外汇交易分析

1、外汇交易技巧外汇交易技巧学习班学习班-技术分析技术分析 哈分行外汇交易室 张晓光期货市场技术分析 -约翰.墨菲价位价位时间时间生成阶段生成阶段成长与成长与老化阶段老化阶段衰病阶段衰病阶段死亡死亡阶段阶段* *下跌速度是上涨下跌速度是上涨速度的三倍速度的三倍曲线图曲线图 图表分析-形态学 六大形态：1）、头肩顶（底）2）、箱形走势3）、三角形4）、圆弧底（顶）5）、V形反转6）、跳空形Q.SSEC, Last Trade CandleMA 20 Minute13Mar02 02:31 - 14Mar02 01:3403:3006:0007:0003:0005:3006:30PriceCNY161

2、8162016221624162616281630163216341636163816401642164416461648165016521654葛南维买卖法则示意图葛南维买卖法则示意图Q.SSEC, Last Trade CandleMA 10 Daily16Jun00 - 06Nov01JulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov2001PriceCNY1400145015001550160016501700175018001850190019502000205021002150220022502300Q.SSEC, Last Trade

3、, Candle11Nov2002 1519.603 1526.132 1501.989 1504.403Q.SSEC, Close(Last Trade), MA 1011Nov2002 1526.231葛南维买卖法则示意图葛南维买卖法则示意图JPY=, Bid CandleMA 60MA 20MA 5 Hourly17Jul02 - 15Aug0218Jul0219Jul20Jul23Jul24Jul25Jul26Jul27Jul30Jul31Jul01Aug02Aug03Aug06Aug07Aug08Aug09Aug10Aug13Aug14Aug15AugPr/ USD115.4115.

4、6115.8116116.2116.4116.6116.8117117.2117.4117.6117.8118118.2118.4118.6118.8119119.2119.4119.6119.8120120.2120.4120.6120.8121121.2JPY= , Bid, Candle14Aug 16:00:00 117.18 117.42 116.97 117.35JPY= , Close(Bid), MA 6014Aug 16:00:00 118.92JPY= , Close(Bid), MA 6014Aug 16:00:00 118.92JPY= , Close(Bid), MA

5、 6014Aug 16:00:00 118.92JPY= , Close(Bid), MA 2014Aug 16:00:00 118.27JPY= , Close(Bid), MA 514Aug 16:00:00 117.20三线汇聚后金叉三线汇聚后金叉三线汇聚后金叉三线汇聚后金叉短线金叉中线短线金叉中线多头排列，最强势多头排列，最强势空头排列，最弱势空头排列，最弱势均线交织，平势均线交织，平势三线汇三线汇聚死叉聚死叉三线汇三线汇聚死叉聚死叉短线死短线死叉中线叉中线常用参数：常用参数：5、10、20、30、50、100、200空头回补空头回补多头建仓多头建仓多头回吐多头回吐空头建仓空头建仓JP

6、Y=, Bid CandleMACD 12, 26, 9 Weekly11Feb98 - 30Dec02Apr98JulOctJan99AprJulOctJan00AprJulOctJan01AprJulOctJan02AprJulOctPr/ USD105110115120125130135140145JPY= , Bid, Candle17Nov02 119.78 120.07 119.07 119.71MACD/ USD-5-4-3-2-10123JPY= , Close(Bid), Signal 12, 26, 917Nov02 -0.85637JPY= , Close(Bid), M

7、ACD 12, 2617Nov02 -0.65314MACD底背离底背离JPY=, Bid CandleMACD 12, 26, 9 Daily16May01 - 23Nov0205Jun0103Jul31Jul28Aug25Sep23Oct20Nov18Dec15Jan12Feb12Mar09Apr07May04Jun02Jul30Jul27Aug24Sep22Oct19NovPr/ USD116118120122124126128130132134JPY= , Bid, Candle12Nov02 119.60 119.87 119.53 119.69MACD/ USD-2-1.5-1-0

8、.500.511.5JPY= , Close(Bid), Signal 12, 26, 912Nov02 -0.26685JPY= , Close(Bid), MACD 12, 2612Nov02 -0.79240死叉死叉金叉金叉EUR=, Bid CandleMA 5MA 10MA 20MA 30MA 50MA 100MA 120MA 200MA 240Bol. Bands 20 2RSI 7 D21Mar06 - 11Sep0627Mar06 10Apr24Apr08May22May05Jun19Jun03Jul17Jul31Jul14Aug28Aug11SepPrUSD1.181.21.

9、221.241.261.28RSIUSD20406070以上运行，强势上涨以上运行，强势上涨30以下运行，弱势下跌以下运行，弱势下跌30-70区域运行，盘整区域运行，盘整EUR=, Bid CandleBol. Bands 20 2MA 5MA 10MA 20MA 30MA 50MA 100MA 200RSI 7RSI 14 Daily07Jan03 - 15Oct0327Jan0324Feb24Mar21Apr19May16Jun14Jul11Aug08Sep06OctPrUSD0.9811.021.041.061.081.11.121.141.161.18RSIUSD20406080趋势分

10、析理论应用于趋势分析理论应用于RSI趋势线、支撑线、压力线趋势线、支撑线、压力线上升趋势上升趋势下降趋势下降趋势压力线压力线支撑线支撑线EUR=, Bid CandleBol. Bands 20 2MA 5MA 10MA 20MA 30MA 50MA 100MA 200RSI 7RSI 14 Daily07Jan03 - 15Oct0327Jan0324Feb24Mar21Apr19May16Jun14Jul11Aug08Sep06OctPrUSD0.9811.021.041.061.081.11.121.141.161.18RSIUSD20406080趋势分析理论应用于趋势分析理论应用于RS

11、I趋势线、支撑线、压力线趋势线、支撑线、压力线下降通道下降通道EUR=, Bid CandleBol. Bands 20 2MA 5MA 10MA 20MA 30MA 50MA 100MA 200RSI 7RSI 14 Daily20Jun02 - 31Mar0310Jul0207Aug04Sep02Oct30Oct27Nov25Dec22Jan19Feb19MarPrUSD0.880.90.920.940.960.9811.021.041.061.081.11.12RSIUSD020406080盘整市道盘整市道RSI 作用比较明显作用比较明显QEUR=, Bid CandleFast Sto

12、ch 5,3 Weekly06Aug00 - 17Nov02OctAprJulOctAprJulOct20012002PriceUSD0.820.840.860.880.90.920.940.960.981StochUSD020406080QEUR=, Bid, Candle27Oct2002 0.9718 0.9802 0.9685 0.9793QEUR=, Bid, %D Fast 5,327Oct2002 55.245QEUR=, Bid, %K Fast 5,327Oct2002 44.813大趋势时候指标钝化无效大趋势时候指标钝化无效QJPY=, Bid CandleFast Sto

13、ch 5,3 Weekly06Aug00 - 17Nov02OctAprJulOctAprJulOct20012002Price/USD106108110112114116118120122124126128130132Stoch/USD020406080QJPY=, Bid, Candle27Oct2002 125.42 125.64 123.60 123.73QJPY=, Bid, %D Fast 5,327Oct2002 82.521QJPY=, Bid, %K Fast 5,327Oct2002 58.388大升市指标大升市指标钝化，无效钝化，无效大跌市大跌市指标钝指标钝化无效化无效快

14、速随机指标快速随机指标JPY=, Bid CandleBol. Bands 20 2MA 20 Daily04May01 - 13Nov0216May0113Jun11Jul08Aug05Sep03Oct31Oct28Nov26Dec23Jan20Feb20Mar17Apr15May12Jun10Jul07Aug04Sep02Oct30OctPr/ USD115116117118119120121122123124125126127128129130131132133134135136JPY= , Bid, Candle31Oct02 123.02 123.23 122.35 122.41JP

15、Y= , Close(Bid), Hi Bol. Band 20 231Oct02 125.69JPY= , Close(Bid), Lo Bol. Band 20 231Oct02 122.52JPY= , Close(Bid), MA 2031Oct02 124.11EUR=, Bid CandleBol. Bands 20 2MA 20 Daily22Mar02 - 06Nov0228Mar0211Apr25Apr09May23May06Jun20Jun04Jul18Jul01Aug15Aug29Aug12Sep26Sep10Oct24OctPrUSD0.860.870.880.890.90.910.920.930.940.