第六次全国人口普查综合试点培训课件

TheVitalStatisticsSystem

inChinaWuJieDepartmentofPopulationandEmployment

NationalBureauofStatisticsofChinaUnitedNationsExpertGroupMeetingonInternationalStandardsforCivilRegistrationandVitalStatisticsSystems27–30June2011NewYorkTotalPopulationof2010CensusNationalPopulationOutlineTheVitalStatisticsSysteminChina2010PopulationcensusinChinaAnnualPopulationChangeSampleSurveyAdministrativerecordsComparingandevaluatingthequalityofvitalstatisticsAdministrativerecordsSamplesurveyCensusSystem1.TheVitalStatisticsSysteminChinaSequenceYearPopulation(million)First1953594.53Second1964694.58Third19821008.18Fourth19901133.68Fifth20001265.83Sixth20101339.72CensusesThe1%populationsamplesurvey,conductedduringtheinter-censualyearsendingin5Theannual1‰samplesurveyonpopulationchangesQuarterlylaborforcesurveyThemonthlylaborforcesurvey,usuallyrunninginbigcitiesSamplesurveyAdministrativerecordsSupplementsourcestothosecollectedthroughregularpopulationcensusandsamplesurveys2010PopulationCensusinChinaReferencetimeRespondentProcessof2010CensusChallengesNewCharacteristicsCensusItemsInitialfindings2010PopulationCensusinChinaReferencetime:1November2010Respondent:deFactolivingpersons;householdregistrationpersons(dejure)for

outgoingmigrantsPreparation(Oct.2007-Oct.2010)Fieldenumeration(Nov.1-10,2010)Fieldcheck(Nov.11-20,2010)Postenumerationsurvey(Dec.2010)Advancetabulation(Dec.2010-Apr.2011)Dataprocessing (Dec.2010-Dec.2011)Datadissemination(Apr.2011----–2013)andutilizationProcessof2010CensusChallengesfor

Census-takinginChinaDifficultyinCountingMigrantPopulationGreaterResidence-registrationInconsistencyLowerCooperationfromRespondentsUnder-reportingofBirthsDifficultyinRecruitingEnumeratorsEstablishingstrictqualitycontrolandacceptancesystemsNewCharacteristicsfor

2010PopulationCensusStrongerLegalBasisChangesinenumerationmethodCollectioninformationoninternationalmigrantsRemotesensingimagesinaidofcensusdivisionsandmappingTopicscoveredintheCensusWideruseofadministrativerecordsImprovingdataprocessingefficiencyStrongerLegalBasis

RegulationsonPopulationcensusspecifiesobjectives,principlesandmethodsmoreemphasisonrightsofrespondentsstrongerprotectionofprivacyChangesinenumerationmethoddeFactoapproach(ascomparedwithdejureapproachusedin2000census)informationalsocollectedattheplaceofhouseholdregistration(dejure)foroutgoingmigrantsoperationallyeasierforenumeratorsmoreinformationonmigrationCollectioninformationoninternationalmigrantscoverforeignerswhohaveresidedinChinaforsometimeashorterquestionnaire(8questions)wasusedandin-personinterviewwasconducted

Remotesensingimagesinaidofcensusdivisionsandmappingdividecensusenumerationareasnationwide:nearly7millionareasremotesensingimageswereusedinpreparingmapsofcensusareasandblocks:fullcoveragecensusareaswithoutduplicationoromission.preparebasicmaterialforthespatialanalysisofpopulationbycombiningcensusdataandspatialpositions.TopicscoveredintheCensuscombinationoflongform(10%)andshortform(90%)shortform：6householditems,12individualitemslongform:19householditems,28individualitemsWideruseofadministrativerecordsresidentpopulationandmigrantsinformationfromthehouseholdregistrationadministeredbytheMinistryofPublicSecuritybirthinformationcollectedbyfamilyplanningdepartments,thehealthdepartmentaswellasthecommunityandvillagecommitteesImprovingdataprocessingfficiencyadecentralizedstrategyOCRdataentry,conductedatmunicipal-levelaChinese-characterhandwritingrecognitiontechnology:nationalityandresidenceaddressdirectlyidentifiedEstablishingstrictqualitycontrolandacceptancesystemsqualitycontrolteamsatalllevelsaroutinecheck-upandarandomspotcheck

Postenumerationsurvey:afterfieldenumeration,atotalof402enumerationblockswererandomlyselectedtoconductpost-enumerationsurveytocomparewiththerecordsofcensusenumeration,whichresultedinapopulationundercountrateof0.12percent.Duplicatedrate&Uncoveragerate1982Duplicatedrate0.15‰1990Uncoveragerate0.6‰2000Uncoveragerate1.81%2010Uncoveragerate1.2‰Itemsround2010censusHousehold&Individual:sex,age,ethnicity,educationlevel,industry,occupation,socialsecurity,marriageandfertility,mortality,migration,housing,unemploymentShortForm:HouseholdItems(6)H1:householdno.H2:typeofhousehold(family,collective)H3:numberofpersonsH4:birthsanddeathsduringlast12monthsH5:floorspaceofhousingH6:numberofroomsShortForm:IndividualItems(12)R1:nameR2:relationwithheadofhouseholdR3:genderR4:dateofbirthR5:nationality(ethnicgroup)R6:placeofresidenceatreferencetimeR7:placeofhouseholdregistrationR8:durationsinceleavingplaceofhouseholdregistrationR9:reasonforleavingplaceofhouseholdregistrationR10:natureofhouseholdregistration(agri.vsnon-agri)R11:abilitytoreadR12:educationattainmentLongForm:HouseholdItems(17)H1-H4:sameasinshortformH5:natureofhousingH6:floorspaceofhousingH7:numberofroomsH8:typeofbuilding(singleormulti-floor)H9:constructionofbuildingH10:timewhenbuildingwasconstructedH11:with/withoutaccesstopipewaterH12:fuelforcookingH13:with/withoutkitchenH14:with/withouttoiletH15:with/withouthotwaterbathingfacilityH16:sourceofhousingH17:monthlyrent(incaseofrenting)LongForm:IndividualItems(28)R1-R12:forallpersonsR1-R9:sameasinshortformR10:natureofresidenceathouseholdregistration(urban/rural)R11:natureofhouseholdregistration(agri.vsnon-agri)R12:placeofbirthR13:(personsaged5andover)R13:addressofresidence5yearsagoR14-16:(personsaged6andover)R14:abilitytoreadR15:educationattainmentR16:statusofcompletionofeducationLongForm:IndividualItems(28)R17-25:(personsaged15andover)R17:statusofemploymentR18:industryR19:occupationR20:reasonfornotworkingR21:whetherhavinglookedforworkduringlast3monthsR22:able/unabletoworkin2weeksifgivenajobR23:sourcesoflivingR24:maritalstatusR25:dateoffirstmarriageLongForm:IndividualItems(28)R26:(womanaged15-64)R26:numberofbirths(male,female)andnumberofchildrensurviving(male,female)R27:(womanaged15-50)R27:fertilitystatusduringlast12months(with/withoutbirths,monthwhengivingfirstorsecondandmorebirth,genderofbaby)R28:(personsaged60andover)R28:healthconditionInitialvitalstatisticsfindingsTotalPopulationandAnnualGrowthRatefromPopulationCensusesSexCompositionfromPopulationCensusesAgeCompositionfromPopulationCensusesAgePyramidfromPopulation

CensusesProportionofPopulationAged60+and65+fromPopulationCensusesCompositionofNationalitiesfromPopulationCensusesPopulationwithCollegeEducationPer100,000PersonsfromPopulationCensusesPopulationMigrationGeographicDistributionof

Population39ResidentsfromHongKong,Macao,

TaiwanandForeigners40AnnualPopulationChange

SampleSurvey(APS)Establishedofficiallyfrom1983ConductedbyNBSinChinaonceayearProvidereliablepopulationdataatthenationalandprovincialleveleveryyearsuchas:annualtotalpopulationpopulationstructuralfertilityandmortality…ItemsonAPSCoverskeyitemsthatarecollectedincensusessex,age,ethnicity,thelevelofeducation,maritalstatus,fertility,mortality,migrationandetc.AsurveymethodologybookispublishedeveryyearfortrainingandsupervisionSampleSurveyMulti-stage,withstratifiedclustersproportionaltosizeTakingthewholecountryasthepopulationandprovinciallevelassub-populationThesamplesizeis1.2millionpersonsSamplingdesignmethodPopulationannualandlaborforcequarterlysurveysamplesarerotatedbycertainproportionthewholecountryaspopulation,provinciallevelassub-populationmulti-stagestratifiedclustersproportionalsamplingFinalsampleunitisenumerationarea,enumerationareasdividedby30householdsThefourthquarterlaborforcesurveysamplesarethesameaspopulationsurvey

Thesamplesize

（10,000persons）PopulationchangeQuarterlylaborforcethewholeNation12060UrbanandTown4040Rural8020Averagebyprovince42CalculatingmaindatafromsampleSurveyEstimatingmaindataonpopulationandsubpopulation:Totalpopulation,CBR,CDR,…AnalyzingsamplingvarianceEvaluatingdataqualityPublicationsDepartmentsinvolvedTheMinistryofPublicSecurityTheMinistryofCivilAffairsTheMinistryofHealthTheMinistryofEducationThePopulationandfamilyplanningcommitteeAdministrativerecordsMinistries’datadisseminationMinistryDisseminationTheMinistryofPublicSecurityhouseholdregistrationdataTheMinistryofCivilAffairsmarriagesanddeathsTheMinistryofHealthmaternalandchildhealthcauseofdeathTheMinistryofEducationeducationstatistics5.Comparingandevaluating

thequalityofvitalstatisticsThreemainresourcesobtainingthemajorpopulationdata:surveyconductedbyNationalStatisticalBureaucensusconductedbyNationalStatisticalBureauadministrativerecordsmainlyreferstohouseholdregistrationcollectedbytheMinistryofPublicSecurityIndexCensusSurveyHouseholdRegistrationSpecificationsResidenthouseholdregistrationCoverageFull1%or1‰Dataonregisteredpermanentresidenceabovecountylevel

usualpopulationIndicatorstotalpopulation,CBR,CDR,Urbanpopulationproportion,etc.totalpopulationCBR,CDR,etc.Remarksundercount0.12%(2010)notgettingsmallarearesultUncoveragepeoplewithoutregistrationComparingdatasourcesThesamestandard

insurveyandcensusThreetypesofresidentpeoplesfromcensusesandsurveyswiththesamestandard:residinginthetownship,townsandstreetcommunitieswithpermanenthouseholdregistrationthereresidinginthetownship,townsandstreetcommunities,withpermanenthouseholdregistrationelsewhere,awayfromthatplaceformorethan6monthsresidinginthetownship,townsandstreetcommunities,withplaceofpermanenthouseholdregistrationunsettledTheRelationshipamongCensus,SurveyandProjectTheCensus

TheSampleSurveyAdjustthehistoricaldataEstimationandCommuniqué

TheProjecttheBaseModifyThepublicationof

theMinistryofPublicSecurityPublishyearbookeveryyearreleasingaboutdataonthetotalpopulationincludingprovincialandsmallareapopulationUsingPermanentHouseholdRegistrationstatisticalmethodwhichisdifferentdefinitionsanddatacollectionmethodsfromsurveyandcensusTheDifferenceoftotalpopulationDifferentresources,differenttotalpopulationdata:Forexamplein2008,thetotalpopulationis1328.02millionpeoplebyNBS,andthehouseholdregistrationpopulationis1321.31millionpeople.ThemainreasonofdifferenceisthatsomepeopledonothavehouseholdregistrationEstimatingandAdjusting

theSurveydataAccordingtothecensusandadministrativerecords,majorannualpopulationdatabynationandprovinceareestimatedfromsurveyAftertheNationalPopulationCensus,afewyearssurveydatabeforecensuseswillbeestimatedandanalyzed,anddecidedwhetherdatashouldbeadjustedAdministrat