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1、房价上涨的十几个因素(Housing prices rose more than a dozen factors)First, the urbanization process to promote housing pricesChina city level is only more than 40 per cent, while the average level of developed countries is more than 70%, China from this level there is a big gap, which means that there are a la
2、rge number of farmers to the city, these migrant farmers need housing, housing demand is very large. China is in the process of economic adjustment and growth. The process of urbanization is accelerating, and the acceleration of urbanization is bound to be accompanied by a large number of non urban
3、population flowing into the city.You know, China is a big agricultural country, the rural population accounts for the majority, and the peasants who go to the city are a very attractive figure in housing consumption. Unless the urbanization process stagnates, the peasants will not go into the city.T
4、wo, Chinese city is in a period of rapid development of large demolition and constructionYou see, Chinas urban expansion is simply acceleration, and todays city, a few years ago in the urban area is still very small, 35 years later, the scope of the city will become a multi fold expansion. The rapid
5、 expansion of the city, will inevitably lead to a large demolition and construction, expansion, need a lot of living and working population matched. In addition, large demolition demolition also causes a lot of demand, and is a small room for large, ordinary housing for high-grade housing. Impossibl
6、e city expansion, but no one in, and become a ghost town, in fact, expansion of the city where the population is filled in where.Three, economic development can not be separated from real estate, the status of pillar industries can not be shakenIn the city a few years ago, are based on real estate a
7、s a pillar industry to treat the current economic development of the city on the right track, the status of the pillar industries of real estate is not obvious, but still plays an important role in. In the two or three and four tier cities, real estate is still a well deserved pillar industry, that
8、is why the central government to regulate and control, the local police do not match the root causes. For the two or three and four line cities, especially the three or four tier cities, the industry is weak and the urban hematopoietic function is insufficient. Only relying on the real estate to dri
9、ve the development of the economy. Real estate development is the direction of the city leader, where real estate development, the city will extend to where?. The leading role of the real estate, who is also not to be underestimated, drive the development of almost all industries, such as clothing,
10、cosmetics and other seem to have nothing to do with the real estate, there are real estate credit development in the clothing and cosmetics industry, the development of a large number of clothing and cosmetics Shopping Mall theme and professional market, are to promote the development of the wheel.
11、Leaving the real estate, all walks of life will be subject to varying degrees of attackFour, the real estate has become a major source of revenue for local financeReal estate has become the main source of local fiscal revenue has been * *, this is an indisputable fact, we do not say that the real es
12、tate to boost the local economy, is required for real estate development and land supply, is the local financial support, if the lack of land revenue, local governments will be shy pocket bag in reducing the fiscal revenue, will affect the local administrative power, authority power * *.So, no matte
13、r how central regulation, local governments own abacus, make their own small 99, not public support for the real estate, the secret support, which is the central control become an important factor in air conditioning .For example, the provisions of the state to get the pre-sale permit before does no
14、t allow the use of arranging, put the chips, registration, booking, in addition to first-tier cities basically, like two or three, four line city, basically not implemented, * * open eyes closed eyes in the dark, the actual real estate development.Five, luxury consumption fuelled housing prices soar
15、ed raging like a storm.Some time ago, a lot of money in the United States consumer Chinese Regal rumored, brother what are not, this is rich, and just the reform and opening up the Chen, relying on a few nerve and flourishes farmers Ueda feet in the nightclub burn than the width of the same.China ju
16、st to get rich, due to long-term poverty and backwardness, and the cultural background is thin, once there are several full of money, peasant consciousness upsurge, ostentatious rich, this is one; second, because a lot of people in the hands of the rich, good life, way of life has undergone a qualit
17、ative change, by before the Fed warmed up for the enjoyment of life, the Chinese people enjoy growing awareness. And spacious luxury housing is one of the most important elements to enjoy life, so many people began to change rooms, the greater the size of the change, the higher the grade.Six, pay at
18、tention to, is to control prices rising too fast, not pressureEvery time I go to the lecture, Im asked the same question: Mr. Zhou, what will the real estate be like in the future? Where will the country go, why cant the old and the real estate get by? People who ask these questions, I think, do not
19、 understand anything about that. Why does the country actually control real estate? What is the real purpose of regulating the real estate? Many developers believe that the state is suppressing real estate,Therefore, once the regulatory policy, will feel restless and confused.Why should the state co
20、ntrol real estate? Because the real estate development too fast, long-term occupation of the overtaking lane driving, seriously affecting the passage of other vehicles; because prices rise too fast, almost is turning up, is not conducive to the improvement of peoples livelihood. The purpose of regul
21、ation and control by the Central Committee is very clear, but we do not understand it clearly. Note that the central regulation of the real estate, is the control of prices rising too fast, excessive control, profits, real intention is not to let prices rise too quickly, but it is reasonable to rise
22、, prices will rise in the reasonable control, not to suppress the real estate, the real estate of the central government the impact on the economy and the pulling effect is very clear, could not suppress the real estate. In this sense, the real estate will still be a triumph, expect the decline in h
23、ousing prices in five years, is tantamount to tell some fantastic tales. Of course, the fluctuation of house price is certain, after short-term cut down, can rise again very quickly, rise on main line.Seven, inflation is expected to increase, driven prices riseCPI is on the rise, and agricultural pr
24、ices are hitting new highs. From an economic point of view, the food price index will be directly reflected in house prices. Look at how fast oil prices have climbed in recent years, like snowball inflation. Price index higher, is bound to drive up prices, and even cabbage turnip prices are rising,
25、there is no reason for housing prices do not rise. Is it impossible for other prices to rise and let house prices fall alone? To control prices, we must first stabilize CPI, or else control prices is wishful thinkingEight, soaring land prices, high pricesEveryone only see prices soaring, the actual
26、price than housing prices rose faster, it is reported that ten years ago to buy the land has not been developed, the light premium has turned several hundred times, compared to the development of money, but also save trouble. Land every year, like Sun Wukong tumbling like. While the premium accounte
27、d for less than half the cost of real estate development, the price rises, prices will rise.* * sell land by auction, it will only accelerate the promotion of land prices, artificially high premium, unless the state changes land transfer, circulation forms, otherwise this will only continue to push
28、land prices high. A few years ago, the high price of land on the floor, the price will fully illustrate the problem, flour is more expensive than bread is abnormal. Some central enterprises involved in real estate development, because the central enterprises have * * background, not short of money,
29、leading to the King frequency now, all of which have become behind the rising prices of hands.Nine, building materials prices climbed, became the price behind the push handsIn addition to soaring land prices, real estate costs in other areas is also rising, steel, cement and other building materials
30、 prices, has become a hidden behind, housing prices increase the cost of housing prices is undoubtedly tends to increase, and the price increase than the increase of the coefficient is much higher.Some people may say that the increase in building materials costs, the proportion of the entire cost st
31、ructure is not large, and the rise in building materials prices, the impact of Shanghai on housing prices is very limited. Indeed, the increase in the cost of building materials, the rise in house prices in the driving force is limited, the reason is very simple, because so far, the real estate is s
32、till profiteering, is unmatched by any other industry. And the scale of real estate benefits are obvious, profits slightly higher than other industries, a little bit, enough to form a huge profit whirlpool. A national well-known projects in Beijing development projects, including all costs, about 50
33、00 yuan per square meter, the owner of the initial plan to open 9000 yuan / square meter, to over 12000 yuan / square meter. We may not imagine, the development of the situation is far beyond the expectations of the boss, and later on the property price climbed 30 thousand yuan / square meter, and n
34、ow to 50 thousand yuan / square meter, how can we profit from this profiteering?Although the cost of building materials prices is to promote, but not equal to no push, increase the cost of developers is not possible out of their own pockets, must be passed on to the house. In addition, building mate
35、rials costs, at least it gives developers a price reasonable excuse.Ten, there are only houses, the traditional conservative ideas, catch up with housing pricesInfluenced by the traditional feudal ideology for thousands of years, the Chinese people always believe that there is a house, a home, there
36、 is no room like drift, like rootless duckweed. This thought is deeply rooted and has been influencing and influencing the Chinese people. Affected by the old ideas, people in adulthood, for real struggle, so produced a large number of slaves. After a few years of adult work, they want to buy a hous
37、e, do everything possible to make money and save money, the purpose is to buy a house of their own.Eleven, women are an accomplice in rising pricesPeople are cursing the price is too high, many women are involved in this war of words come, as everyone knows, the woman he had become accomplices of so
38、aring house prices.Chinese women have a strong dependence on the psychological, married, always holding a kind of I entrusted myself to you mentality, themselves become a mans appendage. What is more, women are Xianpinaifu, marry marry a real person, if I heard the other no house, will be issued a t
39、hreat: when you buy a house again, did not buy a house not to marry. This is a good point, touch on the stubborn, not even real? Break up, leave and leave. This China man by the oppression of women, desperate to make money to buy a house, the purpose is very simple, is to marry a wife a family of ch
40、ildren. Many people would sleepwalk into slaves, until after marriage, women and men with housing slave, struggle to live together to make money loan.Womens ideology has undoubtedly become an accomplice in pushing up prices. If women do not require the man to have a room to marry, then many people w
41、ill not join in the property market, at least they will delay.Twelve, media, Yang Xuan wantonly make groundless accusations, mixing a pool of waterHousing prices rose too fast, the media can not shirk responsibility. And do not say a national trend, already, hype, lest the world people do not know.
42、Of course, report * * policy initiatives is right, but the media reports are often not so simple, and at length, so the layout type xuanran, also invited experts interpret, is a very common policy, the media will make such a torment, Mancheng rain, everyone sobs.The media love to look into those who
43、 have fame, love of self promotion industry, such as Ren Zhiqiang, Pan Shiyi and so on, as long as they were a mouth, the media on the road like a swarm of bees, at the layout for its cheerleaders, to drum up support. A little known or strong housing prices in the price or prices, one thing is very
44、common, is the marketing tactics, simply not worth mentioning, but the media as the focus of the news, lengthy speech discussion comments, just use anti-aircraft guns to fight mosquitoes, get on the rumble of guns.Thirteen, * * non acts, disguised to help up pricesIn the face of prices rose in a str
45、aight line situation, facing the people of the high prices of the complaint, * * had to come forward to the implementation of the regulation, and then * * is only no overall plan for a fundamental transformation, ways, such as a problem to remedy, but not in advance to come up with a set of standard
46、ized management scheme, always in poor to cope with. When the high prices, regulation, prices relatively stable, is indifferent, act in this control way can only push prices, not because the police established a set of system solutions, but each time a temporary regulation, regulation, the real esta
47、te to the real estate from behind in the teeth of the storm, pull to the stage debut this, can let prices fall? Because the police bursts of regulation, make people are concerned about housing prices, discuss prices this attention, two discussion, real estate and natural Redubujian, and will continu
48、e to heat up, heat up, prices did not rise the.When people shouted raising womens status every day, womens status obviously did not improve, and when people stopped shouting, the status of women had improved. When ten thousand people, one hundred thousand people, millions of individuals, tens of mil
49、lions of individuals, hundreds of millions of people are concerned about a person, this person is not famous, famous, and can not skyrocketing prices?Fourteen, the rapid economic development, increased enjoyment of consciousness, resulting in short housing living time and increase market demand spac
50、eAccording to the investigation of the relevant departments, found a house, the new premises for staying at seven to eight years, that is to say, a personal (family) to buy a new house, seven or eight years later, became the owner, which is attached to open investment real estate do not say. The rea
51、son for this phenomenon is because of the rapid economic development, peoples sense of enjoyment has been strengthened, lived seven or eight years later, the new premises on the old house, people will once again change the new house.With the rapid expansion of the city to the pie, even if you dont c
52、hange, may also be taken in the development of city planning. It is unrealistic for a modern society to count on a suite for decades, which has increased its rigid demand in some way.Fifteen, corruption demand high housing pricesThe so-called corruption needs, is that officials and civil servants fr
53、om corruption and generous income, in the three or four line of the city, many residents almost can not afford housing, with those who do business better and business owners, the three or four line of the citys white-collar wages only limited income, it is difficult in the short term Neimaide room,
54、it is understood that in the three or four line of the city, most of them are civil servants, Wei cultural system in the house, why do these people can afford to buy a house? Wage income alone can not afford to buy, but they have become the main force of buying a house, judging from the surface, can
55、 only say that corruption is rich,Some people have accumulated a lot of wealth through corruption, these people not only to buy a set, and buy two sets of three or more, the corruption of demand, undoubtedly led to the rise in prices, has made a significant contribution for their high prices, to low
56、er prices, the fight against corruption needs, can be said to be a effective measures.Sixteen, developers can not reduce prices, prices will only go up, will not fallThe reason is very simple, if the developers cut prices, more people will not buy, because buyers see developers cut prices, he though
57、t playing abacus, finally drop, the drop may fall a lot, and will continue for a period of time, there may even be.In fact, buying a house and buying shares, is to buy up, do not buy down. Today the price of the developers, buyers will not buy, will tomorrow again, also wont buy on credit tomorrow,
58、the day after tomorrow again, so that buyers will never find a suitable entry point. Will always wait and see, because when the price to buy, they are always worried about buying today, and if it continues to fall tomorrow, it lost.Developers of this truth, know that prices can not change sales, onl
59、y the death of the shoulder, and then, developers generally optimistic about the prospects for real estate, it is impossible to reduce prices. In addition to a very small amount of money is very difficult for developers, do not line up the possibility of cash down, but even if some developers cut prices, it is impossible to trigger a wave of price cuts.
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