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金程教育 WWW GFEDU NET 专业 领先 增值 1 30 专业来自百分百的投入 2014 年年 5 月月 FRM 一级一级模拟考试模拟考试 二二 1 On July 1 2002 a company enters into a forward contract to buy 10 million Japanese yen on January 1 2003 On September 1 2002 it enters into a forward contract to sell 10 million Japanese yen on January 1 2003 Describe the payoff from this strategy I Gain if forward price goes down II Loss if forward price goes down III Loss if forward price goes up IV Gain if forward price goes up A II B I and III C II and IV D I III and IV 2 Suppose that you enter into a short futures contract to sell July silver for 5 20 per ounce on the New York Commodity Exchange The size of the contract is 5 000 ounces The initial margin is 4 000 and the maintenance margin is 3 000 What change in the futures price will lead to a margin call What happens if you do not meet the margin call A Silver price 5 40 per ounce call margin B Silver price5 40 per ounce be forced to close out your position D Silver price a b B a c b C c b a D b a c 8 A 10 year 8 coupon bond currently sells for 90 A 10 year 4 coupon bond currently sells for 80 What is the 10 year zero rate Considering continuously compounding A 3 27 B 3 37 C 3 47 金程教育 WWW GFEDU NET 专业 领先 增值 3 30 专业来自百分百的投入 D 3 57 9 The cash prices of 6 month and 1 year Treasury bills are 94 0 and 89 0 A 1 5 year bond that will pay coupons of 4 every 6 months currently sells for 94 84 A 2 year bond that will pay coupons of 5 every 6 months currently sells for 97 12 Calculate the 6 month 1 year 1 5 year and 2 year zero rates continuously compounded A 12 38 11 55 11 5 11 3 B 12 38 11 65 11 4 11 3 C 12 38 11 65 11 5 11 3 D 12 38 11 65 11 5 11 2 10 A 5 year bond with a yield of 11 continuously compounded pays an 8 coupon at the end of each year a What is the bond s price b What is the bond s duration c Use the duration to calculate the effect on the bond s price of a 0 2 decrease in its yield A 86 80 4 256 bond price increase to 87 54 B 85 80 4 156 bond price increase to 86 54 C 85 80 4 256 bond price increase to 87 54 D 86 80 4 156 bond price increase to 86 54 11 Assume that the risk free interest rate is 9 per annum with continuous compounding and that the dividend yield on a stock index varies throughout the year In February May August and November dividends are paid at a rate of 5 per annum In other months dividends are paid at a rate of 2 per annum Suppose that the value of the index on July 31 2002 is 300 What is the futures price for a contract deliverable on December 31 2002 A 305 34 B 306 34 C 307 34 D 308 34 12 The 2 month interest rates in Switzerland and the United States are respectively 3 and 8 per annum with continuous compounding The spot price of the Swiss franc is 0 6500 The futures price for a contract deliverable in 2 months is 0 6600 What arbitrage opportunities does this create A Borrow US dollars to buy Swiss franc and sell Swiss franc futures B Borrow Swiss franc to buy US dollars and sell US dollars futures 金程教育 WWW GFEDU NET 专业 领先 增值 4 30 专业来自百分百的投入 C Borrow US dollars to buy Swiss franc and buy Swiss franc futures D Borrow Swiss franc to buy US dollars and buy US dollars futures 13 The spot price of silver is 9 per ounce The storage costs are 0 24 per ounce per year payable quarterly in advance Assuming that interest rates are 10 per annum for all maturities calculate the futures price of silver for delivery in 9 months A 9 69 B 9 79 C 9 89 D 9 59 14 The three month Eurodollar futures price for a contract maturing in six years is quoted as 95 20 The standard deviation of the change in the short term interest rate in one year is 1 1 Estimate the forward LIBOR interest rate for the period between 6 00 and 6 25 years in the futures A 4 47 B 4 57 C 5 66 D 6 36 15 On August 1 a portfolio manager has a bond portfolio worth 10 million The duration of the portfolio in October will be 7 1 years The December Treasury bond futures price is currently 91 12 and the cheapest to deliver bond will have duration of 8 8 years at maturity How should the portfolio manager immunize the portfolio against changes in interest rates over the next two months A Long 880 contracts of Treasury bond futures B Short 880 contracts of Treasury bond futures C Long 88 contracts of Treasury bond futures D Short 88 contracts of Treasury bond futures 16 Assume that a bank can borrow or lend money at the same interest rate in the LIBOR market The 90 day rate is 10 per annum and the 180 day rate is 10 2 per annum both expressed with continuous compounding and actual actual day count The Eurodollar futures price for a contract maturing in 91 days is quoted as 89 5 What arbitrage opportunities are open to the bank A Long Eurodollar futures Borrow 182 day money invest the borrowed money for 91 days B Long Eurodollar futures Borrow 91 day money invest the borrowed money for 182 days 金程教育 WWW GFEDU NET 专业 领先 增值 5 30 专业来自百分百的投入 C Short Eurodollar futures Borrow 91 day money invest the borrowed money for 182 days D Short Eurodollar futures Borrow 182 day money invest the borrowed money for 91days 17 A 100 million interest rate swap has a remaining life of 10 months Under the terms of the swap 6 month LIBOR is exchanged for 12 per annum compounded semiannually The average of the bid offer rate being exchanged for 6 month LIBOR in swaps of all maturities is currently 10 per annum with continuous compounding The 6 month LIBOR rate was 9 6 per annum 2 months ago What is the current value of the swap to the party paying floating A 0 96 million dollars B 1 8 million dollars C 1 964 million dollars D 2 5 million dollars 18 A currency swap has a remaining life of 15 months It involves exchanging interest at 14 on 20 million for interest at 10 on 30 million once a year The term structure of interest rates in both the United Kingdom and the United States is currently flat and if the swap were negotiated today the interest rates exchanged would be 8 in dollars and 11 in sterling All interest rates are quoted with annual compounding The current exchange rate dollars per pound sterling is 1 6500 What is the value of the swap to the party paying dollars A 4 50 B 4 604 C 4 604 D 4 50 19 A financial institution has entered into an interest rate swap with company X Under the terms of the swap it receives 10 per annum and pays 6 month LIBOR on a principal of 10 million for 5 years Payments are made every 6 months Suppose that company X defaults on the sixth payment date at the end of year 3 when the interest rate with semiannual compounding is 8 per annum for all maturities What is the loss to the financial institution Assume that 6 month LIBOR was 9 per annum halfway through year 3 A 46 0 B 40 0 C 43 0 D 41 3 金程教育 WWW GFEDU NET 专业 领先 增值 6 30 专业来自百分百的投入 20 The 1 year LIBOR rate is 10 A bank trades swaps where a fixed rate of interest is exchanged for 12 month LIBOR with payments being exchanged annually The 2 and 3 year swap rates are 11 and 12 per annum Estimate the 2 and 3 year LIBOR zero rates expressed with continuously compounding A 10 46 11 46 B 11 46 12 46 C 12 46 13 46 D 13 46 14 46 21 What is a lower bound for the price of a 1 month European put option on a non dividend paying stock when the stock price is 12 the strike price is 15 and the risk free interest rate is 6 per annum A 3 96 B 2 93 C 3 52 D 3 58 22 A 4 month European call option on a dividend paying stock is currently selling for 5 The stock price is 64 the strike price is 60 and a dividend of 0 80 is expected in 1 month The risk free interest rate is 12 per annum for all maturities What opportunities are there for an arbitrageur A 0 56 USD B 0 56 USD C 5 33 USD D 4 35 USD 23 The price of an American call on a non dividend paying stock is 4 The stock price is 31 the strike price is 30 and the expiration date is in 3 months The risk free interest rate is 8 Derive lower and upper bounds for the price of an American put on the same stock with the same strike price and expiration date A 2 55 3 31 B 2 33 3 32 C 2 41 3 00 D 2 33 4 22 24 A stock price is currently 100 Over each of the next two 6 month period it is expected to go up by 10 or down by 10 The risk free rate is 8 per annum with continuous compounding What is the value of a 1 year European call option with a strike price of 金程教育 WWW GFEDU NET 专业 领先 增值 7 30 专业来自百分百的投入 100 A 9 61 B 9 71 C 9 82 D 9 50 25 Consider a stock index currently standing at 250 The dividend yield on the index is 4 per annum and the risk free rate is 6 per annum A three month European call option on the index with a strike price of 245 is currently worth 10 What is the value of a three month put option on the index with a strike price of 245 A 3 84 B 1 35 C 16 16 D 5 0 26 An index currently stands at 1 500 European call and put options with a strike price of 1 400 and time to maturity of six months have market prices of 154 00 and 34 25 respectively The six month risk free rate is 5 What is the implied dividend yield A 2 01 B 1 99 C 2 05 D 1 96 27 A bank s position in options on the dollar euro exchange rate has a delta of 30 000 and a gamma of 80 000 The exchange rate dollars per euro is 0 90 After a short period of time the exchange rate moves to 0 93 What is the new delta and what trade is necessary to keep the position delta neutral Assuming the bank did set up a delta neutral position originally has it gained or lost money from the exchange rate movement A 27 600 short 27600 dollars it gained money from the exchange rate movement B 33 000 long 33000 euros it lost money from the exchange rate movement C 27 600 short 27600 euros it lost money from the exchange rate movement D 33 000 long 33000 dollars it gained money from the exchange rate movement 28 A financial institution has the following portfolio of over the counter options on sterling Type Position Delta of Option Gamma of Option Vega of Option Call 1 000 0 50 2 2 1 8 Call 500 0 80 0 6 0 2 金程教育 WWW GFEDU NET 专业 领先 增值 8 30 专业来自百分百的投入 Put 2 000 0 40 1 3 0 7 Call 500 0 70 1 8 1 4 A traded option is available with a delta of 0 6 a Gamma of 1 5 a Vega of 0 8 What position in the traded option and in sterling would make the portfolio both gamma neutral and delta neutral A Short position in 4000 traded options long position in 1950 sterling B Long position in 4000 traded options short position in 1950 sterling C Long position in 4000 traded options long position in 1950 sterling D Short position in 4000 traded options short position in 1950 sterling 29 Consider a position consisting of a 100 000 investment in asset A and a 100 000 investment in asset B Assume that the daily volatilities of both assets are 1 and that the coefficient of correlation between their returns is 0 3 What is the 5 day 99 value at risk for the portfolio A 8765 B 8425 C 8401 D 8300 30 A financial institution owns a portfolio of options on the US dollar sterling exchange rate The delta of the portfolio is 56 0 The current exchange rate is 1 5000 Derive an approximate linear relationship between the change in the portfolio value and the percentage change in the exchange rate If the daily volatility of the exchange rate is 0 7 estimate the 10 day 99 VAR A 4 33 B 3 66 C 5 36 D 4 69 Given the following information to answer the question 31 and question 32 Consider a position consisting of a 300 000 investment in gold and a 500 000 investment in silver Suppose that the daily volatilities of these two assets are 1 8 and 1 2 respectively and that the coefficient of correlation between their returns is 0 6 31 What is the 10 day 97 5 VAR for the portfolio A 63320 B 65320 C 69856 金程教育 WWW GFEDU NET 专业 领先 增值 9 30 专业来自百分百的投入 D 56983 32 By how much does diversification reduce the VAR A 7756 B 7569 C 7546 D 7438 33 Which of the following four statements on models for estimating volatility is incorrect A In the EWMA model some positive weight is assigned to the long run average variance rate B In the EWMA model the weights assigned to observations decrease exponentially as the observations become older C In the GARCH 1 1 model a positive weight is estimated for the long run average variance rate D In the GARCH 1 1 model the weights estimated for observations decrease exponentially as the observations become older 34 Which of the following statements is correct regarding the effects of interest rate shift on fixed income portfolios with similar durations A A barbell portfolio has greater convexity than a bullet portfolio because convexity increases linearly with maturity B A barbell portfolio has greater convexity than a bullet portfolio because convexity increases with the square of maturity C A barbell portfolio has lower convexity than a bullet portfolio because convexity increases linearly with maturity D A barbell portfolio has lower convexity than a bullet portfolio because convexity increases with the square of maturity 35 The current price of stock ABC is 42 and the call option with a strike at 44 is trading at 3 Expiration is in one year The corresponding put is priced at 2 Which of the following trading strategies will result in arbitrage profits Assume that the risk free rate is 10 and that the risk free bond can be shorted costlessly There are no transaction costs A Long position in both the call option and the stock and short position in the put option and risk free bond B Long position in both the call option and the put option and short position in the stock and risk free bond C Long position in both the call option and the risk free bond and short position in 金程教育 WWW GFEDU NET 专业 领先 增值 10 30 专业来自百分百的投入 the stock and the put option D Long position in both the put option and the risk free bond and short position in the stock and the call option 36 Which two of the following four statements are correct about the early exercise of American options on non dividend paying stocks I It is never optimal to exercise an American call option early II It can be optimal to exercise an American put option early III It can be optimal to exercise an American call option early IV It is never optimal to exercise an American put option early A I and II B I and IV C II and III D III and IV 37 In late 1993 MGRM reported losses of about 1 3 billion in connection with the implementation of a hedging strategy in the oil futures market In 1992 the company had begun a new strategy to sell petroleum to independent retailers at fixed prices above the prevailing market price for periods of up to 10 years At the same time MGRM implemented a hedging strategy using a large number of short term derivative contracts such as swaps and futures on crude oil This led to a timing maturity mismatch between the short term hedges and the long term liability Unfortunately the company suffered significant losses with its hedging strategy when oil market conditions abruptly changed to A Contango which occurs when the futures price is above the spot price B Contango which occurs when the futures price is below the spot price C Normal backwardation which occurs when the futures price is above the spot price D Normal backwardation which occurs when the futures price is below the spot price 38 Which of the following statements about stress testing are true I Stress testing can complement VAR estimation in helping risk managers identify crucial vulnerabilities in a portfolio II Stress testing allows users to include scenarios that did not occur in the lookback horizon of the VAR data but are nonetheless possible III A drawback of stress testing is that it is highly subjective IV The inclusion of a large number of scenarios helps management better understand the risk exposure of a portfolio A I and II only B III and IV only 金程教育 WWW GFEDU NET 专业 领先 增值 11 30 专业来自百分百的投入 C I II and III only D I II III and IV 39 Suppose Portfolio A has an expected return of 8 volatility of 20 and beta of 0 5 Suppose the market has an expected return of 10 and volatility of 25 Finally suppose the risk free rate is 5 What is Jensen s alpha for Portfolio A A 10 0 B 1 0 C 0 5 D 15 40 Assume that a trader is making a relative value trade selling a U S Treasury bond and correspondingly purchasing a U S Treasury TIPS Based on the current spread between the two securities the trader shorts 100 million of the nominal bond and purchases 89 8 million of TIPS The trader then starts to question the amount of the hedge due to changes in yields on TIPS in relation to nominal bonds He runs a regression and determines from the output that the nominal yield changes by 1 0274 basis points per basis point change in the real yield Would the trader adjust the hedge and if so by how much A No B Yes by 2 46 million purchase additional TIPS C Yes by 2 5 million sell a portion of the TIPS D Yes by 2 11 million purchase additional TIPS 41 Assume that a random variable follows a normal distribution with a mean of 80 and a standard deviation of 24 What percentage of this distribution is between 32 and 116 A 4 56 B 8 96 C 95 44 D 91 04 42 When testing a hypothesis which of the following statements is correct when the level of significance of the test is decreased A The likelihood of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true decreases B The likelihood of making a type 1 error increases C The null hypothesis is rejected more frequently even when it is actually false D The likelihood of making a type 2 error decreases 金程教育 WWW GFEDU NET 专业 领先 增值 12 30 专业来自百分百的投入 43 A portfolio manager is interested in the systematic risk of a stock portfolio so he estimates the linear regression PPPt PtFMtF RRRR where Pt R is the return of the portfolio at time t RMt is the return of the market portfolio at time t and RF is the risk free rate which is constract over time Suppose that0 008 0 977 PM R0 167 and R0 156 What is the approximate coefficient of determination in this regression A 0 913 B 0 834 C 0 977 D 0 955 44 You built linear regression model to analyze annual salaries for a developed country You incorporated two independent variables age and experience into your model Upon reading the regression

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