[农业]河南省农产品加工业论文：农产品加工业生产效率研究.doc

河南省农产品加工业论文：农产品加工业生产效率研究【中文摘要】本文在对河南省农产品加工业发展历程进行分析的基础上,在前人研究成果的基础上利用全要素生产率测度理论,选取了河南省农产品加工业12个行业的面板数据,对河南省农产品加工业生产效率进行实证分析。运用基于DEA的Malmquist指数方法测算了1993-2009年河南省农产品加工业及其子行业的生产效率和生产效率指数及其构成。并运用Tobit模型对影响河南省农产品加工业技术效率因素进行了实证分析。通过对河南省农产品加工业生产效率和生产效率指数的测度与分解以及生产效率影响因素的实证分析可以得出以下结论：(1)从整体上,河南省农产品加工业规模报酬不变与可变情况下技术效率、纯技术效率和配置效率有效,河南省农产品加工业整体上运行状态良好。河南省农产品加工业整体上全要素生产率呈下降趋势,1993-2009年间河南省农产品加工业全要素生产率下降了4.3%,同时农产品加工业技术进步变化也下降了4.3%,农产品加工业技术效率及其构成没有发生变化。因此河南省农产品加工业整体全要素生产率下降主要归功于技术进步指数的下降。(2)从各个行业来看,河南省农产品加工业各个行业的技术效率、纯技术效率和规模效率差异很大,除了烟草加工业技术效率、纯技术效率和规模效率没有发生变化外,其他行业的这些效率在不同年份有不同的表现。1993-2009年农产品加工业各个行业的技术效率与纯技术效率的均值均呈下降趋势。(3)从各行业所处的规模阶段来看,食品加工业和纺织业基本上一直处于规模报酬递减的阶段。食品制造业、纺织服装及其鞋帽制品业、木材加工业、家具制造业、印刷业和记录媒介的复制基本上处于规模报酬递增阶段。其余行业规模报酬阶段在不同的年份处于不同的阶段。(4)从在增长趋势来看,河南省农产品加工业除了饮料制造业与烟草加工业全要素生产率有所增加,其余行业均呈下降趋势。技术进步增长的行业有食品加工业、饮料制造业、烟草加工业、纺织业、印刷业和橡胶制品业。技术效率及其构成除了烟草加工业外,其他行业均呈下降趋势。(5)影响河南省农产品加工业技术效率的因素主要是固定资产投入、农产品加工业高科技人员数、研发支出。其中固定资产和高科技人数与技术效率呈负相关,研发支出与技术效率呈正相关。根据得出的结论对河南省农产品加工业提出了政策建议,来促进河南省农产品加工业全要素生产率和技术效率的增长。本文的创新点主要体现在以下几个方面：(1)本文将河南省农产品加工业以及各个子行业作为研究对象,使用的数据为1993-2009年最新数据进行了实证分析。(2)在分析方法上本文使用了DEA-Tobit两步法与基于DEA的Malmquist指数法相结合来分析河南省农产品加工业及其子行行业的生产效率及其构成、生产效率指数及其构成,并运用Tobit模型对影响河南省农产品加工业的因素进行了分析。这与以往大部分大部分学者在研究农产品加工业时采用综述的方法不同。【英文摘要】On the basis of the development of Henans agricultural product processing industries, combined with the relevant research results of domestic and foreignscholars, the article uses efficiency measurement theory empirical analyses the efficiency of Productprocessing industries by choosing panel data of Henans Agricultural Product processing industries. With Malmquist index, the article calculate the TE PE SE and the rate of change of TFP and the combinations from 1993 to 2009 of Agricultural Product processing industries, and analyses the influence of PTE based on the Tobit model. The conclusions are as follows:(1)In sumly, the efficiency (TE PE SE)of Henan agricultural product processing industries is well based on CRS and VRS. TFP of Henan agricultural product processing industries overall declined. In year 1993-2009, Henan agricultural product processing total factor productivity and Tech fell 4.3%, the technology efficiency and its constitutes has nothing changes. Therefore henan agricultural product processing overall total factor productivity decline is mainly attributed to the progress of technology changes(2) From the view of very industry, The efficiency, such as TE PE SE, have a enormous difference. Except for tobacco processing technology efficiency, pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency was no change in the outside, other industries in different years these efficiency with different performance.In year 1993-2009 agricultural product processing various industries technical efficiency and pure technical efficiency of the mean value are tending to decline.(3) In each industry from the Angle of the scale stage, Food processing and textiles are basically in scale of diminishing returns stage. Food manufacturing, textile and apparel and footwear products industry, wood processing industry, furniture manufacturing, printing and recording media copying basically at irs using phase. The rest of the industry scale in different year pay stage in different stage.(4) From the view of the growing trend, Henan agricultural product processing besides beverage manufacturing and tobacco processing total factor productivity increases, the rest of the industry are tending to decline. Technical progress growth industry includes food processing, beverage manufacturing, tobacco processing, textiles, printing and rubber products industry. Technical efficiency and its components except for tobacco processing outside, other industries are tending to decline.(5) Influence of henan agricultural product processing technology efficiency factors is fixed assets investments, agricultural product processing industry high-tech personnel number, R&D expenditure. The number of fixed assets and high-tech negatively correlated with the technical efficiency, R&D spending positively correlated with the technical efficiency. According to the conclusion of the processing of agricultural products in henan province, and puts forward policy Suggestions to promote henan agricultural product processing total factor productivity and technical efficiency of growth.This paper the innovation points are mainly embodied in the following aspects:(1) This paper classifies henan agricultural product processing and each sub industries as the research object, using data from 1993 to 2009 for the latest data empirically. (2) This paper used in analysis method on the DEA-with two-step Tobit Malmquist index method based on DEA combination of henan province agricultural product processing and analysis to the production efficiency son line industry and its composition, production efficiency index and its composition, and use of Tobit model of henan province of farm produce processing influence factors were analyzed. This with before most of the most scholars used in the study of farm produce processing different methods were reviewed.【关键词】河南省农产品加工业 全要素生产率 DEA-Tobit两步法 Malmquist指数【英文关键词】Henan agricultural product processing industry TFP DEA-Tobit Malmquist index【目录】农产品加工业生产效率研究论文摘要3-5Abstract5-6一、引言9-15(一) 研究背景9-10(二) 研究目的和意义10-111. 研究目的10-112. 研究意义11(三) 国内外研究文献综述11-131. 国外研究现状11-122. 国内研究现状12-13(四) 研究方法和内容13-141. 研究方法132. 研究的主要内容13-14(五) 可能的创新和不足14-151. 可能的创新142. 可能的不足14-15二、相关概念的界定及理论基础15-35(一) 农产品加工业概念界定15-171. 农产品加工和农产品加工业的概念152. 农产品加工的分类15-163. 农产品加工业的特征16-17(1) 农产品加工业地位的特殊性16(2) 制约农产品加工业因素的特殊性16(3) 农产品加工业要素的特殊性16-17(二) 农产品加工业发展理论17-191. 不平衡发展理论172. 增长极理论17-183. 优先发展主导产业部门理论18-19(三) 生产率理论综述19-221. 生产率的概念及分类19-202. 全要素生产率的概念203. 全要素生产率理论发展历史20-22(四) 全要素生产率的测度方法22-351. 增长核算法22-242. 生产前沿面法24-29(1) 参数模型法24-26(2) 非参数模型法26-293. 指数法29-33(1) 曼奎斯特指数(Malmquist Index)定义及分解30-32(2) 曼奎斯特指数(Malmquist Index)求解32-334. 全要素生产率测度方法分析33-35三、河南省农产品加工业发展历程分析35-44(一) 河南省农产品加工业总体发展阶段分析35-39(二) 河南省农产品加工业各个子行业在河南省国民生产总值比重变化39-41(三) 河南