信息产业部电信规划研究院86课件

ChinaAcademyofTelecommunicationResearchMIIMobileTelecommunicationinMainlandChina

Oct.2004HeFengHefeng@CATRCATR:anation-levelresearchorganizationintelecomfielddirectlyunderMII,integratethefunctionsofresearch,test,certificationandconsultancysupportworkforgovernmentdevelopmentplanning,policiesandregulations,networkstandardsservicesfortheindustryqualitysystemcertification,productcertification,networkplanning/designandconsultancy2ContentsIntroductionofoperatorsinChina

ThecurrentmobilemarketMobileserviceThemobilenetworksystem3IntroductionofoperatorsinChinaNow,thereare5nationaloperatorsand1satellitecompany1fullservice2mobileserviceonly4fixednetworkAlldataservice,allIPphoneservice5IntroductionofoperatorsinChinaCompetitionOct.2003,Mobilesubscriber>fixedsubscriberDec.2003,Mobilepenetration:21%,fixedpenetration:20.5%Telecom.RailCom.UniComNetcom.RailCom.UniComMobileCom.Unicom.Telecom.NetCom.SouthregionNorthregionFixedLineMobileNetCom.Telecom.6IntroductionofoperatorsinChinaRevenuemarketshareDataresource:MII2002YCMCCNo.1forrevenuemarketshare.CRCandSatecom.,thesmallestoperators.7ThecurrentmobilemarketThekeyfactorstoacceleratethegrowthCompetitionenvironment:Moreoperatorsenlargedthemarketbefore1996CMCConly;GSMonly1996-2000CMCCvsUMCC;GSM&CDMA,After2000CMCCvsUMCC,ChinaTelecom.ChinaNetcom,GSM,CDMA,PHSFee:Thecheaper,themoreusesbefore1999,onlyonefeetype:50RMBmonthfee+0.4RMB/Min,average0.6RMB/Min,ARPU>160RMBAfter2000Y,Prepaidservicewidelyaccepted,average0.35RMB/Min,ARPU<100RMB.Terminal:multibrand,powerfulfunction,lowprice.2000Y,theaveragepriceabove2500RMB,onlyvoice/SMS,grayscreenonlytheaveragepriceabout1500RMB,support,colorfulscreenetc.9ThecurrentmobilemarketMarketshareChinaMobile:runGSM/GPRSsystem,thelargestnetworkoftheworld(networkcapacityabout250mill)ChinaUnicom:runGSMandCDMAsystem,By2003Y,totalsubscriberover268million.

Note:PHSsubscribernotinclude,2003Y,thenumberwasabout35million.10ThecurrentmobilemarketThetrendofmobilemarketThesolideconomicdevelopmentensurethestableincominggrowthforpeople.(GDP>8%)Lowpenetration:by2003Y,only21%,for1.3billionpeople,themarketistremendous.3Gwillbedeployedinthenearfuture,moreoperators,newtechnology:lowerthefee.Newservicearebecomingthenewincomingsource.It’sestimatedby2005Y,thesubscriberwillbe360mill,by2008Y,willover480mill.11MobileServiceMobileserviceVoice:themainrevenueresourceMobileData&othernewservice:thenewrevenueresource.SMS,MMS,GPRSbrowsing,CDMA1Xbrowsing.Newservicerevenue:ChinaMobile10%,ChinaUnicom7%。It’sestimatednewservicerevenuewillbe20%inthenext2years.

13MobileServiceMobileserviceVoice:MOUvsARPUWithmoreandmorelow-enduser,ARPUwoulddecreasesharply,butincreasetheMOU,ARPUdecreasedslowly.DatafromCMCCDatafromUMCC(GSMonly)14MobileServiceNowMobileserviceVoice:ContractvsPrepaidmoreandmorelow-enduserarepreferredprepaidservice.DatafromCMCC15MobileServiceNowMobileserviceMMS:growingrapidly,Feature:toallcontractsubscribers;needregistration;changeterminaltosupport,simplefeemethod(0.5-0.6RMB/piece)It’sanextensionofSMSmode,butduetotheterminallimitation,thepenetrationislow.andWebbrowsingOnthebeginningstage,Thespeedisthebottleneckforfastgrowing.CDMA1XhavebetterperformancethanGSM/GPRS.ElectricalCardPhonecameralEntertainment17ThemobilenetworksystemStandarddeployed:GSM:ChinaMobileandChinaUnicomCDMA:ChinaUnicomPHS:ChinaTelecom.ChinaNetcom.FrequencyallocationGSM:ChinaMobile:Dualband:890-909/935-954MHz,1710-1725/1805-1820MHz.ChinaUnicom:Dualband:909-915/954-960MHz,1745-1755/1840-1850MHz.885-890/930-935readyforGSM-RCDMA:825-835/870-880MHzPHS:1900-1915MHz(TDD)Note:NomobilelicensetoPHS,butitplaysamobileroleactually.18ThemobilenetworksystemNumberallocationChinaMobile:135-139(11digital)ChinaUnicom:130/131forGSM,133forCDMAPHS:nospecificnumber.19ThemobilenetworksystemThe3GinthenearfutureFrequencyready:Coreband:FDD:1920-1980/2110-2170MHzTDD:1880～1920MHz、2010～2025MHzExtensionband:FDD:1755-1785MH/1850-1880MHzTDD:2300～2400MHz21ThemobilenetworksystemThe3Ginthenearfuture3evolutionwaysto3G384kbps~2Mbps144kbpsGSM1xRTTrel0/A1xEV-DVWCDMATD-SCDMAGSM/GPRS

CDMAIS-951xEV-DOHSDPA~10MbpsMC-DVEDGE22Themobilenetworksystem3GfieldtrialinChina3standards,3cities,alloperators,manyvendorsWCDMACDMA2000TD-SC