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感谢赏析2017年一般高等学校招生全国一致考试(江苏卷)英语注意事项:答题前,先将自己的姓名、准考据号填写在试题卷和答题卡上,并将准考据号条形码粘贴在答题卡上的指定地点。用2B铅笔将答题卡上试卷种类A后的方框涂黑。2.选择题的作答:每题选出答案后,用2B铅笔把答题卡上对应题目的答案标号涂黑,写在试题卷、草稿纸和答题卡上的非答题地区均无效。非选择题的作答:用署名笔挺接答在答题卡上对应的答题地区内。写在试题卷、底稿纸和答题卡上的非答题地区均无效。考试结束后,请将本试题卷和答题卡一并上交。第Ⅰ卷第一部分听力(共两节,满分20分)做题时,现将答案标在试卷上,录音内容结束后,你将有两分钟的时间将试卷上的答案转涂到答题卡上。第一节(共5小题;每题1分,满分5分)听下边5段对话,每段对话后有一个小题。从题中所给的A、B、C三个选项中选出最正确选项,并标在试卷的相应地点。听完每段对话后,你都有10秒钟的时间往返答有关小题和阅读下一小题。每段对话仅读一遍。例:Howmuchistheshirt?A.?19.15.B.?9.18.C.?9.15.答案是C。1.Whatdoesthewomanthinkofthemovie?A.It'samusing.B.It'sexciting.C.It'sdisappointing.2.HowwillSusanspendmostofhertimeinFrance?A.Travelingaround.B.Studyingataschool.C.Lookingafterheraunt.3.Whatarethespeakerstalkingabout?A.Goingout.B.Orderingdrinks.C.Preparingforaparty.4.Wherearethespeakers?A.Inaclassroom.B.Inalibrary.C.Inabookstore.5.Whatisthemangoingtodo?A.GoontheInternet.B.Makeaphonecall.C.Takeatraintrip.第二节(共15小题;每题1分,满分15分)听下边5段对话或独白。每段对话或独白后有几个小题,从题中所给的A、B、C三个选项中选出最正确选项,并标在试卷的相应地点。听每段对话或独白前,你将有时间阅读各个小题,每题5秒钟;听完后,感谢赏析感谢赏析各小题将给出5秒钟的作答时间。每段对话或独白读两遍。听第6段资料,回答第6、7题。6.Whatisthewomanlookingfor?A.Aninformationoffice.B.Apolicestation.C.Ashoerepairshop.7.WhatistheTownGuideaccordingtotheman?A.Abrochure.B.Anewspaper.C.Amap.听第7段资料,回答第8、9题。8.Whatdoesthemansayabouttherestaurant?A.It'sthebiggestonearound.B.Itoffersmanytastydishes.C.It'sfamounsforitsseafood.9.Whatwillthewomanprobablyorder?A.Friedfish.B.Roastchicken.C.Beefsteak.听第8段资料,回答第10至12题。10.WherewillMr.Whitebeat11o'clock?A.Attheoffice.B.Attheairport.C.Attherestaurant.11.WhatwillMr.Whiteprobablydoatoneintheafternoon?A.Receliveaguest.B.Haveameeting.C.Readareport.12.WhenwillMissWilsonseeMr.White?A.Atlunchtime.B.Lateintheafternoon.C.Thenextmorning.听第9段资料,回答第13至16题。13.WhyisBiligoingtoGermany?A.Toworkonaproject.B.TostudyGerman.C.Tostartanewcompany.14.WhatdidthewomandislikeaboutGermany?A.Theweather.B.Thefood.C.Theschools.15.WhatdoesBillhopetodoabouthisfamily?A.BringthemtoGermany.B.LeavetheminEngland.C.Visittheminafewmonths.16.Whatistheprobablerelationshipbetweenthespeakers?A.Fellow-travelers.B.Colleagues.C.Classmates.感谢赏析感谢赏析听第10段资料,回答第17至20题。17.WhendiditrainlasttimeinJuárez?A.Threedaysago.B.Amonthago.C.Ayearago.18.Whatseasonisitnowinjuárez?A.Spring.B.SummerC.Autumn.19.Whataretheelderlyadvisedtodo?A.Takeawalkinafternoon.B.Keeptheirhomescool.C.Drinkplentyofwater.20.Whatisthespeakerdoing?A.Hostingaradioprogram.B.Conductingaseminar.C.Forecastingtheweather.第二部分:英语知识运用(共两节,满分35分)第一节:单项填空(共15小题;每题1分,满分15分)请阅读下边各题,从题中所给的A、B、C、D四个选项中,选出最正确选项,并在答题卡大将该项涂黑。例:Itisgenerallyconsideredunwisetogiveachild_________heorshewants.A.howeverB.whateverC.whicheverD.whenever答案是B。21.ManyChinesebrands,__________theirreputationsovercenturies,arefacingnewchallengesfromthemodernmarket.A.havingdevelopedB.beingdevelopedC.developedD.developing22.__________notforthesupportoftheteachers,thestudentcouldnotovercomeherdifficulty.A.ItwereB.WereitC.ItwasD.Wasit23.Located_________theBeltmeetstheRoad,JiangsuwillcontributemoretotheBeltandRoadconstruction.A.whyB.whenC.whichD.where24.ThepublicationofGreatExpectations,which_________bothwidelyreviewedandhighlypraised,strengthenedDickens,statusasaleadingnovelist.A.isB.areC.wasD.were25.WorkingwiththemedicalteaminAfricahas_________thebestinherasadoctor.A.heldoutB.broughtoutC.pickedoutD.givenout26.Wechoosethishotelbecausethepriceforanighthereisdownto$20,halfof_________itusedtocharge.A.thatB.whichC.whatD.how27.Hehurriedhome,neveroncelookingbacktoseeifhe_________.A.wasbeingfollowedB.wasfollowingC.hadbeenfollowedD.followed感谢赏析感谢赏析28.In1963theUNsetuptheWorldFoodProgramme,oneof_____purposesistorelieveworldwidestarvation.A.whichB.itsC.whoseD.whom29.OnlyfiveyearsafterSteveJobs’death,smart-phonesdefeated_________PCsinsales.A.controversialB.contradictoryC.confidentialD.conventional30.Aquickreviewofsuccessesandfailuresattheendofyearwillhelp_________youryearahead.A.shapeB.switchC.stretchD.sharpen31.He’sbeeninformedthathe_________forthescholarshipbecauseofhisacademicbackground.A.hasn’qualifiedtB.hadn’tqualifiedC.doesn’tqualifyD.wasn’tqualifying32.Determiningwhereweare_________oursurroundingsremainsanessentialskillforoursurvival.A.incontrasttoB.indefenseofC.infaceofD.inrelationto33.—WhatdoesthestuffonyourT-shirtmean?—it’snothing.Justsomething_________.A.asclearasdayB.offthetopofmyheadC.undermynoseD.beyondmywildestdreams34.Thedisappearanceofdinosaursisnotnecessarilycausedbyastronomicalincidents.But_________explanationsarehardtofind.A.alternativeB.aggressiveC.ambiguousD.apparent—GoingtowatchtheWomen’sVolleyballMatchonWednesday?—_________!Willyougowithme?A.YouthereB.YoubetC.YougotmeD.Youknowbetter第二节:完形填空(共20小题;每题1分,满分20分)请阅读下边短文,从短文后各题所给的A、B、C、D四个选项中,选出最正确选项,并在答题卡学*科*网大将该项涂黑。ForalongtimeGabrieldidn’twanttobeinvolvedinmusicatall.Inhisfirstyearsofhighschool,Gabrielwouldlookpityinglyatmusicstudents,36acrossthecampuswiththeirheavyinstrumentcases.37atschoolforpracticehours38anyoneelsehadtobethere.Hesworetohimselfto39music,ashehatedgettingtoschoolextraearly.__40___,oneday,inthemusicclassthatwas__41__ofhisschool’sstandard,hewascurriculumplayingidly(任意地)onthepianoandfoundit____42___topickouttunes.Withasinkingfeeling,herealizedthatheactually__43__doingit.Hetriedtohidehis__44__pleasurefromthemusicteacher,whohad__45__overtolisten.Hemightnothavedonethisparticularlywell,__46__theteachertoldGabrielthathehadagood___47__andsuggestedthatGabrielgointothemusicstore-roomtoseeifanyoftheinstrumentsthere__48__him.Therehedecidedtogivethecello(大提琴)a__49__.Whenhebeganpracticing,hetookitvery__50__.Buthequickly感谢赏析感谢赏析foundthathelovedplayingthisinstrument,andwas__51__topracticingitsothatwithinacoupleofmonthshewasplayingreasonablywell.This__52__,ofcourse,thathearrivedatschoolearlyinthemorning,__53__hisheavyinstrumentcaseacrossthecampustothe__54__looksofthenon-musicianshehadleft__55__.36.A.travellingB.marchingC.pacingD.struggling37.A.risingupB.comingupC.drivingupD.turningup38.A.beforeB.afterC.untilD.since39.A.betrayB.acceptC.avoidD.appreciate40.A.ThereforeB.HoweverC.ThusD.Moreover41.A.partB.natureC.basisD.spirit42.A.complicatedB.safeC.confusingD.easy43.A.missedB.dislikedC.enjoyedD.denied44.A.transparentB.obviousC.falseD.similar45.A.runB.joggedC.jumpedD.wandered46.A.becauseB.butC.thoughD.so47.A.earB.tasteC.heartD.voice48.A.occurredtoB.tooktoC.appealedtoD.heldto49.A.changeB.chanceC.missionD.function50.A.seriouslyB.proudlyC.casuallyD.naturally51.A.committedB.usedC.limitedD.admitted52.A.provedB.showedC.stressedD.meant53.A.pushingB.draggingC.liftingD.rushing54.A.admiringB.pityingC.annoyingD.teasing55.A.overB.asideC.behindD.out第三部分:阅读理解(共15小题;每题2分,满分30分)请阅读以下短文,从短文后各题所给的A、B、C、D四个选项中,选出最正确选项,并在答题卡大将该项涂黑。ACHRONOLOGICA——TheUnbelievableYearsthatDefinedHistoryDIDYOUKNOW感谢赏析感谢赏析In105ADpaperwasinventedinChina?WhenColumbusdiscoveredtheNewWorld?TheBritishMuseumopenedin1759?CHRONOLOGICAisafascinatingjourneythroughtime,fromthefoundationofRometothecreationoftheinternet.Alongthewayaretalesofkingsandqueens,hotairballoonsandmonkeysinspace.Travelthrough100ofthemostunbelievableyearsinworldhistoryandlearnwhybeingaRomanEmperorwasn’talwaysasgoodasitsounds,howtheHundredYears’Wardidn’tactuallylastfor100yearsandwhySpencerPercevalholdsaratherunfortunaterecord.CHRONOLOGICAisaninformativeandentertainingtourintohistory,beautifullyillustratedandfullofunbelievablefacts.WhileCHRONOLOGICAtellsthestoriesoffamouspeopleinhistorysuchasThomasEdisonandAlexandertheGreat,thisbookalsogivesanaccountofthelivesoflesser-knownindividualsincludingtheexplorerMungoParkandsculptorGutzonBorglum.Thiscompletebutbriefhistoricalcollectioniscertaintoentertainreadersyoungandold,andguaranteedtopresenteventhebiggesthistoryloverwithsomethingnew!56.WhatisCHRONOLOGICAaccordingtothenext?AAbiography.BAtravelguide.CAhistorybook.DAsciencefiction.57.HowdoesthewriterrecommendCHRONOLOGICAtoreaders?ABygivingdetailsofitscollection.BByintroducingsomeofitscontents.CBytellingstoriesatthebeginning.DBycomparingitwithotherbooks.BBeforebirth,babiescantellthedifferencebetweenloudsoundsandvoices.Theycanevendistinguishtheirmother’svoicefromthatofafemalestrangerBut.whenitcomestoembryoniclearningbirdscouldruletheroost.AsrecentlyreportedinTheAuk:OrnithologicalAdvances,somemotherbirdsmayteachtheiryoungtosingevenbeforetheyhatch().New-bornchickscanthenimitatetheirmom’scallwithinafewdaysofenteringtheworld.Thiseducationalmethodwasfirstobservedin2012bySoniaKIeindorfer,abiologistatFlindersUniversityinSouthAustralia,andhercolleagues.FemaleAustraliansuperbfairywrenswerefoundtorepeatonesoundoverandoveragainwhilehatchingtheireggs,Whentheeggswerehatched,thebabybirdsmadethesimilarchirptotheirmothers—asoundthatservedastheirregular“feedme!”call.感谢赏析感谢赏析Tofindoutifthespecialqualitywasmorewidespreadinbirds,theresearcherssoughttheredbackedfairywren,anotherspeciesofAustraliansongbird.Firsttheycollectedsounddatafrom67nestsinfoursitesinQueenslandbeforeandafterhatching.Thentheyidentifiedbeggingcallsbyanalyzingtheorderandnumberofnotes.Acomputeranalysisblindlycomparedcallsproducedbymothersandchicks,rankingthembysimilarity.Itturnsoutthatbabyred-backedfairywrensalsoemergechirpingliketheirmoms.Andthemorefrequentlymothershadcalledtotheireggs,themoresimilarwerethebabies’beggingcalls.Inaddition,theteamsetupaseparateexperimentthatsuggestedthatthebabybirdsthatmostcloselyimitatedtheirmom’svowiththemostfood.Thisobservationhintsthateffectiveembryoniclearningcouldsignalneurological(神经系统的)strengthsofchildrentoparents.Anevolutionaryinferencecanthenbedrawn.”Asaparent,doyouinvestinqualitychildrdoyouinvestinchildrenthatareinneed?”KIeindorferasks.”Ourresultssuggestthattheymightbegoingforquality.”58.TheunderlinedphraseinParagraph1means“”.A.betheworstB.bethebestC.betheasbadD.bejustasgood59.WhatareKleindorfer’sfindingsbasedon?A.Similaritiesbetweenthecallsofmomsandchicks.B.TheobservationoffairywrensacrossAustralia.C.ThedatacollectedfromQueensland’slocals.D.Controlledexperimentsonwrensandotherbirds.60.Embryoniclearninghelpsmotherbirdstoidentifythebabybirdswhich.A.canreceivequalitysignalsB.areinneedoftrainingC.fittheenvironmentbetterD.maketheloudestcallCAnewcommoditybringsaboutahighlyprofitable,fast-growingindustry,urgingantitrust(反垄断)regulatorstostepintocheckthosewhocontrolitsflow.Acenturyago,theresourceinquestionwasoil.Nowsimilarconcernsaresbeingraisedbythegiants(巨头)thatdealindata,theoilofthedigitalage.ThemostvaluablefirmsareGoogle,Amazon,FacebookandMicrosoft.Alllookunstoppable.Suchsituationshaveledtocallsforthetechgiantstobebrokenup.Butsizealoneisnotacrime.Thegiants’successhasbenefitedconsumers.Fewwanttolivewithoutsearchenginesoraquickdelivery.Farfromchargingconsumershighprices,manyoftheseservicesarefree(userspay,ineffect,byhandingoveryetmoredata).Andtheappearanceofnew-borngiantssuggeststhatnewcomerscanmakewaves,too.Butthereiscauseforconcern.Theinternethasmadedataabundant,all-presentandfarmorevaluable,changingthenatureofdataandcompetition.Googleinitiallyusedthedatacollectedfromuserstotargetadvertisingbetter.Butrecentlyithasdiscoveredthatdatacanbeturnedintonewservices:translationandvisualrecognition,tobesoldtoothercompanies.Internetcompanies’controlofdatagivesthemenormouspowerhavea“God’seyeview”ofactivitiesintheirownmarketsandbeyond.Thisnatureofdatamakestheantitrustmeasuresofthepastlessuseful.BreakingupfirmslikeGoogleinto感谢赏析感谢赏析fivesmalloneswouldnotstopremakingthemselves:intime,oneofthemwouldbecomegreatagain.Arethinkisrequired—andasanewapproachstartstobecomeapparent,twoideasstandout.Thefirstisthatantitrustauthoritiesneedtomoveformtheindustrialageintothe21stcentury.Whenconsideringamerger(吞并),forexample,theyhavetraditionallyusedsizetodeterminewhentostepin.Theynowneedtotakeintoaccounttheextentoffirms'dataassets(财产)whenassessingtheimpactofdeals.Thepurchasepricecouldalsobeasignalthatanestablishedcompanyisbuyinganew-bornthreat.Whenthistakesplace,especiallywhenanew-borncompanyhasnorevenuetospeakof,theregulatorsshouldraiseredflags.Thesecondprincipleistoloosenthecontrolthatprovidersofon-lineserviceshaveoverdataandgivemoretothosewhosupplythem.Companiescouldbeforcedtoconsumerswhatinformationtheyholdandhowmanymoneytheymakeformit.Govemmentscouldorderthesharingofcertainkindsofdata,withusers'consent.RestartingantitrustfortheinformationagewillnotbeeasyButifgovemmentsdon'twantsadataoconomybyafewgiants,theymustactsoon.61.Whyisthereacalltobreakupgiants?A.TheyhavecontrolledthedatamarketB.TheycollectenormousprivatedataC.TheynolongerprovidefreeservicesD.Theydismissedsomenew-borngiants62.WhatdoesthetechnologicalinnovationinParagraph3indicate?A.Datagiants’technologyisexpensiveveryB.Google’sideaispopularamongdatafirmsC.Datacanstrengthengiants’controllingpositionD.DatacanbeturnedintonewservicesorproductsBypayingattentiontofirmsA.killanewthreatC.favourbiggerfirms
’dataassets,antitrustregulatorscould.B.avoidthesizetrapD.chargehigherprices64.Whatisthepurposeoflooseningthegiants’controlofdata?A.Bigcompaniescouldrelievedatasecuritypressure.B.Governmentscouldrelievetheirfinancialpressure.C.Consumerscouldbetterprotecttheirprivacy.D.Smallcompaniescouldgetmoreopportunities.感谢赏析感谢赏析DOldProblem,NewApproachesWhilecleanenergyisincreasinglyusedinourdailylife,globalwarningwillcontinueforsomedecadesafterCO2emissions(排放)peak.Soevenifemissionsweretobegintodecreasetoday,wewouldstillfacethechallengeofadaptingtoclimatechange.HereIwillstresssomesmarterandmorecreativeexamplesofclimateadaptation.Whenitcomestoadaptation,itisimportanttounderstandthatclimatechangeisaprocess.Wearethereforenottalkingaboutadaptingtoanewstandard,buttoaconstantlyshiftingsetofconditions.Thisiswhy,inpartatleast,theUSNationalClimateAssessmentsaysthat:“Thereisno‘one-sizefitsall’adaptation.”Nevertheless,therearesomeactionsthatoffermuchandcarrylittleriskorcost.Aroundtheworld,peopleareadaptinginsurprisingways,especiallyinsomepoorcountries.FloodshavebecomemoredamaginginBangladeshinrecentdecades.MohammedRezwansawopportunitywhereotherssawonlydisaster.Hisnot-for-profitorganizationruns100riverboatsthatserveasfloatinglibraries,schools,andhealthclinics,andareequippedwithsolarpanelsandothercommunicatingfacilities.Rezwaniscreatingfloatingconnectivity(连体)toreplacefloodedroadsandhighways.Butheisalsoworkingatafarmorefundamentallevel:hisstaffshowpeoplehowtomakefloatinggardensandfishpondspreventstarvationduringthewetseason.ElsewhereinAsiaevenmoreastonishingactionsarebeingtaken.ChewangNophellivesinamountainousregioninIndia,whereheisknownastheIceMan.Thelossofglaciers(冰川)thereduetoglobalwarmingrepresentsanenormousthreattoagriculture.Withouttheglaciers,waterwillarriveintheriversattimeswhenitcandamagecrops.Norphel’sinspirationamefromcseeingthewasteofwateroverwinter,whenitwasnotneeded.Hedirectedthewastedwaterintoshallowbasinswhereitfroze,andwasstoreduntilthespring.Hisfieldsoficesupplyperfectlytimedirrigation(浇灌)water.Havingcreatedninesuchicereserves,Norphelcalculatesthathehasstoredabout200,000m3ofwater.Climatechangeisacontinuingprocess,soNorphel’sicerserveswillnotlastforever.Warmingwillovertakethem.Butheisprovidingafewyearsduringwhichthefarmerswill,perhaps,beabletofindothermeansofadapting.IncreasingEarth’reflectivenesscancooltheplanet.InsouthernSpainthesuddenincreaseofgreenhouses(whichreflectlightbacktospace)haschangedthewarmingtrendlocally,andactuallycooledtheregion.WhileSpainasawholeisheatingupquickly,temperaturesnearthegreenhouseshavedecreased.Thisexampleshouldactasaninspirationforallcities.Bypaintingbuildingswhite,citiesmayslowdownthewarmingprocess.InPeru,localfarmersaroundamountainwithaglacierthathasalreadyfallenvictimtoclimatechangehavebegunpaintingtheentiremountainpeakwhiteinthehopethattheaddedreflectivenesswillrestorethelife-givingice.Theoutcomeisstillfarfromclear.ButtheWorldBankhasincludedtheprojectonitsof"100ideastosavetheplanet”.Moreordinaryformsofadaptationarehappeningeverywhere.Afriendofmineownsanareaoflandin感谢赏析感谢赏析westernVictoria.Overfivegenerationsthelandhasbeentoowetforcropping.Butduringthepastdecadedecliningrainfallhasallowedhimtoplanthighlyprofitablecrops.Farmersinmanycountriesarealsoadaptinglikethis—eitherbygrowingnewproduce,orbygrowingthesamethingsdifferently.Thisiscommonsense.Butsomesuggestionsforadaptingarenot.Whenthepollutingindustriesarguethatwe’velostthebattletoconpollutionandhavenochoicebuttoadapt,it’sanonsensedesignedtomakethecaseforbusinessasusual.Humanbeingswillcontinuetoadapttothechangingclimateinbothordinaryandastonishingways.Butthemostsensibleformofadaptationissurelytoadaptourenergysystemstoemitlesscarbonpollution.Afterall,ifweadaptinthatway,wemayavoidtheneedtochangeinsomanyothers.65.TheunderlinedpartinParagraph2implies.A.adaptationisanever-changingprocessB.thecostofadaptationvarieswithtimeC.globalwarmingaffectsadaptationformsD.adaptationtoclimatechangeischallenging66.WhatisspecialwithregardtoRezwan’sproject?A.Theprojectreceivesgovernmentsupport.B.Differentorganizationsworkwitheachother.C.Hisorganizationmakesthebestofabadsituation.D.Theprojectconnectsfloodedroadsandhighways.WhatdidtheIceMandotoreducetheeffectofglobalwarming?Storingiceforfutureuse.Protectingtheglaciersfrommelting.Changingtheirrigationtime.Postponingthemeltingoftheglaciers.WhatdowelearnfromthePeruexample?Whitepaintisusuallysafeforbuildings.Theglobalwarmingtreadcannotbestopped.Thiscountryisheatinguptooquickly.Sunlightreflectionmayrelieveglobalwarming.69.Accordingtotheauthor,pollutingindustriesshould.A.adapttocarbonpollution感谢赏析感谢赏析B.planthighlyprofitablecropsC.leavecarbonemissionaloneD.fightagainstcarbonpollution70.What’stheauthorpreferred’ssolutiontoglobalwarming?A.Settingupanewstandard.B.Reducingcarbonemission.C.Adaptingtoclimatechange.D.Monitoringpollutingindustries.第四部分:任务型阅读(共10小题;每题1分,满分10分)请阅读下边短文,并依据所读内容在文章后表格中的空格里填入一个..最适合的单词。注意:请将答案写在答题卡上相应题号的横线上。每个空格只填一学.科.网个单词。PopulationChangeWhyistheworld’spopulationgrowing?Theanswerisnotwhatyoumightthink.Thereasonfortheexplosionisnotthatpeoplehavebeenreproducinglikerabbits,butthatpeoplehavestoppeddroppingdeadlikeflies.In1900,peoplediedattheaverageageof30.By2000theaverageagewas65.Butwhileincreasinghealthwasatupicalfeatureofthe20thcentury,decliningbirthratecouldbeadefiningoneofthe21st.Statisticsshowthattheaveragenumberofbirthsperwomanhasfallenfrom4.9intheearly1960sto2.5nowadays.Furthermore,around50%oftheworld’populationsliveinregionswherethefigureisnowbelowthereplacementlevel(i.e.2.1birthsperwoman)andalmostalldevelopednationsareexperiencingsub-repalanementbirthrate.Youmightthinkthatdevelopingnationswouldmakeuptheloss(especiallysince80%oftheworld’speoplenowliveinsuchnations),butyou’dbewrong,Decliningrateisabirthmajorprobleminmanydevelopingregionstoo,whichmightcausecatastrophicglobalshortagesofworkforcewithinafewdecades.AgreatdeclineinyoungworkforceislikelytooccurinChina,forinstance.Whatdoesitimply?First,Chinaneedstoundergorapideconomicdevelopmentbeforeapopulationdeclinehitsthecountry.Sencond,ifotherfactorssuchastechnologyremainconstant,economicgrowthandmaterialexpectationswillfallwellbelowrecentstandardsandthiscouldinvitetrouble.Russiaisanothercountrywithpopulationproblemsthatcouldbreakitseconomicpromise.Since1992thenumberofpeopledyinghasbeenbiggenthanthatofthosebeingbornbyamassive50%,Indeedofficialfiguressuggestthecountryhasshrunkby5%since1993andpeopleinRussialiveashorterlifenowthanthosein1961.Whyisthisoccurring?Nobodyisquitesure,butpoordietanabovealllong-timealcoholismhavemuchtodowithit.Ifcurrenttrendsdon’tbend.Russia’spopulationwillbeaboutthesizeofYemen’sbytInthenorthofindia,thepopulationisboomingduetohighbirthrates,butinthesouth,wheremostceonmoicdeveloumentistakingplace,birthrateisfallingrapidly.Inafurthertwist,birthtateishighestinpoorlyeducatedruralarceasanlowestinhighlyeducatedurbanareas.Intotal,25%ofIndia’w
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