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RobotaxiontheRoad:ApproachingScaled
CommercializationinChina
April2026
ByHaixuWang,AlexXie,ShaowenWang,BillZhang,CharlieLi,andClaudiaBai
BCG
BostonConsultingGrouppartnerswithleadersinbusinessandsocietytotackletheirmostimportantchallengesandcapturetheirgreatestopportunities.BCGwasthepioneerinbusinessstrategywhenitwasfoundedin1963.Today)
weworkcloselywithclientstoembraceatransformationalapproachaimedatbenefitingallstakeholders—empoweringorganizationstogrow)buildsustainablecompetitive
advantage)anddrivepositivesocietalimpact.
Ourdiverse)globalteamsbringdeepindustryandfunctionalexpertiseandarangeofperspectivesthatquestionthe
statusquoandsparkchange.BCGdeliverssolutions
throughleading-edgemanagementconsulting)technologyanddesign)andcorporateanddigitalventures.Weworkinauniquelycollaborativemodelacrossthefirmand
throughoutalllevelsoftheclientorganization)fueledbythegoalofhelpingourclientsthriveandenablingthemtomaketheworldabetterplace.
Contents
0
2Preface
0
3ConsumerSurvey
Insights:ConsumersAre
OverwhelminglyPositive
TowardRobotaxi
ConsumersAreNotSatisfied
withTraditionalHuman-Driven
SharedMobilityServices
TheRobotaxiRideExperience
FarOutclassesCurrentModes
15RobotaxiHasHugeMarket
PotentialinChina
17RobotaxiPlayersHave
MadeSignificantProgress
EstablishedL4RobotaxiPlayers
AreattheDawnofScaled
CommercialOperations
RobotaxiMomentumPullsin
L2Entrants,YetL4Robotaxi
RemainsaLongWayOff
ConsumersDemonstrateStrong
AcceptanceofRobotaxi
11RoadTestObservations:
TechReadinessIsStrong
EnoughforScaled
Commercialization
LeadingPlayersHaveAchieved
SustainedDriverlessOperations
WithinOperatingAreas
L4RobotaxiHasthe
GeneralizationPotentialto
ScaleFasterBeyondCurrent
Areas
21Conclusion:RobotaxiIson
theRoadinChina
22AbouttheAuthors
2BOSTONCONSULTINGGROUP
Preface
Robotaxi)asoneofthemostimportantapplicationsofautonomousdriving)hasrecentlygainedsignificanttractionintheChinesemarket.
Proactivemovesbyleadingrobotaxiplayers)including
expandeddeploymentsandcommercializationinitiatives)havefiredupinterestanddiscussionamongabroader
rangeofindustryparticipants.Thisrenewedmomentumhasonceagainraisedfundamentalquestionsabout
marketreadiness)consumeracceptance)technologicalmaturity)andthereal-worldperformanceofrobotaxi
services.
Buildingonyearsofdeepengagementintheautonomousdrivingsector)ourrecentresearchhassurfacedsome
compellingandexcitinginsightsintothecurrentevolutionoftherobotaximarketinChina.Drawingonacombinationofoutside-inanalysis)consumersurveyscoveringseveral
hundredrespondentsnationwide)andextensiveroad
testingacrossmultiplecities)weseeclearsignalsthatthemarketismovingtowardanewphaseofdevelopment.
Inthisreport)weshareourlatestfindingsonhow
consumersarerespondingtorobotaxiservices)how
robotaxisperformintherealworld)andhowmarket
dynamicsareevolving.Wehopetheseinsightswill
contributetoamoregroundedandrefreshed
understandingofthecurrentrobotaximarketinChina.
HAIXUWANG
BCGManagingDirectorandPartner
ALEXXIE
BCGManagingDirectorandSeniorPartner
ConsumerSurveyInsights:
ConsumersAreOverwhelminglyPositiveTowardRobotaxi
Toobtainfirsthand,real-worldconsumerfeedbackon
robotaxiservices)weconductedalarge-scaleconsumer
survey.Thesurveycoveredcloseto500respondentsacrossmostofthecitiesinChinawherepublic-facingfare-
chargingdriverlessrobotaxiservicesarecurrentlyin
operation)includingtier1citiessuchasBeijing)Guangzhou)andShenzhen)withWuhanasarepresentativetier2city.Thesurveyincludedbothexistingrobotaxiusersandnewparticipantsinvitedtoexperiencetheserviceandspannedawiderangeofdemographicprofilesintermsofage,
gender)andincomelevels.
Theseauthenticconsumerinsightsindicatethatoverall
sentimenttowardrobotaxisishighlypositive)underscoringstronguseracceptanceandenthusiasmforthisemergingmobilityparadigm.Theyprovideempiricalevidenceof
strongdemandforrobotaxiinChina.(See“
KeyConsumer
Insights
”.)
ROBOTAXIONTHEROAD:APPROACHINGSCALEDCOMMERCIALIZATIONINCHINA3
4BOSTONCONSULTINGGROUP
Keyconsumerinsights
•Traditionalride-hailingservicessufferfromclearexperiencepainpoints,manyofwhichare
relatedtodrivers.Theseissuescreatestrongsubstitutionopportunitiesfordriverlessrobotaxiservices.
•Consumersperceivedriverlessrobotaxiservicestosignificantlyoutperformtraditionalride-
hailingacrossmostexperiencedimensions)includingvehiclequality)in-carenvironment)
safety)andridesmoothness.Enhancedprivacyandtheappealofadvancedtechnologyfurtherstrengthentheirattractiveness.
•Consumeracceptanceofrobotaxisisalreadyhigh.Aftertheirfirstride,morethanhalfofthe
usersindicateastrongerpreferencefordriverlessrobotaxiservices.Thishighlevelofacceptanceisbroadlyconsistentacrossdemographicgroups.
•Driverlessrobotaxiservicescouldsubstitutealargeshareofexistingride-hailingdemandwhilealsoconvertingtripscurrentlymadeviapublictransportationorprivatecars)therebyunlockingincrementalmobilitydemand.
•Themaincurrentlimitationslieinrelativelylimitedservicecoverageandlongerwaitingtimes.Asoperatingareasexpandandfleetsizesgrow,useradoptionandacceptanceareexpectedtoincreasefurther.
ConsumersAreNotSatisfied
withTraditionalHuman-DrivenSharedMobilityServices
Thereareanumberofproblemswithtraditionalhuman-
drivensharedmobilityservicesintermsofrideexperience.
Althoughtheseservicesaremature)theservicemodel
involvesmultiplepainpointsthatarecloselyassociated
withhumandrivers.Accordingtoourrespondents)thetop
threepainpointswithtraditionalhuman-drivenservices
areunpleasantin-carenvironmen
t)poordri
verattitude)
andunsafedrivingbehavior.(SeeExhibit1.)
TheRobotaxiRideExperienceFarOutclassesCurrentModes
Robotaxirepresentsanewparadigmwithintheshared
mobilityecosystem.Consumerfeedbackindicatesthat
robotaxideliversasignificantlysuperiorrideexperience
acrossalmostalldimensionscomparedwithtraditional
human-drivenride-hailingservices.Mostusersbelievethatrobotaxioutperformstraditionalhuman-drivenservicesintermsofhighervehiclequality)betterin-carenvironment)smootherandsaferrideexperience)andmorecomfortableinteractions.(See
Exhibit2
.)Theonlynotableshortcomingsarelowerserviceefficiencyandlimitedservicecoverage
duetothecurrentfleetsizeandservicearea.Robotaxi’sadvantagespositionitasacompellingalternativeto
traditionalhuman-drivensharedmobilityserviceswhenavailable.
Inaddition,robotaxiofferssomeuniquevaluepropositionsforconsumers)themajorityofwhomagreethatenhancedprivacy,theappealofnewtechnology,androbotaxi’ssaferandmorestableexperiencearethekeyreasonstheypreferdriverlessridesoverhuman-drivenservices.(See
Exhibit3
.)
ROBOTAXIONTHEROAD:APPROACHINGSCALEDCOMMERCIALIZATIONINCHINA5
EXHIBIT1
PainPointsAssociatedwithTraditionalHuman-DrivenServices
Q:Whichofthefollowingsituationsmadeyoufeelthemostunpleasantinyourpastride-hailingandtaxiexperiences?[multiplechoice]
(n=462)1
84%
66%
61%
56%
42%
40%
34%
Unpleasantin-carenvironmentPoordriverattitudeUnsafedriving
Longwaitingordispatchtime FareorpricedisputesUnreasonableroutechoicePoorcustomerservice
Source:BCGRobotaxiConsumerSurvey(n=462).
1Thetotalsurveysampleconsistsof462respondents,including252earlyrobotaxiadoptersand210newrobotaxiusers(thebasisforExhibit4).Almostallearlyadopterspreferdriverlessrides.Amongthe210newusers,108(51%)indicateapreferencefordriverlessridesoverhuman-drivenservices,asshowninExhibit4.These108respondentsformthebasisforExhibit3.
EXHIBIT2
RobotaxiOutperformsRide-HailingAcrossMostDimensions
Robotaxi
Ride-hailing
Ratinggap
Ratingsforrideexperienceofrobotaxiandhuman-drivenride-hailing
(robotaxivsride-hailing)
(n=462)
3.644.24
Overallratingiv,v0.6
3.374.46
1
1.1
Vehiclequality
(e.g.,brand,seatcomfort,space)
3.164.45
2
In-carenvironment
(e.g.,cleanliness,smell,music)
3.60
4.14
1.3
3
Rideexperience
(e.g.,ridesmoothness,safety)
3.49
4.22
0.5
4
Serviceefficiency
(e.g.,deliveryaccuracy,speed)
3.51
4.28
(0.7)
5
Interactionexperience
(e.g.,pick-up/drop-o仟process,appguidance)
3.58
3.94
0.8
6
Pricingl'
3.22
4.24
0.4
7
l'
12
Servicecoverage
(e.g.,waitingtime,servicecoverage)
Leastsatisfying
3
4
5
Mostsatisfying
(1.0)
Source:BCGRobotaxiConsumerSurvey(n=462).
EXHIBIT3
6BOSTONCONSULTINGGROUP
ThePreferenceforDriverlessRidesIsLargelyDrivenbytheNeedforPrivacy)theAppealofFutureMobility)andHigherSafetyandStability
Q:Whydoyoupreferdriverlessridesoverhuman-drivenservices?[multiplechoice]
(n=108)
Mor%
eprivate,lessinteractionwithdriver
Appealofnewtechnology
Safetyandstability
Moreinteractive
Higherefficiency
86
75%
59%
50%
42%
Source:BCGRobotaxiConsumerSurvey(n=108,newuserspreferringdriverlessrides).
ConsumersDemonstrateStrongAcceptanceofRobotaxi
Currentconsumeracceptanceofrobotaxiisalreadyhigh.Despitethelimitedserviceareaandsmallscale)
morethan50%ofrespondentsindicatedahigher
preferencefordriverlessridescomparedwithhuman-
drivenservicesaftertakingtheirfirstrobotaxirides.(See
Exhibit4
.)
Giventhecurrentperformanceofrobotaxi)consumers
acrossdifferentcitiesarewillingtoreplaceapproximately59%to76%oftheircurrentride-hailingtripswith
robotaxis.Withtheprospectofimprovedoperational
performanceinthefuture)consumersdemonstrateevenstrongerreceptivenesstorobotaxiservices)andthe
proportionofreplacedjourneyscouldfurtherincrease)exceeding80%intier1cities.(See
Exhibit5
.)
EXHIBIT4
ROBOTAXIONTHEROAD:APPROACHINGSCALEDCOMMERCIALIZATIONINCHINA7
MoreThan50%ofNewUsersIndicateaPreferenceforDriverlessoverHuman-DrivenServicesAfterTakingRobotaxiRides
Q:Ifeverythingelsewerethesame,wouldyoupreferaridewithorwithoutahumandriver?[singlechoice]
(n=210)1
7%
33%
60%
Guangzhou
19%
33%
47%
Shenzhen
15%
31%
54%
Beijing
25%
37%
39%
Wuhan
15%
34%
51%
Total
WithhumandriverNoclearpreference
Withouthumandriver
Source:BCGRobotaxiConsumerSurvey(n=210,newrobotaxiusers).
1The210newusersasthesampleforthisquestiontoobtainamoreconservativeestimate.
EXHIBIT5
AcceptanceofRobotaxiIsAlreadyHighwithCurrentPerformance;CanExceed80%inTier1CitieswithImprovedPerformance
Robotaxiadoption/replacementrateofride-hailingbycity
Q:Giventhecurrent
performanceofrobotaxi,whatpercentageofyourcurrentride-hailingtripswouldyoubewillingtoreplacewithrobotaxi?
Q:Assumingallareasareimprovedforrobotaxi,
whatpercentageofyourcurrentride-hailingtripswouldyoubewillingtoreplacewithrobotaxi?
(n=210)1
Tier1citiesTier2city
+19%
80%
61%
BeijingGuangzhouShenzhenWuhan
+13%
72%59%
+13%
83%70%
+12%
88%76%
Source:BCGRobotaxiConsumerSurvey(n=210,newrobotaxiusers).
1The210newusersasthesampleforthisquestiontoobtainamoreconservativeestimate.
8BOSTONCONSULTINGGROUP
Thishighacceptanceisobservedacrossall
demographics.Regardlessofgender)age)usage
frequency)incomelevel)oroccupation)mostconsumers
showastrongwillingnesstoswitchfromtraditionalride-hailingtorobotaxiservices,indicatingsignificantmass
marketpotential.Amongalldemographicgroups)high-
incomeuserswithmonthlydisposableincomeaboveRMB20)000(suchasbusinessowners)demonstratethehighestacceptance.(See
Exhibit6
.)
Besidesride-hailing,robotaxicanunlockadditionaldemandbyconvertingusersfromothermeansof
transportation.Inadditiontotraditionalhuman-driven
ride-hailing)around39%ofusersarewillingtoswitchfromothermeansoftransportationtorobotaxi)includingpublictransportationsuchasbusesandsubways)aswellas
privatecars.Fortheseusers)robotaxicanunlock
additionaldemandof3.6tripsperuserperweekonaverage.(See
Exhibit7
.)
Fromacity-levelperspective)consumersintier1citiesaregenerallymorewillingtouserobotaxiasasubstitutefor
othermeansoftransportation)astheytendtohavehigherexpectationsfortripexperienceandservicequality.In
othercities(suchasWuhan))fewerconsumersarewillingtoswitchfromothermeansoftransportationtorobotaxi)indicatingthat)fornowintheseplaces)robotaxiis
primarilyseenasareplacementfortraditionalride-hailingservices.
EXHIBIT6
TheHighWillingnesstoAdoptRobotaxiIsObservedAcrossAllDemographicGroups
Q:Whatpercentageofyourcurrentride-hailingtripswouldyoubewillingtoreplacewithrobotaxi?
Demographics
Samplesize
Robotaxiadoptionrate
(givencurrentperformance)
Robotaxiadoptionrate(allareasimproved)
Gender
Female
242
78%
89%
Male
220
77%
87%
Age
18–24
111
75%
88%
25–34
222
79%
89%
35–44
103
76%
88%
45+
26
75%
87%
Frequencyofusingride-hailing
1–10timesperweek
452
77%
88%
11–20timesperweek
10
79%
84%
Monthlydisposableincome(RMB)
below5,000
76
79%
92%
5,000–10,000
207
76%
87%
10,001–20,000
112
74%
85%
20,001–30,000
40
86%
93%
above30,000
27
83%
97%
Occupation
Student
53
71%
91%
Engineer
82
77%
90%
Whitecollar
203
79%
88%
Businessowner
24
80%
89%
Self-employedandothers
100
77%
86%
Source:BCGRobotaxiConsumerSurvey(n=462).
EXHIBIT7
ROBOTAXIONTHEROAD:APPROACHINGSCALEDCOMMERCIALIZATIONINCHINA9
BesidesRide-Hailing)RobotaxiCanUnlockAdditionalDemandbyConvertingUsersfromOtherMeansofTransportation
Q:Basedonyourcurrentexperience,areyouwillingtoswitchfromothermeansoftransportationtorobotaxi?
(n=462)
21%
TotalBeijingGuangzhouShenzhenWuhan
Yes,I’mwillingtoswitchfromothermeansoftransportationtorobotaxi.
54%39%
46%
39%
Q:Howmanyadditionalridesperweekwouldyouexpectifyouswitchothermeansoftransportationtorobotaxi?
3.8
2.8
2.2
GuangzhouBeijingShenzhenWuhan
Average3.6
(n=462)
4.5
Source:BCGRobotaxiConsumerSurvey(n=462).
Note:Othermeansoftransportationmainlyincludepublictransportation(e.g.,busesandsubways)andprivatecars.
Currently,theprimaryconcernswithrobotaxiare
itsrelativelylimitedservicecoverageandlonger
waitingtimescomparedwithtraditionalride-hailingservices.Theseissuesaremainlydrivenbyconstraintsonoperatingareasandlimitedfleetsize.Morethan60%of
consumersidentifythesetwofactorsasthetoppainpoints.(See
Exhibit8
.)Basedontestrideexperience)currentlytheaveragewaitingtimeforarobotaxiisapproximately11minutes)notablylongerthantypicalride-hailingservices.Movingforward)thetoppriorityforrobotaxioperatorsistoexpandserviceareasandfleetsizetoaddresscoverage
limitationsandimproveresponsiveness)whichiscriticalforlong-termconsumeradoption.
Consumershavealsoexpressedinterestinadditional
in-vehiclefeaturesfornext-generationrobotaximodels.
Themostcitedfeaturesrelateprimarilytocomfortand
privacy)includingseatmassage)one-waysound-insulatingglass)flexibleseats)andin-carentertainmentoptions.
(See
Exhibit9
.)
EXHIBIT8
10BOSTONCONSULTINGGROUP
UsersBelieveTheirAdoptionRateCouldFurtherIncreaseIfRobotaxiImprovesonKeyDimensionssuchasServiceCoverageandEfficiency
Q:Basedonyourrecentexperience,improvementsinwhichofthefollowingaspectswouldincreaseyourusagefrequencyofrobotaxiinthefuture?[multiplechoice]
(n=210)1
64%
61%
47%
39%
24%
23%
18%
Servicecoverage
(e.g.,waitingtime,servicecoverage)
Serviceefficiency
(e.g.,deliveryaccuracy,speed)
Pricing
Rideexperience
(e.g.,ridesmoothness,safety)
In-carenvironment
(e.g.,cleanliness,smell,music)
Vehiclequality
(e.g.,brand,seatcomfort,space)
Interactionexperience
(e.g.,pick-up/drop-o仟process,appguidance)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Source:BCGRobotaxiConsumerSurvey(n=210,newrobotaxiusers).
1The210newusersasthesampleforthisquestiontoobtainamoreconservativeestimate.
EXHIBIT9
ConsumersExpecttheNext-GenerationRobotaxitoOfferGreaterPrivacy,Comfort,Entertainment,andSafety
Q:Whatfeatureswouldyoumostliketoseeinthenext-generationrobotaxi?
(n=462)
Seatmassage
One-waysound-insulatingglass
Seatscanreclineto180°
In-carKTV
Ultra-largescreen
Beveragerefrigeratorinside
71%
66%
58%
50%
47%
46%
Otherfeaturescited:
Safety&Hygiene
•Disinfectionfunction
•Emergencysafetyprotectionmeasures
•Airpurification
•Morefrequentcleaning
Entertainment
•FreeWi-Fi
•Moremusicoptions
•Goldambientlightingforpremiummembers
•AIconversation
Comfort
•Sun-shadingglass
•Petsallowedonboard
Privacy
•Darkercarwindows
Source:BCGRobotaxiConsumerSurvey(n=462).
ROBOTAXIONTHEROAD:APPROACHINGSCALEDCOMMERCIALIZATIONINCHINA11
RoadTestObservations:
TechReadinessIsStrongEnoughforScaledCommercialization
Asrobotaxiservicestransitionintocommercialoperations)firsthandevaluationoftheirreal-worldperformancethroughaconsumer-centriclensbecomesincreasinglyimportant.
Tothisend)weconductedon-roadtestrideswithfour
majorL4robotaxiplayersinChinawithintheiroperationaldomains.TheassessmentcoveredBeijing)Shanghai)
Guangzhou)andShenzhen)comprising79testridesover786kilometers.
Toenableamorecomprehensiveevaluation)wedesignedroutescoveringabroadrangeofscenarios(e.g.)complexintersections)congestedroads)narrowroadsnearurbanvillages)multi-laneroads)large-curvaturebends)and
vehiclemaneuvers(e.g.)lanechanges)overtaking)rampentry/exit).
12BOSTONCONSULTINGGROUP
Thetestdriveresultsreinforceourconfidenceinthe
technologicalreadinessofL4robotaxiforlarge-scale
commercialdeployment.Duringtesting)leadingL4
robotaxiplayersdemonstratedsustaineddriverless
operationseveninhighlycomplexurbanenvironments)indicatingtwonotableimprovementscomparedwith
previousyears’roadtestingexperience:
1
Driverlessoperationdominateswithimproveddrivingperformance.Acrossplayers)mosttripsarecompletedindriver-outmode)withpassengersnow
barelyperceivinganyinterventionduringindividualrides.
2
Abilitytomanagemorecomplexroadconditions.
DeploymentnowspansmultiplecitiesandtransitionsfromsuburbanareastodenseCBDareas)
demonstratingstronggeneralizationpotential.
LeadingPlayersHaveAchievedSustainedDriverlessOperationsWithinOperatingAreas
On-roadtestingconfirmsthatmajorL4playershaveachievedsufficienttechnicalmaturityfordriverlessoperationswithincurrentoperatingdomains.Despiteoperatingareasexpandingintomorecomplexscenarios)
outofthe79testrides,onlyfiveinvolvedanin-vehicle
safetydriver)andonlythreeinvolvedsuspectedtakeovers
1
.
Beyondinterventionfrequency)theoveralldriving
performanceofL4robotaxisbecomesincreasinglycritical
ascommercializationscales.Toassesswhethersystems
meetsafetyandregulatoryrequirements)completetrips
efficiently,anddelivercomfortablepassengerexperience,
wedevelopedafive-dimensionalevaluationframework.
Eachdimensionisfurtherbrokendownintosub-
dimensions)with18intotalacrosstheframework)
enablingagranularandcompr
ehensivea
ssessment
ofrobotaxiperformance.(SeeExhibit10.)
EXHIBIT10
AFive-DimensionalFrameworktoAssessDrivingPerformanceofL4Robotaxi
Longitudinalsafetygap
keeping
Lateralsafetygap
keeping
Timelyresponsetosuddenintrusions
Nodeviationfromintendedroute
Timelynavigation-drivenlanechange
Acceleration/
decelerationsmoothness
Lateralmotion
smoothness
Capturinghowwellthe
systemexecutescore
drivingtasksacross
diversescenarios
Reflectingwhetherthe
systemcanoperate
legallyinreal-world
conditions
Baselinerequirement
forarobotaxito
operatewithout
interventionsatscale
Lane
centering
Overtake&lanechange
Yield&bypass
Interactionwithothers
Intersectioncrossing
Propersignaling
Indicatingtheeffectivenessof thevehicletocompletetrips
Functionalperformance
Routingandnavigation
Reflectinguser
acceptanceand
repeatusage
Regulatorycompliance
Passengerexperience
Nounintendedlane
incursions(e.g.,bikelane)
Solidlinecompliance
Speedlimitcompliance
Pedestrianyielding
Trafficlightadherence
Safety
Source:BCGanalysis.
1.Asuspectedtakeoverisdefinedasasituationinwhich,underremotesupervision,thevehiclestopsabruptlyfornoclearreasonandremainsstationaryfortensofsecondstominutesbeforesuddenlyresuming,orinwhichanin-carsafetydrivermanuallytakescontrolofthevehicle.
ROBOTAXIONTHEROAD:APPROACHINGSCALEDCOMMERCIALIZATIONINCHINA13
Basedonourroadtests,leadingplayersdemonstratestrongperformanceacrossallfivedimensions,
highlightingthematurityandwell-roundednatureoftheirsystemcapabilities.(See
Exhibit11
.)Robotaxisalreadyoutperformhumandriversinsafetyandcompliance)smoothlydrivingat60–100kilometersperhour(km/h)onelevatedhighwayswhilestrictlyobservingthe40km/h
speedlimitonmorecomplexsections)suchasrampcurves.Intermsoffunctionalperformance)theyachieveefficiencycomparabletoskilledhumandrivers)forexample)applyingslightaccelerationwhenexitingroundaboutstooptimize
drivingflow.
Overall,thetechnicalmaturityreflectedintheL4
robotaxi’sreal-worlddrivingperformanceformsthefoundationforbothconsumeradoptionandrobotaxioperatingefficiency.Onthesupplyside)continued
technicalprogressthatincreasestheshareofdriverless
operationsdirectlysupportsalowerhuman-to-vehicle
ratio)therebyimprovinguniteconomics.Onthedemand
side)asrideexperienceisoneofthetopcriteriafor
passengerswhenchoosingamobilityoption)strongdrivingperformanceisaprerequisiteforhigherpenetrationand
repeatusage.
EXHIBIT11
LeadingRobotaxiPlayers’PerformanceAcrosstheFiveEvaluationDimensions
Safety
•Nocollision-riskinterventions:Vehiclesconsistentlymaintainedsafedistancesfromsurroundingtrafficandexhibitedadaptivebehavior
•Handledsuddeneventswithcomposure:e.g.,promptlybrakingforunexpectedvulnerableroaduserintrusions
•Adopteddefensivedrivingstrategies:e.g.,earlydecelerationinoccludedorlow-visibilityscenarios
Regulatorycompliance
•Adheretotrafficregulations:Noviolationsobserved,suchasrunningyellowlights,crossingsolidlines,enteringnon-motorizedlanes,orspeeding(e.g.,strictlykeptwithinthe40km/hspeedlimitonrampcurves)
•Exhibitedcourteousdrivingbehavior:e.g.,slowingappropriatelyinschoolzonesandyieldingtopedestrians
Routingandnavigation
•Followedintendedroutes:Lanechangesanticipatedandexecutedinatimelymanner,avoidinglatemaneuveringthatcouldresultinconsecutivelanechangesorforcedrerouting
Functionalperformance
•Executedcoredrivingfunctionssmoothly:e.g.,lanechanges,bypassingandnudging,andstablelanecentering
•Demonstratedbetterdrivingefficiency:e.g.,overtakingslow-movingvehiclesandacceleratingsmoothlywhenexitingroundaboutswhilemaintainingsafetymargins
•Handledcomplexedgecasese仟ectively:e.g.,U-turnsonnarrowroads,promptresponsestoreversingvehicles
Passengerexperience
•Executedsmoothaccelerationanddecelerationwithfewabruptmaneuvers
•Maintainedcomfortablelateralmotionduringlanechanges
Sources:BCGroadtests;BCGanalysis.
14BOSTONCONSULTINGGROUP
L4RobotaxiHasthe
GeneralizationPotentialtoScaleFasterBeyondCurrentAreas
Alongsideitsdrivingperformance)today’sL4robotaxi
alsodemonstratesconsistentperformanceacrossabroadspectrumofreal-worlddrivingconditions)indicating
stronggeneralizationpotentialforfasterscalingbeyondthecurrentservicearea.
CurrentL4robotaxioperationsalreadycoverabroadandrepresentativesetofurbandrivingscenarios.
Operationsareestablishedacrosstier1cities(Beijing)
Shanghai)Guangzhou)andShenzhen).Withinthese
cities)operatingareasspandiverseroadgeometries)
trafficcomplexity)androad-userbehaviors)including
downtownareasinpeakhourswithheavytrafficand
occa
sionalrule-
breakingbehaviorsfromotherroadusers.
(SeeExhibit12.)
Theabilitytoperformconsistentlyacrossthebreadthof
scenariosunderscoresrobotaxi’sreadinessforfurther
scaling.Onthesupplyside)aprovenoperatingrecord
acrossdiverse)high-complexityenvironmentsestablishesasolidtechnicalfoundationforfuturecitylaunches)
potentiallyenablingafasterrolloutpaceasdeploymentsscale.Onthedemandside)asservicecoverageiscriticaltodrivingbroaderadoption)expansionofoperatingareasisexpectedtotranslateintohigherrobotaxipenetration.
Theabilitytoperformconsistentlyacrossthebreadthofscenarios
underscoresrobotaxi’sreadinessforfurtherscaling.
EXHIBIT12
CurrentL4RobotaxiOperationsAlreadyCoveraBroadandRepresentativeSetofUrbanDrivingScenarios
Easy
Drivingdifficulty
Difficult
Roadgeometries
Jiading,Shanghai
Broadroads
inasuburbanarea
Nanshan,Shenzhen
Narro
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