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精品文档 Answers Fundamentals Level Skills Module, Paper F9Financial ManagementDecember 2014 AnswersSection A1AMonetary value of return = $310 x 1197 = $371Current share price = $371 $021 = $350234BCAThe hedge needs to create a peso liability to match the 500,000 peso future income.6-month peso borrowing rate = 8/2 = 4%6-month dollar deposit rate = 3/2 = 15%Dollar value of money market hedge = 500,000 x 1015/(104 x 15) = $32,532 or $32,500567BCCTotal cash flow($)Joint probabilityEV of cash flow($)36,00014,00032,00010,00016,000(6,000)0112500375045000150001875006254,05052514,4001,5003,000(375)23,100Less initial investmentEV of the NPV(12,000)11,10089BAMV = (7 x 5033) + (105 x 0547) = $9267101112DDA17 13BInventory = 15,000,000 x 60/360 = $2,500,000Trade receivables = 27,000,000 x 50/360 = $3,750,000Trade payables = 15,000,000 x 45/360 = $1,875,000Net investment required = 2,500,000 + 3,750,000 1,875,000 = $4,375,00014151617CDCAGearing = (4,000 x 105) + 6,200 + (2,000 x 08)/(8,000 x 2 x 5) = 12,000/80,000 = 15%1819BDDividend growth rate = 100 x (336/32) 1) = 5%MV = 336/(013 005) = $42020DSection B1(a)Cash balances at the end of each month:DecemberJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilSales (units)1,2001,2501,3001,4001,500Selling price ($/unit)800800840840Sales ($000)9601,0001,0921,176Month receivedJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilDecember1,2502,500500JanuaryJanuary1,3002,600520FebruaryFebruary1,4002,800560March1,5003,000600Production (units)Raw materials (units)Raw materials ($000)Month payableMarchAprilDecember1,250125January1,300130February1,400140March1,500150Production (units)Variable costs ($000)Month payableDecemberJanuaryFebruaryMarch18 Monthly cash balances:January$000960February$0001,000March$0001,092ReceivablesLoan300Income:9601,0001,392Raw materialsVariable costsMachine500130520140560150400Expenditure:6306601,110Opening balanceNet cash flow40370710330340282Closing balance370710992(b)Calculation of current ratioInventory at the end of the three-month period:This will be the finished goods for April sales of 1,500 units, which can be assumed to be valued at the cost of productionof $400 per unit for materials and $100 per unit for variable overheads and wages. The value of the inventory is therefore1,500 x 500 = $750,000.Trade receivables at the end of the three-month period:These will be March sales of 1,400 x 800 x 105 = $1,176,000.Cash balance at the end of the three-month period:This was forecast to be $992,000.Trade payables at the end of the three-month period:This will be the cash owed for March raw materials of $600,000.Forecast current ratioAssuming that current liabilities consists of trade payables alone:Current ratio = (750,000 + 1,176,000 + 992,000)/600,000 = 49 times(c)(a)If Flit Co generates a short-term cash surplus, the cash may be needed again in the near future. In order to increaseprofitability, the short-term cash surplus could be invested, for example, in a bank deposit, however, the investment selectedwould normally not be expected to carry any risk of capital loss. Shares traded on a large stock market carry a significant riskof capital loss, and hence are rarely suitable for investing short-term cash surpluses.2Average historical share price growth = 100 x (1090/915)1/3 1) = 6% per yearFuture share price after 7 years = 1090 x 1067 = $1639 per shareConversion value of each loan note = 1639 x 8 = $13112The investor is faced with the choice of redeeming the loan notes at their nominal value of $100 or converting them intoshares worth $13112. The rational choice is to maximise wealth by taking the conversion option.Market value of each loan note = (8 x 5033) + (13112 x 0547) = 4026 + 7172 = $11198(b)The average price/earnings ratio (P/E ratio) of listed companies similar to Par Co has been recently reported to be 12 timesand the most recent earnings per share (EPS) of Par Co is 62 cents per share. The share price calculated using the P/E ratiomethod is therefore $744 (12 x 62/100).One problem with using the P/E ratio valuation method relates to the selection of a suitable P/E ratio. The P/E ratio used hereis an average P/E ratio of similar companies and Par Co is clearly not an average company, as evidenced by its year-end shareprice being $1090 per share, some 47% more than the calculated value of $744. The business risk and financial risk ofPar Co will not be exactly the same as the business risk and financial risk of the similar companies, for example, because ofdiversification of business operations and differing capital structures. Par Co may be a market leader or a rising star comparedto similar companies.The P/E ratio method is more suited to valuing the shares of unlisted companies, rather than listed companies such asPar Co. If the stock exchange on which its shares are traded is efficient, which is likely as it is a large stock exchange, theshare price of Par Co will be a fair reflection of its value and its prospects. As a listed company, Par Co would in fact contributeto the average P/E ratio for its business sector, used in valuing similar unlisted companies.19 Looking at the P/E ratio of Par Co, it can be seen that this is not constant, but has increased each year for four years, from143 times in 2011 to 176 times in 2014. This raises questions about using a P/E ratio based on historical information asa way of valuing future activity.Ideally, the P/E ratio method should use forecast maintainable earnings, but the calculated value of $744 has used thehistorical EPS of 2014. As this was the lowest EPS over the four years, forecasting future maintainable earnings may be aproblem here.WorkingsYear201164915143274520126898814529642013701049150314720146210901763270Earnings per share (cents)Year-end share price ($)P/E ratio (times)Value of Par Co ($m)(Note: It is assumed that the number of ordinary shares has remained constant)3(a)The current dollar value of the future euro receipt =1,200,000/42080 = $285,171If a forward contract is taken out, PZK Co can lock into the six-month forward exchange rate of 42606 euros per dollar.Future dollar value using the forward contract =1,200,000/42606 = $281,651Loss using the forward contract = 285,171 281,651 = $3,520If PZK Co chooses not to hedge the future euro receipt, it will be able to exchange the euros for dollars at the future spotexchange rate prevailing when the payment is made. This future spot exchange rate may give a better or worse dollar valuethan using the six-month forward exchange rate. At the current time, PZK Co may prefer the certainty offered by the forwardexchange contract to the uncertainty of leaving the future euro receipt unhedged. In addition, the forward exchange rate is anunbiased estimator of the future spot exchange rate.(b)(c)The implied interest rate in the foreign country can be calculated using interest rate parity.From the formulae sheet, F0 = S0 x (1 + ic)/(1 + ib)Hence 43132 = 42080 x (1 + ic)/104Rearranging, (1 + ic) = 43132 x 104/42080 = 1066The implied annual interest rate in the foreign country is 66%.One of the simplest ways for PZK Co to avoiding exchange rate risk is to invoice in its home currency, which passes theexchange rate risk on to the foreign customer, who must effectively find the dollars with which to make the payment.This strategy may not be commercially viable, however, since the companys foreign customers will not want to take on theexchange rate risk. They will instead transfer their business to those competitors of PZK Co who invoice in the foreign currencyand who therefore shoulder the exchange rate risk.If PZK Co is concerned about exchange rate risk, it will need to consider other hedging methods. For example, if the companyregularly receives receipts and makes payments in euros, it could open a bank account denominated in euros.20 4(a)Revised draft evaluation of investment proposal12345$0002,475(1,097)$0002,714(1,323)$0004,413(2,084)$0004,775(2,370)$000Sales revenueVariable costsFixed costs(155)(159)(164)(169)Cash flow before taxTA depreciation1,2231,2322,1652,236(450)(338)(253)(759)Taxable profitTaxation7738941,9121,477(170)(197)(421)(325)773After-tax profitTA depreciation7241,7151,056(325)450338253759(325)After-tax cash flowDiscount at 12%1,2231,0621,9681,81508930797071206360567Present values1,0928461,4011,154(184)$000Present value of cash inflowsCost of machine4,309(1,800)NPV2,509The revised draft evaluation of the investment proposal indicates that a positive net present value is expected to be produced.The investment project is therefore financially acceptable and accepting it will increase the wealth of the shareholders ofUftin Co.WorkingsYear1234Sales (units/year)Selling price ($/unit)Inflated by 42% ($/unit)Sales revenue ($000/year)95,0002526052,475100,0002527142,714150,0002629424,413150,0002731834,775Year1234Sales (units/year)Variable costs ($/unit)Inflated by 5% ($/unit)Variable costs ($000/year)95,0001111551,097100,0001213231,323150,0001213892,084150,0001315802,370Year1234Fixed costs ($000/year)Inflated by 3% ($000/year)150155150159150164150169Year1234Tax allowable depreciation ($/year)Tax benefits at 22% ($/year)450,00099,000337,50074,250253,12555,688759,375167,063Alternative calculation of after-tax cash flow12345$0002,475(1,097)$0002,714(1,323)$0004,413(2,084)$0004,775(2,370)$000Sales revenueVariable costsFixed costs(155)(159)(164)(169)Cash flow before taxTax liability1,2231,232(269)2,165(271)2,236(476)(492)TAD tax benefits997456167After-tax cash flow1,2231,0621,9681,816(325)(b)The following revisions to the original draft evaluation could be discussed.InflationOnly one years inflation had been applied to sales revenue, variable costs and fixed costs in years 2, 3 and 4. The effect ofinflation on cash flows is a cumulative one and in this case specific inflation was applied to each kind of cash flow.21 Interest paymentsThese should not have been included in the draft evaluation because the financing effect is included in the discount rate. Ina large company such as Uftin Co, the loan used as part of the financing of the investment is very small in comparison toexisting finance and will not affect the weighted average cost of capital.Tax allowable depreciationA constant tax allowable depreciation allowance, equal to 25% of the initial investment, had been used in each year.However, the method which should have been used was 25% per year on a reducing balance basis, resulting in smallerallowances in years 2 and 3, and a balancing allowance in year 4. In addition, although tax allowable depreciation had beendeducted in order to produce taxable profit, tax allowable depreciation had not been added back in order to produce after-taxcash flow.Year 5 tax liabilityThis had been omitted in the draft evaluation, perhaps because a four-year period was being used as the basis for theevaluation. However, this year 5 cash flow needed to be included as it is a relevant cash flow, arising as a result of the decisionto invest.Examiners Note: Explanation of only TWO revisions was required.5(a)Cost of equityUsing the capital asset pricing model, Ke = 4 + (115 x 6) = 109%Cost of debt of loan notesAfter-tax annual interest payment = 6 x 075 = $450 per loan note.Year$5% discountPV($)4% discountPV($)0166(10350)45010600100050760746(10350)2284100052420790(10350)235979088374(158)383Kd = 4 + (1 x 383)/(383 + 158) = 4 + 07 = 47% per yearMarket values of equity and debtNumber of ordinary shares = 200m/05 = 400 million sharesMarket value of ordinary shares = 400m x 585 = $2,340 millionMarket value of loan notes = 200m x 1035/100 = $207 millionTotal market value = 2,340 + 207 = $2,547 millionMarket value WACCK0 = (109 x 2,340) + (47 x 207)/2,547 = 26,479/2,547 = 104%Book value WACCK0 = (109 x 850) + (47 x 200)/1,050 = 10,205/1,050 = 97%CommentMarket values of financial securities reflect current market conditions and current required rates of return. Market valuesshould therefore always be used in calculating the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) when they are available. If bookvalues are used, the WACC is likely to be understated, since the nominal values of ordinary shares are much less than theirmarket values. The contribution of the cost of equity is reduced if book values are used, leading to a lower WACC, asevidenced by the book value WACC (97%) and the market value WACC (104%) of Tinep Co.(b)A rights issue raises equity finance by offering new shares to existing shareholders in proportion to the number of shares theycurrently hold. Existing shareholders have the right to be offered new shares (the pre-emptive right) before they are offered tonew investors, hence the term rights issue. There are a number of factors which Tinep Co should consider.Issue priceRights issues shares are offered at a discount to the market value. It can be difficult to judge what the amount of the discountshould be.Relative costRights issues are cheaper than other methods of raising finance by issuing new equity, such as an initial public offer (IPO)or a placing, due to the lower transactions costs associated with rights issues.Ownership and controlAs the new shares are being offered to existing shareholders, there is no dilution of ownership and control, providingshareholders take up their rights.Gearing and financial riskIncreasing the weighting of equity finance in the capital structure of Tinep Co can decrease its gearing and its financial risk.The shareholders of the company may see this as a positive move, depending on their individual risk preference positions.22 Fundamentals Level Skills Module, Paper F9Financial ManagementDecember 2014 Marking SchemeMarksMarksSection A12
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