我国电动汽车.doc

本文对电动汽车发展的历史、特点、现状以及技术成本效益进行了系统的阐述和分析，并结合中国电动汽车发展情况进行了战略分析，围绕电动汽车发展各个环节提出了促进中国发展电动汽车的政策体系。希望能为关注中国电动汽车行业的各界人士有所借鉴。 在分析电动汽车国内外发展现状的基础上，首先，运用系统分析的方法，对电动汽车行业发展的总体状况和自身运行的各个方面逐项剖析。 然后利用汽车生产的成本价格模型分析了电动汽车的成本构成，以及影响电动汽车推广因素的分析。通过与传统汽车生产、销售以及使用方面对比，比较细致地分析了动力电池的成本对电动汽车生产与销售的影响，并提出了解决途径。 接着重点分析了中国电动汽车直接面对的国内外汽车发展的大环境，采用回归分析方法预测了我国汽车保有量的发展数量，提出了电动汽车行业今后可选的发展战略，以及可持续发展的运作机制。运用简单外推方法对行业未来的发展规模进行了预测。 最后结合电动汽车研发、生产、销售、购买、使用和回收等各个环节，提出了我国发展电动汽车的相关政策体系。汽车燃油税作为普及汽车消费的重要推动因素，本文在最后也通过分析燃油价格弹性特性以及燃油税对汽车消费倾向的影响的基础上，提出了通过采取征收燃油税促进电动汽车普及的措施。 作 者： 程魁玉 学科专业： 工商管理 授予学位： 硕士 学位授予单位： 天津大学 导师姓名： 刘子先 学位年度： 2004 研究方向： 语 种： chi 分类号： U469.72 F407.471 关键词： 电动汽车成本构成动力电池回归分析规模预测燃油税 机标分类号： U47 U46 机标关键词： 电动汽车行业发展汽车发展汽车行业汽车生产燃油税中国政策体系汽车消费成本销售汽车保有量可持续发展分析的方法战略分析运作机制运用预测消费倾向系统 As the deVelopment of Chillese m卸ufactu血g industry and peace emerges，the powerfulbehaVior of the economy of ollr country spurs the whole world development，Pull the price ofpetroleum and a series of raw maleIials l。o at me same IimeThe global oil price soars now，o凰etting lhe gmwlh rate of the economy of our countryFom the negalive e船cl on thedeVelopmenl of a 10t of trades in our countryIt is one of longterm restrictive factors to tlleeconomy deVelopment of our couny it will1so restfict our countrys auComobne iIldusCry，thesoaring of the price。f the iIltemational petroleum must cause the rise of nle domestic on price；Incfease the burden of auIomobne consumerS，sIiU more our country has a laIge population，withthe deVelopment of ecoomy，lhe automob沁emers the colllmon pers0sfamilyour countrysgreat demand to the petmleum will be di彤cult Io imagineAtthe same tiIlle another questiothatcan。t be ignored is that the intemalcombustion engine眦tomobnes poplllarization in our countrywill discha唱e out a 1a唱e number of automobile tail gas，will cause great polludon to也eaIuralenViron珊et of ouf couD虹yIl】ouf tillles fccommendig s哪tajnab】e deVe】opmenwe shou】d payatIention lo people卸datural h珈on弘So our country wm develop the elecmc auIomobile nowthough Ihe electric automobne is sIill the fresh lhings Io a loc of people，but i坞developmentprospect wm be brightit wm haVe Feat meanmg lo the impr0Vement of enViTonment andalleviatiIlg enonous pressure of our countrys ee唱yOthe other had，our colln田slradjtional auIomobilc industry of intemal-combuscion engine is f10urishing seemindy，Ihe fact islhat we haVe not ind。pedenproperty right a11d researchdeVelopment it is totally con仃0ued bythe foreign enterpriseThe automobne iduslry not merely plays a iInponant pr。motiI培faclor tothe econornic development to a countryI and also concems abom auntrys long-teml safetyIfmings go 0n like tllis，扛wiU be unfaVorabIe to也e ecooIllic devel叩met of our count孤dhinder the process of pe们e eme咖g 0f our c叫ntry especiallyso the deVel叩ment of ourc叫ntrys electric automobnc h“e 呻ortant meanigs to 也e politics， economy and theenVironmentThis text has explained and chatted the meaning that our country develops theekc啊c auIomobile at盘sI，from the ene唱y poinl of View，I pr0Ve the necessity of deVelopjng th。electric automobne on 【he environmenI and indus【rys overall arrangement And then hasintroduced me cu玎et situations of research ad deVelOpment and idusmalization of thedeVel叩ed coun时姐d our c叫n时in也e field of electric automobne，poinl 0ut djsadValltage锄dadVantage thaI our c。untry exists compared with the developed counIry in this respecl；nusproved feasjbility that otlr country develop the electfic automobneThen from researchdevelopand sciencetechnology point of view，pul forward tlle questions thaI ourunlr)r should paidaltention IOPropose fofming lhc idusmalization b髂e including univerSil弘scienn丘c research iIIsliluIlons，enlerprise as ba洲mnt蛆d bascd蚰“s，iIIduding enterprise，suppUer，uIlive墙ny，nsearch institutioniIe珊ediary，cIcand producc tllc network Ihat con吐dcd cach olher infIain arca th蚶ugIl the added Value，promote the relevant蛐bject of elcc哺c卸tomobnc lo gather and fo姗a indus时g