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Worldwide Paper Company案例分析:国际纸业公司 (WPC)Blue Ridge Mill is the subordinate factory of Worldwide Paper Company. In December 2006, Bob Prescott, the controller for the Blue Ridge Mill, was considering the addition of a new on-site Longwood wood yard. The addition would have two primary benefits: to eliminate the need to purchase short wood from an outside supplier and create the opportunity to sell short wood on the open market as a new market for Worldwide Paper Company. Now the new wood yard would allow the Blue Ridge Mill not only to reduce its operating costs but also to increase its revenue. The proposed wood yard utilized new technology that allowed tree length logs, called long wood, to be processed directly, whereas the current process required short wood, which had to be purchased from another mill. This nearby mill, owned by a competitor, had excess capacity that allowed it to produce more short wood than it needed for its own pulp production. The excess was sold to several different mills, including the Blue Ridge Mill. Thus adding the new long wood equipment would mean thatPrescott would no longer need to use the Shenandoah Mill as a short wood supplier and that the Blue Ridge Mill would instead compete with the Shenandoah Mill by selling on the short wood market. The question for Prescott was whether these expected benefits were enough to justify the $18 million capital outlay plus the incremental investments in working capital over the six year life of the investment.Construction would start within a few months, and the investment outlay would be spent over two calendar years: $16 million in 2007 and the remaining $2 million in 2008. When the new wood yard began operating in 2008, it would significantly reduce the operating costs of the mill. These operating saving would come mostly from the difference the cost of producing short wood on-site versus buying it on the open market and were estimated to be $2.0 million for 2008 and $3.5 million per year thereafter. Prescott also planned on taking advantage of the excess production capacity afforded by the new facility by selling short wood on the open market as soon as possible. For 2008, he expected to show revenues of approximately $4 million, as the facility came on line and began to bread into the new market. He expected short wood sales to reach $10 million in 2009 and continue as the $10 million level through 2013. Prescott estimated that the cost of goods sold (before including depreciation expenses) would be 75% of revenues, and SG&A would be 5% of revenues.In addition to the capital outlay of $18 million, the increased revenue would necessitate higher levels of inventories and accounts receivable. The total working capital would average 10% of annual revenues. Therefore the amount of working capital investment each year would equal 10% of incremental sales of the year. At the end of the life of the equipment, in 2013, all the net working capital on the books would be recoverable at cost, whereas only 10% or $1.8 million (before taxes) of the capital investment would be recoverable. Taxes would be paid at 40% rate, and depreciation was calculated on a straight-line basis over the six-year life, with zero salvage. WPC accountants had told Prescott that depreciation charges could not begin until 2008, when all the $1.8 million had been spent, and the machinery was in service. Prescott was conflicted about how to treat inflation in his analysis. He was reasonably confident that his estimate of revenue and costs for 2008 and 2009 reflected the dollar amounts that WPC would most likely experience during those years. The capital outlays were mostly contracted costs and therefore were highly reliable estimates.WPC had a company policy to use 15% as the hurdle is for such investment opportunities. the hurdle rate was based on a study of the companys cost of capital conducted 10 years ago, Prescott was uneasy using as outdated figure for a discount rate, particularly because it was computed when30-year Treasury bonds were yielding 10%, whereas currently they were yielding less than 5% (Exhibit 1).Exhibit 1:Blue Ridge Mill Cost-of-Capital InformationInterest Rates: December 2006Bank loan rates (LIBOR)Market risk premium1-year5.38%Historical average6%Government bondscorporate bonds (10-year maturities)1-year4.96%Aaa5.37%5-year4.57%Aa5.53%10-year4.60%A5.78%30-year4.73%Baa6.35%Worldwide Paper Financial DataBalance-sheet accounts ($ millions)Bank loan payable (LIBOR +1%)500Long-term debt2500Common equity500Retained earnings2000Per-share dataShares outstanding (millions)500Book value per share$ 5.00Recent market value per share$ 24.00OtherBond ratingABeta1.10rate of income tax40%Questions1. Please identify the relevant cash flow for the firm (WPC) to be able to make the investment decision. Please also include the initial outlay (investment) (for 2007). Itemize the cash flows for each of the six years (2008 through 2013) of the investment in detail. 2. Calculate WPCs WACC to be used to analyze the cash flows and make clear all of your assumptions and reasons to choose the number that you did in calculating WACC. 3. Calculate the NPV, IRR for the investment.2. Cost of Equity: RE=KRF+ (KM-KRF)*Beta Beta=1.1, KRF=4.6% (Government bonds 10-year)Risk premium = 6.0% RE=4.6% + (6.0%)*1.1 = 11.2%Costof Debt: RD = Bank Loan Payable + Long Term Debt = $ 500 + $ 2500= $ 3000 RD = (500/3000) * (5.38% + 1%) + (2500/3000) * (5.78%) = 5.88% RD *(1-Tax) =5.88% (1-40%)=3.528%Equity = Current Market Share Price x Shares Outstanding =$ 24 x 500m = $ 12000mDebt = Bank Loan Payable + Long Term Debt = 500m + 2500m = $ 3000mE+D = $ 12000 + $ 3000 = $ 15000E/V= 12000/15000 =80%D/V= 30

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