国贸经济管理类毕业论文-改革开放以来我国外贸出口产品结构变化及影响因素分析

?CR4WFJ0JA1 ?wyYk+O%kCH4x5oxUk+GJJuk;AJeo|)+GJs|oRBo0kAiCJF+|o4ooyBowyY+J7ik+9yW+xo+GJyzC6-#oR+MDJo+DzyDo+DJ+MD4%fAokKoOckL+D%oKKdBL + MD Ai D?CR4WFJ0JA2AbstractSince the reform and opening up Chinas foreign trade has madeconsiderable progress both in quantity and scale. But it can not be denied that theoverall development of Chinas foreign trade level is not high, especiallystructures. Structural problems has become the outstanding issues which obstructChinas foreign trade. From the angle of empirical studies, we know Chinascomparative advantages and its profound changes reflect deeply in the structure ofexternal trade issues. Therefore a comprehensive, systematic and in-depth analysisand study on the course of structural changes of Chinas foreign trade sincereform and opening up are significant meaningful for the judgment and grasp thelong-term trends in Chinas foreign trade, formulate strategies and thedevelopment of foreign trade policies. This thesis expounds the structure ofChinas export products from three aspects the changes of export productsstructure, the relationship among product structure and macro-economic andindustrial structure and the factors influencing the changes of products structure.The analysis methods such as graphic interpretation, measurement analysis areused in the thesis to give an understanding of product structure of Chinas foreigntrade. key words Foreign trade The structure of export products Competitiveadvantage Industrial structure?CR4WFJ0JA3- 1. -F*6A.D0)( . 42.-)FChC*5,F . 62.1Jf*G=:wDFFQM4 . 62. JfL*G=;LCt_L*G=:w . 82.3j+e*G:w . 92.4Q_ChC+aF6EjN . 10-)FChC5?4#J5,3+ . 93.1-)FChC54#K-(08$ . 113.2*5,B39WJ5,B3-(58 . 154-)FChC5,3P . 194.1?3P5Ct),F . 194.2 _F! . 194.3 Fv-$Ct . 175)FChC*5 . 2163) . 208$BR . 23?CR4WFJ0JA4iM0nA-FCh*5F3P6 iM0nA-,)FChCAXG:F_X? 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P201?CR4WFJ0JA12#Ci,*KJChC,GX.A)65,?_-(A-2j4#iM,$!FF/)B$n.AF)LZ-F-JfCt_L,jFEA7,*K)G-FFQM4,*K) 19812004L$A-Jf*wK) 20.3%jFEA7*wK)QE 20.7%FFQL-pA-4#)FChC,A-F$iM4*jk,()FChC5$CHFF?E-,)FChC5?_-(08$,.4#K)ChCK)Ct$-5AH 2005i.F=CA-)FChC54#KXQ,!-(3+9?F+X6#A17-TF/3+X*6AW,A+X GDP FT EX IM6/j-+OklF*kN*NFNY+X EVIEWS 3.1E&) 2.1 ,62.A112.D0LvG . )FChCK?E,*.p?& .2006 :P65?CR4WFJ0JA131978 2005-+OklF*kN*NFNL$,-(F3+n 3.1 19782005v+- -+Okl F*kN *N FN1978 3624.10 355.00 167.60 187.401979 4038.20 454.60 211.70 242.901980 4517.80 570.00 271.20 298.801981 4862.40 735.30 367.60 367.701982 5294.70 771.30 413.80 357.501983 5934.50 860.10 438.30 421.801984 7171.00 1201.00 580.50 620.501985 8964.40 2066.70 808.90 1257.801986 10202.20 2580.40 1082.10 1498.301987 11962.50 3084.20 1470.00 1614.201988 14928.30 3821.80 1766.70 2055.101989 16909.20 4155.90 1956.00 2199.901990 18547.90 5560.10 2985.80 2574.301991 21617.80 7225.80 3827.10 3398.701992 26638.10 9119.60 4676.30 4443.301993 34634.40 11271.00 5284.80 5986.201994 46759.40 20381.90 10421.80 9960.101995 58478.10 23499.90 12451.80 11048.101996 67884.60 24133.80 12576.40 11557.401997 74462.60 26967.20 15160.70 11806.501998 78345.20 26857.70 15231.60 11626.101999 82067.50 26896.30 16159.80 13736.502000 89442.20 39274.20 20635.20 18639.002001 95933.30 42193.30 22029.10 20164.202002 102398.00 51391.40 26941.60 24439.00?CR4WFJ0JA142003 116694.00 70453.82 36286.37 34167.452004 136497.03 95572.06 49109.44 46462.622005 182321.00 117701.76 63066.93 54634.83Ct$i-5Ap51,A1 0-+Okl GDPF*kN FTL$,3+-+Okl GDPF*kN FTL$,5_GDP=6202.605+2.208FTse=(1776.510) (0.089)t=(3.491) (24.899)p=(0.002) (0.000)R2=0964Se/j3+,7BhN,7Bj 1776.510F*kN3+,7Bj 0.089XM,WPl6j 3.491 24.8999BWl)S6j 0.002 0.000WP,5A_hNF*kN,3+6jM&,)Mh?5M&A-(3+ R2j 0.964/j0;Mh,8g5 1978 2005A-+OklF*kNL$XQ,!-(3+)FChCNCW-+OklaCQ 1978 2005 65k3+_)FChCN! s-+Okla2.208s-+Okl GDP*N EXL$,3+-+Okl GDP*N EXL$,5_GDP=6412.963+4.133EXSe= 1409.043 0.132T=(4.551)(31.410)P=(0.000)(0.000)R2=0.977hN,7Bj 1409.043*N3+,7Bj 0.132?CR4WFJ0JA15XM, W Pl6j 4.551 31.1409B tl)Swj 0.000WP,5A_hN*kN,3+6jM&,)jM&5M&wA-(3+ R2j 0.977/j0;Mh8g5 1978 2005A-+Okl*NL$XQ,!-(3+*NCW-+OklaCQXF 27L$*N!s-+Okl*:a 4.133s9-+Okl GDPFN IML$,3+-+Okl GDPFN IML$,5_GDP=5833.877+4.671IMse=(1922.809)(0.202)t=(3.034)(23.097)p=(0.006)(0.000)R2=0.959hN,7Bj 1922.809FN3+,7Bj 0.202XM,WPl6j 3.034 23.0979BWl,)S6j 0.006 0.000WP,5A_hNFkN,3+6jM&,)?5M&wA-(3+ R2j 0.959/j0;Mh8g5 1978 2005A-+OklFNL$XQ,!-(3+FNCW-+OklaCQF 27k5FN!s-+Okla 4.671s5,:pF -)FChC5,(_-)F*5,A-,4#K,*:_08$,-)FChC4#KXQ,!-(3+L-p4#=,-)FChC6JKC,dL-p-)FChC5,=HFw43.2*5,B39WJ5,B3-(58 13*6A:B$