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1、Chapter One,The Market,The Theory of Economics does notfurnish a body of settled conclusionsimmediately applicable to policy. It isa method rather than a doctrine, anapparatus of the mind, a technique ofthinking which helps its possessor todraw correct conclusions- John Maynard Keynes,Economic Model

2、ing,What causes what in economic systems? At what level of detail shall we model an economic phenomenon? Which variables are determined outside the model (exogenous) and which are to be determined by the model (endogenous)?,Modeling the Apartment Market,How are apartment rents determined? Suppose ap

3、artments are close or distant, but otherwise identical distant apartments rents are exogenous and known many potential renters and landlords,Modeling the Apartment Market,Who will rent close apartments? At what price? Will the allocation of apartments be desirable in any sense? How can we construct

4、an insightful model to answer these questions?,Economic Modeling Assumptions,Two basic postulates: Rational Choice: Each person tries to choose the best alternative available to him or her. Equilibrium: Market price adjusts until quantity demanded equals quantity supplied.,Modeling Apartment Demand,

5、Demand: Suppose the most any one person is willing to pay to rent a close apartment is $500/month. Thenp = $500 QD = 1. Suppose the price has to drop to $490 before a 2nd person would rent. Thenp = $490 QD = 2.,Modeling Apartment Demand,The lower is the rental rate p, the larger is the quantity of c

6、lose apartments demandedp QD . The quantity demanded vs. price graph is the market demand curve for close apartments.,Market Demand Curve for Apartments,p,QD,Modeling Apartment Supply,Supply: It takes time to build more close apartments so in this short-run the quantity available is fixed (at say 10

7、0).,Market Supply Curve for Apartments,p,QS,100,Competitive Market Equilibrium,“low” rental price quantity demanded of close apartments exceeds quantity available price will rise. “high” rental price quantity demanded less than quantity available price will fall.,Competitive Market Equilibrium,Quant

8、ity demanded = quantity available price will neither rise nor fall so the market is at a competitive equilibrium.,Competitive Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,100,Competitive Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,pe,100,Competitive Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,pe,100,People willing to pay pe for close apartments get c

9、lose apartments.,Competitive Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,pe,100,People willing to pay pe for close apartments get close apartments.,People not willing to pay pe for close apartments get distant apartments.,Competitive Market Equilibrium,Q: Who rents the close apartments? A: Those most willing to pay.

10、 Q: Who rents the distant apartments? A: Those least willing to pay. So the competitive market allocation is by “willingness-to-pay”.,Comparative Statics,What is exogenous in the model? price of distant apartments quantity of close apartments incomes of potential renters. What happens if these exoge

11、nous variables change?,Comparative Statics,Suppose the price of distant apartment rises. Demand for close apartments increases (rightward shift), causing a higher price for close apartments.,Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,pe,100,Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,pe,100,Higher demand,Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,

12、pe,100,Higher demand causes highermarket price; same quantitytraded.,Comparative Statics,Suppose there were more close apartments. Supply is greater, so the price for close apartments falls.,Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,pe,100,Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,100,Higher supply,pe,Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,

13、pe,100,Higher supply causes alower market price and alarger quantity traded.,Comparative Statics,Suppose potential renters incomes rise, increasing their willingness-to-pay for close apartments. Demand rises (upward shift), causing higher price for close apartments.,Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,pe,100

14、,Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,pe,100,Higher incomes causehigher willingness-to-pay,Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,pe,100,Higher incomes causehigher willingness-to-pay,higher market price, andthe same quantity traded.,Taxation Policy Analysis,Local government taxes apartment owners. What happens to price q

15、uantity of close apartments rented? Is any of the tax “passed” to renters?,Taxation Policy Analysis,Market supply is unaffected. Market demand is unaffected. So the competitive market equilibrium is unaffected by the tax. Price and the quantity of close apartments rented are not changed. Landlords p

16、ay all of the tax.,Imperfectly Competitive Markets,Amongst many possibilities are: a monopolistic landlord a perfectly discriminatory monopolistic landlord a competitive market subject to rent control.,A Monopolistic Landlord,When the landlord sets a rental price p he rents D(p) apartments. Revenue

17、= pD(p). Revenue is low if p 0 Revenue is low if p is so high that D(p) 0. An intermediate value for p maximizes revenue.,Monopolistic Market Equilibrium,p,QD,Lowprice,Low price, high quantitydemanded, low revenue.,Monopolistic Market Equilibrium,p,QD,Highprice,High price, low quantitydemanded, low

18、revenue.,Monopolistic Market Equilibrium,p,QD,Middleprice,Middle price, medium quantitydemanded, larger revenue.,Monopolistic Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,Middleprice,Middle price, medium quantitydemanded, larger revenue.Monopolist does not rent all theclose apartments.,100,Monopolistic Market Equilib

19、rium,p,QD,QS,Middleprice,Middle price, medium quantitydemanded, larger revenue.Monopolist does not rent all theclose apartments.,100,Vacant close apartments.,Perfectly Discriminatory Monopolistic Landlord,Imagine the monopolist knew everyones willingness-to-pay. Charge $500 to the most willing-to-pa

20、y, charge $490 to the 2nd most willing-to-pay, etc.,Discriminatory Monopolistic Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,100,p1 =$500,1,Discriminatory Monopolistic Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,100,p1 =$500,p2 =$490,1,2,Discriminatory Monopolistic Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,100,p1 =$500,p2 =$490,1,2,p3 =$475,3,Discr

21、iminatory Monopolistic Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,100,p1 =$500,p2 =$490,1,2,p3 =$475,3,Discriminatory Monopolistic Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,100,p1 =$500,p2 =$490,1,2,p3 =$475,3,pe,Discriminatory monopolistcharges the competitive marketprice to the last renter, andrents the competitive quantityof c

22、lose apartments.,Rent Control,Local government imposes a maximum legal price, pmax pe, the competitive price.,Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,pe,100,Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,pe,100,pmax,Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,pe,100,pmax,Excess demand,Market Equilibrium,p,QD,QS,pe,100,pmax,Excess demand,The 100 clo

23、se apartments are no longer allocated bywillingness-to-pay (lottery, lines,large families first?).,Which Market Outcomes Are Desirable?,Which is better? Rent control Perfect competition Monopoly Discriminatory monopoly,Pareto Efficiency,Vilfredo Pareto; 1848-1923. A Pareto outcome allows no “wasted

24、welfare”; i.e. the only way one persons welfare can be improved is to lower another persons welfare.,Pareto Efficiency,Jill has an apartment; Jack does not. Jill values the apartment at $200; Jack would pay $400 for it. Jill could sublet the apartment to Jack for $300. Both gain, so it was Pareto in

25、efficient for Jill to have the apartment.,Pareto Efficiency,A Pareto inefficient outcome means there remain unrealized mutual gains-to-trade. Any market outcome that achieves all possible gains-to-trade must be Pareto efficient.,Pareto Efficiency,Competitive equilibrium: all close apartment renters value them at the market price pe or more all others value close apartments at less than pe so no mutually beneficial trades remain so the outcome is Pareto ef

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