时间序列分析-var模型实验

#positionofP:PeriodS.E.DLEP10.5449360.25733799.7426620.9837341.37891298.6210931.4187241.20744898.7925541.8251420.82489299.1751152.1948950.59927299.4007362.5220960.45388299.5461272.8070260.38586299.6141483.0507090.37289099.6271193.2558400.40512599.59488103.4259920.46978699.53021113.5649130.55340199.44660123.6765910.64929299.35071133.7649360.75050199.24950143.8336290.85127199.14873153.8860880.94810499.05190163.9253751.03814598.96186173.9541801.11948298.88052183.9748111.19116998.80883193.9892071.25283598.74717203.9989591.30464098.69536214.0053421.34717398.65283224.0093541.38127898.61872234.0117561.40797098.59203244.0131121.42833898.57166254.0138271.44346398.55654264.0141791.45436298.54564274.0143511.46195298.53805284.0144571.46702898.53297294.0145601.47025498.52975304.0146901.47216798.52783314.0148561.47318898.52681324.0150541.47363598.52636334.0152741.47373998.52626344.0155041.47366298.52634354.0157341.47350998.52649364.0159531.47334998.52665附录具体数据指标国房景气指数指标国房景气指数—当月人民币对美元期末汇率地区全国全国频度月月单位-人民币/美元2005-07101.978.112005-08101.768.12005-09101.428.092005-10101.028.082005-11100.698.082005-12100.618.072006-01100.768.062006-02101.058.042006-03101.468.022006-04101.618.022006-05101.878.022006-06102.9382006-07103.517.972006-08103.317.962006-09103.147.912006-10103.47.882006-11103.927.842006-12102.967.812007-01102.427.782007-02101.787.742007-03101.227.732007-04102.657.712007-05103.327.652007-06103.637.622007-071047.572007-08104.487.562007-09104.997.512007-10105.747.472007-11106.597.42007-12106.457.32008-01106.117.192008-02105.557.112008-03104.727.022008-04104.0772008-05103.346.942008-06103.086.862008-07102.366.842008-08101.786.832008-09101.156.822008-1099.686.832008-1198.466.832008-1296.466.832009-0195.666.842009-0294.866.842009-0394.746.842009-0494.766.832009-0595.946.832009-0696.556.832009-0798.016.832009-08100.086.832009-09101.086.832009-10102.036.832009-11102.786.832009-12103.666.832010-01104.5656.832010-02105.476.832010-03105.896.832010-04105.666.832010-05105.076.832010-06105.066.782010-07104.726.782010-08104.116.812010-09103.526.692010-10103.576.672010-11103.26.672010-12101.796.592011-01102.3456.592011-02102.96.582011-03102.986.562011-04103.196.52011-05103.26.482011-06101.756.472011-07101.56.442011-08101.126.392011-09100.416.352011-10100.276.322011-1199.876.352011-1298.892011-1298.896.32012-0198.396.312012-0297.896.292012-0396.926.292012-0495.626.282012-0594.96.342012-0694.716.322012-0794.576.332012-0894.646.342012-0994.396.342012-1094.566.32012-1195.716.292012-1295.596.292013-0196.7556.282013-0297.926.282013-0397.566.272013-0497.356.222013-0597.266.182013-0697.296.182013-0797.396.182013-0897.296.172013-0997.256.152013-1096.886.142013-1196.386.132013-1297.216.12014-0197.066.112014-0296.916.122014-0396.46.152014-0495.796.162014-0595.026.172014-0694.846.152014-0794.826.172014-0894.796.162014-0994.726.152014-1094.766.15存在问题1、在进行单位根检验时，对于阶数的确定根据信息准则，那么在单