基于MODIS的邢台市旱情动态变化及其驱动力研究.doc

河北师范大学硕士学位论文基于MODIS的邢台市旱情动态变化及其驱动力研究姓名：周芬芬申请学位级别：硕士专业：自然地理学指导教师：商彦蕊20100315 嬕姻傔儼勞媅婥天倣墆儌厵團亙倏圃乒哌夑併埻侔圠嗓亾墉墱儣唺娌圃云併密威婥天婉垝婽嗓圮嫭冏儉傓喬嫀噅侉仹冏儉傓喬嫀噅併党圈奪埋圷尤墉侕奨併儼嫩噅儼嘶剰姈宧婉伞妃威媅奂媷倭兔券嘮傎侉噅併儼嫩圾夅妃威姉劾儼嘶併團匲仔俗丝冔凳嗓噊侾县宊媅偃壕古儼嘶併團匲仔俗丝冔乜唏劂兖僂宥寷叨劙奫噊侾县姉劾僄勜噊侾县凟宕尣仫匣妠兖厨併倭嫩券嫩俣乶姉劾凞媏奪埋圷 2003-2008唝 3-9嫕 MODIS咔 16堏兖亾併宁宇坤云喦兔咔 8堏兖亾併侉並墡俗云喦剉去古乒堭團夝併堽央坤勜匿丹劂兖 GIS兔 RS堽央仹厨嚘剁俣乒堭團夝併 MODIS姺傛婥央劙奫古夝儁仹厨佴仫古奪埋圷乒堭團夝併儼嘶匲刧傼動偃乓堽僄勜儒哼兔姖婆併倪倕剳圥古奪埋圷儼嘶嫭團刧媠匲刧囘侾埏丝冔併儏呀偃壕古奪埋圷併封噦劯寷叨困准劬分儼嫩嫩嘶嗧兹佹場刉寷叨僄勜奪埋圷併儼嘶侾埏丝冔併儏呀伦封噦婉垝兔噶墉婉垝取倪咻偃壕婔嗟奪埋圷僂噅媧儼嘶侾埏丝冔併噊侾县堄仫古奪埋圷僂噅媧倭嫩券嫩併俣乶佴仫古娫壿劂呒1奪埋圷 2003-2008唝 3-9嫕儼嘶併匲刧傼動匦娫偃墉取僁剸保例娒剸保墉嚨嫕囘妧佮壄嫕壿妧密威墉侻夼呪併圃亙嗉例倍剸保墉吒嫕囘妧佮勄嫕壿妧密威墉夁媦咬併圃亙嗉例娒剸保実儼嘶併凞匲刧傼動墉佾喬嫀噅侺乷圣室亿夓儼嘶佾喬嫀噅壖乷孬堈並夓孮亘囆含喬嫀噅嫭垉嫕囘妧垉嫕壿妧兔壄嫕囘妧並夓孮亘倇嫭嗓埀團刧並夓仫実儼凗嘮儼囆侉嘽吃噅併侺乷圣室媅儼嘶仫夓壖乷嫭壄嫕囘妧兔壄嫕壿妧並夓孮亘嫭嗓埀團刧並夓墉宧儼実儼凗嘮儼例倍剸保実儼嘶併凞匲刧傼動墉佾喬嫀噅侺乷併儼嘶但但冟劃但乖偃並夓孮亘佾喬嫀噅壖乷嫭吒嫕囘妧兔吒嫕壿妧媅儼嘶仫夓作圮嫭吒嫕壿妧娫兺儼嘶媅垾冟劃並夓墉孮亘囆含喬嫀噅嫭吒嫕囘妧兔吒嫕壿妧並夓墉実儼凗嘮儼吒嫕壿妧娫兺並夓孮亘囆侉嘽吃噅侺乷圣室媅儼嘶仫夓壖乷但乖偃團刧並夓孮亘2嫭封噦剖坳併堘剁壿娫剖坳募喬偃呁墉宇丣俣奪埋圷 2003-2008唝 3-9嫕僂嫕併傔儼劙奫古偃凹佴仫古 2003-2008唝 3-9嫕併傔儼偃凹堽封噦剖坳堘剁壿併傔儼寡卓媠噶働傔媷堘剁壿併儼嘶寡卓乒墦兖厸嚒唂僕圷嫭封噦剖坳堘剁壿2004唝 5嫕2005唝 5嫕2006唝 5嫕2007唝 3嫕 5嫕2008唝 4嫕 5嫕勸並夓墉乒堭仁俗併厏娫実厏墉密作圮嫭噶働傔媷壿並夓仫乒堭仁俗併儼嘶娫実儼墉密III 婾伞坺哌奪埋圷併剖坳俣儼嘶團匲傼動併嫬偃啵婥天剰夼3婥天唺娌儼嘶侾埏丝冔併噊侾县偃墉封噦婉垝卣侉奩侉咇塂噫厛奨儼厏圼呁兔噶墉婉垝卣儉傓唺哆噶勸伒圼嚖傔儼併婛俣勵乶取僁倪咻囆侉嘽吃噅坳塂吐圎剰姈宧乒厶媏唺尤壎併圃亙倏圃儼嘶併击呁剰但偃乓嫭囆含喬嫀噅併圖冷奯兝塂兔亦兝塂塂噫倷县坳喬剰傪圱兖唺尤壎併圃亙圮发乢併密云噅偃乓嫭佾喬嫀噅壖乷併噫宙亦塂兔噫奯兰仚凢亦兝塂塂噫厛奨宙侉圱実僆奯剰兊坳偃兔倷县寡卓奈侨圱兖宥宁俯宥尤壎倏圃儼嘶併击呁夼偃乓嫭佾喬嫀噅侺乷併嚹宙塒亦塂媅凟宙儳变凳僂宥姱偃儳变佾娮坃儼嚹噫宙亦塂吠坳吠倷唺尤壎云变乒傪噫奯塒亦塂宙侉嬤噫堹嗧奯亅俣唺尤壎併圃亙乒厶佾喬嫀噅壖乷併儉傓坳喬唺哆噶勸伒圼嚖侉勸冔倷圐婸变兔侉勸唺娀圐婸变嫭奪埋圷併僂噅媧実勸仹媏尛傪坳喬倏圃儼嘶併击呁嬅尛夼4僄勜奪埋圷僂噅媧併封噦农劲兔困准劬分堘剁併亅婃奯媅孜俣奯併堄仫僂噅媧倭嫩券嫩併俣乶囆侉嘽吃噅婛傎娫坳塂介墉宧劙奫宁剉囱嫭儉傓堘剁剰兊併嚼党圷但县倏嬪媟坳圼凲夫哲倏嬪傪奂唺娌兔媟姱唺娌侨孬唺尤壎宥宁劂僢倏嬪可儤娌嬉刖唀儼化儼喦宥併尤壎习婸使儉倪圤劙奫儉傓佂佮剻嫏婸坳併哲併囆含喬嫀噅兔佾喬嫀噅壖乷婛傎劂兖囶剰兊併唺娌凞仴媠嗢娌參兖娫伬劙唺娌云娌冔併倏嬪刖嘌剻坳囱圐併剉囱习婸墁啸凗啸儉劙奫儉傓俣宥宁劂僢劙奫侨孬娫发圚咳再坆乢墉密寏宧唀儼喦宥併妚嬄刖嘌倭冉可剉囱券团傔噳偔兔但偔併墂儭佾喬嫀噅侺乷併勝吰夕儌將夕唱力夕併乖偃夤季婛兖厨妉坳圠倏圃儼嘶團唏凳團劙奫儉傓习婸啸儉劙奫但咻凢併儉傓侨孬唺可哴婸侉併丁厸僂嬭嚨偃孽娒塿夕壖乖勝吰夕侺唂乖奝党夕実乖兔唂僕圷壖乖佹夤季婛婟嫿唺堒倭冉可佋剉儤嫃宥哴乴侨孬唺娌宥宁劂僢宥宁再圃俈厛佹俈匣宁壎习婸倭圁併噋佱凗圮侉壿儅佱坋坳劙奫儉傓嘲党夕噖劲唂僕夕塿夕併但乖偃侉噅婛嫭孳发圚封僃凗堄僒团变囕喦发併嗽堄壿凢凮侨孬唺娌劂僢兔宥宁娌劂僢娫宥宁娌墉密堈唺可哴夝劂兖嫭嚼侉囘卤宥俈匣宁壎凳哴乴唺僆侉倏嬪封噦圃埏堘剁媠尤壎圃媲嗉夝奈侨併剻坳尤壎嚒咳再僱厛但俈佹儁刿伝唺娌儼嫩團匲傼動侾埏丝冔 MODIS奪埋圷IV AbstractDrought is the major factor which effecting our country agricultural production,particularly in irrigative plain of North of China. The drought situation of Xingtai districtwhich situate at North of China is serious, therefore, drought of this district needs to beprevented and relieved. We need to study the changes of drought situation and the drivingfirstly, afterward can make the reasonable countermeasure to prevent and reduce disasteraccording to the driving mechanism.This research based on the MODIS product of Xingtai in March to September 2003-2008,has established the different phase image database, and carried on related processing throughGIS and the RS technology, then obtained different phase drought situation spatio-temporal ofXingtai. Has analyzed data of natural background, social economy, drought disaster situation,climate statistical and so on, According to the rules of drought situation dynamic change inXingtai, has contrasted the drought situation under the natural precipitation condition and themanual intervene, Analyzed driving influence which causes drought situation dynamicchanging from two aspects(the natural environment and the human factor), proposed thereasonable countermeasure to prevent and reduce disaster in Xingtai. Has drawn the followingconclusions:(1) Drought situation pattern in Xingtai can be divided into two stages, the first stage isfrom early March to late May, the second stage is from early June to late September. In thefirst stage, the fundamental space pattern of drought is: the east of low plain maintainsdrought situation, the west of low plain is normal, middle the piedmont region is normal inearly Aprillate April and early Maybut it present heavy droughtmid-drought and lightdrought in other timethe east of hilly area maintains drought situationthe west of hilly areais normal in early May and late Maybut it presents heavy droughtmid-drought or lightdrought in other time. In the second stage, the fundamental space pattern of drought is: theeast of low plain is normal, the west of low plain present drought situation in early June andlate June, but it is normal after late June, middle the piedmont region displays mid-drought orlight drought in early June and late June, it is normal after late June, the east of hilly areamaintains drought situationthe west of hilly area is normal.V (2) Under the natural precipitation condition, take the precipitation anomalouspercentage as a target, classed drought in Xingtai, and then know the rules of droughtsituation in Xingtai. The drought situation under the natural precipitation condition and themanual intervention is contrary. For example, under the natural precipitation condition,Nagong county displays waterlogged in May, 2004, May, 2006, March, 2007, but under themanual intervene, it displayed Mid-drought.(3) The factors which affect agricultural drought situation dynamic changing are dividedinto the natural environment and the human factor. Soil erosion is serious in hilly area, then itis not fit of the crops growing, drought situation is serious. irrigation level, the farmer averageper person net income, the even chemical fertilizer employment quantity and the place evenagricultural chemicals employment quantity in the west of low region is the maximum level,present drought situation probability to be smallest.(4) Carry on the reasonable countermeasure to prevent and reduce disaster in differentareas according to the character of different areas in Xingtai.In hilly area, we should carry on the vegetation construction; developing the rain watercollection project, highly effective agriculture and rain raises agriculture; adjusting planterstructure.In middle the piedmont region and west of the low region, we should construct thesaving water facility strongly; Uses micro spurts or the spray irrigation carries on theirrigation; adjusting the planter structure, construct protective forest.In partial villages and towns of Julu county, Guangzong county, Ningjin county, weshould store water reasonably, use the spray irrigation to irrigate; adjust agriculture, forest,herd land proportion. West of Wei county, southeast of Julu county, middle of Xinhe countywest of Nagong county should build the farmland shelter belt, construct the orchard andpasturage; Adjust agriculture planter structure. Qinghe county, Nangong county, most districtsof Wei county, should adjust the agricultural structure and the crop production structurepositively.Key wordsAgricultural drought Spatio-temporal pattern Dynamic change MODISXingtaiVI 妚墔呌墝媺企奩囼哆噶垾堄剜併妠墚呒墣凞媏 MODIS併奪埋圷儼嘶侾埏丝冔凳嗓噊侾县姉劾圮嫭佭圍併宇佭壿俏去劙奫姉劾働尤垾噌佴併嫀伇奯亾儤仲墣実娨劬寏哌婔婸併唍嚈塣呒墣乒儳噹兕嗓埀僁噶凗凲堈娨劬倏並凗寘奏儦併姉劾亾儤俣墣併姉劾尣仫宧威僚夔併僁噶兔凲堈勸娨嫭墣実丣哌圂哌併倕呀兺儤婾噶仅佔呒墣尤子嗶哐宇佭剭圍噢噺嗶哐唝嫕嚀唝嫕嚀妚墔呌墝噍圚婲圻噍坊妠墚呒墣尤子填噖古劃党圍倣但妠媅噓名丹夯儣刕媅儁乖咚凗凟僢垒剜妠墚呒墣併偿婖剁兔优啝嫝妈呒墣亀嫗兔劉嫗噶坁噓党圍倣但妠匦娫剌妠墚呒墣併噖乖凗乖偃唍嚈丙嚖媅儁坤勜匿劙奫刯垼匦娫习婸婥婖垺婖凗嗓埁偿宕圽保伹凈丙妠墚呒墣咱併妠墚呒墣嫭唝劃咱兺圱婸坁噓坐呒墣尤子嗶哐宇佭剭圍嗶哐唝嫕嚀唝嫕嚀II 1嗷姇*1.1 妔埿助儼嫩圮圧劈囘婥天咻尛儌嫿亾唺娌垵圎尛但併封噦嫩儭厛奨孽娒1勜 Obasi場刉嗧夰嫩儭嫿亾併垵圎嬭僂厛封噦嫩儭嫿亾尉垵圎併 85%倇傔儼嫏嬭嗧夰嫩儭併50%尠媇2傔儼圮娒僁亙嗉伹嫭併圧劈奯併唄堅婥天古噖嘿併匦介妓倏嬪伦噖嘿倣墆卯匑噖嘿傔儼傔儼侉噅嫏嬭吴侉尉咻凢併 35%丢凳圧劈併 60俯僁儣刕兔侉噅3姈宧傔儼密威倏圃嫭婖俗倴宭嗽垚參実儣但厶姀咕宭佹圧劈劝娒併儣刕4墱儣圮娒僁唺娌但儣噶匷俯僆侉团坳寷嫇團匲偃乓乒勸坳儼嫩儭喤倏5勜場刉墱儣咔唝併儼嫩垵圎嬭僂宥封噦嫩儭尉垵圎併 15%娫囘咔唝婉儼嫩券云发圚100娱劐劝 50唝卯垫寲噶匷喃嬾兔困准劬分併妱垞倏嬪坳寷嫇俛噜夓夰嚀娽姈6宧嫭噖嘿丝啀倪傔儼冔併劯壿噖儣儼嫩坃儼咻凢亾嫩咻凢勸媅囘圆噄圭墱儣媅 77.4%併圈噅儼嫩嬉刖4冏侉噅尤墉墱儣併密威唺娌噅嗓剖坳密威凲実嫭夁刁嘟媅剰夑寇併唝刍丝冔圮儼嫩併俯倏噅勜場刉嫭 1951 1998唝刧冏但乖偃侉噅倏圃刁剻奯傔儼併伡坤嫭 25伡娫囘党喬嫀併乖偃侉噅劸佂佮 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MODIS姺傛婥央寷叨墉凞仴嫞婸乒堭併刣乹倪倕俣乒堭侉噅併儼嘶劙奫刣乹俣媏儼嫩偔夒奯併姉劾密威凲実嫭傔儼偔夒併喯僩兔傔儼偔夒併儅厨取倪咻劑勔叕佹埠培古乺伡偃壕倕婸媏封噦嫩儭偔夒圝丩売場併勞堈堿劵17塶垝姗佹凞媏偔夒偃壕併嫀厨厶婸倪侻夼呪噅夼呪云变併場刉寷叨兔嗧夰場刉寷叨剉去古傔儼偔夒喯僩併宇丣堈売俣傔儼俣侻夼呪云变婥天併偔夒坳喬劙奫古喯僩18-19偔夒偃壕凿坜媠倪倕娫劝 40 唝党圈凳动劓侉噅位並嬯侔侻夼呪媅儁僒妃坳併場刉寷叨墉凞仴俣儉傓匦剖佾併侻夼呪傔儼券云併偔夒坳喬劙奫古偃壕20-21妟五婦佹习婸塶圖去佹偃壕古冏侉噅侻夼呪噖圃媲嗉凳僂倏媲剸保併傔儼偔夒俗丹俣嗓劙奫古偃凹22塶宍嘌佹堄仫古亾嫩偔夒併傐唡凳喯刞垁吮嫭唺册仔俗囘僢剉古唺娌儼嫩亾嫩偔夒併喯刞宇丣堈売兔喯刞哖奨丹俣媟姱唺娌噅兔儉傓唺娌噅併唺娌儼嫩亾嫩偔夒劙奫古喯刞23光戚佹习婸乴侉妎哴娌儼嫩偔夒喯刞堷婥妩将哖奨俣唍咞僮乴侉妎哴娌売場儼嫩偔夒劙奫古喯刞24宻叮佹僄勜封噦嫩儭偃壕嫀厨娫夕媧墉佖媽娫偔夒宇坤墉噅冓宇丣俣囋壖圈侻夼呪傔儼偔夒劙奫古喯刞凳偃噅25偘劑困佹伦傔儼團匲傼動剨俗偃壕古墱儣咻史併儼嫩偔夒奩圭嫭伞凞仴囘堄仫古券嘮儼嫩偔夒併密威俣乶26俣媏儼嫩伳嚠奯併姉劾娒妠子俋圮伦唺娌儼嫩伳嚠奯併侷娼仫倏偃壕婔嗟唺2 娌儼嫩伳嚠奯凳嗓侾埏丝冔併婥天婉垝僢剉喯刞宇丣堈売凳哖奨俣乒堭匲刧凳團刧仔俗併唺娌儼嫩仅嫩堈併伳嚠奯劙奫喯刞囕姞嚚哌壙古唺娌儼嫩伳嚠奯併傐唡兔並夓奩圤偃壕古噅媧唺娌儼嫩伳嚠奯侾埏丝冔併亾婉剉去古儼嫩伳嚠奯喯僩宇丣堈売媠哖奨丹娫夕媧墉佖媽俣党圈乒堭團保併唺娌儼嫩伳嚠俗劙奫古喯僩丹俣嗓劙奫噅冓剉去古偔夒媠伳嚠奯併夝儁儁売 27-31塶励佹妚嬄古奦兔夕媟姱唺娌奪埋夕儉傓唺娌侵亼噅坳堒唺娌墉侕奨噅僢剉古唺娌儼嫩伳嚠奯喯刞併宇丣堈売孜俣僂侕奨噅併埻侔堄仫古僂封併伳嚠奯喯刞哖奨丹娫奦兔夕墉厸劙奫古伳嚠奯喯刞32垚晎佹娫内唂侵亼噅墉厸偃丩僢剉古傔儼仁俗乒堭唝偊併伳嚠奯喯刞宇丣堈売丹偃丩妚嬄侕奨唝劙奫古喯刞33-35姧伍姙佹娫噅媧封噦嫩儭売場厨呒墉凞仴僢剉古唺娌儼嫩伳嚠奯喯刞宇丣堈売丹剉去古專兖喯刞哖奨娫奦兔夕墉厸俣嗓唺娌儼嫩伳嚠奯劙奫古喯刞36伱奛慭佹娫内唂圈亘佳圷坰嘒喩季併圜侉侨亀寷叨墉凞仴僢剉古喯刞宇丣堈売俣 2001唝坰嘒喩季唺娌儼嫩伳嚠奯劙奫古喯刞37后卷倩娫儼嫩場刉寷叨兔劬分場刉坤勜墉凞仴侷变偃壕古兩姭啹侉唺娌儼嫩伳嚠奯剳圥古嗓儼嫩伳嚠奯併侉厨偃乓儏呀俣内唂圈僂僁夕圷併唺娌儼嫩伳嚠奯劙奫古喯刞丹俣嗓劙奫古噅冓38-40俣儼嫩冻偿县併姉劾圾夅圮伦冻偿县併凞傐唡姉劾嚖圽乒堭吅媧併妠子伦乒堭乺伡乒堭剨俗俣冻偿县併侷娼偃厛劙奫姉劾41-51吆塣宫兰剉佹專兖匙吾古嗽噶俣嫩儭冻偿县併厨劃嫭娇塣匙亃兔嚖册侨亀併凞仴囘堩儦俣唺娌儼嫩併姉劾俣夼吐媧唺娌儼嫩仅嫩堈劙奫古劈侷丹堩儦圜孳倪倕塛勱仫古夼吐媧唺娌儼嫩冻偿县併婥天婉垝娫内唂侵亼噅墉厸埠培古嗧夰堘剁丝冔嫭嫩実兔嫩兺俣仅嫩堈冻偿奯併婥天52-53塳劑关堩儦圜侉侨亀兔墩勬倰埛伦圼嚖俯姲奯剨俗偃壕古唺册儼嫩冻偿县54傪吮佹封噦嫩儭売場厨呒墉凞仴俣宧嘹儼嫩匌坤勜匿劙奫古儒哼孬厨僢剉古宧嘹儼嫩売場丹俣嗓劙奫古偃壕埠培古嗓嫩兺冻偿奯哖圤551.2.2儣唍儼嫩團匲傼動併姉劾劙嬪俣実儣儼嫩團匲傼動併姉劾亙嗉娫卯俋坃佮孯偹兔妠坜劈併傪俗宧场哲嗽姉劾亾儤俯圮俣厵圞嗧夰寷叨凗圮唺娌儼嫩嫩嘶寷叨併偃壕嫭厵圞嗧夰寷叨倪咻密威圮娫剖坳变墉密威娗勜堄噌傔儼伡坤凗冓偃傔儼佹凹冻偿乒堭團保併実儣儼嫩團匲傼動呤將力 56厩匨噮57嬶佳倍佹58偘啶孴佹59伦剖坳变嚖圽习婸剖坳变募喬偃呁剉去古実儣傔儼併團匲傼動呤寈儣偨悶丬厶婸嫕剖坳兔喬勸嗧墡寷叨刉垨古侉並圑嚞宇坤俣丁偃壕古実儣冏壖取僁侕3 奨傔儼噅噅媧喬勸侉並圑嚞宇坤併唝位唝刍丝冔埻孨娫凳刁剻奯亅婃剉去古侉並圑嚞宇坤唝凳僂刁剻丝冔噄圭併侉厨偃乓60嫭唺娌儼嫩嫩嘶寷叨倪咻嫀儣刕匣墎儣刕刉墎儣刕劬咈墎封噦嫩儭專兖姉劾尖僄勜厵唝嫩嘶刊吳佴仫 20圧刐墱儣儼嫩勞媅乒儏嬅併宫嗉奯丝冔兔乒俞姈宧併噄夯奯61塶励佹厶婸圈凹匌奠壟嫇厶婸夕媧佖媽併儼嫩場刉奠壟娫儼嫩嫩喤墉偃凹丣審宧剉古 19492000唝実儣儼嫩併團匲傼動4啜娂审佹厶婸実儣圈凹匌封噦嫩儭坤勜匿劉寉 GIS凿坜厶婸儼嫩嫩伡丁儼嫩夝俣宑嫩嘌俗偃壕古 19491990唝劝 40唝儼嫩團匲偃乓傼動埻孨62厩咄垎佹偃壕古噖儣 19502000唝儼嫩坃嫩咻凢兔亾嫩咻凢併場刉寷叨佴仫古噖儣厵唝傔儼嫩儭丝冔兔儼嫩亾嫩呁丝冔噄圭娫凳僂圈噅乒堭剸保坃儼咻凢嬭丼宥咻凢丁厸併丝冔堽63匣凿乖儣刕刉墎儣刕劬咈墎嫩儭專兖姉劾尖僄勜尤壎併坃嫩呁坃儼咻凢/丼宥咻凢兔亾嫩呁亾嫩咻凢/丼宥咻凢剌儼嫩偃墉倍凹宧儼兔凮儼場刉仫古 1900-1997唝実儣僂圈圷噅厵唝儼嫩坃嫩仁俗64傀久剽娫唺娌嫩儭場刉寷叨墉凞仴売場併偃壕古剉儣娫卯僂侉噅僂剸保併儼嫩寡卓兔儼嘶併丿侾埻孨65倪她戁佹厶婸僂圈圷封宝噅 1978-1994唝唺娌儼嫩坃嫩咻凢媠丼宥咻凢併坤勜俣丣審冔併儼嫩坃嫩呁劙奫古劬姢孮剜儶坤偃壕66伞塣妈俯妠子冞伦噅媧併剨俗劙奫姉劾佼媦剠佹习婸宁僒坳宇坤倕VWSI俣 2004唝儌侺圈併傔儼嫩儭劙奫姺傛刣乹丹俣傔儼偃厛奠壟劙奫堄噌67嬋姙佹习婸並億噳儈变倕刣乹剎垚圈傔儼匲刧偃乓寡卓68埩壈丬习婸 Z宇坤侷娼倪倕佴仫古儌壖圈嘼侻取刁併儼厏團匲偃乓儏呀凳唝刍丝冔埻孨 69囤夻和佹厶婸党圈1961-1991唝 153僁嗧夰嬯侔併宿嫕剖坳寷叨习婸傏劙兺併 Z宇丣倪倕俣伍刁夁刁嘼刁劙奫古儼厏佹凹併喯僩佴仫古党圈儼厏嫩儭併團匲偃乓儏呀70姧宍嚄佹僄勜内唂圈 1450-1949唝併嗧兹圞叨刊嫫习婸噅唍喬勸佹凹咽凋古噖圈 10僁噅併儼嫩併團刧妍叩埠培古噖圈劝 500a娫卯儼嫩併團匲偃乓儏呀71垓冏佹厶婸冏侉噅 17僁嬯侔併 1951-1999唝 6-8嫕併剖坳坤勜习婸 Z宇坤侷娼倪倕噢侷古傎噅媧併姈宧厏唝兔姈宧儼唝习婸 EOF倪倕俣傎噅媧 49a併 Z宇坤亖嬪匇古偃劃佴仫古冏侉噅夁刁儼厏嫩儭併匲刧偃乓埻孨72冫交婢偃壕古亙剎吐媧劝 40a娫卯儼厏嫩儭併娒奄場刉埻孨凳婥天宇仫傎吐媧儼厏嫩儭併姖丝噄圭73兕垝卷娫冏唂侉噅 41僁位並嬯侔 1951-1990唝併宿嫕剖坳寷叨习婸僂團保併剖坳募喬偃呁兔厖刉喤呁偃壕古劝 40a卯剖坳丝冔埻孨兔儼厏唝併丝冔噄圭74媿可习噌佹凹圤变冔倪倕娫唝墉團刧佖墚娫嫩噅但夼墉凞娗勜偃壕古囘僮宐哆儣團嗉囋壖儼嫩劬儦变冔併圞叨併喤4 伡剸保兔宫嗉75婾娫囘匦孹媅儁儼嫩團匲傼動併姉劾亾儤併姉劾噅媧密威圮噖儣倣墆凗圈凹倣墆姉劾坤勜但俯坤圮封噦嫩儭場刉寷叨嗧夰嬯併嗧夰寷叨兔厵圞傔儼團刧刊吳佹倇凞媏姺傛婥央偃壕噅媧儼嫩團匲傼動併侾埏丝冔冞兣团姉劾倪倕密威圮場刉妠倪咻俯坤墉 EOF倪倕婉伞姉劾凞媏娫囘噺圝凞媏 MODIS姺傛婥央坤勜习婸宁僒坳宇坤倕俣党圈奪埋圷併儼嘶匲刧傼動侾埏丝冔劙奫偃壕1.3 姃劸哬丝凭吨外墣妚噌党圈奪埋圷尤墉姉劾噅婉墉傎圷儴卣古囆噅嘽吃喬嫀嚨宥侉奩侉咇凳塂噫厛奨嗚噖婉坳寷嫇俛噜剖坳嫭團刧兔匲刧囘偃乓乒勸嫛佭宑坳塂寷嫇尖兖堘剁剰亅厵圞囘儼嫩倏圃喤呁剰傪圮侕奨併儼嫩噅5凞媏奪埋圷 2003-2008唝 3-9嫕併 MODIS姺傛婥央剉去乒堭團夝併堽央坤勜匿丹劂兖 GIS兔 RS堽央仹厨嚘剁俣乒堭團夝併 MODIS姺傛婥央劙奫夝儁仹厨佴仫奪埋圷乒堭團夝併儼嘶匲刧傼動偃乓堽僄勜儒哼兔姖婆併倪倕剳圥奪埋圷儼嘶嫭團刧媠匲刧囘侾埏丝冔併儏呀偃壕古奪埋圷併封噦劯寷叨困准劬分儼嫩嫩嘶嗧兹佹場刉寷叨僄勜奪埋圷併儼嘶團匲傼動侾埏丝冔併儏呀嫭俣丁偃壕封噦剖坳兔噶働傔媷堘剁壿儼嘶團匲傼動侾埏丝冔併嗽堄壿伦封噦婉垝兔噶墉婉垝取僁倪咻偃壕婔嗟奪埋圷儼嘶團匲傼動侾埏丝冔併噊侾县孽兺孜俣僂噅儼嘶丝冔併嫀婉劙奫大壵偃壕尛兺孜俣奪埋圷僂噅媧併埻孨堄仫古僂噅媧倭嫩券嫩併俣乶呒墣姉劾吮夜嚒堽 1.1垾圥5 奪埋圷儼嘶丝冔併儏呀奪埋圷乒堭團夝併奪埋圷乒堭團夝儼嘶匲刧傼動偃乓堽MODIS婥央封噦剖坳堘剁壿儼嘶併丝冔剖坳場刉寷叨俣丁偃壕儼嘶侾埏丝冔噊侾凟宕偃壕封噦劯寷叨封噦农劲噶墉婉垝困准劬分場刉寷叨奪埋圷倭嫩券嫩併俣乶劂呒堽 1.1呒墣姉劾吮夜堽6 2姃劸嘿傊卍2.1 寻噠堒刻2.1.1侉厨墚宒奪埋圷侉仹党圈唂乖城奫囆呭唂保侺含冏喬嫀壖乖丘嫈墚媏墒 36503747侺劬 11352 11549孽刧侺乖娫墟嫞党墉劈媠囆侺圈夝塼壖乖娗城奫囆媠囆壖圈右剴唂乖媠儱佗圷夝叅乖偃丩媠圖刕寜圷兩坳圷剴噫壺噅侺壖尛亙仹嫏 185僔厪唂尛半仹嫏 80僔厪尉咻凢 12486喬倪僔厪圷孯偹垾嫭侉募圖刕寜圷 106僔厪募圾俋动 396僔厪堽 2.1墉奪埋圷侉厨墚宒圥娹堽堽 2.1奪埋圷侉厨墚宒圥娹堽2.1.2嗧兹奪埋圷坛媏墡佋傔儼刁偔嗧兹噅但吴奯丁剰夑寇1嫕勸墡墉-3.17嫕勸墡墉 26.5唝勸墡墉 12.8唝剖坳变嫏墉 500-600mm團刧囘偃乓乒勸嫛密威凲実嫭 6嫕壿妧宐 8嫕壿妧媟刁剖坳变嬭噖唝剖坳尉变併 80%尠媇仪坯嗉嫭 10嫕実壿妧室坯嗉嫭 4嫕囘実妧噖唝墽坯嗉墉 200d尠媇嚀孆剰偎傆唝嚀孆墉 2665.4h2.1.3侉圭侉咇奪埋圷侉仹城奫囆呭媠冏喬嫀剜凈仹侉圭尌夯壖傪侺佾亿剸堀寡侉咇厛奨偃墉囆噅嘽吃喬嫀囆噅嘽吃僱囷喱俇侉並嗟偩剰但優娒傪媏 100咬咻凢墉 567.35塳哩嬭噖圷併 31.97勷但乖偃墉喬嫀優娒佾媏 100咬尉咻凢墉 984.63塳哩嬭噖圷併 52.73塞侉喬嫀偃乓嫭囆含喬嫀媠仚凢喬嫀孽刧併剜剴7 侉佋咻凢墉 285.89塳哩嬭噖圷併 塂侉寷嫇奪埋圷僛媅 7僁塂傤12僁塂厛25僁姀厛80僁塂坛173僁塂宥奪埋圷塂噫厛奨堽嚒堽 2.2垾圥尅噫塂密威偃乓嫭壖乖囆侉嘽吃噅併優傪媏 800 1000m併囆侉咻凢 44.6塳哩圮宧威併嚶可塂噫兔唺娌塂噫劬分刞宄剰但兝塂密威偃乓媏優 800 1000m宐 30 40m孽刧併儌但侉佋咻凢 64.05塳哩圱兖唺尤壎併圃亙娉圱兖喪儤嫹奮在佹儤坞尤壎併圃亙关嬤塂密威偃乓嫭嚼党圷兔奪埋夕併囆傥喱侉咻凢 2029哩塂堈垩噦典作圮坳塂吐圎剰姈宧奝凢塂密威偃乓嫭党吐党伅取乷咻凢 15.07塳哩宙侉剰嘮僆奯兊娢宥俗儌娢僆嗉亙偔嚼塂密威偃乓嫭党吐併党呵埕咻凢 45.33塳哩宙侉伩媅凟宙儳变佾作圮嫭嬉刖坳倷併堘剁壿娉匦亾墉唺可哴婸侉圖宙塂密威偃乓嫭壖乖囆侉嘽吃噅併圖宙侉噅咻凢 15.76塳哩宙侉喚嚹儳厴圖俯坳塂吐圎姈宧孄嬆塂偃乓媏凢坳塞侉咻凢 5818哩匦婸尤唺堒可侉哴亖作圮丑妆堩儦傏叕亦塂偃乓嫭仚凢坳塞侉咻凢 978.16塳哩奯寡叕兊圱宥奯儌嚹剋兡塂偃乓嫭囆含喬嫀塞侉兰仚凢囑嫈塞侉咻凢 6.11塳哩坳佯塂咻凢 900哩娫宥宁坳佯墉密娉匦娫宥宁夼呪咳再佹儼尤姇塂叼奢偃乓媏佾塞夝俣傪嗟併侉倪咻凢墉 4.77塳哩乒厶媏宁壎併圃亙堽 2.2奪埋圷塂噫厛奨堽可侉乴侉墓厶婸侉偃乓媏嚼党圷奪埋夕唍嘽夕兔史亼夕併壖乖唺婸侉偃乓嫭喬嫀侉噅奪埋圷塂侉厶婸厛奨堽嚒堽 2.3垾圥8 堽 2.3奪埋圷塂侉厶婸夓寡堽2.2 囪净堒刻2.2.1奫孯噅冓奪埋圷壺取圷偃丩墉嚼党圷唂僕圷15夕偃丩墉嘲党夕奪埋夕噹夕唱力夕唍嘽夕儌將夕史壖夕塿夕史亼夕喬夤夕唂兔夕奝党夕勝吰夕吘姹夕夤夕兔取僁噅偃丩墉嘒侺噅嘒壖噅吆塣冞囱媅奪埋劬分匇倏噅媠但乳寜儅厨噅姉劾娫奪埋圷併 DEM坤勜墉凞仴奪埋圷冓偃墉嚨乖偃偃丩墉囆侉嘽吃噅囆含喬嫀噅兔佾喬嫀噅嗓実佾喬嫀噅娫惔姭党墉劈偃墉佾喬嫀壖乷兔佾喬嫀侺乷佾喬嫀壖乷卣唱力夕夤夕吘姹夕噹夕兔唂兔夕佾喬嫀侺乷卣奝党夕勝吰夕喬夤夕唂僕圷儌將夕塿夕嘲党夕史壖夕偃噅堽嚒堽 2.4垾圥堽 2.4奪埋圷偃噅堽9 2.2.2夕媧劬分剹宐佮 2008唝奪埋圷尉噶匷 693.34塳噶嗓実唺伸噶匷 593.02塳噶嬭尉噶匷併 85.53%唺伸噶匷嬭勷俣婺圭唺娌封噦堘剁婺嫐密威宥宁夼呪媦咬咳再再圃僱尀但俈佹发媂尤壎圮噖儣併发咳凞侉唺娌圃云喬墧倏嬪2008唝发圚丼宥咻凢墉 689569僔嘷发圚尉云变墉 3845617俥奪埋圷圮刀唂宧威併実奟亼圷圮娫咏姇冔働寝宕嫿奝奨剉乛奝唏嫇嗪亪働娌墉密併奝奨働娌凞侉剹宐 2008唝侈噖圷働娌嗢娌尉坤墉 7062僁働娌尉云宄墉 2057.8娱媽嬭働唺娌尉云宄併 92.8%働娌嬉刖宄墉 528.1娱媽嬭 GDP併 53.4%丁例娒例嚨云娌嬭 GDP併丁宧偃丩傪 38.2%兔 25.7%嫭噖圷儣哆劬分実嬭密佭侉墚奪埋圷吺媃寷嫇偎傆僮処哐國宩俯圮凮媅倏嬪嗽堿併吺媃亼圷劝击唝卯噖圷併吺媃劯侔云圃古叕兊併困准劬分奂娽作圮吺媃寷嫇但乖偃冞仹媏仪凹匇倏剸保媅奄埻嚴吺媃寷嫇併婺圭冞墓寗墉劬分婺圭吺媃娌併倏嬪嗾县兣但垫寲劬分併卉垞倏嬪奪埋圷噶勸伒圼嚖宿唝堄傪剹守佮 2008唝奪埋圷噶勸伒圼嚖墉 4140媽嗓実嘲党夕尛傪墉 5589媽儌將夕尛佾墉 2900媽2.2.3剜堩堩奠奪埋圷併侉厨农劲婺嫐剜堩倏佂堩妯卉剾奪分奪兔奪亙僔吮儊仼侺壖动儌动勄堝吮动囷傪垞僔吮儊仼唂奩亾古僔吮堝吮剜乽併剜堩嫞坋塹奪埋凟亖娨劬匇圣圠婸剜堩东厶匪凚嫞坋圕偃倪东2.3 儶嫣寛卍奪埋圷唺娌圃云坃儼嫩坳嫩偔嫩丸仛嫩佹俯宥封噦嫩儭併婥天嗓実娫儼嫩墉密1996-2008唝刧噖圷唝喬勸儼嫩坃嫩咻凢墉 88651僔嘷嫏嬭尉坃嫩咻凢併35%亾嫩咻凢墉 50671僔嘷嫏嬭尉亾嫩咻凢併 32%堽 2.5堽 2.6垾圥堽 2.5奪埋圷僂厛嫩儭坃嫩咻凢堽堽 2.6奪埋圷僂厛嫩儭亾嫩咻凢堽10 堽 2.7並圥併圮 1996-2008唝奪埋圷儼嫩亾嫩咻凢丝冔噄圭伦堽実匦孹劝圕嚨唝卯奪埋圷儼嫩喤倏圮唺娌倏嬪併密威宕嫏婉垝作 2002唝嗟儼嫩併亾嫩咻凢但堈亿壿剖噄圭孓圮婉墉劝唝卯俣侉並坳兔侉壿坳亡习圠佴媅奂儉傓呁囘圆僄勜2003-2008唝党圈坳寷嫇僔匦孹奪埋圷嘀乺侉壿坳墚兔囷乺侉壿坳墚勸亿壿剖噄圭堽 2.8並圥併圮 2002-2008唝奪埋圷囷乺侉壿坳墚媠媅奂儉傓呁併丝冔噄圭伦堽実匦娫匑仫媅奂儉傓呁亿囘圆噄圭倇囷乺侉壿坳墚周囷嬅媠嗓夝倡亿壿剖噄圭堽 2.7 1996-2008唝奪埋圷儼嫩亾嫩咻凢丝冔堽堽 2.8 2003-2008唝奪埋圷媅奂儉傓呁媠囷乺侉壿坳墚儁売堽11 3儶嘰姴傕初乳凭嗍侸埉丗冎3.1 姴傕初乳儶嘰佯値倏凭哐奢姺傛刣乹儼嘶併倪倕媅兣俯伦宁偽傒併剨俗卯剓圱兖傪宁偽傒侉噅刣乹併倪倕媅儒娒冔宁宇坤NDVI伞倪倕垾妃威併寷叨剰团嚈娮圼凲婛婸刵佖宀億作圮兣唄婸場娒併丣審刣乹但倣墆併儼嘶宁僒坳宇坤倕VSWI匙吾古 NDVI娍咻兔侉並墡俗堄傪古刣乹努俗哲嗽圮亘婸併倪倕孽娒堘剁宁宇坤VCI圱兖刣乹唝俗刧但仔俗兔噅媧凹併傔儼仁俗堘剁宁墡俗宇坤VTCI匦婸媏圜團儼嘶刣乹勞媅團匲寕娒奯匦娫剰兊併刣乹埻侷團嗉唍噅媧併夝俣傔儼仁俗乒圱媏囆噅佾 NDVI佾 LST侉噅併儼嘶刣乹募喬宁宇坤AVI匦娫丁剰努噢媅奂併刣乹但倣墆亙團刧併姈宧傔儼倇嘟圱兖刣乹囆噅作圮墉古堄傪刣乹努俗垾妃併寷叨剰俯尤壎噜坳宇坤倕CWSI刣乹丁剰努噢圱兖但咻凢併喬嫀侉噅宁偽傒呁傪併刁剻作圮乒圱兖夼嗧兹亅婃但併噅媧宁 -墡俗-坳偃專兖宇坤VTWSI圱兖刣乹傔儼傔儼侉噅宁偽傒噅宇坤哖奨倕GVMI圱婸媏乒堭宁偽傒併厛奨作圮嫭宁偽傒壞坏併侉噅宁坳倡姖併劂儤媅兣但併喚亅76圱兖呚侉凗子佾宁偽傒侉噅併刣乹倪倕媅叚墡倡姖塂噫圑俗倕伞倪倕匦娫卉垞圜團併刣乹但咻凢併儼嘶侾埏作圮努俗乒傪噳儈变倕 P圱兖媏喬埜呚侉併儼嘶刣乹堘剁墡俗宇坤TCI圱兖刣乹唝俗刧但仔俗娫凳噅媧凹併傔儼仁俗76圱兖乖偃宁偽傒侉噅併刣乹哖奨媅劬侕坰乺哖奨妃威坋嚖併乥坤剰俯夛宕古嗓婛婸奯噅媧孥倏嚫哖奨圱兖刣乹但咻凢倴勸嫛吴咻堘剁壿傔儼傔儼噅媧併乒堭宁厛奨兔呚侉凑兖噅76圱兖噹娹宁偽傒仁俗併刣乹哖奨媅叅妓刣乹侉並塂噫儳坳变姺傛哖奨匦娫但倣墆叅妓刣乹塂噫儳坳变作伞倪倕习婸厨呒劬姢併倪圤噢侷乥坤勞媅密億娹圝墁丿姺傛倕乒坃儋孆併夛宕努噢俗剰傪作圮墁丿倡姖塂噫坳偃哖圤冞乒亾坓76姉劾僄勜僂宥姺傛刣乹儼嘶併倪倕凳哖奨併埻侔圱娢刣乹併噅媧匙吾奪埋圷密威宥宁併唺尤壎墉侻夼呪兔夁媦咬侻夼呪伦倢嘭佮亾坓併團刧墉嚨嫕佮吒嫕囘妧夁媦咬併圃亙嗉墉吒嫕実妧佮勄嫕壿妧伞團刧保唍宁偽傒俗剰傪併圜刍嘶卓妚嬄宁僒坳宇坤尤墉刣乹儼嘶併倪倕宁僒坳宇坤併壎厨娹娼圮嫭堭佹堘剁壿塂噫坳偃仙尐嬅宁壎圃亙寡埏兊12 儒娒冔宁宇坤傪孥埽尤婸嘌儃乺並咻墡俗佾佢尤壎坃儼團儒娒冔宁宇坤券夼儃乺儁与乖偃嗧匴孥埽变券团儃乺墡俗囘圆77嗓侷娼圤墉VSWI=NDVI/Ts僔圤13.2 坞勖卩嫁兎仳厢姉劾垾圠婸併姺傛婥央坤勜墉婾咕儣兄匲兄堏動塹嬯 /api/u515127/u515368/u515406/u515421/u515529/u516066/u516091/u516110/u516150/u516307/u517021/u517029堄僒併 MOD11A2坤勜兔 MOD13A2坤勜團刧倣墆墉2003-2008唝3-9嫕劬俗倣墆墉113E116E墒俗倣墆墉36N38N嗓実MOD13A2圮偃丟呁墉 250m250m16堏兖亾併宁宇坤云喦僛 84嗉MOD11A2圮偃丟呁墉1km1km8堏兖