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全球财经证书培训领导品牌 1 FRM学员服务部咨询:400-600-8011 邮箱:frm 网站: Ct I i Current Issues in Financial Markets Instructor: Alex Topic Weight: 10% QUESTION 4 AND 5 REFER TO THE FOLLOWING INFORMATIONQUESTION 4 AND 5 REFER TO THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION A profitable derivatives trading desk at a bank decides that its existing VaR model, which has been used broadly across the firm for several years, is too conservative. The existing VaR model uses a historical simulation over a three Current Issues in Financial MarketsCurrent Issues in Financial Markets conservative. The existing VaR model uses a historical simulation over a three year look-back period, weighting each day equally. A quantitative analyst in the group quickly develops a new VaR model, which uses the delta normal approach. The new model uses volatilities and correlations estimated over the past four years using the Riskmetrics EWMA method. For testing purposes, the new model is used in parallel with the existing model for four weeks to estimate the 1-day 95% VaR. After four weeks, the new VaR model has no exceedances despite consistently estimating VaR to be idbl lththi tid ltitThltth tconsiderably lower than the existing models estimates. The analyst argues that the lack of exceedances shows that the new model is unbiased and pressures the banks model evaluation team to agree. Following an overnight examination of the new model by one junior analyst instead of the customary evaluation that takes several weeks and involves a senior member of the team, the model evaluation team agrees to accept the new model for use by the desk. 全球财经证书培训领导品牌 2 FRM学员服务部咨询:400-600-8011 邮箱:frm 网站: 4. A VaR model replacement roughly similar to the one described above occurred at JPMorgan Chase for its Synthetic Credit Portfolio (SCP) in 2012. Which of the following correctly describes the outcome? Current Issues in Financial MarketsCurrent Issues in Financial Markets A. The new model immediately lowered the SCPs VaR by a large percentage, enabling the portfolio to stop breaching its risk limit. B. Shortly after the implementation of the new model, JP Morgans regulator inquired into the reasons for the model change and the considerable reduction in its risk estimate. C. With the previous VaR model, the SCP routinely breached its risk limits, which had sparked detailed reviews of the SCP. D. The new model was in effect for only a short time as JP Morgan became less concerned about reducing risk-weighted assets. answer: Aanswer: A Current Issues in Financial MarketsCurrent Issues in Financial Markets 全球财经证书培训领导品牌 3 FRM学员服务部咨询:400-600-8011 邮箱:frm 网站: N No ot teses- -boobook 4 P1k 4 P15 52 2 Current Issues in Financial MarketsCurrent Issues in Financial Markets o eso es boo5boo5 5. Which of the following statements about the risk management implications of this replacement is correct? A. Delta normal VaR is more appropriate than historical simulation VaR for Operational and Integrated Risk ManagementOperational and Integrated Risk Management assets with non-linear payoffs.(Delta normal VaR 需要满足线性的前提) B. Changing the look-back period and weighting scheme from three years, equally weighted, to four years, exponentially weighted, will understate the risk in the portfolio.(上述改变应使结果更为精确) C. The desk increased its exposure to model risk due to the potential for incorrect calibration and programming errors related to the new model.(错 误的校正和编程会造成模型错误) D. A 95% VaR model that generates no exceedances in four weeks is necessarily conservative. 全球财经证书培训领导品牌 4 FRM学员服务部咨询:400-600-8011 邮箱:frm 网站: answer: Canswer: C Current Issues in Financial MarketsCurrent Issues in Financial Markets 30. Prior to Jon Corzines arrival, MF Global incurred a large loss due to unauthorized trading. This loss was an operational risk event, but quickly exposed the firm to other risks as well. Which of the following Current Issues in Financial MarketsCurrent Issues in Financial Markets qypg correctly describes a risk that MF Global was exposed to resulting from the unauthorized trading? A. Counterparty credit risks as a result of the low credit quality of many of the trading counterparties B. Asset liquidity risk as most of the trades involved illiquid assets that were difficult to unwind C. Funding liquidity risk as the firms debt was downgraded by rating agencies(由于评级被下调导致借债困难而产生的融资流动性风 险) D. Market risk related to the long positions in European sovereign debt 全球财经证书培训领导品牌 5 FRM学员服务部咨询:400-600-8011 邮箱:frm 网站: answer: Canswer: C Current Issues in Financial MarketsCurrent Issues in Financial Markets QUESTIONS 31 AND 32 REFER TO THE FOLLOWING INFORMATIONQUESTIONS 31 AND 32 REFER TO THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION A risk management consultant is involved in evaluating the capital planning at a US-based bank holding company (BHC) with over USD 100 billion in total consolidated assets The Current Issues in Financial MarketsCurrent Issues in Financial Markets bank holding company (BHC) with over USD 100 billion in total consolidated assets. The evaluation includes looking at the stress testing program that is integral to the capital planning process. 31. In evaluating the BHCs design of stress scenarios, which of the following statements is correct? A. Although the BHC may feel it is losing some of its independence, limiting the scenarios to those developed by the Federal Reserve will ensure regulatory compliance.(不应局限) B. To avoid introducing bias, if the BHC uses private sector third-party-defined scenarios, they should be implemented without alteration (需要调整需量身定制)should be implemented without alteration.(需要调整,需量身定制) C. In order to properly assess both right-way and wrong-way risk in stress environments, assumptions should be included that specifically benefit the BHC.(不应对其有利) D. When developing scenarios internally, it is acceptable to combine expert judgment with quantitative models rather than relying only on the models. 全球财经证书培训领导品牌 6 FRM学员服务部咨询:400-600-8011 邮箱:frm 网站: answer: Danswer: D Current Issues in Financial MarketsCurrent Issues in Financial Markets Notes-book 4 P209Notes-book 4 P209 Current Issues in Financial MarketsCurrent Issues in Financial Markets 全球财经证书培训领导品牌 7 FRM学员服务部咨询:400-600-8011 邮箱:frm 网站: Current Issues in Financial MarketsCurrent Issues in Financial Markets 32. In evaluating the modeling program at the BHC, which of the following statements is correct? A To reflect a range of economic conditions the BHC should use Current Issues in Financial MarketsCurrent Issues in Financial Markets A. To reflect a range of economic conditions, the BHC should use long-run historical averages when estimating expected losses during periods of stress.(期限要根据模型来看,不一定就是长期) B. To compensate for the limited number of realized outcomes under stressful scenarios, when back-testing loss models, the BHC should compare results to those derived from different estimation approaches.(书上有原句) C To avoid the imprecision that occurs when estimating loss modelsC. To avoid the imprecision that occurs when estimating loss models at a granular level, the BHC should strive to use aggregate high-level data for model estimation purposes. D. To ensure consistency across business segments and portfolios, the BHC should use the fewest number of models possible to estimate losses across its business lines. 全球财经证书培训领导品牌 8 FRM学员服务部咨询:400-600-8011 邮箱:frm 网站: answer: Banswer: B Current Issues in Financial MarketsCurrent Issues in Financial Markets 34. Many financial contracts, including corporate loans, mortgages, and swaps, are priced based on interbank lending and borrowing. The reliability and robustness of using interbank lending rates as reference rates Current Issues in Financial MarketsCurrent Issues in Financial Markets reliability and robustness of using interbank lending rates as reference rates has been questioned in recent years. Which of the following statements about interbank lending in the United States and Europe since 2007 is correct? A. Bank reliance on unsecured interbank lending has increased and reliance on secured wholesale funding has decreased. B. Bank reliance on both unsecured interbank lending and secured wholesale funding has decreasedwholesale funding has decreased. C. Bank reliance on both unsecured interbank lending and secured wholesale funding has increased. D. Bank reliance on unsecured interbank lending has decreased and reliance on secured wholesale funding has increased. 全球财经证书培训领导品牌 9 FRM学员服务部咨询:400-600-8011 邮箱:frm 网站: answer: Danswer: D Current Issues in Financial MarketsCurrent Issues in Financial Markets Notes-book 4 P169Notes-book 4 P169 Current Issues in Financial MarketsCurrent Issues in Financial Markets 全球财经证书培训领导品牌 10 FRM学员服务部咨询:400-600-8011 邮箱:frm 网站: 55. During the euro-zone crisis, the value of sovereign credit default swaps (SCDS) went up sharply as market participants became nervous Current Issues in Financial MarketsCurrent Issues in Financial Markets swaps (SCDS) went up sharply, as market participants became nervous about the financial stability of some European countries. Some EU officials feared that this could have a dangerous effect on the value of the underlying government bonds. In late 2011, the European Union banned naked positions in SCDS (i.e. being long SCDS without also being long the underlying bond). Which of the following is the most likely outcome of such a restriction? A. As the ban decreased the value of SCDS positions, the use of SCDS for hedging purposes increased.(根据文章内容可知) B Without speculators participating in the market SCDS prices became Current Issues in Financial MarketsCurrent Issues in Financial Markets B. Without speculators participating in the market, SCDS prices became a less accurate indicator of European credit stress. C. Since only holders of the underlying government bonds were eligible buyers, the market for SCDS became better defined, and therefore, the liquidity risk of SCDS decreased. D. With market participants such as hedge funds unable to buy SCDS without holding the underlying bond, the use of SCDS for negative basis trades was eliminatedtrades was eliminated. 全球财经证书培训领导品牌 11 FRM学员服务部咨询:400-600-8011 邮箱:frm 网站: answer: Aanswer: A Current Issues in Financial MarketsCurrent Issues in Financial Markets Notes-book 4 P194Notes-book 4 P194 Operational and Integrated Risk ManagementOperational and I
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