不确定性系统与模型精细化误区

1、 目 录专题一：灰色评价理论及其应用不确定性系统与模型精细化误区刘思峰，J.福雷斯特1基于灰色多层次评价方法的河南新能源汽车项目风险评价罗党，张敬6基于灰色关联定权的加权聚类法及其应用钱吴永，党耀国11基于灰色系统视角的博弈分析范式的构建及应用举例zha盛中，王文平15灰色系统、白化规律与白化权函数董奋义，刘斌22我国对灰色系统的关注与研究郭三党，刘斌26供应链应急管理主客体博弈分析李宏娟，庄品30基于灰色关联聚类的高校上市公司动态竞争力刘勇 ，菅利荣34基于灰色聚类方法的电子战系统试验配试设备选择满莹，陈杨，李萧38基于投入产出视角的河南省创新型社会建设评价研究王菲，杨雪42精品课程评估的灰

2、色聚类模型王庆东47基于熵权的电力上市公司信用风险模糊评价王喜平，闫丽莹53基于灰色关联分析的高校财务评价模型杨德岭，陈万明57基于多层次灰色评价法的宁德与宁波经济发展比较叶舒婷，陈可嘉61我国优势经济部门的评价及变动研究穆月英，杜鹃，王学萌68专题二 灰色关联理论及应用影响我国各地区中医行业发展因素的灰色关联分析段利忠，张瑛，翟广倩，耿浩，禤春裕76基于灰色关联度的品种区域试验同异分析方法郭瑞林，刘亚飞，王景顺，毛光志，刘彦珍，崔瑞峰83灰色自适应小目标检测吴国平，吴亦奇，裘咏霄，杜志顺88我国农村城镇化实证分析及对策李桥兴，杨都93中国经济增长和能源消费的关系研究袁潮清，刘思峰97基于OW

3、A算子的灰色关联模型群融合方法张可，刘思峰100基于灰色关联的产业结构与经济发展的实证分析陈福中，吴秋璟，张璇，李中106基于灰色关联度的废弃物回收利用因素探讨龚 英112基于灰色关联度和理想解法的多属性群决策琚冰源，王秋萍117房地产业与经济发展的灰色关联分析李亚平，刘思峰123中国零售业赢利能力影响因素的灰色关联分析吕鹏娟126基于加权灰色关联Topsis法的我国航空客运服务质量测度分析王砚羽，张卓130微格教学关联分析与课堂教学改进叶苗瑛，殷伯明136关联分析在浦东新区教育信息化指标优化中的应用朱一军，刘朋140专题三：灰色决策及灰色算子知识型企业的知识灰生成与创新绩效关系研究王文平，单

4、海燕145三参数区间灰数信息下的多目标灰靶决策方法罗党，孙利152基于灰代数系统的灰区间预测模型徐振东157基于灰色聚类决策的齿轮箱故障诊断李爱民163小城镇土地集约利用评价的多层次灰色局势决策模型李希灿，王静166灰色多阶段动态决策模型及其应用研究崔杰，党耀国，刘思峰，谢乃明171灰色决策在常减压塔顶换热器改造中的应用王正方175灰色群决策问题的特征向量方法巩在武179大型复杂产品主制造商与供应商间灰非对称进化博弈链模型研究何利芳，陈洪转183基于单调函数的4种新强化缓冲算子及其关系研究胡小莉，吴正朋188浦东新区中小学“信息化教学资源”建设与应用效益多目标局势决策纪波，白丽波193一类新的

5、弱化缓冲算子及其性质万 琴，魏 勇197专题四：灰色预测理论及其应用灰预测模型的分类及相应事前检验研究进展概述魏 勇，李俊杰201灰色灾变理论在气候类金融衍生品价值评估中的应用王建辉206基于灰色模型的电子装备故障预测精度分析柯宏发，吴正朋，刘思峰，李青212灰色神经网络模型在石油消费预测中的应用王秋萍，闫建波216多目标多维自反馈灰色模糊预测模型李希灿，王静220基于三角函数cscx的数据变换技术预测模型崔立志，刘思峰225中国人口灰色动态模型及其周期分析杜 鹃，郝永红，王学萌230改进PSO-GM(1,1)及其在产品寿命预测中的应用刘虹，张岐山236广义灰色多变量GM(1,N)模型及算法研

6、究彭琨琨，肖新平239灰色预测模型的系统动力学分析朱超余，谢乃明245基于灰色GM（1，1）模型的能源消费结构预测王宁，湛必云，刘辉249专题五：灰色GM模型及其它GM(1,1)灰数递补动态预测王学萌，杜鹃253基于GM (1, 1) 模型的中国能源消耗预测分析姚天祥，魏 玲257灰数比较的可信度及其在灰区间DEA模型中的应用王洁方，刘思峰260运用灰色GM(1,1)系统模型预测天津市污水排放量赵娇娟，郝永红，王亚捷，李华敏264基于Visual C#的灰色理论建模系统及其应用曾波，刘思峰268基于GM(1,1)粗大误差判别的天波场强数据处理方法夏斌272非等间距多变量模型背景值的优化熊萍萍，

7、党耀国，杨阳277非等间距GM(1,1)模型的时间响应函数优化方法徐宁，党耀国，王正新283GM(1,1)残差周期分析软件开发王亚捷，郝永红，李华敏，赵娇娟287GM(1,1)模型中函数变换方法的重新认识陈鹏宇，段新胜，项翔292优化白化方程参数的新NGM(1,1,k)模型及其应用陈鹏宇，段新胜，项翔299JYMF中学无干预Verhust与有干预GM(1,1) 金社平，周东红，殷伯明305LH小学学业进步GM(1,1)四数据建模与未来预测屈咏梅，殷伯明310校长换任对学生学业进步正激励的试探法Verhulst建模汤赤，殷伯明314董事会特征与信息披露质量李备友，苏卫东319基于灰靶贡献度的灰局

8、势决策理论在供应商选择中的应用陈华，张岐山324Contents1. The Grey Evaluation and Its ApplicationOn Astray of Complicated Model for Uncertain SystemsSifeng Liu，Jeffrey Forrest1The Risk Assessment of Alternative fuel vehicles Project in Henan Province Based on Grey Hierarchy Evaluation MethodLuo Dang，Zhang Jing6Weighted Cl

9、ustering Method Based on the Grey Correlation and Its ApplicationQIAN Wu-yong，DANG Yao-guo11Construction of a paradigm for game analysis based on grey system perspective and an example of its applicationZha Shengzhong，Wang Wenping15Grey System, Whitenization Discipline and the Whitenization Weight F

10、unctionDONG Fen-yi，LIU Bin22The attentions and studies on gray system in Chinabased on the bibliometric research of 27 yearsGUO Sandang，LIU Bin26Host-guest Game Analysis of Supply Chain Emergency ManagementHongjuan Li，Pin Zhuang30Competitiveness of the University of Listed Companies Based on Grey In

11、cidence ClusteringLiu Yong，Jian Lirong34The equipped test equipment select of electronics warfare system test based on the grey clustering evaluation approachYing Man ，Yang Chen2, Xiao Li38Study on the Evaluation of Innovative Society Construction in Henan Province Based on Input-Output PerspectiveF

12、ei Wang，Xue Yang42The Grey Cluster Model of Top-quality Courses EvaluationWANG Qing-dong47The Fuzzy Evaluation of Power Listed Companies Credit Risk Based on Entropy WeightWANG Xi-ping1，YAN Li-ying53Colleges Financial Evaluation Model Based on Grey Relational AnalysisYANG De-ling, CHEN Wan-ming57The

13、 Comparison of Economic Development between Ningde and Ningbo based on the Multilevel Gray Evaluation MethodYE Shu-ting，CHEN Ke-jia61The Evaluation and Change Research of Prior Economic Sectors in Our Country-on the Strength of Multi-level Grey Evaluation Model on Input-outputYueying Mu，Juan Du，Xuem

14、eng Wang682. The Grey Relation and Its ApplicationThe Influencing Factors of Development of the Chinese Traditional Medicine in the Different Area of the China Done with the Grey Relational AnalysisDUAN Li-zhong，ZHANG Ying，ZAI Guang-qian，GENG Hao，XUAN Chun-yu76Method of Similarity-difference Analysi

15、s Based on The Degree of Grey IncidenceGuo Ruilin，Liu Yafei，Wang Jingshun，Mao Guangzhi，Liu Yazheng，Cui Ruifeng83Adaptive Detection for Small Target Based on Grey System TheoryWu Guoping，Du Zhishun，Wu Yiqi，Qiu Yongxiao88Experimental Analysis and Strategy for Countrys UrbanizationQiao-Xing Li，Du Yang9

16、3The Relation Between Chinese Energy Consumption and Economic GrowthChaoqing Yuan，Sifeng Liu97Multi-grey Relational Models Fusion Based on OWA OperatorZhang Ke，Liu Si-feng100Empirical Analysis of Industry Structure and Economic Development Based on Grey Incidence: Evidence from Jiangsu ProvinceFuzho

17、ng Chen Qiujing Wu Xuan Zhang Zhong Li106Study on Comprehensive Utilized Factors for the Three Wastes in Ecological CivilizationGONG Ying112Multiple Attribute Group Decision Making Method Based on Grey Incidence Degree and TOPSISJU Bing-yuan，WANG Qiu-ping117Grey association analysis on real estate i

18、ndustry and economic developmentYaping Li，Sifeng Liu123Gray relational analysis of the factors affecting the profitability of Chinas retail industry. Lv Pengjuan126A study on Chinas Airlines service quality measure based on the weighted gray correlation Topsis methodWang-yanyu，Zhang Zhuo130Microteac

19、hing Relational Analysis and the Improvement of Classroom TeachingYe Miaoyin，Yin Boming136The Application of Relational Analysis in the Pudong New Area-based indicators for Education Information OptimizationZhu Yijun ，Liu Peng1403. The Grey Decision and Grey OperatorStudy on relationships between kn

20、owledge grey generation and innovation performance of knowledge-based enterprisesWang wenping，Shan Haiyan145The Multi-objective Grey Target Decision Method under the information of three-parameter Interval Grey NumberLuo Dang，Sun Li152The grey interval prediction model based on grey algebra systemXu

21、 Zhendong1157Fault diagnosis of gear case based on grey clustering decision-makingLi Aimin163The Pattern of Multi-layers Grey Situation Decision in Intensive Land Use Evaluation for TownsXican Li，Jing Wang166Grey multi-stage dynamic decision making modelling and its applicationCUI Jie DANG Yao-guo,L

22、IU Si-feng,XIE Nai-ming171Application of grey decision on atmospheric-vacuum distillation unit exchangers rebuildingWANG Zhengfang175An Eigenvector Method for Grey Group Decision MakingZaiwu GONG179Category of inter-gray non-symmetric evolutionary game chain model between the main manufacturers and

23、suppliers in large- complex productHelifang，Chenhongzhuan183Study on the strengthening buffer operator based on the strictly monotone functionHU Xiaoli，WU Zheng-peng188Multi-objective Situation Decision-making on "Information Teaching Resources" Construction and Application's Effective

24、 of Primary and Secondary Schools in Pudong New AreaBo Ji，Libo Bai193A Kind of New Buffering Operator and Its PropertiesQin Wan，Yong Wei1974. The Grey Forecast and Its ApplicationThe Overview about Classification of Grey Model and Its Corresponding Pre-test MethodsYong Wei，Junjie Li201The discussion

25、 of grey disaster system theory applied in climatic financial derivatives evaluationJianhui Wang206Precision analysis for electronic equipment fault prediction based on grey modelKE Hong-fa，WU Zheng-peng，LIU Si-feng，LI Qing212The Application of Grey GM(1, 1) Forecasting Model with Neural Network Res

26、idual Modification to Oil ConsumptionQiu-Ping WANG，Jian-Bo YAN216The Pattern of Multi-objective and Multi-dimensional Grey Fuzzy Forecasting with FeedbackXican Li，Jing Wang220Data Transformation Technique for Grey forecasting Model Based on Trigonometic functionCUI Li-zhi，LIU Si-feng225The Grey Dyna

27、mic Mode and Periodical Analysis of Population in ChinaJuan Du，Yonghong Hao， Xuemeng Wang230Improved PSO-GM(1,1) and its application to product life predictionLiu Hong，Zhang Qishan236Research on generalized grey GM(1,N) model of multi-variables and its algorithmPeng Kunkun，Xiao Xinping239System Dyna

28、mics Analysis of Grey ModelZHU Chao-yu，XIE Nai-ming245Based on gray GM (1,1) model of energy consumption structure predictionWang Ning，Zhan BiYun，Liu Hui2495. The Grey Model and OtherDynamic Forecasting with Recursive Compensation by Grey Numbers of GM(1，1) Xuemeng Wang，Juan Du253Forecast and Analys

29、is of Chinas Energy Consumption Based on GM(1,1) ModelTian-xiang Yao，Ling Wei257Credibility degree of grey numbers comparison and its application in interval DEA modelWANG Jiefang，LIU Sifeng260A prediction for the sewage discharge in Tianjin city using GM(1,1) modelZhaoJiaojuan，HaoYonghong，WangYajie

30、，LiHuami264Modeling system of grey theory based on Visual C# and its applicationZeng Bo， Liu Sifeng268Data Processing for Intensity of HF Signal based on GM(1,1) Distinguishing Algorithm of Gross ErrorXia Bin272The Optimization of Background Value in Multi-Variable Non-Equidistant ModelXIONG Ping-ping，DANG Yao-guo，YANG Yang277A method of optimum on time response sequence for non