国贸经济管理类毕业论文-中国与东盟纺织品服装贸易的竞争及对策

H/0JA FJE1E !RE;E+X1 ?5zyz%kUx|6;Movk(x4,GJk+%oxk(|6o(ykk41y8o4k(x|65eM#oM,w6o-yg(x|6wU+|6+cJ4EkzEUx|6oK KdB L x M,w - gAbstractWith the trend of globalization and integration of regional economy, it isH/0JA FJE1E !RE;E+X2important to devise methods to enhance Chinas actual strength in textiles andgarments industry. ASEANs rapid growth in textiles and garments in recent years hasbecoming a threat to our country. The establishment of China-ASEAN Free TradeArea brings great opportunities together with challenges to both China and ASEANmembers. Under this background, it is necessary to study competition and cooperationbetween both sides in textiles and garments industry. By using export similarity index,trade diversion and trade creation and labor cost, this paper will make an analysis ofcompetition between China and ASEAN countries, think up some countermeasuresand forecast cooperation between both parties, so as to achieve win-win with ASEANin textiles and garments industry within the CAFTA. Keywords Textiles and Garments Industry Competition and CooperationExport Similarity Trade Diversion and Trade CreationH/0JA FJE1E !RE;E+X3- 1 -L-44=ChC,)( .51.1 -L-44=,)FChC)( .51.2 -L-44=,EChC)( .62 -L-X44=N,1 .72.1 *-(lW6 .72.2 ChCKFPChCE0+x6 .92.3 M,1 .122.4 k?44F-,ChC-L-,1 .123 -44=JXL-1,)1 .133.1wA-44=,_G .133.2A0(|CX7 .143.3j44=*2j,JsF .143.4 .d44ChC .143.5 jL-,8 .1563) .178$ BR .18H/0JA FJE1E !RE;E+X4-L-44=ChC,1)144=JjA-,P5JX-A4#,E0;U-pMhG?,+XjF+|0W,44+O-ChC-XF+|44=J18!,-Lu1H)GN#,1TjG?F8L-j,-,16=ECA,G?F-9A-$,44*NXF+|2j:,-NFF-(A-,44JX0HvXMX-p-L-44=ChCM,A=7X3R63-(A,*.p:64k?+X*-(lW7ChCKFPChCE0+1y6-L-X44=N,13+X-L-44=N,1MO$_*6W,AT%WY-0W,0J*44=L_WG6L-XF+|2j:10%&,0ZNF+X0M+a Finger&Kreinin 1979*,*-(lW76-L-X192j:v,*-(l0;7*L-*192j:v,*-(lW76 ASEAN-X192j:91x ”1929Aj-L-(l,*v5XjF2j,1vX-Lu2j,1W)En 2!yWvL,)OQ6*4-1A4/jChCCX:_*j4#0FChCKFPChCE0+xV,4#15x-L-8+aChCj,*06+OW,ChCKFPx 3JW1yAj+a44=J?3PL,(W-L-4k?-)Lf!?3P/C5-(k8-L-,44=J!XQ,1W-L-X44=:,1F)XX:,1 4PAj44J_A-,*k,JChC,.dChCM0?o1J|JJ,L Q?F+|4#w1O1 15N2 929 2003-L-8+aChCj*0,x6$G4#1 4O1 3N3 )OQ6 2005- -L-8+aChCjChCKFPChCE0+x4#1 7O1 5455N4 #9!CU 2003-L-44=ChC1)16-Lu4Ch3R1 191 5O1 2428NH/0JA FJE1E !RE;E+X5*3FH+,+aD 1XjL-X44=N,86J,1M-4#ChCJ|J?B(,NjAj-L-X44=N183+C1yEjX+O?3PM,3+?XF_W8QA-44=1,*.ppX 2#9!CU*X44=N-BjL-,4Ch8 ”36J,11 -L-44=ChC,)(1.1 -L-44=,)FChC)(A-_F+|44=,+O*W-44=|JXA-,-A4#C-pnCEG,+X_A-A4#,G?*KwJ44=F*,NNjA-FwfCtH03_,G?$i#5An/j 2006 1-118A-44=)ChCN 1170.715sF*2j63? 1.1 1.2= 1.1 2006u 1-11|GL5=$xuK ) F*kl*kN 44*=* FkN 44F=FHN 1498.71 1334.71 475.13 859.58 164.00 148.37 15.63 1.1n/j 2006 1-118-44=,F*Nw)= 2005A-44=*Md,ChC)1.D0-LuChCLN1 4O1 100104N2 Nj 2002-L-44=N,18-441 9O1 1419N3 #9!CU 2003-L-44=ChC1)16-Lu4Ch3R1 191 5O1 2428NH/0JA FJE1E !RE;E+X60;,K 1.2IB$X44=,k?*-j5-=10A-O$_j6G119FB$-XF+|44=N-pnCEG,f6JOFO,j,1=-?)A-44=|J0,16 2003# -=*) 15%,K 2004 10Z8# -44=*) 15%,KC,44*NFKwK23.8%442jFF+| 100JZ-j+a5-!W-2j)944=9GNLf9ChCjk?,=fFPJEEFO,=j95.#YfD,19W*65-1A58+aChCE5446JE 33%,0J44=,*H6JA-X44=N,*Nx1.2 -L-44=,EChC)(F-L-,ChCN=KL-)j-,k?ChCId044,EChCx8d 1.2j 2003A-44)*3L-F*E= 1.3 2003u|*BL5=cKd *kN 44* FkN 44FF*3 4383.7 733.5 16.7% 4128.4 192.9 4.7%L- 309.3 36.3 11.7% 473.3 6.8 1.4%Ct$ 2005-)L-44ChC)(-L-v+e:1 34O4*69 1.3,n/j 2003A-)L-,44* 36.35sF 6.85s4N6*a)*3,* 11.7%FFA-)*3*44, 16.7%FL-jJZjA-44,k?#Ci2jv,1L-44|JJ FTI 2004 11H/0JA FJE1E !RE;E+X78X7B0,L-Q J:*L-44JABAB5XL-j#p9440FE44,EENYFJE4-EBAB,-,_Q441(_8-44,1G6L-6-(0G644Gj8Chjv;,Ov44O,Q:44O,QE 26.2%? 1.4= 1.4 C|B|5cx:d 9 l 61M P?55+h : # -OG100 500 399 118 368 271 344 3426 73 70 0 77 6 90 444 6.0% 14.6% 17.5% 0.0% 20.9 2.2% 26.2% 1.2%Ct$CRoG0o1.D0-Luv 2005 121 006(xFJE)-L-44=ChC)(,6.-,44=XL-2j:90K%+aL-G)A-44=,LfA-44=JXL-2j:MdjW,12 -L-X44=N,12.1 *-(lW6X44=Nm1-8D,1=Qv*? Q:-F_4Nxk?,44F2j-;-L-,1_?X,j-L-X44=*:9W,-(lW!6-L-X44=N,*-(lW)6XF0N,13+9-pGW,?y;M6+X*-(lW76-L-XF+|5-44=2j:,*-(l0;2.1.1 *-(lW7*-(lW70M+a Finger&Kreinin 1979* 1B7Xv2jTZ=#+X#10-*5,ChC7-(,H&XB7L&L$0+Cf&,:w7-P*0-1 Finger J M and M E Kreinin 1979 “ A Measure of Export Similarity and Its Possible UsesThe Economic Journal J 89 p89H/0JA FJE1E !RE;E+X8FO,4#KJ5%DFJFF0;1y(WXv0Z*-(lW7#+TZ-F04-X*v:,-(l0;X2j0Z*-(lWI#+TZ-F04-X*-,:,-(l0;#1*2j-(lW7,?jSm(ij,w)= Min(Xkiw/Xki),(Xkjw/Xkj 100? Sm(ij,w)/jL-M-N,2j-(lW7T-*v,2j63-(T-,*5Cf?-pFTZ-X192j:,1J$%&2.1.2 XF+|2j:,*-(lW-2j:48-p-(W,-N6-L-XF+|2j:,-(lW-;*XF+|2j:44=,10; ,? 2.1:= 2.1 x|xGLv4d- 80-82 83-85 86-88 89-91 92-94 95-96L-w 52.52 61.26 64.78 68.45 69.75 69.91# - 58.19 64.99 67.58 76.36 79.92 76.66P? 61.07 64.24 67.07 69.69 59.68 54.66: 47.78 54.12 58.30 62.79 64.89 71.58l 43.03 61.68 66.18 67.96 74.51 75.55Ct$AT0J 2002*-(lWL Q?F+|4#w1O 2.1n/j-L-XF+|44=2j:,*-(lW9F:w,CF-L-XF+|44=2j:X-p%&,1DF/1xKO1L-9-p-(l,EH!44=N,*-(lW6?KOX-L-XF+|44=2j:XQ,16,*2jk?LX5-!W#b-O$_*2j,ELCFo4#EC,-LuChCpV,ChC)NLH/0JA FJE1E !RE;E+X92.1.3 X5-2j:,*-(lW+a5-_-L-44=*,k?2jX5-2j:L-_-O?,1)*5-2j,G-;L-95)H!6-L-X5-44=2j:,*-(lW7E9W= 2.2 x|GLv4d- 80-82 83-85 86-88 89-91 92-94 95-96L-w 66.48 74.27 73.99 70.24 69.22 64.82# - 75.24 77.81 74.44 67.99 66.56 67.67P? 56.29 73.72 78.95 75.13 81.82 74.66: 67.98 73.22 75.86 67.49 58.62 48.53l 66.41 72.32 66.69 70.34 69.88 68.42Ct$ : AT0J 2002*-(lWL Q?F+|4#w1O1 23N 2.2-; 80M 90M-L-X5-44=2j:,*-(lW*:xF:w,CF-L-X5-44=2j:,18%&*-(lW9;LF0G6_+aLH=j,0M_j5-Q2j-L-,44=,CXG5!QJ9Q!wA-44=J,h1jU2.2 ChCKFPChCE0+x62.2.1 ChCKFPChCE0+,*?&jW8+aChCj,*0JdL-pChCKFPChCE0+TZMChCKFPChCE0+*6A_+a/W4#+:4 50M*,8#_68+aChCj0M0+ajCt$HFG56ChCE0+6X. 2.3AwA99Z2jl-_44=,F-lG-+O*44-44*lwAj 105sl,lj 115swA)T-,44G-fsF0Fx-lX2j:,44l6j 125s 135sXl1A8+aChC6JF9-F44FGjM1X-2j 125so0fj 2M1 a + cG6l1A8+aChC#lF,44,01-p)-,ChCFxlF,44,j 11 5s62jj 12 5s!&l,44-()#Ci65)44,M0rFG M1 M2lF|8+aChC,Ox_lChCL,*-+aL0-M-9$j,16,44,FG0 jChCKFPL-XG#FL0|8+aChC6|ChCF6ChCKFPChCE0+x$jn6L-XH/0JA FJE1E !RE;E+X1144=N,1X!;L-G6Ji44F$M-EA-,44l!?L-G,44+O*-T5f_Y,a-=A44)L-,+O*+aChCE0+x-L-X44=N6Md%&,12.2.3 -L-8+aChCjChCKFPE0+,M63-j4#8,x=E-n5j;&10-L$5j-(C=$!1-of=19-0F44CZWrp5-4# .(*5AB$0,ChCKFP_Fg,QiW,FM0rXL-G-_-+OChC5E-9EW2F)8+aChCj=YOx)ChCKFP9EW,CO+XF85)=Q)FGF+|CWj!F44,-5M0rliWw4Ed=7-Id-F,44=-+O!Q_WChCE0+x-L-,+O)G-=Q=WChCKFP,CO+XOx_j-44=1J1)L-TG62j)A-41=Y!QChCKFP,CO+X)j)4#ChCW-ChC&=YChCKFPA-44=F*6HFG56L-X44=:4#5E-(lvXJK.,63:90WIX8ChjChC,ChCKFPx$7-OF44=J,816J,-Lu1P5*6AAjChCE0+O:w,8$Ct$#Ci!+X-?ChCE0+,!M+X_jId-W*2j6NWChCKFPChCE0+,!+X?ChCKFPChCE0+,CO+X6_QA-44=1,KpX2.3 M,144=J_,?3PLWJ-+au?90W,444#GW,44X44=J,:9n,Hf6J!?&CtdF:wF?-p-,fFPG6J!?&,Ctd1996, 0.52;L 1998, 0.24A1wl7-$:w-,CEAJL-)P5LJ,=J-(,44J+O,TW-X44|J,!XF!#aF/F5L-VjFwA-44=JXMH,Wa6A-L-,E1+a5j8kK?A-,Mk?1y;jk-F+O,QM9-pW,D*344=|JJK.,WG6lG6_F-(|(+O,-,44|J4*344JK.,1=_HQ-,44=1J(_JK._GEQ,1J,8kK7-&=A44JF$LA_LEF+aV,44=,=lQ*A-+X$J,Ct$&L$EA,Ct$&L$44JK&OCtl,8$,045_-FJ44J65,+O#kdKO=iA-,4444X0/C05j,(1pA=7-j!FPA-44=J,-Lu16J,h16J,EH2.4 k?44F-,ChC-L-,1H/0JA FJE1E !RE;E+X13F5-!W-1yk?44F-)A-,44=A5/ChC 2005 1 8 1 44GNfz#f61y32G44(!L 5 8 27 !W-J)- T T4_44(0; 1X*344ChC0FF=z,&L$G5!W0N4q+X-F#&,44(!L!n)A44*F|ALF+A-44=JMd$W,1AHCX 2001 128 10 5-X*N*0!hChC3+MGN6*5-2j5- 2003 1A58+aChCE5446JE 33%,0QL-44|J,1j8)8A-44=,15-?1A5-544=*8+aChC0A 2005 M?44=qA0F5-2jF!W-3 2005 7 8 1 C#A-44,fFwF0Q 3%L-pDj!W-L-ChC_AB,*!W-L-04EL-!W-HChCWTZjChCCt#q6F0!LM0FTjL$,ChC44=,N5!WF$#)A-,HL-,44=*+OW-1AChCHA5$Q,GN)L-AL2EA+J8#9ALGNG+O7-(Wr*7-%C*v,M0rF+)A-44=,*FPLk.6L-,16,8$Y#0L$5Y?_16$j%&7Ej,44=+O7-,Cl# -6jA-XF+|44=2j,j1)3 -44=JXL-1,)13.1wA-44=,_GL-pQ0A44J,44JF$LA_LE1P-j 2006-44(!L!nAF2+X+a