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DesireforNewPowerisStrong:TimetoLower
ConsumptionTax
InsightsonPurchase
Decision–Power(2024)
TengYiResearchInstitute(YicheResearchInstitute)
Authors
LijunZhou
Director/ChiefAnalyst
zhoulijun1@
YingGao
IndustryAnalyst
gaoying1@
BenyaShi
IndustryAnalyst
shibenya@
QiangZhang
VisualDesigner
zhangqiang9@
Desireforpower:buyerpreferenceonvehicleabilitytoprovideinstantaneousandcontinuousstrongpowerduringstart,
acceleration,takeover,hillclimbandbreakaway
WhileChina’scarmarketgrewvigorouslyoverthepasttwodozenyearsorso,smalldisplacementlow
value-addproductsprimarilypoweredby1.5Lor1.6Lenginesdominatedsalesbutdidnotcontributegreatlytocorporateprofitability.ProductsthataremorepowerfulhavealwaysbeennicheinChina,
unlikethepopularityofgasguzzlersthatdominatethemarketinAmerica.Isitpossibleatallthatsalesofmorepowerfulproductsandthesegmentsthattheyrepresentwillevertakeoff?Cancarmakers
reshapetheirprofitabilitystructureandcultivatehighlyprofitablebusinessfootprintthroughmorepowerfulproducts?
Tohelpcarmakersbetterexcavatesellingpointsrelatedtopower,TYRI(YRI)hascomeupwiththisreport.ButTYRI(YRI)doesnothavetheexpertiseontheresearchofpowertechnologies,only
experienceinuserresearchandinsights.Basedonthisexperience,thisreportfocusesonuserdesireforpowerratherthancritiqueintospecificpowertechnologiestoprovideYichecustomersincluding
OEMsanddealersanindependentanddifferentiatedthird-partyreferencematerial;
Basedonuserperspectivesandmainstreamsegmentationmethods,TYRI(YRI)definesdesireforpowerasbuyerpreferenceonvehicleabilitytoprovideinstantaneousandcontinuousstrongpowerduringstart,acceleration,takeover,hillclimbandbreakawayscenarios;
ThedatapresentedinthisreportismainlybasedonTYRI(YRI)onlineresearchwithover50,000
samplesinthefirstthreequartersof2024,andalsoreferencesonYichebigdataaswellasTYRI(YRI)offlineresearch.
DefinitionofPowerSchematic
Acceleration
InstantaneousOutput
TakeOver
Start
for
Power
ContinuousOutput
HillClimb
Desire
Others
Breakaway
Thedesireforpowerwas39.52%in2024,canpowerbecomeamainstreamsellingpointandhelpcarmakersstandoutin
thisroundoftrade-inwavedrivenbyconsumptionupgrade?
In2024,thedesireforpowerinChina’scarmarketis39.52%.Thoughthisdesireislowerthanthatfor
mainstreamsellingpointslikeprice,energyconsumptionandsafety,itismuchhigherthanthatfornichesellingpointssuchasquietnessandoff-roadiness,whichprovesthatmanycarbuyersarestillsoldonpower;
Theenginedisplacementstructureofthemarketbasedondifferentpoweriscloselycorrelatedwithuserstructure:from2018to2023,theshareofbuyerstradingintheirexistingvehiclesfornewonesprimarilydrivenbyconsumptionupgraderosefrom31%tonearly46%,whilethemarketshiftedtowardonethat
wasdominatedby1.5Land1.6Lsmallenginedisplacementvehiclestoonethatwasdominatedby2.0Landabovehighenginedisplacementvehicles.Theshareofvehiclespoweredby2.0Lenginestopped
30%inthefirstthreequartersof2024;meanwhile,theshareofbuyersbuyingadditionalvehiclesrose
from14%tomorethan26%,primarilydrivenbydesireformobilityenbalingfromfemalebuyers,which
droverigorousdevelopmentofzeroemissionsEVsthatsoonaccountedforover20%ofthemarketfromnearlynon-existence.Thesetypeofcustomerstradingintheirexistingvehiclesfornewonesandbuyingadditionalvehiclessignificantlyimpactedthetraditionalvehiclestructuredominatedbysmalldisplacementengines,resultingintherapidincreaseinshareofEVsandvehiclespoweredby2.0Lengines;
Theevolutionoftheuserstructurereshapingthevehiclepowerstructurebasedonenginedisplace-
mentisonlythebeginning.Thedesirefornewpowerisstillbeingformedandthereisstilllackof
productsthatcancatertothisdesirefornewpower.Carmakersstillneedtodeepentheirresearchintouserevolutionandpowerstructuretrendsandtaketimelymeasures,andavoidrestingontheirlaurelsbettingthatvehiclespoweredby1.5Land1.6Lsmalldisplacementengineswillstillwork.Neithershouldtheybetonlyonthe2.0Lvehicles.
Pre-PurchaseDesireforPowerinChina’sPVMarket2024
Price
Brand
Safety
39.52%
(Power
Energy
Consump
-tion
<7
Other
Quality
ShareofEnd-UserSalesofFirst-TimePurchaseTrade-InandAdditionalPurchaseinChina’s
PVMarket2014-2023
First-TimeTrade-In
AdditionalPurchase
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
ShareofChinaPVEnd-UserSales
byEngineDisplacement2015-Q1-Q32024
EV
Other2.0L
1.6L1.5L
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Q1-Q32024
Source:TYRI(YRI)
Thedesireforpowerfromboomerswhicharepre-dominantlytradinginvehiclesfornewonesisstrong,andconsideringtherigorousgrowthoftheboomermarketintothelargestmarketsegment,boomerscouldspearheada“consumptionwavefornewpower”inChina’scarmarket
Thefirstpriorityinexcavatingproductsellingpointsistofindtherightcustomers.Combiningthetwocorelabelsofgenderandagegroup,boomers(middle-agedmen)hadthehighestdesireforpowerat42.47%.Thatdesireisnotonlyaboutinstantaneousaccelerationandthethrillofbeingpushed
backagainsttheseat,butalsocontinuousoutputofstrongpower.Elderlymalebuyershadthenexthighestdesireforpower.In10years,whenthepost-80sgeneration,alsoknownasthefirstbatchof “littleemperors”thatmassivelyboughtcarsastheyweregettingmarriedenterelderlyage,theywillhavestrongerdesireforpowerastheywilllikelyliveamorecarefreelife.Oddlyenough,youngmenthatnormallylikejoyridesinlifehadthelowestdesireforpoweramongthethreemajormalebuying
groupsatlessthan40%in2024.Thedesireforpowerforfemalebuyerswasgenerallylowerineachofthemajorsub-segmentscomparedtotheirmalecounterparts;
Thereasonwhyboomershavestrongdesireforpoweriscloselycorrelatedwiththeinternalstructureoftheboomercarmarket:in202373.38%oftheboomercarbuyerstraded-intheirexistingcarsfornewones.Rightnow,boomersareprimarilymadeupofthepost-80sgenerationwhichrepresentedthefirstmassivewaveofcarbuyersinChina.Thismeantthatconsumptionupgrade,includingpowerupgradewasamajorcharacteristicofthisroundoftrade-inpurchasesfromboomers,drivingtheir
desireforpower;
Therigorousdevelopmentoftheboomercarmarketoverthepast10yearsorsoresultedinsales
approachingnearly7millionunitsin2023representingamarketshareofover30%,surpassingthe
youngmencarmarketasChina’sleadingcarsegment.Withthishugecustomerfootprintasabasisandtheirstrongdesireforpower,boomerscouldbeleadinga“consumptionwavefornewpower”inChina’scarmarket,drivingnewtrendssuchasenginedisplacementupgrading.Overrecent
years,mostproductspoweredby1.5Land1.6Lsmalldisplacementenginesconfrontedthechallengeofsteepfallinsales.Whiletheycomplainaboutmarketheadwinds,thesecarmakersshouldalso
reflectuponthemselveswhethertheirproductskeptupwithnewmarkettrendssuchaspowerupgrade.
Pre-PurchaseDesireforPowerbyAgeGroup
andGender2024
End-UserSalesandMarketShareofBoomerCarMarket2014-2023(10,000units)
800
EndUserSalesMarketShare
44%
42%
40%
38%
36%
34%
32%
600
400
200
0
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
35%30%25%20%15%10%5%0%
ShareofEnd-UserSalesinBoomerCarMarketby
PurchaseType2023
AdditionalPurchase
11.62%
First-Time14.99%
Trade-In73.38%
ShareofEnd-UserSalesbyAgeGroupandGender2023
ElderlyFemale-3.19%
Middle-AgedFemale20.08%
YoungFemale14.82%
YoungMale21.73%
ElderlyMale9.24%
Middle-AgedMale30.95%
Source:TYRI(YRI)
Youth:<35yearsold;middle-aged:35-54;elderly:55&above
Boomersnowprimarilybuycarsforroadtripsandhavestrongdesireforit,whichwillaccelerateandintensifytheevolutionof“consumptionwavefornewpower”ledbyboomers
From2020to2023,theprimarypurchasereasonforboomersthatdominatedthe“consumptionwavefornewpower”quicklyshiftedfromworkcommutetoroadtrip,andofthefivecorepurchasereasonsofroadtrip,workcommute,pickup/dropoffkids,mobilityenablinganddailyupgrade,roadtriphadthestrongestdesireforpowerat44.07%in2024.Becauseroadtripsusuallyinvolvelongdistancedrivingandmorecomplexroadconditions,usersrequireinstantaneousandcontinuousstrongpoweroutputinspecialscenariossuchashillclimb,breakawayandlong-distancedriving,thedesireforpowerforroadtripisthereforenaturallyhigherthanthatforworkcommuteandmobilityenabling;
Therapidswitchinpurchasereasonandthestrongdesireforpowermeanthattheevolutionofthe
“consumptionwavefornewpower”ledbyboomerswillbefuriousandabruptanddoesnotgive
carmakerstoomuchtimetorespondaccordingly.Overthepast4-5yearsorso,therapidcontractionofthe1.5Land1.6Lsmalldisplacementmarketandtheriseof2.0Lhighdisplacementmarketisproof.Butmanycarmakershaveturnedablindeye,andsomehigh-endbrandsinsteadcontinuedtolaunch1.5Land1.6Lsmalldisplacementvehicles;
Overthepast20yearsorso,thefactthatChina’scarmarketwasinanearlyphaseofcarconsumption,Chinesecarmakerswerebehindontechnologiesandrelevantgovernmentdepartmentshadthepush
combineddrovethedevelopmentofsmalldisplacementvehicles.AsconsumptionpowerofChinesecar
buyersgrowstrongerandChinesecarmakersachievebreakthroughsinlargedisplacementvehicle
technologiesmakingthemmoreenergy-saving,andifrelevantgovernmentdepartmentsannounce
supportivepolicies,it’snotoutofthequestionthatlargedisplacement(energy-saving)productsrapidlyrisetobecomeanewpopularproductsegmentinChina’scarmarket;
Eventhough1.5Land1.6LsmalldisplacementvehicleshavelongdominatedChina’scarmarket,thatdoesnotmeanitwillcontinuetobedominatedbythesetypeofvehicles.Thepowerupgradeoverthepast4-5yearsorsowasthebeginning,nottheend.
DesireforPowerbyMajorPurchaseReason2024
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
RoadTripDailyUpgradeWorkCommutePickUp/DropOffKidsMobilityEnabling
TopPurchaseReasonsTopPurchaseReasons
forBoomers2020forBoomers2023
0%20%40%
WorkCommute
RoadTrip
MobilityEnabling
PickUp/DropOffKids
DailyUpgrade
60%0%20%40%60%
RoadTrip
WorkCommute
MobilityEnabling
DailyUpgrade
PickUp/DropOffKids
Source:TYRI(YRI)
Thequalityandvolumeoftheuserbaseof“consumptionwave
fornewpower”ledbyboomerscontinuetogrow,greatlyelevatingthevalueofChina’scarmarketandrewardingthewinners
Someopportunitiesseemworthlessyetregrettabletopass,suchasthecurrentsmallEVmarket:
thoughvolumescanbegreat,profitabilityispoor,andbecauseofdualcreditrequirementscarmakersoftentimeshavetohaveapresenceinthismarketevenifitmeanslosingmoney.IfChina’sNEV
marketwaslikethesmallEVmarket,carmakerswilleventuallygounder,andnoonewillhavethe
propensitytoparticipate.Then,the“consumptionwavefornewpower”ledbyboomers,willitbehotornot?Wemusthaveaclearanswer;
Thedesireforpowerfromboomersincreaseastheireducationlevelincrease:reachingnearly48%for
masterscomparedto43.45%forbachelors.Inaddition,theshareofbuyerswithbachelorsandmaster’sdegreesrosesteadilyoverthelast10yearsorso,topping40%in2023.Andsincecarpurchasepower
increaseswitheducationlevel,thesefactorstogetherelevatedthevalueof“consumptionwavefornewpower”ledbyboomers.Todiveabitdeeperintothistopic,wecanalsolookatitfromasocialstatus
perspective.Thedesireforpowerfromboomersalsoincreasedastheirincomeincreased:reaching
43.1%formiddle-classboomersandtopping52%forwealthyboomersin2024.Meanwhile,themarketforhighincomebuyersexpandedoverthepast10yearsorso,andplusthefactthatthehigherthe
incomethestrongerthepurchasingpower,wecanalsoconcludethatthe“consumptionwavefornewpower”ledbyboomersisofhighvalue;
Beiteducationlevelorincomelevel,thevalueof“consumptionwavefornewpower”ledbyboomersisquitehigh.OncethiswaveorganicallyintegrateswithNEVs,itcouldbecomeanewopportunityfor
thetransformationandupgradingofChina’sautoindustry.Thefutureisdefinitelybright,butthepathwillbearduous.Themoreparticipantsjointhatpathlater,themorearduousitwillbe.
Pre-PurchaseDesireforPowerFromBoomersbyEducationLevel2024
Pre-PurchaseDesireforPowerFromBoomers
bySocialStatus2024
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
BlueCollar
Middle-Class
Wealthy
ChinaCarMarketSharebyBuyerEducation
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
Level2014-2023
Master
Bachelor
JuniorCollege
HighSchool/VocationalMiddleSchool&Below
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
0%
ChinaCarMarketSharebyBuyerSocialStatus2014-2023
Wealthy
Middle-ClassBlueCollar
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
0%
Source:TYRI(YRI)
Bluecollar:householdannualincome<RMB150K;middle-class:RMB150K-500K;wealthy:>RMB500K
Carmakersbattlinginthe“consumptionwavefornewpower”
ledbyboomersmustfocusonenergy-savingandICEvehicles,usersactuallydonothavethatmuchdesireforpowerforpowerfulEVs
Ifthefutureisbright,thenwemustfigureoutwheretobegin.Itobviouslystartsoutwiththeproduct.OurresearchshowsthatChineseusershavemuchstrongerdesireforpowerforenergy-saving
vehiclesandtraditionalICEvehicles,especiallyforEREVsatover46%in2024.ThisismainlyduetothefactthatmostoftheEREVsalessofarhavecomefromhigh-endbrandslikeLiAutoandAITO;HEVslikeSiennaandGranviacomenext,andICEvehiclesrankthirdintermsofdesireforpowerbyenergytype.It’snottheendofICEvehicles,atleastnotyet,carmakersshouldraceagainstthe
clocktoupgradetheirICEvehiclesandaccelerateeffortstoofferenergy-savingvehiclesespeciallylargerones.PHEVsrankedfourthintermsofdesireforpower,mainlybecausePHEVsareprimarilycompactvehiclesthatdon’thavestrongdesireforpowerinthefirstplace.IfbiggerPHEVslaunch-ingtomarkettowardtheendof2024liketheBYDXiaandTangLperformwell,thenthedesirefor
powerforPHEVscouldrise;
Lookedatindividually,inordertobettercatertousers’desireforpowerandownershipexperience,allfourofthesepowertrainmodeshavethetendencytohaveengineswithbiggerdisplacements.
Rightnow,ToyotadominatetheHEVsegmentandisthemostactiveatlaunchingHEVswithbiggerengines.OncesupportivepoliciesforNEVsendafter2027,HEVspoweredby2.5Landabove
enginesmightattractmoreboomers.ChinesecarmakerslikeGeely,BYD,GreatWallMotorandLiAutomustconsiderHEVswhiletheyactivelypushtoexpandandupgradetheirPHEVandEREVproductofferings;
Rightnow,manyEVsusepowerasacoresellingpoint,butusershavethelowestdesireforpowerforEVs,atjust30.36%in2024,makingEVstheonlypowertraintypewithadesireforpowerlowerthanindustryaverage,mainlybecausefemalebuyersthatdon’thavemuchdesireforpowerare
primarybuyersofEVs.ThisconclusionmightmakethoseEVmanufacturersthatprimarilyfocusonthepowersellingpointfeelawkward.CarmakersthatspendafortunetotrytosetrecordlaptimesattheNürburgringNordschleifeshouldinsteadshowtheirEVsontheinternationalcatwalk;
Inordertoprovetheconclusionthatthe“consumptionwavefornewpower”ledbyboomersis
focusedonICEvehiclesandenergy-savingvehicles,wecanfurtherdissecttheinternalstructureoftheboomercarmarket.In2023,virtuallyallmodelslistedinthetop20rankingsintermsofboomer
carmarketshareorboomercarpenetrationwereICEvehiclesandenergy-savingvehicles,highly
overlappingthepowertraincharacteristicsof“consumptionwavefornewpower.”In2023,compactICEvehiclesdominatedtheboomercarmarketsharerankingswhilemanylargeenergy-saving
vehiclesappearedontheboomercarmarketpenetrationrankings.Becausemarketsharedatacanpartiallyreflectthecurrentmarketlandscapeandpenetrationdatacanpartiallypreviewnewmarket
trends,theboomercarmarketwillcontinuetoevolvefromonedominatedbycompactICEvehiclestoonedominatedbylargeenergy-savingvehicles.
DesireforPowerbyEnergyType2024
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
50%
EREVHEVICEVPHEVBEV
TopMainstreamModelsinBoomerMarketShare2023
Top20MainstreamModelsin
BoomerMarketPenetration2023
0%1%2%3%0%20%40%60%80%
SongPLUSNEVModelYSylphy
QinPLUSNEV Lavida AIONS SagitarHavalH6
SongProNEVCorolla
Chang'anCS75PLUSXingyueLHan
HondaCR-VBuickGL8Frontlander Emgrand RAV4 CamryDenzaD9
HongqiE-QM5GACTrumpchiGS8DenzaD9
QinNEVGACTrumpchiM8
BuickGL8 Chang'anCS75WulingHongguangSVELITE6
XingyueL
LiL8WulingJiachenBestuneB70
AITOM7 SongProNEVHavalBigDogGenIIBoyue
AIONS
GalaxyL7
LiL9
Source:TYRI(YRI)
Mainstreammodelsdenotethosewithend-usersalesofmorethan30,000unitsinChinain2023
Thedenominatorofthepenetrationrateisthebrand/modelitself,whilethenumeratoristheactual
valueofvariable,thisbetterreflectstheconditionsofthesaidbrand/model,sowearenotgoingtodohorizontalcomparison;marketsharedenotesvariableasapercentageoftotalindustryvolume
UsershaverelativelylowdesireforpowerforEVsmainlybecause
offactorssuchasfemalebuyersdominatesales,theyprimarilyuse
themforshortcommutes,caremoreaboutbangforthebuckand
EVsnaturallyhavefastaccelerationbutpoorcontinuouspoweroutput
Tocarmakers,EVsarelikemusclemen.Buttousers,theyarejustlittlebrothers.Thisisdirectlyrelatedtotheiruserstructure,usecase,coresellingpointandbatterycharacteristic:in2003,nearly70%ofEVsaleswenttofemalebuyers,whodonothaveastrongdesireforpower,reachingonly35.66%in2024.ThishasresultedinmanyEVmodelsthataimedtoattractyoungmalebuyerswithsportyfeatures
insteadhavingtoresorttoyoungormiddle-agedfemalebuyers,eventheXiaomiSU7attractedsignifi-cantfemalebuyers;ledbyfemalebuyers,in2023,thecorereasonsforbuyingEVswereworkcommuteandmobilityenabling,whichdonotrequiredesireforpower;in2023EVusersweremostsatisfiedwith
lowcomprehensivecost,orgreatbangforthebuck,followedbyeasierdriving,whichisassociatedwithnaturalEVcharacteristicssuchasgoodacceleration.EVusersweremostlydissatisfiedwithlowrange,severebatterydegradationandstateofchargedrop.TheseareallinherentcharacteristicsofEVsthat
can’tbechanged.EVshaveobviousprosandcons.Theyhavestronginstantaneouspoweroutputbutnotcontinuouspoweroutput,whichmightbeaturnoffforboomers;
IftraditionallargedisplacementICEvehiclescanbeupgradedtosmalldisplacementenergy-saving
vehiclesorevenlargedisplacementenergy-savingvehiclesviaelectrificationtechnologies,it’llensure
thattheynotonlyhavestronginstantaneousbutalsocontinuouspoweroutput,whichwillbettersatisfyuserdesireonpower.Rightnow,smalldisplacementenergy-savingvehicleslikeDenzaD9,LiLseriesandAITOMseriesaswellaslargeICEvehicleslikeTeramont,TavendorandEnclavetheoreticallyallhaveroomforfurtherupgrading.EVsthatcanoffersomeoftheadvantagesofICEvehiclesand
energy-savingvehiclesshouldalsobeabletomeetthedesireforpowerfromboomers.Hybridproductsthatwillcomeoutin2025liketheXpengG9andZEEKR009willvalidatethisperspective,andcould
impacttheLiLseriesandAITOMseriesthatdidexceptionallywellin2023-2024.
ShareofEVSalesbyGender2023
42%
40%
38%
Female66.96%
36%
34%
32%
Male33.04%
Pre-Purchase
DesireforPowerbyGender2024
MobilityEnabling
44%
MaleFemale
Top5PurchaseReasonsfor
EVs2023
WorkCommute
RoadTrip
PickUp/DropOffKids
DailyUpgrade
0%20%40%60%
Top5Satisfaction
FactorsforEVs2023
Top5DissatisfactionFactorsforEVs2023
0%20%40%
LowComprehensiveCost
EasiertoDrive(Acceleration)
Quieter
NoRestrictions
Gov'tSubsidy
60%0%20%40%60%80%
ShortRange
SevereBatteryDepletion
SevereSoCDropwithA/CorHeaton
InconvenientCharging
SevereSoCLossoverlast100km
Source:TYRI(YRI)
Carmakersbattlingtocapitalizeonthe“consumptionwavefor
newpower”ledbyboomersmustfocusonproductsthatarebigger
vehiclesize,biggerdisplacement,moremulti-purpose,moredistinctiveandmorehigh-end
Ifcarmakerswanttobettercapitalizeonthe“consumptionwavefornewpower”ledbyboomers,they
havetoconsiderfactorsinadditiontofocusingonenergy-savingvehiclesandICEvehicles.Firstofall,it’sbiggercars:thedesireforpowerincreaseswithvehiclesize.In2024itwas42.66%formidsize
vehicles,46.54%formidtolargesizevehiclesand47.42%forlargevehicles;second,it’sbigger
engines:inadditiontoEVsthatarepopularamongfemalebuyersthatarestealingmarketshareof
smalldisplacementvehicles,biggerdisplacementvehiclespopularamongmalebuyersarealso
squeezingawaymarketshareofsmalldisplacementvehicles.Inthefirstthreequartersof2024,the
marketshareof1.5Land1.6Lvehiclesfellbelow35%,whilethatof2.0Lvehiclestopped30%,andthat
of2.5Land3.0Lhighdisplacementvehiclesincludingthosepoweredbybothnaturallyaspiratedand
turbochargedenginesallincreased;third,it’smulti-purpose:in2024thedesiresforpowerforSUVsandMPVswereallhigherthanindustryaverage,at41.78%and42.95%,respectively.Thisisobviouslyduetothefactthatmulti-purposeproductsarebettersuitedformultiuse-casesandlongdistance
driving;fourth,it’sdistinctiveness:in2024thedesireforpowerofsportscarstopped50%,reaching54.2%.Asoftheendof2024,thereisyetasportscarmodelthathashadsignificantsalesvolumesinChina,evenentrylevelmodels.Butthatdoesn’tmeanonewillneverarrive.Asthedesireforpowerstrengthens,it’sonlyamatteroftimebeforeablockbustersportscarmodelemerges;fifth,it’s
high-end:in2024thedesireforpowerofhigh-endbrandsreached44.5%,higherthanthatofvolumeandentrybrands.Rightnow,thedownsizingofenginesandbatteryelectrificationofmainstream
high-endbrandslikeAudi,MercedesandBMWisgoingagainstthe“consumptionwavefornewpower”ledbyboomers;
Overrecentyears,modelsliketheLiAutoLseries,AITOMseries,DenzaD9andTANKseriesthat
offeredmodelsthatmatchedthefiveproductcharacteristicsdescribedabovebenefitedtremendously.Butpriorto2021,thesetypeofproductswerealmostallniche.Overthenextfewyears,thesefive
producttrendswillonlybecomestronger.Carmakersthatreallywanttocapitalizeonthe“consumptionwavefornewpower”ledbyboomersmustproactivelyaddmorepowerfulproductslikelargedisplace-mentvehiclestotheirarsenal.
DesireforPowerbyShareofChinaPVMarketMarket
VehicleSize2024End-UserSalesbyMajor
Displacement2015-Q1-Q32024
100%
80%
60%
40%
Other3.0L2.5L2.0L
1.6L1.5LEV
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Micro
Small
Compact
Midszie
MidtoLarge
Large
DesireforPower
byVehicleType2024
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
CarSUVMPVSportsCar
20%
0%
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Q1-Q32024
DesireforPower
byBrandType2024
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
EntryVolumeHigh-End
Source:TYRI(YRI)
Entry:midpricepoint<RMB120K;volume:RMB120K-250K;high-end:>RMB250K
Carmakersthereforemusthavefivecorrespondingtypesofvehiclesintheirarsenal:sportscars,off-roadvehicles,businessvehicles,
executivesaloonsandlargefamilyvehicles
Thebattleforboomerswholeadthe“consumptionwavefornewpower”attheendofthedayisreallyallabouttheproduct.Nowthatweknowthefiveproducttrends,wehavetofigureoutthecorrespondingproductroadmap:fromaproductattributepointofview,AvantGardehadthehighestdesireforpower
in2024at57.17%.Overthepastyearorso,fromtheAIONHYPTECSSRpricedbetweenRMB1.286-millionandRMB1.686million,totheYangWangU9pricedatRMB1.68million,totheZEEKR001FR
pricedatRMB769,000andtotheXiaomiSU7Ultrathatrecentlywentonpre-saleatRMB814,900,
manycarmakersareproactivelydippingtheirtoesintobatteryelectricAvantGardeproducts.Butthesetypeofvehiclesremainnichewithinfinitesimalsalesvolumesin2024.SportybrandslikeLotusmight
wanttotrytheirluckwithICEandener
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