6FD70.9020 1.2434 1.1285 0.7957 0.9638 1.0475 0.8745 上述结果不满足收敛精度，所以进行第二次迭代得：OD1234567合计12372.805 3421.474 8505.818 1476.926 3797.372 2337.907 1243.255 23155 21470.236 3935.084 3333.806 1806.255 7360.014 2280.132 3973.148 24158 31832.350 3220.325 7600.884 2903.221 4110.236 3599.523 4465.596 27732 45509.244 3197.199 344.853 1776.435 4581.116 4905.114 1648.024 21961 52043.042 1754.680 3346.983 1491.521 1770.832 2572.345 2435.516 15414 65001.346 3814.623 6193.259 7974.722 3069.237 4055.573 1481.553 31590 72531.297 4748.607 5729.544 2641.212 4325.129 2590.815 5544.549 28111 合计20760 24091 35055 20070 29013 22341 20791 172124 求得发生交通量增长系数FO1和吸引交通量增长系数FD1发生交通量增长系数Fo1Fo2Fo3Fo4Fo5Fo6Fo70.9429 0.9877 1.0480 0.9920 0.9180 1.0361 1.0123 吸引交通量增长系数FD1FD2FD3FD4FD5FD6FD70.9816 1.0532 1.0289 0.9216 0.9961 1.0159 0.9612 上述结果不满足收敛精度，所以进行第三次迭代得：OD1234567合计12217.649 3457.954 8375.692 1316.493 3603.985 2267.616 1144.043 22383 21421.807 4104.734 3390.986 1668.662 7224.025 2285.569 3785.021 23880 31888.715 3564.295 8215.427 2867.001 4296.115 3837.395 4538.610 29207 45333.559 3338.394 351.130 1642.979 4501.282 4921.959 1571.721 21661 51844.378 1717.502 3189.178 1281.998 1624.249 2413.077 2163.592 14233 65041.411 4135.288 6553.097 7693.807 3138.213 4231.318 1472.072 32265 72510.694 5071.095 5969.907 2505.518 4352.479 2661.244 5419.521 28490 合计20258 25389 36045 18976 28740 22618 20094 172124 求得发生交通量增长系数FOI和吸引交通量增长系数FDI发生交通量增长系数Fo1Fo2Fo3Fo4Fo5Fo6Fo70.9114 0.9763 1.1037 0.9784 0.8477 1.0582 1.0259 吸引交通量增长系数FD1FD2FD3FD4FD5FD6FD70.958 1.110 1.058 0.871 0.987 1.028 0.929 OD1234567合计12133.890 3451.233 8257.749 1227.284 3494.135 2220.884 1089.202 21874 21399.955 4188.702 3419.194 1592.967 7165.655 2289.664 3688.365 23744 31916.631 3744.670 8531.461 2823.386 4390.930 3959.968 4559.548 29926 45263.053 3413.862 354.806 1571.981 4474.589 4941.361 1534.964 21554 51751.754 1692.781 3104.563 1179.166 1554.520 2333.305 2032.940 13649 65085.930 4319.955 6766.193 7530.984 3188.801 4341.297 1470.104 32703 72502.988 5237.205 6092.997 2422.678 4370.846 2698.746 5347.786 28673 合计20054 26048 36526 18348 28639 22785 19722 172124 上述结果不满足收敛精度，所以进行第四次迭代得：求得发生交通量增长系数FOI和吸引交通量增长系数FDI发生交通量增长系数Fo1Fo2Fo3Fo4Fo5Fo6Fo70.9648 0.9933 1.0228 0.9969 0.9574 1.0222 1.0058 吸引交通量增长系数FD1FD2FD3FD4FD5FD6FD70.9915 1.0266 1.0154 0.9531 0.9996 1.0084 0.9793 因为收敛精度为5%，所以上表为最后交通分布预测结果三、交通方式划分运用Logit模型计算公共汽车，小汽车的分担率，先求公共汽车的分担率，已知表3-1，3-2,3-3,3-4，已知=0.085；=0.021；=0.034表3-1 公共汽车行驶时间（min）表3-2 小汽车行驶时间（min）tijbus1234567tijcar1234567130405050454050120273333302733240304050504050227202733332733350403040505060333272027333340450504030405050433332720273333545505040304040530333327202727640405050403040627273333272027750506050404030733334033272720表3-3 公共汽车票价（元）表3-4 小汽车行驶费用（元）cijbus1234567cijcar1234567110131717151317120273333302733213101317171317227202733332733317131013171720333272027333340417171310131717433332720273333515171713101313530333327202727613131717131013627273333272027717172017131310733334033272720又得知采用采用Logit模型进行交通方式划分：，其中，所以计算公共汽车及小汽车效用如下：表3.1 公共汽车的效用Vijbus123456712.763.6734.6074.6074.143.6734.60723.6732.763.6734.6074.6073.6734.60734.6073.6732.763.6734.6074.6075.5244.6074.6073.6732.763.6734.6074.60754.144.6074.6073.6732.763.6733.67363.6733.6734.6074.6073.6732.763.67374.6074.6075.524.6073.6733.6732.76表3.2 小汽车的效用Vijcar123456712.1542.8963.5323.5323.2142.8963.53222.8962.1542.8963.5323.5322.8963.53233.5322.8962.1542.8963.5323.5324.27443.5323.5322.8962.1542.8963.5323.53253.2143.5323.5322.8962.1542.8962.89662.8962.8963.5323.5322.8962.1542.89673.5323.5324.2743.5322.8962.8962.154表3.3 公共汽车的划分率pijbus123456710.6470 0.6850 0.7455 0.7455 0.7163 0.6850 0.7455 20.6850 0.6470 0.6850 0.7455 0.7455 0.6850 0.7455 30.7455 0.6850 0.6470 0.6850 0.7455 0.7455 0.7766 40.7455 0.7455 0.6850 0.6470 0.6850 0.7455 0.7455 50.7163 0.7455 0.7455 0.6850 0.6470 0.6850 0.6850 60.6850 0.6850 0.7455 0.7455 0.6850 0.6470 0.6850 70.7455 0.7455 0.7766 0.7455 0.6850 0.6850 0.6470 表3.4 小汽车的划分率pijcar123456710.3530 0.3150 0.2545 0.2545 0.2837 0.3150 0.2545 20.3150 0.3530 0.3150 0.2545 0.2545 0.3150 0.2545 30.2545 0.3150 0.3530 0.3150 0.2545 0.2545 0.2234 40.2545 0.2545 0.3150 0.3530 0.3150 0.2545 0.2545 50.2837 0.2545 0.2545 0.3150 0.3530 0.3150 0.3150 60.3150 0.3150 0.2545 0.2545 0.3150 0.3530 0.3150 70.2545 0.2545 0.2234 0.2545 0.3150 0.3150 0.3530 表3.5 公共汽车OD表qijbus123456711380.69 2364.21 6156.54 915.00 2502.72 1521.38 812.05 2959.02 2710.21 2342.26 1187.63 5342.33 1568.50 2749.85 31428.94 2565.22 5520.09 1934.11 3273.64 2952.34 3540.98 43923.85 2545.19 243.05 1017.12 3065.24 3684.01 1144.39 51254.72 1262.05 2314.60 807.77 1005.82 1598.39 1392.63 63484.03 2959.31 5044.51 5614.70 2184.43 2808.94 1007.07 71866.09 3904.58 4731.86 1806.22 2994.17 1848.73 3460.17 表3.6 小汽车的OD表qijcar12345671753.20 1087.02 2101.21 312.29 991.42 699.50 277.15 2440.94 1478.50 1076.93 405.34 1823.33 721.17 938.52 3487.69 1179.45 3011.37 889.27 1117.29 1007.63 1018.57 41339.20 868.67 111.75 554.87 1409.35 1257.35 390.58 5497.04 430.73 789.97 371.40 548.70 734.91 640.31 61601.90 1360.64 1721.68 1916.28 1004.37 1532.36 463.03 7636.89 1332.62 1361.13 616.46 1376.67 850.02 1887.62 由于所得OD表单位为（人/日）所以需转换为（辆/日）转换为标准车辆数，又已知小汽车平均载客率为2.85人/车，公共汽车平均载客率为15.81人/车。小汽车折算为标准车型的折算系数为1.0，公共汽车折算为标准车型的折算系数为3.0。所以计算公式为：OD标准车辆数=原OD表各数据/2.85（人/车）*1.0 （小汽车）OD标准车辆数=原OD表各数据/15.81（人/车）*3.0 （公共汽车）计算过程略，得到OD标准车辆数表(小汽车和公共汽车)公交车标准车辆数OD表O D1234567合计1261.9898448.61651168.223173.6238474.8994288.6868154.089329702181.9764514.2707444.4519225.3571013.725297.6273521.792831993271.1457486.75961047.456367.0044621.1846560.2165671.911840254744.5638482.958946.12028193.001581.6398699.0541217.151329645238.0867239.4776439.2024153.2766190.8572303.3001264.256418286661.1064561.5394957.2131065.408414.5037533.0057191.094943837354.0976740.9071897.8866342.7361568.1546350.8028656.5783911合计2712.9663474.535000.5532520.4073864.9643032.6932676.87523283小汽车标准车辆数OD表O D1234567合计1264.282381.4119737.2674109.5742347.865245.440397.2460121832154.7156518.7703377.8711142.2231639.7632253.0415329.304224153171.1204413.8411056.621312.0256392.0305353.5534357.393930564469.8953304.796139.21127194.6897494.5077441.174137.044520815174.3991151.1347277.1813130.3151192.5271257.8644224.669714086562.0699477.4184604.0985672.3805352.4093537.6692162.468133687223.4715467.5876477.5912216.3013483.0426298.251662.32272828合计2019.9542714.963569.8411777.5092902.1452386.9941970.44917341将小汽车标准车辆数OD表和公交车标准车辆数OD表相加后得：标准车型OD表O D1234567合计1526.8301905283822534251515323361033822367165355085156143442900210467910139131029708241214787853387107611403545045541239071628338356148832366122310381561.311173776610703537752757712081375.478559105164913186739合计473261898570429767675419464740624四、交通流分配123456715261166234714971235175782821033172211552044.158920593210476417292475240443871359287891353831328154061070100271318节点OD12345678910111213141026358358311741174749749618618879879414414205835831174117474974961861887987941441430517861861578578102210227957951030103040861861578578102210227957951030103050105238238286586512381238120212026038238286586512381238120212027019468068014391439457457806806801439143945745790192664664770770100664664770770110535501501120501501130659140最短路权123456789101112131410267594185246269185116170128971341652049681592202431599014410271108139304210719419411041957443801114064152214123611151038612314150871591031251641671501872056072155213217255237274266708315314520623725419480696111114217011190544273110791008711810950110316837120376813059140第1次加载各节点间最径路q121-2q2-102-3-9-10q494-9q6-126-5-4-3-12q9-149-11-14q131-2-3q2-112-12-11q4-104-9-10q6-136-5-4-3-12-13q10-1110-9-11q141-2-4q2-122-12q4-114-9-11q6-146-7-8-10-14q10-1210-14-11-12q151-2-4-5q2-132-12-13q4-124-3-12q787-8q10-1310-14-13q161-2-4-5-6q2-142-12-11-14q4-134-3-12-13q797-8-9q10-1410-14q171-2-3-9-8-7q343-4q4-144-9-11-14q7-107-8-10q11-1211-12q181-2-3-9-8q353-4-5q565-6q7-117-8-9-11q11-1311-12-13q191-2-3-9q363-4-5-6q575-6-7q7-127-8-9-11-12q11-1411-14q1-101-2-3-9-10q373-9-8-7q585-8q7-137-8-10-14-13q12-1312-13q1-111-2-12-11q383-9-8q595-4-9q7-147-8-10-14q12-1412-11-14q1-121-2-12q393-9q5-105-8-10q898-9q13-1413-14q1-131-2-12-13q3-103-9-10q5-115-4-9-11q8-108-10q1-141-12-11-14q3-113-12-11q5-125-4-3-12q8-118-9-11q232-3q3-123-12q5-135-4-3-12-13q8-128-9-11-12q242-4q3-133-12-13q5-145-4-3-12-11-14q8-138-10-14-13q252-4-5q3-143-12-11-14q676-7q8-148-10-14q262-4-5-6q454-5q686-7-8q9-109-10q272-3-9-8-7q464-5-6q696-7-8-9q9-119-11q282-3-9-8q474-9-8-7q6-106-7-8-10q9-129-11-12q292-3-9q484-9-8q6-116-7-8-9-11q9-139-11-12-13第一次按45%加载第一次45%加载后各路段总交通量1-222803-423925-625918-10153211-141-133-921115-84139-1096312-132-316553-1225976-713559-11339713-142-413564-540077-8305010-1410532-1213074-914878-9344911-122759第二次加载最短路权12345678910111213141027719016025128019112017813097137170205069139231256168941451037111314130431132072051174196784382115406416022612661118107911261465092165107131164177160199213607416122322326325229128070861611512152512662038072651201501761159056437811384100012311050110317137120373713059140第2次加载各节点间最径路q121-2q2-102-3-9-10q494-9q6-126-5-4-3-12q9-149-11-14q131-2-3q2-112-12-11q4-104-9-10q6-136-5-4-3-12-13q10-1110-9-11q141-2-4q2-122-12q4-114-9-11q6-146-7-8-10-14q10-1210-14-11-12q151-2-4-5q2-132-12-13q4-124-3-12q787-8q10-1310-14-13q161-2-4-5-6q2-142-12-11-14q4-134-3-12-13q797-8-9q10-1410-14q171-2-3-9-