大盘的分时图放量上涨和放量下跌的后续走势如何

1、大盘的分时图放量上涨和放量下跌的后续走势如何？ 2015-9-3 -更多大盘的技术统计性分析，请关注股乐吧 近日的大盘走势，走得很是让人憋屈，在这样的大盘中大家想的可能是不被跌停算幸运，要是每天只跌个12个点，都要暗自偷笑了，要是撞大运，遇到自己的股票见红了，那是要欢呼雀跃的。 今天是大阅兵，举国庆祝的一天，在看完令人激动的阅兵之后，还是得回到现实当中。今年的股市基本是压榨了绝大部分人半辈子的财富的。尤其是最近一两周的走势，让人有一种喘不过气来的压抑。很多人可能会反思，自己是不是不该进这个股市，股市真的就是一个无尽的窟窿吗？在这样的行情中，我们不谈赚钱与否，而是在被深套的情况下，我们还有没有办

2、法解套？面对亏损5080%的股票，我们还有办法吗？我们无需绝望，办法肯定是有的，那就是绝杀利器-自己做T，每天高抛低吸，不断的降低成本，至少你看得到解套的希望，犹如昨天的走势，我们把握好了，是可以节约5个点子的成本的。我们以昨日的走势来举例：粉色箭头标志的部分是大盘在连续拉升后的放量上涨，这种意味着什么？根据我的经验，我是把它归为最后一拉的层面，也就是说，至少是一小时内的高点了。这个时候你如果满仓被套，可以适当卖出一部分。因为我们有80%以上的把握大盘会回落，回落到什么位置呢？请看下图：看到这张图，你是不是觉得有点诡异？这个图你们通过现有的行情软件是看不到的，现有的行情软件的黄线是全上证股票的

3、指数，白线是指标股的指数，而上图中的白线也是指标股的均价，但黄线是指标股的分时均线指数。这是我们设计的软件这样显示的。大家是不是很明显的看到了，大盘在下午开盘的一瞬间，达到了最高点（此时很多个股涨幅都在210%之间），相信当时很多人已经欢欣鼓舞，开始追高了。而此时，我再群众提示朋友们崇高卖掉，下午大盘会回落到3120左右。 为什么我会做出此预测，并且预测的差距不大，那是因为我们通过软件看到了均线，而大盘在拉高的时候，偏离均线太远，并且在放量上涨了，所以做出此推论。因此，按照这个提示操作的人，都获得了5个点以上的差价收益。上面提到了分时图放量上涨。而本文的主题就是放量上涨与放量下跌。我不是唯理论

4、者，炒股这么多年，各种理论书籍都翻烂了，还是没找到合适的，最后我选择了统计学，股市开了20多年了，大盘数据量也足够大了，而在大数据量下，统计学的威力就会发挥出来。好了，我们来看看通过程序计算，大盘在分时图放量上涨的情况下，后面能继续上涨的几率有多高？又有多少几率会回到均线上呢？下面是我用自己写的程序统计出来的分时图的结果，朋友们可以自己验证，因为数据太多，我随便截取了点，大家可以抽查。先看表一日内分时图上涨时成交量大于前面1.5倍的情况：（因数据量太大，素以此处先给出结果，平均跌幅为-0.79）。再看表二，我此处将风较量放大倍数降低到1.3倍，满足条件的更多，平均跌幅为-0.71%。大家看到了

5、，在放量拉升时，选择做T是一种较好的方式，大盘回落%0.71意味着你的个股波动绝对在1.5个点子以上，空间是很大的。先卖后买回来，中间的差价就是你的利润，坚持这种方式，结果如何，不用我多说了,至少解套是没有什么问题的。今天的分析比较粗略，随后几天我将对大盘分时图拉升进行更详细的数据解读，期望能给你带来更多的参考价值。我们以史为鉴，为你解读大盘的密码，并可为你私人定制个股选股软件。我们的网址是.如果您要咨询，请致电或：qq:705858457表一 上涨时成交量放大到1.5倍日期时刻（从9:30开始算上涨顶点之后的最低点跌幅20000719261999.311987.7-

6、0.58%20000621791903.351900.12-0.17%20000704231905.121890.34-0.78%20000726212005.052003.58-0.07%200009221591902.831888.24-0.77%200010201691938.221933.4-0.25%200102191541958.591957.67-0.05%200102221311922.211904.98-0.90%200103211452062.222058.88-0.16%200104121422140.442112.6-1.30%200106131582234.61223

7、1.98-0.12%200108011731969.661956.82-0.65%20010817241918.471909.77-0.45%200108201531936.691930.77-0.31%200108201561936.861930.77-0.31%20010831231846.71831.58-0.82%20010904211827.391824.45-0.16%200109041711855.271850.02-0.28%20010910221806.71806.06-0.04%200109101341839.781832.03-0.42%200109101771852.1

8、31848.56-0.19%200109191881804.131802.1-0.11%200109271641778.961762.69-0.91%20011009231735.851728.37-0.43%200110091821751.021741.6-0.54%200110121731699.631681.85-1.05%20011017911661.81640.16-1.30%200110241791701.031665.96-2.06%200111011931717.11689.17-1.63%20011109981606.111594.05-0.75%20011109163161

9、4.41594.05-1.26%200111091831626.981594.05-2.02%200111091861627.041594.05-2.03%200111191591660.451658.73-0.10%20011130211737.041734.94-0.12%20011213231720.411687.58-1.91%200112141651692.791674.95-1.05%200112181591677.041673.03-0.24%20011228221635.51619.74-0.96%200201151411491.181458.51-2.19%200201227

10、21399.941348.86-3.65%200201232011406.681399.09-0.54%200201241741470.941456.4-0.99%200201311361497.991480.2-1.19%200202041241499.461496.64-0.19%20020205231516.321502.16-0.93%20020207751508.91504.18-0.31%20020207861508.931504.18-0.31%200202071271515.321511.44-0.26%20020304221504.091500.44-0.24%2002030

11、41681516.091514.07-0.13%200203051541561.361556.52-0.31%200203061611594.21566.14-1.76%200203071291590.51584.83-0.36%200203071861598.261593.67-0.29%200203141981645.491641.11-0.27%200203142141645.61644.93-0.04%200203191171646.491644.79-0.10%200203252091676.611673.18-0.20%20020327231652.141635.94-0.98%2

12、00204041921636.911630.34-0.40%20020408221643.641631.49-0.74%20020409221644.021643.28-0.05%20020426341627.71625.66-0.13%20020509231653.731646.96-0.41%20020606961472.951469.36-0.24%200206062011532.151515.6-1.08%20020607221528.541522.69-0.38%200206181881527.671523.04-0.30%20020621781554.661545.24-0.61%

13、20020627261720.551706.68-0.81%20020703251735.481719.74-0.91%200207091921741.591727.54-0.81%20020718741711.521702.17-0.55%200207231681684.551671.08-0.80%200207261231670.081657.3-0.77%200207301891671.641666.81-0.29%200208011951659.461652.19-0.44%200208061061673.081669.06-0.24%200208161801652.271646.23

14、-0.37%200208161831652.721646.23-0.39%20020820221648.361647.83-0.03%2002082012516641662.46-0.09%200209121701625.041624.39-0.04%200209121781625.641624.39-0.08%200209191721608.211602.77-0.34%20020926211598.11586.61-0.72%200210142011532.51528.72-0.25%200210181691523.611513.67-0.65%200210221361541.131540

15、.82-0.02%200211011891510.471507.82-0.18%200211011921510.551507.82-0.18%200211041971526.471524.78-0.11%200211132031484.41478.93-0.37%20021115221463.831456.9-0.47%20021115801480.851457.93-1.55%200211281761389.451386.3-0.23%200211282191410.061405.88-0.30%200212041081430.651414.39-1.14%200212061671416.7

16、1404.11-0.89%20021212471387.941381.08-0.49%20021212791399.561381.08-1.32%200212131601380.291378.25-0.15%200212132071401.381393.31-0.58%200212171741418.021412.41-0.40%200212202121431.261426.5-0.33%200301061861334.811330.22-0.34%200301081861343.311340.73-0.19%20030110241399.651385.51-1.01%200301101981

17、4111385.51-1.81%20030117231492.651466.01-1.78%200301201811478.621466.01-0.85%200301241261465.191459.24-0.41%200301241931482.681473.37-0.63%200302181831500.161493.09-0.47%200302191701506.311501.45-0.32%200303191671475.21465.69-0.64%20030320851477.061461.19-1.07%20030327981462.161458.32-0.26%200303272

18、171506.261498.83-0.49%200303311691508.351488.94-1.29%200304011591524.091490.64-2.19%200304041691518.261515.81-0.16%200305121801535.321529.13-0.40%200305221681543.511540.6-0.19%200305221841543.881540.6-0.21%200306041881569.841562.73-0.45%200306111551563.681558.99-0.30%20030620231539.331528.58-0.70%20

19、0306262215031486.28-1.11%200306261481506.141502.9-0.22%200306261721517.011507.3-0.64%20030630801500.361483.83-1.10%200307101251531.931523.44-0.55%20030715501530.81517.03-0.90%200307291991480.251475.25-0.34%20030730221479.531469.16-0.70%200307311761482.481474.76-0.52%200308012171478.211475.06-0.21%20

20、030807211485.871485.47-0.03%20030807621496.81485.47-0.76%200308121681484.471473.16-0.76%200308141241474.851451.72-1.57%20030818251451.221442.64-0.59%200309011681441.281437.41-0.27%20030915221413.811394.88-1.34%200309181701395.161387.83-0.53%20030930231361.821348.31-0.99%200310081621372.981367.83-0.3

21、8%200310101281384.361384.09-0.02%200310101531397.151393.09-0.29%200310102021405.781400.56-0.37%20031015491401.351380.85-1.46%20031021221362.221350.33-0.87%20031022751375.591372.77-0.21%200310221231397.631391.41-0.45%200310221271398.331391.41-0.49%20031031211345.841335.3-0.78%200310311111364.151346.2

22、1-1.32%200311031621359.681357.03-0.19%20031104331376.231371.27-0.36%20031104951385.011383.62-0.10%200311141771331.321326.83-0.34%200311191541341.411335.01-0.48%200311241971398.231394.78-0.25%20031128261401.231385.86-1.10%20031203211436.851424.92-0.83%20031217221468.371454.36-0.95%20031219211469.8214

23、29.91-2.72%20040102231503.351501.41-0.13%20040210221714.781684.03-1.79%20040216251677.441669.86-0.45%200402241721682.661672.83-0.58%200402261941654.11647.25-0.41%20040309331653.481635.26-1.10%200403191991740.891736.74-0.24%20040324211746.61729.71-0.97%200404282071615.11605.07-0.62%200405121771593.87

24、1592.64-0.08%20040527831536.891535.44-0.09%200405271851558.291555.06-0.21%200406151911452.081449.47-0.18%200406161701491.221473.89-1.16%20040701951430.441395.66-2.43%200407021931447.451435.44-0.83%20040715531418.431402.59-1.12%20040715651419.571402.59-1.20%200407191741465.541455.12-0.71%200407286413

25、96.971366.72-2.17%200408041661406.211399.67-0.47%20040810251399.191391.06-0.58%20040816371369.521351.09-1.35%200408171031363.21357.41-0.42%200408171971364.361358.11-0.46%200408201871349.391339.17-0.76%20040824791345.11336.5-0.64%200408241691345.951340.02-0.44%200408261641340.861332.73-0.61%200409021

26、731321.821316.1-0.43%20040915491335.291329.21-0.46%20040915871359.091348.8-0.76%200409151611373.861351.36-1.64%20040916211365.971357.57-0.61%200409172161410.51408.12-0.17%20040920231442.621422.99-1.36%200409231831432.761420.21-0.88%200410221541326.981316.1-0.82%20041029791330.991316.21-1.11%20041103

27、1241317.211310.13-0.54%200411032071320.81318.52-0.17%200411101111333.471329.43-0.30%200411101251342.641340-0.20%200411101441345.621341.34-0.32%20041112251360.211341.33-1.39%20041116211376.181350.95-1.83%20041201881342.381333.14-0.69%20041209811332.691327.42-0.40%200412091251350.341338.91-0.85%200412

28、14241312.41303.16-0.70%20041224241286.171280.59-0.43%200412241151290.481282.03-0.65%200412281771283.511275.8-0.60%20050105211247.011236.11-0.87%200501051151258.531245.53-1.03%20050107781255.981237.91-1.44%20050114421268.641243.93-1.95%200501182171224.881220.68-0.34%200501211731237.391227.35-0.81%200

29、50128211226.241209.03-1.40%20050202471211.421209.1-0.19%200502022081249.171245.84-0.27%200502041431253.931251.9-0.16%200502041661264.451261.91-0.20%200502041791264.961263.24-0.14%200502221251300.331297.96-0.18%200502221621309.21303.42-0.44%20050225211320.221312.44-0.59%200503031991290.341289.46-0.07

30、%200503081461313.491309.63-0.29%200504011731209.221201.95-0.60%20050404961217.81202.36-1.27%200504061911220.041213.1-0.57%20050407251227.881223.54-0.35%20050407541247.671223.54-1.93%200504081501238.591232.69-0.48%200504281261163.231158.16-0.44%200504281821172.641166.49-0.52%20050512211122.831100.2-2

31、.02%200505241551077.461071.1-0.59%20050527651067.691050.14-1.64%200506061661029.421019.51-0.96%20050608221065.071032.21-3.09%200506081471109.791032.21-6.99%200506082091114.171032.21-7.36%200506201111104.631100.77-0.35%200506201251105.251102.09-0.29%200506241601097.561093.66-0.36%200506271251129.7811

32、22.95-0.60%200507121421019.351017.42-0.19%200507121561040.671032.93-0.74%20050714391044.871035.19-0.93%20050719681020.51005.42-1.48%2005072012210251016.04-0.87%200507221141042.331041.02-0.13%200507221241044.871041.82-0.29%200507261471077.481068.42-0.84%200508051731124.361122.48-0.17%200508051871125.

33、631122.48-0.28%20050811701175.221164.22-0.94%20050816211192.721170.26-1.88%200508172171190.881176.55-1.20%20050818221198.591146.97-4.31%20050902211187.711179.65-0.68%200509072111191.931188.02-0.33%20051021251139.121133.09-0.53%20051104221094.891088.12-0.62%200511161991090.791089.55-0.11%200511182410

34、97.781095.72-0.19%200511232011106.241102.96-0.30%20051125261113.781107.36-0.58%20051202231102.551089.66-1.17%200512061231088.931083.18-0.53%200512091481106.751105.42-0.12%200512091561107.031105.42-0.15%20051216211124.521118.97-0.49%200512231921143.171141.71-0.13%20060105221186.481183.72-0.23%2006011

35、91541246.181242.58-0.29%20060207261296.911271.19-1.98%200602211781276.191274.71-0.12%20060222231291.661283.45-0.64%20060224231293.451287.47-0.46%20060227231298.821293.58-0.40%200603132031259.751257.18-0.20%200603201401276.31274.94-0.11%200603291851312.61305.06-0.57%20060404211325.971315.69-0.78%2006

36、0406241344.961336.5-0.63%20060412211360.911355.88-0.37%20060413211359.91331.89-2.06%20060417211364.621361.71-0.21%200604211271404.71401.94-0.20%20060508251467.041463.56-0.24%20060510221540.91518.86-1.43%200606161241561.91557.65-0.27%200606211991616.041597.74-1.13%20060623241595.821582.27-0.85%200608

37、081911572.851570.42-0.15%20060810221585.311584.44-0.05%20060814221610.321566.96-2.69%200608151751591.691587.39-0.27%200608211881595.671592.68-0.19%20060921231739.921731.39-0.49%20061024251777.151776.78-0.02%20061027211838.231803.92-1.87%20061109231875.181862.02-0.70%20070124212963.472939.03-0.82%200

38、70129232932.72887.42-1.54%200702011892800.382780.3-0.72%200703061842864.392835.35-1.01%20070312242955.942906.2-1.68%20070315212938.772927.24-0.39%20070319212948.392928.05-0.69%200703191253036.212994.08-1.39%20070601244171.893966.97-4.91%20070621264243.734148.52-2.24%20070706233686.743563.99-3.33%200

39、707171763876.593865.12-0.30%200707171923890.383883.5-0.18%20070720213950.633910.52-1.02%20070723214162.343910.52-6.05%20070725244260.674220.09-0.95%20070803234475.924458.36-0.39%20070809234712.094698.17-0.30%200709041245355.25268.34-1.62%20070917255380.185357.76-0.42%20071010215771.255729.01-0.73%20

40、0711141905384.015339.33-0.83%200711291344953.84923.38-0.61%20071205505016.684970.23-0.93%200712142114983.214966.89-0.33%200801251604805.644739.82-1.37%20080220224694.724557.51-2.92%200803191233812.813703.43-2.87%20080325233572.283522.24-1.40%200804101653472.333399.61-2.09%20080423813212.563195.72-0.

41、52%200804251423631.093550.51-2.22%200804292435303493.08-1.05%20080514273617.83601.55-0.45%20080516243659.833583.42-2.09%200805221623557.013482.58-2.09%200805281473419.943404.86-0.44%20080613232975.322866.63-3.65%20080627232821.532723.21-3.48%200807021082694.922628.78-2.45%20080708212842.742756.71-3.

42、03%20080709212865.472846.11-0.68%200807182122757.562754.39-0.11%200807241622892.272882.36-0.34%200807241702892.652882.36-0.36%200808011832805.22780-0.90%200808012022814.532794.13-0.72%20080820802454.192433.89-0.83%200808201972522.672507.54-0.60%20080827242373.682310.66-2.65%200808291352392.852389.24

43、-0.15%20080910852182.412148.66-1.55%200809121502103.882074.16-1.41%20080919242072.142071.6-0.03%200810071592181.762142.54-1.80%200810131462005.751991.28-0.72%200810131552024.641996.62-1.38%200810202051974.441962.62-0.60%200810202131979.391962.62-0.85%200810231851869.11861.11-0.43%200810231971873.591

44、861.11-0.67%200810281381753.681735.33-1.05%200810281511757.21743.53-0.78%200810301241777.91752.25-1.44%200811071451741.271737.51-0.22%200811191771992.721974.1-0.93%200811211331994.411958.92-1.78%200811261351913.131891-1.16%200812031661945.981934.74-0.58%20081210252046.582005.98-1.98%200812181921998.

45、421996.38-0.10%200812182002003.871997.15-0.34%200812191602038.372013.37-1.23%200901091621904.741897.17-0.40%200901141871912.31902.4-0.52%20090119212002.731966.18-1.83%20090205222126.472083.26-2.03%200902111642304.682230.6-3.21%200903161952150.922142.47-0.39%200903262142346.552341.77-0.20%20090407232447.562407.6-1.63%20090428262403.92372.66-1.30%20090506212574.562553.7-0.81%200905251722602.682594.54-0.31%20090615252751.132732.46-0.68%20090623212871.462843.03-0.99%200906231592890.762881.22-0.33%200906232132939.672889.13-1.72%200907082173096.643072.12-0.79%2009072222