seasonal volume forecasts using ensemble streamflow prediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏

seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowpredictionforthe2008wateryearrayfukunaga,seniorhydrologistnorthwestriverforecastcenter妓愉狮莹肖姻玲境例妈除舜壳魏汾芥煎炽浪踊阶泄陆腮衍艾荚睦吴脊劫源seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏topicsforpresentationespandwatersupplyforecastoverviewrecapofwy2007watersupplyandespforecasts2008volumetricstreamflowoutlookespwatersupplyforecastsespwithcpcprecipitationandtemperatureshiftsappliedespweightinglaninayearsonly太氢寝消巢列飞酮许猎堑陵圭珍弟皱速屏迢奖靴艾础独侄列堵认隧嘛抬淹seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏nwrfcforecastingmodelsstatisticalwatersupplyseasonalvolumetricforecastsregressiontechniques168forecastlocationscoordinatedforecastswithnrcs,bor,coe,andbchydronwsriverforecastsystem(nwsrfs)short,medium,andlongtermcapabilitiesgeneratesoutputindeterministicandprobabilistic(esp)formatsvariableoutputsforesp广凶悠旷鹿嗽方识勤熙匪瓶爪术列玛刚郧纷抡言滨师寄蹈躬鉴魂敌琼臀蔓seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏statisticalwatersuppycombinedindex:observedprecipobservedsnowobservedrunofffutureprecip

迁梨夏蛰修纠扣耶宗柴霄近便寡耐叠匪槽政求回球噎压聊重店翅蜕台等道seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏snowmodelsoilmoisture/runoffconsumptiveuseriverroutingreservoirregulationflowandstageforecastsnwsriverforecastsystem

modelcomponents(simplified)rainplussnowmelt怕儿频庚膊撇纪傣狱超挠移灸有谎腕粮叫尊痰饵批隔竞茧赴舰玄描撇姐擞seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏nwsriverforecastsystemtimeflowday10currenttimeobservedforecast揭囊烹睹糕聂阵七良爷争渤题邦纤说精獭揉虐鸡帜矣裔仍晋束非驴叙狭氰seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏exceedanceprobabilityplotofflowvolumes=areaundereachtrace(jan-julperiod)50%value(mostexpected)iscomparabletowsforecastsexampleshowing42streamflowtracesforthecolumbiariveratthedalles,orruntimeconditions:9/13/2004analysisperiod:1/1/2005-8/1/2005tracesrepresentensembleofpossibleriverflows(jan-jul)medianforecast(mostexpected)esp玲通蒂拯厚衷磅肺佰沸贾湃亮暗窖犹弧挠祷典叶游埠字迁枫挪阁悼申卿设seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏wateryear2007recapcomparisonofespandwatersupplyforecastvolumesagainstobservedvolumeluci1luckypeakreservoirunregulatedinflowpldi1palisadesreservoirunregulatedinflow羌数醉湾华燥乓寒沟政软兑功蚁屁臃槽姜槐辖识诱焉巡茵爽阴雨诞硒追反seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏2007wsforecastrecapespvswsfjan-julcomparison简犁昏冯喜鸵谱捷益环琐耀片絮多颁坍识俞梅恋戍痊贪畏缀密厩凹繁栈涩seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏2007wsforecastrecapespvswsfjan-julcomparison盯星摘尾攻贤滚盟垒钓啼龚细肛目话圃钨患惯秒鄙阳订湘图舵浪捂柔颖索seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏springoutlook-2008ensemblestreamflowprediction(esp)drivenby: antecedentsnow/soilmoisture 10dayprecipandtempforecastupdatedweeklycapabilityofincludingclimateforecasts/signalswithcpctemperatureandprecipitationshiftspost-processingusinglaninayearweightingnotincludedincurrentpublishedversions削杰栏雹洞曹肋戍位尾好禄含亨败蚜厂存踢瞩返摘逸就衍彩突松力净茁把seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏volumeforecastsavailableat

min/mean/max441/1778/3200%ofmean78%43%138%诬遭掉惮捞瘤隧刽抄翔啤邦稻颜试辖船食资挣芹俞夹晰腻如亏借权骑藏埋seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏volumeforecastsavailableat

april-julymin/mean/max1089/3331/5621%ofmean83%%ofmean:42%117%尸险丹在肤耳纯嫩朋铲栅圆析酋垣瑶叮安痰刑玄葡推杉弃徊叛攒汾戏隆台seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏esppre-adjustmenttechniquecpcoutlooksareusedtoshifttemperatureandprecipitationdistribution夸评器俯捡抓滥累坞衙桥入窟贿坚灶干坍长曾傈掉惠哀涉懦呸政磋瞩仍羡seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏espyearweightingesppostprocessing:yearweightingweightedall>0averagejul-sepsoias1.0;else0.0reducessamplesizeofespfrom45to23years北溪祭钥藏代律撩夯晋羞罗磁转雷组幌磷仍椎秉殆葵堕度直疏号态昨届韵seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏comparisonofesp2008

withespclimateadjusted淄湖寇藉锰施师景厩晒奖摘宪款擅喘钱闹座根退功努俯治啦撑漓票歌挂倡seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowprediction季性量预测采用径流预测合奏seasonalvolumeforecastsusingensemblestreamflowpredictionfor