机械行业摩托车行业2026年6月海关数据更新

2026年6月我国摩托车出口同比上升：根据海关总署，总体来看，摩托车出口同比上升：2026年6月，摩托车出口186.3万辆，yoy+24.3%。分排量来看：2026年6月，排量≤250cc摩托车出口175.0万辆，yoy+24.0%；排量＞250cc出口11.3万辆，yoy+29.6%。从出口总量维度看，亚非拉为主要出口地区，非洲继续保持较高增速：2026年6月：中国摩托车出口目的数量排序分别为：非洲（74.5万辆）＞拉丁美洲（62.5万辆）＞亚洲（30.5万辆）＞欧洲（13.4万辆）＞北美洲（5.0万辆）＞大洋洲（0.3万辆）。分地区增速看，2026年6月，拉丁美洲/非洲/亚洲/欧洲/北美洲/大洋洲的出口同比增速分别为+22.1%/+49.5%/-6.1%/+19.5%/+1.8%/+73.0%。主要的出口地区非洲仍然保持较高增速。从出口＞250cc维度看，2026年6月核心出口国家或区域及增速如下：拉丁美洲：出口43376台，同比+45%；欧洲：出口49993台，同比+42.4%；亚洲：出口16115台，同比-10.8%；北美洲：出口179台，同比-93%；非洲：出口3219台，同比+160.9%；大洋洲：出口284台，同比-39.1%。我们认为摩托车出口同比上升，中长期出口趋势预计较好，维持摩托车行业“推荐”评级。风险提示：中大排量摩托车增速不及预期；禁限摩政策影响；关税加征风险；市场需求下行风险；汇率波动风险；原材料价格大幅度波动风险；中美贸易摩擦超预期风险；本数据为跟踪数据，仅供参考，不构成投资建议。3根据海关总署数据口径,

我们指标选取如下：贸易方式：10；贸易编码：87111000,87112010,87112020,87112030,87112040,87112050,87113010,87113020,87114000,

87115000；贸易国编码：101,

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802根据我们分析，中国摩托车协会与海关总署数据口径差异主要系选取指标差异。4根据海关总署数据梳理，分大洲看：2026年6月：中国摩托车出口目的数量排序分别为：非洲（74.5万辆）＞拉丁美洲（62.5万辆）＞亚洲（30.5万辆）＞欧洲（13.4万辆）＞北美洲（5.0万辆）＞大洋洲（0.3万辆）。表：中国对各大洲摩托车出口数量及同比增速（万辆，%）2015年2016年2017年2018年2019年2020年2021年2022年2023年2024年2025年2026M6合计831.72796.16911.96912.15895.04941.481168.51984.641117.981414.381772.07186.3yoy-4.314.50.0-1.95.224.1-15.713.526.525.324.3拉丁美洲241.19224.74282.46270.15251.57263.26409.65382.02436.73591.16649.5662.5yoy-6.825.7-4.4-6.94.655.6-6.714.335.49.922.1非洲252.16212.72245.97274.20297.11324.35387.01275.96309.45370.76590.6174.5yoy-15.615.611.58.49.219.3-28.712.119.859.349.5亚洲268.65290.97302.40283.17260.24234.52213.04232.54263.83311.93367.2530.5yoy8.33.9-6.4-8.1-9.9-9.29.213.518.217.7-6.1欧洲49.8746.4254.1654.9459.0766.2486.9660.7176.83101.99118.9213.4yoy-6.916.71.47.512.131.3-30.226.632.816.619.5北美洲16.9919.0324.6626.8724.2849.5467.0629.7028.7535.6642.085.0yoy12.029.69.0-9.7104.035.4-55.7-3.224.018.01.8大洋洲2.872.292.322.812.763.584.803.712.392.883.660.3yoy-20.11.221.2-1.729.634.2-22.8-35.620.826.9735资料来源：海关总署根据海关总署数据，分月度看：中国摩托车出口2026年6月同比增速为24.3%。表：中国摩托车出口-分月度-销量及同比增速（万辆，%）2021年yoy(

)2022年yoy(

)2023年yoy(

)2024年yoy(

)2025年yoy(

)2026年yoy(

)01月103.8137.2098.44-5.1881.10-17.61111.3637.31145.8831.00170.6717.002月83.69164.9666.91-20.0555.83-16.5585.2752.72110.8830.03148.3833.803月85.1246.0778.43-7.8689.1613.6993.224.55137.1347.11135.20-1.4104月88.5244.4378.04-11.8490.2515.6499.3810.12146.0246.93160.710.0505月101.3557.3884.49-16.64102.7621.63127.3623.93158.9624.81172.28.3306月102.5441.4994.82-7.53104.6910.41131.4925.60149.8813.99186.324.3007月98.1518.75102.494.42102.560.07128.4825.27159.7624.3408月105.2814.6789.25-15.22108.5221.59124.4014.63156.5725.8609月93.380.0867.17-28.0693.0138.46117.2926.11147.9826.1610月100.202.3073.25-26.9095.7730.74128.6134.30140.999.6211月104.031.6184.50-18.7798.4016.44126.9929.06164.1929.3012月102.45-6.6166.85-34.7495.9343.50140.5346.49153.839.46总计1168.5124.11984.64-15.741117.9813.541414.3826.511772.0725.296资料来源：海关总署根据海关总署数据，

分排量看：

2026

年6

月：

我国摩托车出口同比增速总体为24.3%

，

显著跑赢行业的排量段包括：

150~200cc（yoy+39.0%），400~500cc（yoy+40.2%）。表：中国摩托车出口-分排量-销量及同比增速（万辆，%）2017年2018年2019年2020年2021年2022年2023年2024年2025年2026M6总计911.96912.15895.04941.481168.51984.641117.981414.381772.07186.3yoy14.50.0-1.95.224.1-15.713.526.525.324.3排量≤250ml合计906.70907.09890.08934.981154.95968.291091.801360.861685.71175.0yoy14.250.04-1.885.0523.53-16.1612.7624.6423.8724.0排量＞250ml合计5.265.064.976.5013.5716.3526.1853.5286.3711.3yoy108.22-3.86-1.8930.91108.7020.5460.09104.4561.3529.6排量≤50ml78.2381.4384.77104.99124.3382.06119.94142.22128.2511.9yoy30.04.14.123.818.4-34.046.118.6-9.810.050ml＜排量≤100ml30.3122.9819.9518.1825.5415.8810.328.8017.732.6yoy0.8-24.2-13.2-8.940.5-37.8-35.0-14.7101.5-7.5100ml＜排量≤125ml477.60470.72451.56434.87519.84442.54440.86526.99734.0476.8yoy10.5-1.4-4.1-3.719.5-14.9-0.419.539.321.3125ml＜排量≤150ml228.94226.52226.51244.13303.54277.74327.23414.44471.5646.5yoy18.9-1.10.07.824.3-8.517.826.713.824.8150ml＜排量≤200ml72.4982.9483.17101.49129.73101.89130.78196.68248.3227.9yoy16.914.40.322.027.8-21.528.350.426.339.0200ml＜排量≤250ml19.1222.4924.1031.3351.9648.1762.6871.7285.819.2yoy15.017.67.230.065.9-7.330.114.419.634.8250ml＜排量≤400ml4.172.613.434.428.209.3319.5245.1969.849.3yoy83.9-37.531.628.785.513.8109.3131.554.530.8400ml＜排量≤500ml0.722.251.171.784.082.822.282.272.850.5yoy2207.7212.9-47.951.4129.8-30.8-19.2-0.525.540.2500ml＜排量≤800ml0.370.190.360.301.294.124.305.1511.731.1yoy62.5-47.885.8-15.0322.7220.24.219.8127.8-3.0排量≥800ml0.000.010.000.000.000.080.080.921.950.57资料来源：海关总署根据海关总署数据，2026年6月，中国摩托车出口到拉美市场，以中小排量为主，＞250cc出口同比增速为+45%。墨西哥：中国摩托车出口拉美核心国家之一，2026年6月对其出口排量＞250cc出口占拉美总体排量＞250cc的54.9%。表：中国摩托车出口拉美国家-分排量-销量及同比增速（辆，cc，%）地区排量2017年2018年2019年2020年2021年2022年2023年2024年2025年2026M6拉丁美洲合计282457727015282515737263258740964693820233436734359116046495634625133yoy26-4-7556-714359.922.1排量≤250280411926810152496379260608540407993767180424824456472536149208581757yoy25-4-7455-713338.921排量>25020458205131935826502556705305311909926435134642643376yoy900-637110-51241223145墨西哥合计805777877472104096799867914180841305596158130321514701999368145732yoy30.38.918.6-4.142.0-7.921.136.1-7.1-14.3排量≤250804629875315103622399632214085001290448152285219884611794683121928yoy30.38.818.4-3.941.4-8.418.030.6-9.7-20.6排量>25011482157474423579584151485845116300920468523804yoy3.887.9119.9-50.3306.658.1285.9178.925.642.9委内瑞拉合计21503071084153984830917422737533372999656672070593yoy-44.9-85.7253.11320.5213.7260.7115.494.5-22.4684.6排量≤25014972951074153844785617372737325572652856253769806yoy-61.7-80.3264.11332.4211.1263.0114.994.6-22.6677.8排量>250653121014453500207834684183787yoy-98.2-16.740.03135.710.4315.666.920.63477.3阿根廷合计71314443661215796422300838831545367139565941207579395465046yoy81.6-38.8-63.841.274.116.8-12.84.192.7-14.7排量≤25070692843060415596021689237933044369637831339632676143863274yoy80.7-39.1-63.839.174.917.0-14.74.892.1-11.5排量>2506216600820046116898599751734615749325161772yoy290.5-3.3-66.6205.246.911.073.9-9.2106.5-63.3哥伦比亚合计14165621633622125921646041865441549925229537845756225857087yoy-18.352.72.3-2.293.4-0.8-39.350.048.60.1排量≤25014138821605422078521562841569941133624941337425355264255612yoy-18.452.82.2-2.392.8-1.0-39.450.147.7-1.2排量>250268282474832295541632882420496161475yoy57.65.268.175.5255.240.9-30.845.9128.789.3地区排量2017年2018年2019年2020年2021年2022年2023年2024年2025年2026M6危地马拉合计13741712666211633716258222143521430524720531925230271529645yoy9.0-7.8-8.239.836.2-3.215.429.1-5.26.8排量≤25013648912641611617116251222121421384823833429243229250128959yoy8.2-7.4-8.139.936.1-3.311.522.70.05.1排量>2509282461667022145788712682010214686yoy92700.0-73.5-32.5-57.8215.7106.81841.1202.3-61.9244.7秘鲁合计22836522279523393928719738077527225725308227084440869957237yoy7.5-2.45.022.832.6-28.5-7.07.050.979.1排量≤25022099921571322707627433435963626142523995724877536997949209yoy7.1-2.45.320.831.1-27.3-8.23.748.772.8排量>2507366708268631286321139108321312522069387208028yoy21.5-3.9-3.187.464.3-48.821.268.175.4130.6巴西合计12798342554894640257809919881810978425475730955833936yoy54.9167.742.9-17.8101.222.011.1132.121.589.6排量≤25012797342554894440248807899804110526324678029333232383yoy54.9167.742.9-17.8100.721.47.4134.418.999.1排量>25012920277745217977162261553巴拉圭合计16420613203212485010338616700610316814881221995124199131127yoy27.9-19.6-5.4-17.261.5-38.244.247.810.055.9排量≤25016414713201112466310331516682710300914871721917624143030576yoy28.0-19.6-5.6-17.161.5-38.344.447.410.253.2排量>25059211877117915995775561551多米尼加合计9558310448813358210207515548213575116401421088420261920455yoy1.39.327.8-23.652.3-12.720.828.6-3.930.9排量≤2509460810329513264610098715399113407216195820936420106920286yoy0.49.228.4-23.952.5-12.920.829.3-4.030.9排量>25097511939361088149116792056152015501698资料来源：海关总署根据海关总署数据，2026年6月，中国摩托车出口非洲主要是≤250cc排量摩托车，非洲地区出口较多的国家有多哥、加纳和尼日利亚。表：中国摩托车出口非洲国家-分排量-销量及同比增速（辆，cc，%）地区排量2018年2019年2020年2021年2022年2023年2024年2025年2026M6非洲合计27420082971104324352138700832759642309449137076395906117744804yoy11.58.49.219.3-28.712.119.859.349.5排量≤25027413952970396324234938680832756447309072137002135883581741585yoy11.58.49.219.3-28.712.119.759.049.2排量>25061370811722000319537707426225363219yoy36.815.565.570.659.818.097.0203.5160.9多哥合计45619741431956698880434348817441125249732788867293665yoy-18.7-9.236.841.9-39.3-15.820.978.745.1排量≤25045619741431956698280414148805341122849722788824893475yoy-18.7-9.236.841.8-39.3-15.720.978.644.8尼日利亚合计449564638543415339517437367806406421409477733239101454yoy66.642.0-35.024.6-28.910.50.879.199.8排量≤250449564638542415337517437367806406252409454732747101442yoy66.642.0-35.024.6-28.910.50.879.099.8加纳合计16706418418729554829940916665424773034845852433275990yoy13.710.260.51.3-44.348.640.750.553.2排量≤25016703218418729551329940916665124771334844052385775410yoy13.710.360.41.3-44.348.640.750.352.1摩洛哥合计16962419113323169023369211737823163531145128024323943yoy28.512.721.20.9-49.897.334.5-10.063.9排量≤25016960919110923154223325011687723088331015927629323832yoy28.412.721.20.7-49.997.534.3-10.966.6排量>250152414844250175212923950111埃及合计24668920109433031737446319833814359723247641146557805yoy101.2-18.564.313.4-47.0-27.661.977.0145.3排量≤25024667320107433011637434119703814295023129540876157516yoy101.2-18.564.213.4-47.4-27.561.876.7144.3排量>2501620201122130064711812704289地区排量2018年2019年2020年2021年2022年2023年2024年2025年2026M6坦桑尼亚合计10209610673610374914218217170319170321463333101936962yoy-1.84.5-2.837.020.811.612.054.242.0排量≤25010209610673510374614218017157219128921287432561536483yoy-1.84.5-2.837.020.711.511.353.042.6排量>25013213141417595404479喀麦隆合计7889698984954727565114551816807718952917397217435yoy2.425.5-3.5-20.892.415.512.8-8.258.9排量≤2507887098984954667563714551816803318950817353917305yoy2.425.5-3.6-20.892.415.512.8-8.458.4马里合计991701027311278341412868582011432214049326569326932yoy-14.73.624.410.5-39.333.222.989.158.2排量≤250991551027311278341412868582011432214049326569326787yoy-14.73.624.410.5-39.333.222.989.157.3肯尼亚合计106054115046164003184628114017986151285172185239909yoy25.88.542.612.6-38.2-13.530.370.0-41.8排量≤250106004114859163715184424113695984071280502180239752yoy25.88.442.512.6-38.4-13.430.170.3-42.5排量>25050187288204322208467500157莫桑比克合计91316109782924951444188950618142223051427879040184yoy54.520.2-15.756.1-38.0102.727.120.9-27.6排量≤25091316109782924941444188949618142223050427863540184yoy54.520.2-15.756.1-38.0102.727.120.9-27.59资料来源：海关总署根据海关总署数据，2026年6月，中国摩托车出口到亚洲国家同比小幅下降，其中马来西亚≤250cc出口21392辆，同比+130.7%。表：中国摩托车出口亚洲国家-分排量-销量及同比增速（辆，cc，%）地区排量2018年2019年2020年2021年2022年2023年2024年2025年2026M6亚洲合计28317292602431234520221304222325378263832731192573672467304689yoy-6.4-8.1-9.9-9.29.213.518.217.7-6.1排量≤25028234022591340233321321138972304284261155330727393544759288574yoy-5.9-8.2-10.0-9.49.013.317.715.4-5.9排量>250832711091119891652521094267744651812770816115yoy-62.433.28.137.827.626.973.7174.5-10.8菲律宾合计95178891066462118174000778100966218672022692751572256yoy18.0-4.3-31.819.15.5-15.28.828.80.2排量≤25095144790877461915673638277662965990471517992270471546yoy17.9-4.5-31.918.95.5-15.08.429.00.0排量>2503411890202536254380228250474811710yoy80.4454.37.179.020.8-47.9121.2-4.719.1土耳其合计1935227257213883917484626611156540064785550741330200yoy-11.9-62.591.325.952.2112.514.6-21.7-54.1排量≤2501932037252713876517453926355655766363940750644730192yoy-11.9-62.591.325.851.0111.614.7-20.8-54.1排量>25031945743072555773784489668yoy-8.3-85.964.4314.9732.2202.89.2-88.6-缅甸合计7140756592015885182234549129216271320795038605460853yoy-18.7-7.7-10.7-62.0-59.178.227.885.684.6排量≤2507124176572705863832218959059716161620663938231960017yoy-18.8-7.7-10.8-62.2-59.278.427.985.083.3排量>2501658193121351559695109713113735836yoy25.116.510.6-27.0-55.457.819.5184.9281.7阿联酋合计282263045442543751541628431697051622362391064189yoy-51.37.939.776.7116.74.2-4.447.4-60.9排量≤250282263045442533751451625571687671606382360384084yoy-51.37.939.776.7116.33.8-4.846.9-59.7马来西亚合计4916797244743991398641530568069612294917710622713yoy-26.097.8-23.588.09.4-47.352.444.0102.1排量≤2504780496348729231368691512977835111637616087021392yoy-26.1101.5-24.387.710.5-48.248.538.2130.7排量>250136389614762995175923456573162361321yoy-20.7-34.364.7102.9-41.333.3180.3147.0-32.7地区排量2018年2019年2020年2021年2022年2023年2024年2025年2026M6哈萨克斯坦合计544211600359913802354268714919048117997517432yoy354.6113.2210.35.642.731.726.698.9-44.9排量≤25053071127635463375415388770246854121163198945yoy346.0112.5214.55.943.530.421.636.2-56.8老挝合计35729261022498427801238544715379303909109140yoy16.8-26.9-4.311.3-14.297.768.214.6297.4排量≤25035729260882498427795238344705179167900759010yoy16.8-27.0-4.211.3-14.397.468.313.8302.6印度尼西亚合计693297003657528825967839861705562577458414794yoy3.71.0-17.943.6-5.1-21.3-8.832.6141.3排量≤250678416845155857807827654159917540197137414528yoy2.80.9-18.444.6-5.2-21.7-9.832.1142.3排量>25014881585167118141857178822383210266yoy68.96.55.48.62.4-3.725.243.4100.0蒙古合计37843373773195038006271282182535002284313572yoy23.0-1.2-14.519.0-28.6-19.560.4-18.816.0排量≤25037840373623194538005271172179034950281713479yoy23.0-1.3-14.519.0-28.6-19.660.4-19.414.6巴基斯坦合计91734661403609537284414331831024798368013482yoy25.6-27.9-45.43.311.1-55.835.448.445.1排量≤25091614660763606937116412381826024555365053458yoy25.5-27.9-45.42.911.1-55.734.548.744.1韩国合计41066347174344437482420762111222704292822290yoy10.9-15.525.1-13.712.3-49.87.529.0-2.4排量≤25040975345124211335636395991945120869257991890yoy11.5-15.822.0-15.411.1-50.97.323.6-14.210资料来源：海关总署根据海关总署数据，2026年6月，中国摩托车出口到欧洲摩托车＞250cc销量中：西班牙较多（6105辆），意大利次之（4798辆）。表：中国摩托车出口欧洲国家-分排量-销量及同比增速（辆，cc，%）地区排量2018年2019年2020年2021年2022年2023年2024年2025年2026M6欧洲合计54939259074666235686957060705176826710199131189168134400yoy1.47.512.131.3-30.226.632.816.619.5排量≤25052900057292063942481242053493966955181907185300584407yoy-0.78.311.627.1-34.225.222.34.19.2排量>25020392178262293257150721129871620084233616349993yoy128.7-12.628.6149.226.236.9103.567.442.4法国合计868359638391189137954800987271171275769699301yoy-0.111.0-5.451.3-41.9-9.2-2.08.09.5排量≤250857749396788736131548750716732863333617776111yoy0.09.6-5.648.2-42.9-10.3-5.9-2.50.1排量>2501061241624536406502753837942151923190yoy-10.9127.71.5161.1-21.57.147.591.333.5德国合计67043631166226383765551724814848090610197090yoy-13.1-5.9-1.434.5-34.1-12.7-0.126.96.8排量≤25065582623506151378679507064470144936538125440yoy-13.1-4.9-1.327.9-35.6-11.80.519.8-9.5排量>2501461766750508644663447315472071650yoy-11.6-47.6-2.1578.1-12.2-22.8-8.5128.5164.8西班牙合计4132538652429826376053251639037192613115318915yoy15.8-6.511.248.3-16.520.012.682.357.7排量≤250382753521539285554664396652536574108223012810yoy11.4-8.011.641.2-20.719.59.343.245.2排量>250305034373697829492851136714516489236105yoy126.412.77.6124.311.922.427.7237.092.3意大利合计326122835028225635306733874114856601117298206yoy31.4-13.1-0.4125.16.010.115.630.411.9排量≤25022815226992221143834412224754554225649283408yoy5.8-0.5-2.197.4-6.015.314.019.73.7排量>25097975651601419696261162656931435468014798yoy201.0-42.36.4227.532.61.718.348.918.6地区排量2018年2019年2020年2021年2022年2023年2024年2025年2026M6波兰合计22960271192921833452204563571955191750609498yoy-36.918.17.714.5-38.874.654.536.039.3排量≤25022681270412878832677197303337449502646447749yoy-37.519.26.513.5-39.669.248.330.634.7排量>2502797843077572623455689104161749yoy130.6-72.0451.380.2-6.3223.0142.683.164.1希腊合计16230153861306318009248173111640733407125916yoy29.3-5.2-15.137.937.825.430.9-0.159.5排量≤25015915147121234916772219762623532655301283463yoy28.6-7.6-16.135.831.019.424.5-7.752.1排量>2503156747141237284148818078105842453yoy79.0114.05.973.2129.771.865.531.071.4荷兰合计44776323115767452394225162474733536265483089yoy-21.8-27.878.5-9.2-57.09.935.5-20.80.2排量≤25044776323075767452394225082470031099257142919yoy-21.8-27.878.5-9.2-57.09.725.9-17.3-3.3英国合计33490332794020659320319302495223211408854315yoy-23.2-0.620.847.5-46.2-21.9-7.076.121.6排量≤25032963326113900357640303552324421763363133136yoy-24.0-1.119.647.8-47.3-23.4-6.466.9-2.6排量>2505276681203168015751708144845721179yoy142.926.880.139.7-6.38.4-15.2215.7258.4葡萄牙合计12464114541023712523126751413410678155691996yoy41.0-8.1-10.622.31.211.5-24.545.878.4排量≤2501084710287947811414105311124975179345930yoy29.3-5.2-7.920.4-7.76.8-33.224.329.0排量>25016171167759110921442885316162241066yoy257.0-27.8-35.046.193.334.69.696.9167.811资料来源：海关总署根据海关总署数据，2026年6月，中国摩托车出口到北美市场以中小排量为主，美国为中国出口北美地区的主要国家。表：中国摩托车出口北美国家-分排量-销量及同比增速（辆，cc，%）地区排量2016年2017年2018年2019年2020年2021年2022年2023年2024年2025年2026M6北美洲合计19029124657626874024279649539067058229702528753635658742075850284yoy12.029.69.0-9.7104.035.4-55.7-3.224.018.01.8排量≤25018960424640726853524243749429166822328582227692934605039644250105yoy11.830.09.0-9.7103.935.2-57.2-3.125.014.67.0排量>2506871692053591099235911203106071053724316179yoy87.7-75.421.375.1206.1114.6374.9-5.3-0.7130.8-93美国合计18587124225526372123338448202764611828067028002735138