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Chapter9
InternationalFinancialStatementAnalysis
DiscussionQuestions
1.a.Businessstrategyanalysis
Difficultiesincross-borderbusinessstrategyanalysis:Identifyingkeyprofitdriversandbusinessriskintwoormorecountriescanbedaunting.Businessandlegalenvironmentsandcorporate
objectivesvaryaroundtheworld.Manyrisks(suchasregulatoryrisk,foreignexchangerisk,andcreditrisk)needtobeevaluatedandbroughttogethercoherently.Insomecountries,sourcesofinformationarelimitedandmaynotbeaccurate.
b.Accountinganalysis
Difficultiesinaccountinganalysis:Twoissuesareimportanthere.Thefirstiscross-countryvariationinaccountingmeasurementquality,disclosurequality,andauditquality.Nationalcharacteristicsthatcausethisvariationincluderequiredandgenerallyacceptedpractices,
monitoringandenforcement,andextentinmanagerialdiscretioninfinancialreporting.Thesecondissueconcernsthedifficultyinobtaininginformationneededtoconductaccounting
analysis.ThelevelofcredibilityandrigoroffinancialreportinginAnglo-Americancountriesgenerallyismuchhigherthanthatfoundelsewhere.Infact,financialreportingqualitycanbesurprisinglylowinbothdevelopedandemerging-marketcountries.
c.Financialanalysis(ratioanalysisandcashflowanalysis)
Difficultiesinfinancialanalysis:Extensiveevidencerevealssubstantialcross-countrydifferencesinprofitability,leverage,andotherfinancialstatementratiosandamountsthatresultfromboth
accountingandnon-accountingfactors.Differencesinfinancialstatementitemscausedby
nationaldifferencesinaccountingprinciplescanbesignificant,andunpredictableinamount.
Evenafterfinancialstatementamountsaremadereasonablycomparable,interpretationofthoseamountsmustconsidercross-countrydifferencesineconomic,competitive,andotherconditions.
d.Prospectiveanalysis(forecastingandvaluation)
Difficultiesinprospectiveanalysis:Exchangeratefluctuations,accountingdifferences,differentbusinesspracticesandcustoms,capitalmarketdifferences,andmanyotherfactorshavemajor
effectsoninternationalforecastingandvaluation.Applicationofpricemultiplesinacross-bordersettingrequiresthatthedeterminantsofeachmultiple,andreasonswhymultiplesvaryacross
firms,bethoroughlyunderstood.Nationaldifferencesinaccountingprinciplesareonesourceofcross-countryvariationsintheseratios.
Finally,allfourstagesofbusinessanalysismaybeaffectedby:
i.informationaccess,
ii.timelinessofinformation
iii.foreigncurrencyissues
iv.differencesinfinancialstatementformats
v.languageandterminologybarriers.
2.Herewewillconsidertheinformationneedsofinvestors,creditors,regulators,andcompetitors.
Investorshavehighinformationneedsatallstagesofbusinessanalysis.Theyneedtobeabletoaccuratelyassessthemeritsofthecompany’sbusinessstrategy,thequalityofitsaccounting,thecompany’sfinancialstrength,anditsfutureprospects.Sinceeachstepinthebusinessanalysis
processbuildsonitspredecessors,eachstepiscriticalinitsturn.Itcan’tbesaidthatanyonestepismoreorlessimportantthantheothers.
Creditorsneedtogothroughmuchthesameanalysis,butareadvantagedinthatthroughdirect
contactwiththecompaniestheyoftenhavemoreextensiveanddetailedinformationthando
investors.Thegoalofanalysisisalsooftensomewhatdifferent.Manyinvestors,hopingthattheirshareswillincreaseinvalue,areinterestedinprospectiveanalysis.Thecreditor’sinterestismoreoftenlimitedtobeingsure(withamarginofsafety)thattheloanwillberepaid.Forthecreditor,theaccountinganalysis,financialanalysis,andforecasting,allareimportant;valuationislessso.
Regulatorshavemuchdifferentinterests.Sinceregulatorshavenodirectinterestinthefuture
earningsofthecompaniestheyregulate,aprospectiveanalysis(inmostcases)isoflimitedvaluetothem.However,ifregulatorsneedtobeawareofthefinancialstrengthofthecompaniestheyregulate,theywillneedtoconductaccountinganalysisand(inmanycases)financialanalysis,
particularlywhenassessinghowmuchofaneconomicburdencanbeimposedoncompaniesresultingfromaparticularregulation.
Competitorsareintenselyinterestedinfindingoutasmuchaboutacompanyaspossible.
Businessstrategyanalysisofone’scompetitorsisanimportantpartofformulatingone’sownbusinessstrategy,especiallyintermsofassessingstrengthsandweaknesses.Accountingandfinancialanalysisalsocanuncoverstrengthsandweaknesses.Prospectiveanalysismaybe
importantifamergeroracquisitioniscontemplated.
3.Informationaccessibilityisamajorconditionforanefficientcapitalmarket,thatis,
informationmustberapidlyanalyzedandmadeavailabletoinvestorscapableofactingonit.IntheUnitedStatesandotherbroadly-basedfinancialmarkets,awholeindustryspecializingin
informationanalysisanddisseminationhasdeveloped.Similarinvestmentanalysisservicesinmanynon-U.S.capitalmarketsareatanearlierstageofdevelopment.
4.Investmentanalysisalmostalwaysinvolvespairedcomparisons,evenifthebenchmarkalternativeistodonothing.Inevaluatingtheriskandreturncharacteristicsofanon-domesticcompanydifferencesinaccountingmeasuresofriskandreturnareoftendueasmuchto
differencesinmeasurementrulesbetweencountriesastheyaretorealeconomicdifferences.
Corporatetransparencycompoundstheproblembydeprivinganalystsofinformationnecessarytoadjustfornationalmeasurementdifferences.Manyanalystsconsiderthedisclosureissuetobeevenmoreimportantthanmeasurementdifferences.
5.OnewayofcopingwithGAAPdifferencesistorestateforeignaccountingmeasurestoan
internationallyrecognizedsetofprinciplesorthereportingframeworkoftheinvestor’shome
country.Analternativetackistodevelopadetailedunderstandingofaccountingpracticesintheinvestee’scountry.
Studentswilldefinitelydisagreeonthisone.Eventuallysomewillofferacompromise:usetheformercopingmechanismiftheinvesteecompanyisbeingcomparedwithafirmintheinvestor’shomecountryandadopta“multipleprinciplescapability”whencomparingtheinvesteecompanytoanothercompanyinthesamecountry.Anothertackwouldbetoexaminewhoismakingthe
marketfortheinvestee’sshares.Iflocalinvestorsaremakingthemarket,oneshouldnotignorelocalnorms.However,ifinvestorsintheinvestor’scountryaremakingthemarket;e.g.,U.S.institutionalinvestors,thenrestatementtotheinvestor’shomecountryGAAPmakessense.
6.Prospectiveanalysisinvolvesforecastingafirm’sfuturecashflowsandthenvaluingthose
cashflows.Asfuturecashflowestimatesarebasedonaccountingmeasurements,differencesinmeasurementrulesbetweencountriescomplicatethiseffort.Therangeofaccountingchoices
availableabroadaddtothiscomplexity.However,measurementdifferencesareonlyoneofthevariablesthatcomplicatesprospectiveanalysis,Differencesinenvironmentalvariablessuchasratesofinflation,sovereignrisk,businesspractices,andinstitutionscomplicatebothforecastingandvaluation.Differentinstitutionsincludefinancialnorms,taxregimesandmarket
enforcementmechanisms.Intermsofvaluation,whileP/Emultiplesmaybepopularinone
country,discounteddividendsmaybemorepopularinanother.Eveniftwocountriesemploythesamevaluationframework,differencesininvestmenthorizonsandmethodsofcalculating
discountrates/costofcapitalwillvary.
7.Translationofforeignfinancialstatementsfortheconvenienceofdomesticreadersis
fundamentallydistinctfromthetranslationofbranchorsubsidiaryaccountsforpurposesof
consolidation.Inthelattercase,translationinvolvesaremeasurementprocess.Inmostcountries,foreignaccountsfirstarerestatedtotheaccountingprinciplesoftheparentcountrypriorto
restatementtoparentcurrency.Conveniencetranslationsmerelyinvolvearestatementprocessin
thesensethatforeignaccountsaremultipliedbyaconstanttochangethecurrencyofdenominationfromdomesticcurrencytothecurrencyofthereader’sdomicile.
8.Rulesofthumbcanvarysubstantiallyfromonecountrytoanotherduetobothaccountingandnon-accountingfactors.Japanprovidesastrikingexample.ManyJapanesecompaniesare
membersoflargetradinggroups(keiretsu)withlargecommercialbanksattheircore.Keiretsuoftenpostponeinterestandprincipalpayments,sothatlong-termdebtinJapanworksmorelikeequityintheUnitedStates.Short-termdebtisattractivetoJapanesecompaniesbecauseshort-termobligationstypicallyhavelowerinterestratesthanlong-termobligations,andnormallyarerenewedor“rolledover”ratherthanrepaid.Thus,debthasamuchdifferentnatureandpurposeinJapanthanintheUnitedStates.
Theacidtestratiospecificallyinvolvescash,marketablesecuritiesandreceivablesasthe
numeratorintheequation,andcurrentliabilitiesasthedenominator.Butwhatcountsascurrentliabilitiesversuslong-termdebt(orhowlong-termdebtisviewed)isverydifferentinJapanthanintheU.S.InJapan,highshort-termdebtislesslikelytoindicatealackofliquidity,forthe
reasonsstatedabove.Banksoftenarewillingtorenewtheseloansbecauseitallowsthemto
adjusttheirinterestratestochangingmarketconditions.Thus,short-termdebtworkslikelong-termdebtelsewhere,andJapanesecompaniescanoperatesuccessfullywithaquickratioata
levelthatwouldbeentirelyunacceptableintheUnitedStates.Note,however,thatbankingpracticesinJapanarechangingrapidly,andthetoleranceinJapanforhighlevelsofdebtfinancingmaywelldecreaseinthefuture.
9.Importantrecommendationsincludethefollowing:
•Beawarethatnationaldifferencesinaccountingmeasurementrulescanadd“noise”toreportedperformancecomparisons.Thereadershouldbepreparedtounwindaccountingdifferenceswherenecessary.
•Useastructuredapproach,suchastheonepresentedinthischapter,toensurethatallrelevantfactorsareconsidered.
•Cashflow-relatedmeasuresarelessaffectedbyaccountingprincipledifferencesthanareearnings-basedmeasures,thusmakingthempotentiallyvaluableininternationalanalysis.
•Auditqualityvariesdramaticallyacrosscountries.Becomefamiliarwiththelevelofauditqualityinaparticularcountrybeforereachingconclusionsusingfinancial
statementspreparedbycompaniesinthatcountry.
•Corporatetransparencyalsovariesdramaticallyacrosscountries.Besuretoassess
accuratelythequalityoffinancialdisclosuresbeforereachingconclusionsbasedonthem.
•Aboveall,appreciatethatmeasurementanddisclosurepracticesareenvironmentally
based.Appreciationforinstitutionaldifferenceswillgreatlyaidinproperinterpretationofaccountingbasedperformanceandriskmeasures.
10.ThefollowinglistdescribesingeneralfashionwhatprobableeffecttheDutchtranslationpracticewouldhaveonselectedfinancialratiosincomparisonwiththetemporalmethod.The
analysisassumesthattheoriginalfinancialstatementsofthetwocompaniesareidenticalinallrespectssaveforthecurrencytranslationmethodused.Inventoriesareassumedtobecarriedatcost.
-Devaluation__Revaluation
Currentratio(liquidity)decreaseincreaseInv.Atmktgoesdown
Invatmktgoesup
Debtratio(solvency)increasedecrease
LossgoesinATAsoeq.smaller
Gaininataeqlrg.
Fixedassetturnover(efficiency)increasedecrease
Netsales/assetsassetssmallersoinc.
Assetslargersodec.
Returnonassets(profitability)increasedecrease
lossnotinincome
Gainnotinincome
Ascanbeseen,thecurrentratemethodcanhaveasignificanteffectonkeyfinancialindicators.Accordingly,securityanalystsmustbecarefultodistinguishbetweenthecurrencyinwhichaforeignaccountisdenominatedandthecurrencyinwhichitismeasured.
11.Theattestfunctioniswhatgivescredibilitytothefinancialstatements.Ifthisfunctionis
importantinthedomesticcase,itisevenmoreimportantinternationallywherestatementreadersareseparatedfromthecompaniestheyareinterestedinnotonlybyphysicaldistancebutalsobyculturaldistance.
12.Internalcontrolisanactivityperformedbyafirm’sinternalauditorsthathelpstoassurethat
management’spoliciesandproceduresarebeingcarriedouteffectively,thatfinancial
transactionsarebeingproperlyreportedbothinternallyandexternallyandthattheassetsofthefirmaresafeguarded.Internalcontrolisrelieduponbyafirm’sexternalauditorsindeterminingtowhatextenttheirworkshouldreplicatetheworkoftheinternalauditor.Theroleofthe
internalauditorhasbecomeevenmoreimportantinassuringthereliabilityofmanagement’s
financialrepresentationsowingtothelargenumberoffinancialscandalsthathasrockedtheU.S.andotherfinancialmarketsduringthestartofthisdecade.RecentlegislationintheU.S.,whichisincreasinglybeingemulatedelsewhere,hasmademanagementresponsibleforassuringthat
theirsystemofinternalcontrolsarenotonlyinplacebutareworkingwell.Thishasbeen
necessarytoreduceinvestoruncertaintyregardingthequalityandreliabilityofafirm’spublishedfinancialaccounts.
Intheabsenceofastrongsystemofinternalcontrols,investorswilladoptamorepassive
approachtoinvestingasopposedtorelyingonfirm-specificinformation.Thisinvolvestakingamutualfundapproachtoinvestingwhichattemptstodiversifyawayinformationrisk,althoughatthecostoflesserperformance.
Exercises
1.ThetrendofdividendsfromaU.S.dollarperspectivecanbeascertainedbytranslatingthe
pesodividendstreamusingthe$/Pexchangerateprevailingatthebeginningofthetimeseriesortheend.Useoftheendingexchangerateprovidesthefollowingtrenddata:
20X6
20X7
20X8
Netincome(P)8,50010,80015,900
Dividends(Pmill’s)2,5503,2404.770
Dividends($000)8501,0801,590
Percentagechange---27.1%47.2%
2.HowthestatementofcashflowsappearinginExhibit9.5wasderived:
Beg.Bal.DR.CR.End.Bal.
Cash
Newfixedassets
ST$payable
LTdebt
Capitalstock
2,400
8,500
500
4,800
3,818
(3)2,695
(2)555
(3)1,584
3.990
10,640
500
6,384
3,818
Retainedearnings1,782(1)2502,030
Translationadjustment1,898
Sources
of
Funds
Uses
of
Funds
Sources:
Netincome
Depreciation
IncreaseinLTdebt
TranslationadjustmentUsesoffunds:
Increaseinfixedassets
Netincreaseincash
(1)250
(2)555
(3)1,584
(4)1,898
4,287
4,287
(3)2,695
2,695
1,592
4,287
3.ConsolidatedFundsStatement
(figuresappearinginparenthesesdenotechangesdueprimarilytotranslationeffects)
Sources:
Netincome250
Depreciation555
IncreaseinLTdebt1,584(1,584)
Translationadjustment1,898(1,898)
lessintercompanypayable138
Usesoffunds:
Increaseinfixedassets2,695(2,695)
Netincreaseincash1,590(924)
The$924translationeffectisthatpartofthe$1,898gainonthetranslationofnetworthwhichisrelatedtothetranslationofcash.Itisderivedasfollows.
a.Openingcashof24,000kronatranslatedat.10Openingcashretranslatedat12/31at.133
Gain
b.6,000kronaincreaseincashduringtheyear
initiallytranslatedat.111
6,000kronaretranslatedat12/31at.133
Gain
Totaltranslationgainapplicabletocash
=$2,400
=3,192
792
=$666
=798
132
924
4.Yes,InfosysaddedvalueforitsshareholdersasitsEVAwasapositiveRPE1,540.Operatingincomemorethancoveredthecompany’scostofdebtandequity.
5.Debit:Costofgoodssold¥250,000,000
Taxespayable87,500,000
Credit
Inventories
Taxexpense
¥250,000,000
87,500,000
6.a.
20X6
20X7
20X8
Salesrevenue(£)23,50028,65033,160
Salesrevenue($)49,35063,03053,056
b.
Percentagechange20X7/20X6Pounds21.9%
Dollars27.8%
20X8/20X7
15.7%
-15.8%
Thetwotimeseriesdonotmoveinparallelfashionbecauseofchangesinexchangeratesusedtoperformtheconveniencetranslations.
c.Thisproblemcanbeminimizedbytranslatingthetimeseriesusingthe20X6exchangerateorbyusingthe20X8exchangerate.Trendanalysiscanalsobeperformedinthelocalcurrency.
7.a.ROE(perSwedishGAAP)=4,709/88,338=5.3%
ROE(perU.S.GAAP)=3,127/84,761=3.7%
b.SomestudentswillfavorusingtheROEbasedonSwedishGAAP,especiallyifVolvo’sperformanceisbeingcomparedwiththatofanothercompanyinSweden.Otherswill
favorbasingtheirperformanceassessmentonROEperU.S.GAAP,especiallyifVolvoisbeingcomparedtoaU.S.counterpart.Thelatteratleastminimizestheapplesto
orangesissue.Itisnotclearwhichviewpointiscorrect,andthisquestionshouldprovokegooddiscussionofthevalueofrestatedaccountingnumbers.
c.EvenifstudentsallagreedthatanROEbasedonU.S.GAAPwerepreferable,theuserofthisinformationshouldtakeintoaccountallinstitutionalconsiderations,suchas
differencesintaxlaws,financialnormsandbusinesspracticesthataffectallratiosintheSwedishbusinessenvironment.Intheabsenceofsuchanalysis,restatedratiosarelikelytobemisinterpreted.
8.AssessingreasonsforP/Eratiotrendsandcross-countrycomparisonsisdifficult.The
textdiscussestwostudiesthathaveanalyzeddifferencesinP/EratiosbetweenJapanandtheUnitedStatesinthelate1980s.Thestudiesdiffergreatlyintheirexplanationsofthe(then)muchhigherJapaneseP/Eratios,andneitherstudyclaimstoexplainmorethanapartofthedifference.Partbutnotallofthereasonswereattributabletoaccounting
measurementdifferences.Wesuspectthatdifferencesininstitutionalfactorsprobablyexertthedominantreasonforobserveddifferencesinternationally.
9.Studentsanswerswillnaturallyvary.However,theyshouldrecognizethatauditpractice
areinfluencedasmuchbydifferencesinsocial,economicandpoliticalenvironmentsasaremeasurementstandards.Theyshouldalsorecognizethatstandardsettingisasmuchapoliticalprocessasitisaprocessoflogicorsoundprinciples.
10.JudgingfrominformationprovidedinExhibit9-22,liabilitycasesvaryfarmoreby
countrythanbyauditor–with35casesintheU,.S.,overtwiceasmanyasinthenext
highestcountry(theU.K.,with17).Noauditfirmshadcasesineverycountry,andthetotalnumberforeachauditorisrelativelysimilar,rangingfrom11(ArthurAndersen)to18(KPMG).ThecountrywhereliabilitycaseswereleastfrequentwastheNetherlands,withonlyonecase.
Why?LawsandregulationsintheAnglo-Americancountries,includingtheUnited
States,stressinvestorprotection.Thisplacesmoreliabilityontheauditorandmakesiteasierforcompaniesorshareholderstobringorproveasuit.Inresponsetothethreatoflitigation,auditorsareprobablymorecarefulintheUnitedStates,andmorewillingto
subjectthemselvestostrictregulations.
Implications?Itisreasonabletoarguethatfinancialreportingqualityispositivelycorrelatedwithfrequencyofauditlitigation.Forexample,thepatternsofauditorlitigationshowninthetableaboveareconsistentwiththerelativelyhighfinancialreportingqualityfoundintheU.S.,theU.K.,AustraliaandCanada.
11.Studentopinionsarelikelytovaryonthisoneaswell.Somewillargueforopinions
coinedbyprivateprofessionalbodies.Others,inlightofEnron,et.al.,willoptformorelegalopinions.Intheend,studentsshouldconcludethatenforcementmechanismsarealsoveryimportant.RecentU.S.indictmentsofcompanyofficersforaccounting
violationsaswellasmandatedprisontermsisunprecedented.Togetherwithincreasingrecoursetothecourtsbyaggrievedinvestors,theimbalancebetweenanauditor’s
responsibilityandauthorityisbeingredressed.
12.Reasonablecriteriaforjudgingthemeritsofadatabaseforcompanyresearchinclude(butarenotlimitedto):
-coverage(numberofcompanies,countries,yearsofdata).
-amountofinformationforeachcompany(numberoffinancial,market-basedmeasurespercompany).
-reliability,easeofuse,languagetranslations,searchfeatures.
-cost(areonlysomeofthedata“freelyavailable?”).
-accessandlinkstootherWebsitesprovided?
Case9-1
Sandvik
1.a.ThereareseveraladvantagesthataccruetoSwedishfirmsemployingthesystemofspecialreserves.First,politicaldividendsaccruetofirmsthataligntheirgoalswiththoseofthe
government.Second,therearetaxadvantagesasexpensesrecognizedinestablishingareservearetaxdeductible.Third,theuseofreservingallowscompaniestomanagetheirearnings.
Disadvantagesincludetheriskofreducingacompany’sreportingcredibilitywiththe
internationalinvestingcommunity.This,inturn,maylimitthecompany’sexternalfinancingflexibility.
2.Thegovernmentbenefitsfromthereservingsysteminthatithasallyinmaintainingfullemployment.Thatistosay,itsmacroeconomictoolkitisexpandedinthatityetanothervehicleformanagingtheeconomyinadditiontomonetaryandfiscalpolicy.
3.Theuseofreservesmakesitdifficultforstatementreaderswhoareunfamiliarwith
Swedishreportingpracticestoassesstheriskandreturnattributesofthefirm.Forexample,itwillnotbecleartowhatextentobserveddifferencesinfinancialratiosbetweenaSwedish
companyandanon-Swedishcompanyareduetoaccountingdifferencesasopposedtorealeconomicdifferencesintheattributesbeingmeasured.
4.TheuseofreserveshadadampeningeffectonSandvik’sreportedearnings.
5.TheentriesusedtoincreasethereservescanbedeterminedbyexaminingthechangeinUntaxedReservesinthebalancesheetaswellasexaminingtherelevantnotestothefinancialstatements.Theentrieswere:
Depreciationexpense172
Excessdepreciationreserve172
Otherexpenses13
Otheruntaxedreserves13
6.
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