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8June2026
U.S.ITHardwareandEUSemi
TheQuantumLeap:Winners&LosersintheQuantumfuture
ThisnoteisadeepdiveintoQuantumtechnologyandinparticularQuantumComputingandassessesdifferenttechnicalapproachesandtheplayingfield.
Quantumcomputingissettobecomethenextimportantstepincomputing.
Webelievethefutureofadvancedcomputingwillbeshapedbyatri-processor
architecturecomposedofCPUs,GPUs,andQPUs.Inthismodel,QuantumcomputingandQPUswillnotreplaceclassicalhardware(CPUsandGPUsintraditionalandAIservers)butoperateasaspecializedaccelerator,tightlyintegratedintoabroaderhybridquantum-classicalsystem.ThisissimilartohowGPUshavenotreplacedCPUs.
Howdoesquantumcomputingwork?Inquantumcomputing,oncephysicalqubitsarecreated,quantumalgorithmswillmanipulatethesequbitsthroughcarefullysequenced
operationsthatcreatesuperposition,entanglequbits,anduseinterferencetoamplify
correctoutcomeswhilecancelingincorrectones.Afterthiscontrolledevolution,thesystemismeasured,collapsingquantumstatesintoclassicalbitsthatencodethesolution.
Quantumcomputinghasattractedseveralbigtechcompaniesaswellas
specializedpureplays.Amongthebigtechcompanies,IBM(ratedMarket-Perform)isarguablytheleader,withGoogle,MicrosoftandIntelwithmeaningfulquantumcomputinginitiatives.Geographicallyweseesignificantactivityfromcompaniesandnational
governmentsinNorthAmerica,EuropeandChina.
Weanalyze6quantummodalitiesandseethreeapproachesasleadingcontendersfortheQuantumfuture:1)Superconducting,arguablytoday’smostcommercially
advancedandexecution-readytechnology,drivenbyrapiddevelopmentfromIBMand
Google.2)Trapped-ion,themodalityadoptedbythebiggestmarketcapquantumpureplayIONQ,offersthehighestprecisionandstability.Infineonistheleadingfoundryintrapped
ions,supplyingQPUstothelargestplayersinthissubsector;and3)Neutralatom,whichprovidesahighlyflexiblearchitecturecapableofscaling.Theotherapproacheswearewatchingcloselyinclude:Photonic,TopologicalandSiliconspin.
Realeconomicvalueinquantumcomputingislikelytobeunlockedonlyafter
quantumadvantageisachieved,whichisanticipatedtobearound2030.Toestimatetheimpliedmarketshareofcurrentquantumpureplays,wediscountanestimated$130bnTAMin2040,applySOXP/Emultipleof28x,andusea30%netmarginconsistentwith
maturetechpeers.Thisframeworkimpliesacombinedmarketshareofthe6publiclylistedpure-playsat24%,withIONQ(thelargestmarketcapofthesix)accountingfor~11%share.Theseresultsappearreasonableandsupportourassumptions.
However,isittooearlytocallwinnersandlosers?Giventhatthistechnologyissoearlystage,andwithsomecompaniesstillinsemi-stealthmode,webelieveitistooearlytoknowforsure.ForexamplePhotonics,TopologicalandSiliconspinshowpromisebutarefar
tooearly-stagetoassess.Furthermore,ouranalysisshowsthatquantumcomputingmaynotbeawinnertakesallindustry.Differentmodalitiesbringdistinctstrengthsandtradeoffs,whichshouldmakecertainarchitecturesbettersuitedforspecificusecases,
workloads,andtimehorizons.
SeetheDisclosureAppendixofthisreportforrequireddisclosures,analystcertificationsandotherimportantinformation.Alternatively,visitourGlobalResearchDisclosureWebsite.
FirstPublished:07Jun202623:14UTCCompletionDate:07Jun202623:14UTC
MarkC.Newman+12128457822mark.newman@8June2026
BERNSTEINTICKERTABLE
5Jun2026
TTM
AdjustedEPSAdjustedP/E(x)
Ticker
Rating
Cur
Closing
Price
Target
Rel.
Perf.
Cur
2025A2026E2027E
Price
2025A2026E2027E
IBM(IBM)
IFX.GR(Infineon)
SPX
EDME
M
O
USD
EUR
284.84
74.427,383.74
1,544.13
280.00
74.00
(17.6)%
97.7%
USD
EUR
11.58
1.38
12.35
1.72
13.93
2.63
24.6
53.8
23.1
43.3
20.5
28.3
O-Outperform,M-Market-Perform,U-Underperform,NR-NotRated,CS-CoverageSuspendedSource:Bloomberg,Bernsteinestimatesandanalysis.
INVESTMENTIMPLICATIONS
WerateIBMMarket-Perform,PT=USD280.
WerateInfineonOutperform,PT=EUR74.
U.S.ITHARDWAREANDEUSEMIBERNSTEINlsocIeTecENeRAlECROUP2
MarkC.Newman+12128457822mark.newman@8June2026
U.S.ITHARDWAREANDEUSEMIBERNSTEINlsocIeTecENeRAlECROUP3
TableOfContents
PartI.FutureofComputing-IntroducingtheTri-ProcessorArchitecture(CPU,GPU,QPU) 3
PartII:WhatisQuantumComputing?TheTechBasics 5
PartIII:WhataretheLeadingQuantumModalities? 7
PartIV:IntroducingtheMajorPlayersinQuantumComputing 13
PartV:QuantumAdvantageandRealEconomicValue 15
PartVI.QuantumTAMandValuation 16
PartVII.IsittooearlytocallWinnersandLosers? 18
DETAILS
PARTI.FUTUREOFCOMPUTING-INTRODUCINGTHETRI-PROCESSORARCHITECTURE(CPU,GPU,QPU)
Quantumcomputingissettobecomethenextimportantstepincomputing.Webelievethefutureofadvanced
computingwillbeshapedbyatri-processorarchitecturecomposedofCPUs,GPUs,andQPUs(seeExhibit1).Inthismodel,QuantumComputingandtheQPUdoesnotreplaceclassicalhardware(CPUsandGPUsintraditionalandAIservers).
Instead,itoperatesasaspecializedaccelerator,tightlyintegratedintoabroaderhybridquantum-classicalsystem.TasksaredynamicallydistributedacrosstheCPU,GPU,andQPUbasedonthenatureandcomplexityoftheworkload(Exhibit2).SimilartohowGPUs(andAIservers)didn’treplaceCPUs(andtraditionalservers)-rathertheyarecomplementaryandadditive;we
expectQuantumcomputingandQPUswillbecomplementaryandadditivetoclassicalcomputingmethods(CPUsandGPUsintraditionalandAIservers).
•TheCPUremainsthecommandcenterofthesystem,responsibleforexecutingsequentiallogicandhandling
complexbranchingoperations.Itoverseessystem-levelcoordination,includingmemoryallocationandinput-output
management,ensuringthatallcomponentsoperatecohesively.Inaddition,theCPUdecomposeslarge,complexproblemsintomanageablesub-tasksandintelligentlydetermineshowtodistributethesetasksacrosstheGPUandQPU,assigningeachportionoftheworkloadtotheprocessorbestsuitedforefficientexecution.
•TheGPUservesasthehigh-throughputworkhorseforclassicalparallelism,excellingatlarge-scaletensor
operationsandintensivenumericalcomputation.Itplaysacentralroleinpoweringmachinelearningworkflows,
includingtraining,inference,andoptimizationpipelines.Inahybridarchitecture,theGPUalsopreparesandtransformsdatabeforeitissenttotheQPU,ensuringitisinthecorrectformforquantumexecution.Whendirectaccesstoquantumhardwareislimited,theGPUcansimulatequantumcircuitstoapproximatebehaviorandtestalgorithms.Additionally,itcontributestothereliabilityofhybridcomputationsbyperformingerrormitigation,calibration,andverificationofQPU
outputs,actingasacrucialbridgebetweenclassicalandquantumprocessing.
•TheQPUwilltackleproblemsthatarefundamentallyintractableforclassicalsystemsduetotheirexponential
complexity.Itexcelsatsolvingoptimizationchallengeswithvastcombinatorialsearchspacesandsimulatingquantum
systemssuchasmoleculesandadvancedmaterialsatalevelofdetailbeyondclassicalcapabilities.Byexecutingspecializedquantumalgorithms-includingvariationalcircuits,theQuantumApproximateOptimizationAlgorithm(QAOA),andShor-typeroutines-theQPUcanexplorecomplexsolutionlandscapesthatclassicalprocessorscannotefficientlynavigate,offeringapowerfultoolforaddressingsomeofthehardestcomputationalproblems.
IBMistheprimarydriverofthishybridparadigm.Theyexplicitlyrejecttheideaofquantumasastandalonesystem.Theyhave
formalizedthisunderaconcepttheycallQuantum-CentricSupercomputing,withreferencedesignprovidedinMarch
2026,whichmapsoutaunifiedenvironmentdividingthecomputetiersacrosshigh-speedconnections(likeUltraEthernet
andNVQLink).Onthesoftwarefront,IBMreliesonQiskit,theiropen-sourcesoftwaredevelopmentkit.Whenadeveloper
writescodeinPythonusingQiskit,theQiskitCompilerautomaticallytargetsthedifferentexecutionconstraints.Itparsesthe
developer'shigh-levelintents,mapsthetraditionalprogrammingloopstothelocalCPU/GPUcluster,andcompilesthecomplex
MarkC.Newman+12128457822mark.newman@8June2026
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abstractmathdirectlyintotargetedhardwareinstructionsforthephysicalqubits.
NVIDIA'sNVQLinkestablishesanopen,hardware-agnosticplatformarchitecturethatdirectlyconnectsGPU-accelerated
serverswiththird-partyQuantumProcessingUnits(QPUs),enablingtheQPUtooperateasanativeco-processorwithinthe
samerack.Onthesoftwarefront,NVIDIAprovidesthearchitecturalallocationlayerthroughCUDA-Q.Thissingle-source
programmingframeworkallowsdeveloperstowriteunifiedC++orPythoncode,usingitsbuilt-incompilertoautomaticallysplitworkloads—offloadingmassiveAItensoroperationstotheGPU,systemlogictotheCPU,andcomplexcombinatorialalgorithmsstraighttotheQPU.
EXHIBIT1:TheTri-ProcessorArchitecture
Source:Bernsteinanalysis
EXHIBIT2:CPU,GPU,QPUarchitecture,usecasecomparison
Dimension
CPU
GPU
QPU
Coreconcept
Afewpowerfulcoresoptimizedforsequential,general-purposelogic
Thousandsofsimplercoresoptimizedformassivelyparallelarithmetic
Qubitsexploitingsuperposition&entanglementtoexploremanystatesatonce
Architecture
Lowcorecount(4–64),largecaches,complexcontrollogic,highclock
speeds
Veryhighcorecount(thousands),SIMD/SIMTexecution,highmemorybandwidth
Qubits(gate-basedorannealing);requirescryogeniccooling/errorcorrection
Bestat
Branchinglogic,decision-making,low-latencysingle-threadedtasks
Doingthesameoperationacrosshugedatasetsinparallel
Specificproblemclasseswith
exponential/combinatorialcomplexity
Computemodel
Deterministic,serial→moderateparallelism
Deterministic,throughput-orientedparallelism
Probabilistic;resultsobtainedfromrepeatedmeasurement(sampling)
Parallelism
Lowtomoderate
Extremelyhigh(dataparallelism)
Quantumparallelism(fundamentallydifferent—notjust"morecores")
Tasksbest
addressed
OS/applicationlogic,databases,
businesssoftware,controlflow,I/Oorchestration
Deeplearningtraining/inference,graphicsrendering,simulations,matrix/vectormath,cryptomining
Quantumchemistry/materialssimulation,certainoptimization,factoring,quantumsampling/MLresearch
Best-fitusecases
Runningoperatingsystems,web/appservers,transactionalsystems,
spreadsheets,generaleverydaycomputing
AI/ML,scientificcomputing(CFD,weather,moleculardynamics),
video/3Drendering,large-scaledataanalytics
Molecular&drugdiscovery,advancedmaterials,portfolio/logisticsoptimization,cryptography
research,R&D(largelyexperimentaltoday)
Source:Bernsteinanalysis
U.S.ITHARDWAREANDEUSEMIBERNSTEINlsocIeTecENeRAlECROUP5
EXHIBIT3:Quantum-classicalworkflow
Source:IBM
PARTII:WHATISQUANTUMCOMPUTING?THETECHBASICS
Inquantumcomputing,oncephysicalqubitsarecreated,quantumalgorithmswillmanipulatethesequbitsthroughcarefullysequencedoperationsthatcreatesuperposition,entanglequbits,anduseinterferencetoamplifycorrectoutcomeswhilecancelingincorrectones.Afterthiscontrolledevolution,thesystemismeasured,whichcollapsesthequantumstatesintoclassicalbitsthatencodethesolution.Ifquantumcomputingcanbecomepowerfuland
stableenough,theiruniquecomputationalpowerwillsolveproblemsthatarebeyondthecapabilitiesoftoday'ssupercomputers.
Superposition:Quantumcomputingdiffersfundamentallyfromclassicalcomputingbecauseitsbasicunit,thequbit,canexistinsuperposition,representingmultiplestatessimultaneously,ratherthanasinglebinary0or1likeinclassicalcomputing.Thisallowsquantumcomputingtohaveamuchlargercomputationalspaceandexploremanypossiblesolutionsatthesametime,whereasclassicalcomputingevaluatesthemsequentially.
Entanglementlinksqubits,sotheirstatesaredefinedjointlyratherthanindependently,allowingquantumalgorithmstoencoderelationshipsandconstraintsbetweenvariablesthatguideinterferencetowardvalidsolutions,whichclassicalcomputersmusttrackexplicitlyandoftenlessefficientlyforcertainproblems.
Interferenceallowsquantumalgorithmstoamplifycorrectsolutionsandsuppressincorrectonesbycontrollinghow
probabilityamplitudescombine.Throughcarefullydesignedsequencesofoperations,amplitudesassociatedwithvalid
outcomesreinforceeachother,whilethoselinkedtoinvalidoutcomescancelout.Thisreshapingoftheprobabilitydistributionensuresthat,uponmeasurement,thecorrectoroptimalsolutionisobservedwithhigherlikelihoodthanunderclassical
computingforcertainproblems.
Measurementisthefinalstepinquantumcomputation,wherethequantumstateisobservedandcollapsesintoaclassicaloutputthatcanbereadbyconventionalcomputers.Becausequantuminformationisinherentlyprobabilistic,asingle
measurementyieldsthemostlikelyoutcomedrawnfromtheprobabilitydistribution.Byrepeatingthecomputationmultipletimes,theoptimalsolutionemergesstatistically.
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Keypotentialusecasesforquantumcomputinginclude:
•Materialscienceandchemistry:simulatingmoleculesandreactionsfordrugdiscovery,catalysts,andnewmaterials
•Optimizationproblems:logistics,scheduling,portfoliooptimization,andsupplychainrouting
•Cryptographyandsecurity:breakingorstrengtheningencryptionschemes
•MachinelearningandAI:acceleratingspecificlinearalgebraandsamplingtasks
•Financialmodeling:riskanalysisandMonte-Carlosimulationswherethesetofpossibilitiesexplodeexponentially.EXHIBIT4:IBMSystemTwo
Source:Companywebsite
MarkC.Newman+12128457822mark.newman@8June2026
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PARTIII:WHATARETHELEADINGQUANTUMMODALITIES?
Quantumcomputingiscurrentlybeingpursuedthroughseveralhardwareapproaches,eachbasedonadifferentphysicalsystemforcreatingandcontrollingqubits,andeachwithitsownstrength,limitation,andmaturitycurve.
Theleadingmodalitiestodayinclude:
•Superconducting,whichhasfastgatespeed,scalability,anddominatesnear-termcommercialroadmaps;
•Trapped-ion,knownforexceptionalstabilitybutslowerspeed;
•Neutral-atomarrays,demonstratinghighqubitcountsbutdifficulttoachievehighfidelitygates;
•Photonic,anearly-stagetechnologyusingopticalcomponents;
•Topologicalqubits,ahigh-risk,high-rewardpathtargetinginherentlystablequantuminformation;and
•Siliconspinqubitshavethepotentialfordenseintegrationofqubitsandcontrolelectronics,butareslowerandhardertocontrolsincetheyrelyonmanipulatingthespinoftinyelectrons.
Together,thesesixapproachescapturethecoretechnologicallandscapeshapingthequantumcomputingindustry.WebelieveSuperconducting,Trapped-ion,andNeutral-atomaretheleadingcontendersfortheQuantumfuture-moredetailsbelow.
EXHIBIT5:QuantumComputingModalities
Modality
Technology
Pros
Cons
MajorPlayers
Superconducting
Metalcircuitsonachiparecooledtoabsolute
zero,andmicrowavepulsesputthecircuitinto
aquantumstateandreaditout
Fastgatespeedsandhighqubitcounts;
leveragesexistingmicroelectronic
lithography.
Shortcoherenceandhighsensitivityto
noise;requiresextremecryogenic
cooling(~10-20mK);wiringand
crosstalkmakescalingharder
IBM,Google,
Rigetti,D-Wave
(annealing),IQM
Trapped-ion
Singlechargedatomsfloatinavacuum,heldby
electricfields.Lasersormicrowavesseteach
ion'sstate,andtheions'sharedmotionisused
toentanglethem
Identicalnaturalionsensurehighqubitquality;longcoherencetimesandextremelyhighgatefidelities.
Slowergatespeedsthan
superconducting;complexlaser/optical
controlsystemshinderscaling.
IonQ
Photonic
Thequbitismadefromlight.Thequantum
stateisstoredinaphoton'spath,polarization,
orarrivaltime,andopticalpartssteerand
measureit
Veryfastoperations;photonsresist
decoherencewell;goodfornetworking
andmodularscale;mostlycanrunnear
roomtemperature
Photonlossisamajorproblem;high-
fidelityphotongeneration/detectionare
hard;somedetectorsstillneed
cryogenics
PsiQuantum,
Xanadu,Quantum
ComputingInc.,
ORCAComputing
Neutral-atom
Neutralatomsareheldinplacebylaser
tweezersinavacuum.Laserspreparetheir
states,movethemaround,andbrieflyexcite
nearbyatomssotheybecomeentangled
Strongscalingpotential,longcoherence
times
Gatesareslowerthansuperconducting;
fidelityisimprovingfastbuttrails
trapped-ions,largeopticalcontrol
setupsarecomplex
QuEra,Pasqal,
infeqtion,Atom
Computing
Topological
Thegoalistostorequantuminformationina
protectedpatternofspecialquasiparticles
calledMajoranazeromodesinnanowires,
insteadofonefragilelocalstate
Ifitworks,itcouldgivebuilt-inerror
protection(Majoranaquasiparticles),
bettercoherence/fidelity,andcompact
scaling.
Highesttechnicaldifficulty;
materialsscienceislargely
unprovenatscaleandremains
experimental.
Microsoft
SiliconSpin
Aqubitisthespinofoneelectrontrappedin
silicon,usuallyinsideatinyquantumdotor
aroundasingleatom.Voltagesplus
microwave/electricpulsessetandreadthespin
state
Extremelysmallfootprint(high
density);potentialforbillion-qubit scaleonasinglechipusingmaturesemiconductorinfra;longcoherence
Strictfabricationtolerancesand
decoherencefrommaterial
impurities;currentlyinearlier
development.
Intel,Diraq,Silicon
Quantum
Computing
Source:Companywebsites,Bernsteinanalysis
Superconductingqubitsistoday’smostcommerciallyadvancedandexecution-readytechnology,drivenbyrapid
developmentfromIBMandGoogle.Thesesystemsusetinyelectricalcircuitscoolednearabsolutezero,allowingelectronstobehavelikequbits.Then,thequbitsaremanipulatedusingpreciselyshapedmicrowavepulses.Theappealisstraightforward:superconductingqubitsarefast,canbefabricatedwithsemiconductor-styleprocesses,andalreadysupportmulti-
qubitprocessorsinthehundreds.Becausesuperconductingchipscanbeproducedusingmodifiedsemiprocesses,it
MarkC.Newman+12128457822mark.newman@8June2026
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enablesfastergenerationoflarger,morecomplexprocessors.However,superconductingisrelativelyunstablebecauseitisaquantumstatethatonlysurviveswhentheenvironmenttemperatureandnoiselevelareverylow.Whileunstable,industryleaderslikeIBMandGooglecompensatethroughfastergates,deeperengineeringtalent,andthemostmaturehardware-
softwarestacksinthemarket.
Superconductinghardwareunderpinsasecond,morespecializedquantummodelknownasquantumannealing,whichisoptimizedforsolvinglarge-scaleoptimizationproblemsratherthanrunninggeneralquantumalgorithms.Quantumannealers,mostnotablyD-Wavesystems,usesuperconductingfluxqubitsarrangedinanenergylandscapethatthemachinegradually“anneals”tofindlow-energysolutions.EventhoughQuantumannealingismodel-agnosticintheory,itisonlyimplementedonsuperconductinginpractice.
Trapped-ionqubitsofferthehighestprecisionandstabilityintheindustry,thoughthearchitecturefacesslower
operationalspeedandscalinghurdles.Theapproachtrapsindividualchargedatomsinelectromagneticfieldsand
manipulatesthemwithlasers.Becauseatomsarenaturallyidenticalandexceptionallystable,thisplatformachieveslong
coherencetimesandindustry-leadinggatefidelity,whicharecriticalmetricsforerrorcorrection.Thetrade-offisslower
operationandmorecomplexopticalsystemswhichmakesscalingmoredifficult,buttrapped-ionplayersdeliverthemost
reliablequbitsavailabletoday.Trapped-ionisthemodalityadoptedbythebiggestmarketcapquantumpureplay,IONQ.Infineonistheleadingfoundryintrappedions,supplyingQPUstothelargestplayersinthissubsector.
Neutral-atomplatformsprovideahighlyflexiblearchitecturecapableofscaling,thoughfidelityatscaleremains
achallenge.Thesesystemsuselaserstoholdandrepositionindividualatomsinoptical“tweezers”,allowingrapid
rearrangement.Neutral-atomhardwarehasdemonstratedimpressivequbitcountsandpotentialforquantumsimulation
workloads.Themainchallengeisachievingconsistentlyhigh-fidelitygatesatscale,ascomplexopticalsetupsintroducenoiseandcalibrationdemands.Whilepromising,neutral-atomsystemsstilltrailtheindustrymaturity.
Photonicquantumcomputingofferslong-termscalabilitypotentialthroughroom-temperatureoperation,but
thecorebuildingblocksarestillearly-stage.Usingsinglephotonsroutedthroughopticalcircuits(e.g.beamsplitters,
mirrors,phaseshifters,etc.),photonicsystemsavoidcoolingneedsandalignnaturallywithsiliconphotonicmanufacturing.Thispositionsthetechnologyforeventualmassproductionifkeycomponents,suchasdeterministicsingle-photonsourcesand
high-fidelitygates,reachmaturity.However,sincephotonsnaturallydonotinteractwitheachother,errorratesremainhighduetoprobabilisticphotongeneration,photonloss,andimperfectinterference.Today,errorratesandcomponentconstraintskeepphotonicearlierstagerelativetosuperconductingsystemsandtrapped-ions.
Topologicalqubitsrepresentahigh-upsidebuthighlyexperimentalpath,targetingqubitsthatwouldbenaturally
resistanttonoiseandfareasiertocorrect.Thisapproachseekstoleverageexoticquasiparticles,suchasMajoranamodes,toencodeinformationinawaythatisfundamentallyprotectedfromenvironmentalerrors.EachMajoranaiseffectively“half”
anelectron,andtwohalvescanpairuptostorequantuminformationinawaythatnaturallyprotectsitfromnoise.Ifrealized,topologicalqubitscoulddramaticallyreducetheoverheadneededforfault-tolerantcomputing.However,theunderlying
physicsremainsunprovenatscale,makingthisthemostspeculativeofthemajortechnologies.Fornow,topologicaleffortsremainlong-durationR&D,whilesuperconductingandothermodalitiescontinuetoadvancemorequickly.
Siliconspinqubitsstorequantuminformationinthespinofsingleelectronstrappedintinysiliconstructures,usingelectricalsignalstocontrolthem.Becausetheyarebuiltonsilicon,thisapproachcouldeventuallyscaleusingfamiliarchip-manufacturingtechniquesandallowdenseintegrationofqubitsandcontrolelectronics.However,siliconspinqubitsareslowerandhardertocontrolbecausetheyrelyonmanipulatingthespinofindividualelectrons,anextremelysmallanddelicatesignal,makingoperationsmoresensitivetonoiseandfabricationimperfections.Thismeanssiliconspinqubitsisalonger-termbet
ratherthananear-termcommercialsolution.
Weviewsuperconducting,trapped-ion,andneutral-atomarchitecturesasthemostadvancedquantummodalitiestoday,giventheirstrongertechnicalprogress,ecosystemsupport,andearlycommercialtraction.Still,itistooearlytocallaclearwinner,andwewouldnotruleoutphotonics,topological,orsilicon-spinapproaches,especiallygivenrapidinnovationinquantumcomputingandlimitedmilestonedisclosurefromprivatecompanies.
MarkC.Newman+12128457822mark.newman@8June2026
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EXHIBIT6:Superconductingquantuminformationprocessor
Source:Gambetta,J.M.,Chow,J.M.&Steffen,M.Buildinglogicalqubitsinasuperconductingquantumcomputingsystem.npjQuantumInf3,2(2017).
https://
/10.1038/s41534-016-0004-0
MarkC.Newman+12128457822mark.newman@8June2026
U.S.ITHARDWAREANDEUSEMIBERNSTEINlsocIeTecENeRAlECROUP10
EXHIBIT7:SchematicofIonQtrappedionquantumprocessor
Source:IonQcompanywebsite,
/news/february-10-2022-duke-ionq-new-qc-gate
EXHIBIT8:Siliconquantumphotonicprocessor
Source:R.Santagati,J.Wang,et.
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