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1、技术创新对国际贸易的影响外文翻译 外文翻译原文The effect of technological innovation on international trade Material Source:Economics discussion papers Author:Márquez-Ramos, Laura Martínez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada International trade theory highlights the importance of technological innovation in explaining a country
2、s international competitivenessPosner 1961; Vernon 1966; Fagerberg 1997.Schumpeter 1944 viewed economic development as a dynamic process deriving from industry and exports, with innovation playing a key role in the development of both. Empirical work linking trade to technological innovation based o
3、n a gravity framework show that the effect of technological innovation on exports varies with country characteristics.Loungani et al.2002assessed the importance of information links that associate technological innovation with lower communication costs,and stated that the negative effect of physical
4、 distance on trade could be reduced by reducing the barriers to informational flows.These authors distinguished between developed and developing countries when analysing whether better informational infrastructure can substitute for geographical distance. Their results indicate that the degree of su
5、bstitution between physical and informational distance varies systematically based on country characteristics. The authors tested for a purely linear relationship between informational infrastructure and trade without considering any threshold effects. Fink et al. 2005analysed the effect of communic
6、ation costs on bilateral trade flows by taking into account that this effect might vary with sectoral characteristics. Their results show that cross- country variations in communication costs have a significant effect on international trade. Indeed,they found that lower communication costs foster di
7、fferentiated good trading to a greater extent than homogeneous good trading.Since information and communication needs are much greater for differentiated goods, trade in these products is likely to be more sensitive to variations in communication costs Harris 1995 These results may depend on the mea
8、sure of innovation that is used. Indeed, Kuznets 1962noted the problems with that the lack of appropriate innovation measures may create in economic research related to inventive activity. In recent years, considerable attempts have been made to measure technological innovation across countries.Wake
9、lin 1997classified different proxies for technological innovation used in the literature and pointed out that the main choice of technological innovation proxies was between using an input to the innovation process,such as Research and Development R&D expenditure or the number of scientists and
10、engineers employed in research departments, or an output, such as number of patents.In a more recent study,Keller2004pointed out that technological innovation is an intangible that is difficult to measure directly and that the three indirect approaches that can be used are the measurement of inputs
11、R&D,outputspatentsand the effect oftechnological innovationhigher productivity Technological innovation has been defined as a countrys“absorption capacity”?the ability to put information from abroad into practice by developing new products and processes which play a key role in international tra
12、de and economic development.Therefore,the development of relevant indicators to measure the level of technological innovation?seen as absorption capacity? across countries is of great interest in a knowledge-based economy with high and increasing dependence on information technology and human capita
13、l.Márquez- Ramos et al.2007 have recently compiled a number of indices and variables to measure the achievement of technological innovation,understood asabsorptive capacity. As a nations technological achievements are very complex, it is difficult to capture them in any single index that reflec
14、ts the full range of technologies and quantifying aspects of technology creation, diffusion and human skills. These early papers mainly focused on the timing of innovations and considered R&D investment and human skills as the main drivers of innovation, but do not view the technological innovat
15、ion process as absorptive capacity.Cohen and Levinthal 1990introduced the concept of absorptive capacity,which is the ability to recognise the value of new,external information,to assimilate it,and to apply it.These authors consider two faces of technologicalinnovation:creation and absorption. In th
16、eir model,some level of absorptive capacity is necessary to create,and the cost of adoption increases as absorptive capacity falls.Hence,technological innovation is considered to reduce the cost of adoption. Zahra and George2002 distinguished not only two subsets potential and realised absorptive ca
17、pacity,but also four dimensions of absorptive capacity: acquisition, assimilation,transformation and exploitation capabilities.Knowledge acquisition and assimilation capabilities compose the potential absorptive capacity, whereas knowledge transformation and exploitation compose in the realised abso
18、rptive capacity. Their model highlights external sources of knowledge and experience as key antecedents of absorptive capacity.Along these lines, the learning process will lead to an ambiguous effect of technological innovation on exports that will affect the capacity of the country sector to acquir
19、e,assimilate,transformand exploit new external information. On the one hand, the more "experience" about techniques gained by using them, the greater the rate at which these techniques becomemore productive. On the other hand, international transmission of new techniques carries a cost bec
20、ause learning-by-doing must occur locally in order to reduce local costs. Hence, the learning process must be taken into account to analyse the relationship between technological innovation and exports at a national level. This relationship could significantly differ depending on the specific compon
21、ent of technological innovation considered. With respect to the TAI index, ahigher potential absorptive capacity could be related to a higher level of technology creation and diffusion of old innovations, whereas a higher realised potential absorptive capacity could be related to a higherlevelofdiff
22、usion of recent innovations and human skills. This being said, one measure that has attempted to capture technological innovation in a relatively broad manner is the Technological Achievement Index TAI,which has been used in empirical analysesMartínez-Zarzoso and Márquez-Ramos2005;Már
23、quez-Ramos 2007.This index has been constructed using indicators of a countrys achievements in four dimensions: creation of technology,diffusion of recent innovations, diffusion of old innovations and human skills. These analyses have shown that technological innovation is of great importance to fos
24、ter exports. We can infer from the above-mentioned results that,to the extent that technological innovation is associated with lower communication costs,both internally and externally,we should find similar results as those of Fink et al. 2005 in our empirical application using the TAI index. The ma
25、in aim of this paper is to provide empirical evidence on the relationship between technological innovation and international trade. A non-linear relationship between these two variables would indicate that the effect of improved technological innovation on trade could vary according to the technolog
26、ical achievement in countries.Hence,the form of heterogeneity we investigate here is whether a countrys level oftechnological innovation achievementor ability affects the relationship between technological innovation and trade.This effect is analysed separately, firstly for developed and developing
27、countries to determine whether other differences in economic development also affect the innovation- trade relationship, and secondly for different sectors, in order to pursue the results pioneered by Fink et al. 2005 in a non-linear framework. The aggregated results show that a “U-shaped” relations
28、hip exists between exports and diffusion of old innovations, whereas an inverted U-shaped relationship is found between exports and diffusion of recent innovations and between exports and human skills.With respect to the more specific results, on the one hand the sectoral results indicate that the e
29、ffect of the importers TAI on trade is similar for all categories of goods. However, whereas the effect of the exporters TAI for differentiated goods shows an inverted U-shaped relationship, a U-shaped curve is found for the rest. Hence, while technological innovation improvements seem to have a gre
30、ater effect on exports of differentiated goods for the intermediatelevels of technological achievements, the effect on exports for referenced and homogeneous goods is found to be more marked for the very high levels of technological achievement. On the other hand, the results of the specific country
31、-groups show that when the importer is a developed country, technological achievement has a positive effect on exports which is magnified for higher levels of technological innovation. Otherwise,when the importer is a developing country, a U-shaped relationship between TAI and trade is found. The im
32、portance of our results falls in several areas. Methodologically speaking, we obtain a model of threshold effects of technological innovation on international trade.In terms of policy conclusions, we find that different levels of technological innovation are associated with different effects on expo
33、rts in developed and developing countries, as well as in different sectors, owing to the existence of threshold effects in the relationship between technological innovation and trade. The main message concerning the development strategy to be followed by developing countries is that, according to ou
34、r findings, countries exports would benefit from higher levels of technological innovation if they are able to achieve a minimum level of acquisition and transformation capabilities. Hence, investment leading to achieve these thresholds is desirable The last few decades have witnessed important chan
35、ges in international trade patterns, with an increasing number of countries that have become closely linked to one another through international trade and foreign direct investment.Technological innovation plays an important role in this world-wide inter- dependence.Within this framework, internatio
36、nal trade theory highlights the importance of technological innovation in explaining the international competitiveness of a country Fagerberg 1997. Classical thinking,which stressed international differences in technology in conjunction with international differences in real wage levels as a source
37、of comparative advantage, dominated trade theory until the appearance of the Heckscher?Ohlin H?Otheory which centred on resource endowments as the main factor explaining international trade patterns. Nevertheless, technological innovation once again came to the forefront of research into trade with
38、the development of the technology gap Posner 1961 and the product cycle theories Vernon 1966. On the one hand and according to Posners assumptions1961, trade is generated by differences in the rate and nature of innovation. On the other hand, Vernon 1966 places less emphasis on the comparative cost
39、doctrine3 and more on the timing of innovationAlong these lines, Jones and Bhagwati 1970 considered the way in which the H?O model could be applied to Vernon's product cycle theory. Vernon argued that developed countries tend to have a comparative advantage in producing those commodities, that a
40、re newly developed, and suggested a three-factor model: capital, "ordinary" labour,and human skills. Developed countries have a relative abundance of the third factor and,due to the role this factor is assumed to play in theproduction of new combinations or innovations in particular, devel
41、oped countries will tend to have a comparative advantage in producing new commodities at early stages of production. Jones1970 also highlighted the view that technological innovation is improved because there is "learning-by-doing". According to this concept, the higher the level of produc
42、tion or the more"experience"in the techniquesgained by using them, the greater the rate at which these techniques become more productive 译文 技术创新对国际贸易的影响 资料来源: 经济学研讨会论文 作者:拉莫斯 马尔克斯劳拉 国际贸易理论强调了在解释一个国家的国际竞争力上技术革新的重要性波斯纳1961年;弗农1966年;法格贝格 1997.熊彼特1944认识到经济发展作为一个动态进程源自于工业和出口,创新同样的在发展中扮演着一个关键的角色
43、。 有关技术创新实证的重要框架表明技术革新对随着一个国家的特点而变化的出口有着深刻的影响。Loungani et al.2002评估了把技术创新与较低的通讯费用这些信息链接的重要性,并指出物理距离的负面作用可以减少对信息的流动从而减少贸易壁垒。这些作者区分发达国家和发展中国家来分析是否更好的信息基础设施能代替地理距离。他们的研究结果显示,物理信息距离之间的取代度基于全国系统的变化特点。作者进行了一个纯粹的信息基础设施和贸易的线性关系的测试而不考虑任何阈值的影响。Fink et al. 2005在考虑了这种效用可能随部门特点而转变的基础上,分析了沟通费用对双边贸易流动的影响。他们的结果显示跨国国
44、家沟通成本有显著影响到国际贸易。事实上,他们发现低价的通讯费用差异商品比同种贸易的交易程度更优。由于信息或通讯所需的要比差异商品大得多,这些产品的贸易在沟通成本变化上很可能更敏感哈里斯1995年。 这些结论可能建立在已经使用的创新的措施。事实上,库兹涅茨1962年注意到适当的创新措施的缺乏可能建立有关发明活动的经济研究。近年来,不同的国家已经在技术创新措施方面有相当大的尝试。Wakelin1997把使用在文献中的技术革新分类成不同的代理,并指出主要选择技术创新代理在使用一个输入对创新的过程中,比如研究和开发R&D费用或是在研究部门科学家和工程师的数量,或输出,如专利的数量。在较新的研究中,凯勒2004指出技术创新是一种无形的是很难直接测得的而且三个间接的途径测量研发、输入输出专利和技术
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