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ForWantofaDrink
Whenthewordwaterappearsinprintnowadays,crisisisrarely
farbehind.Water,itissaid,isthenewoil:aresourcelong
squandered,nowgrowingexpensiveandsoontobe
overwhelmedbyinsatiabledemand.Aquifersarefalling,
glaciersvanishing,reservoirsdryingupandriversnolonger
flowingtothesea.Climatechangethreatenstomakethe
problemworse.Everyonemustuselesswateriffamine,
pestilenceandmassmigrationarenottosweeptheglobe.
2.Thelanguageisoftenoverblown,andtheremedies
sometimesill-conceived,butthebasicmessageisnotwrong.
Waterisindeedscarceinmanyplaces,andwillgrowscarcer.
Bringingsupplyanddemandintoequilibriumwillbepainful,
andpoliticaldisputesmayincreaseinnumberandintensifyin
theircapacitytocausetrouble.Tocarryonwithpresent
practicewouldindeedbetoinvitedisaster.
3.Why?Thedifficultiesstartwiththesheernumberofpeople
usingthestuff.When,60yearsago,theworld'spopulationwas
about2.5billion,worriesaboutwatersupplyaffectedrelatively
fewpeople.Bothdroughtandhungerexisted,astheyhave
throughouthistory,butmostpeoplecouldbefedwithout
irrigatedfarming.Thenthegreenrevolution,inaninspired
combinationofnewcropbreeds,fertilizersandwater,made
possibleahugeriseinthepopulation.Thenumberofpeople
onEarthroseto6billionin2000,nearly7billiontoday,andis
headingfor9billionin2050.Theareaunderirrigationhas
doubledandtheamountofwaterdrawnforfarminghastripled.
Theproportionofpeoplelivingincountrieschronicallyshortof
waterissettorisefrom8%attheturnofthe21stcenturyto
45%by2050.
4.Farmers'increasingdemandforwateriscausednotonlyby
thegrowingnumberofmouthstobefedbutalsobypeople's
desireforbetter-tasting,moreinterestingfood.Unfortunately,
ittakesnearlytwiceasmuchwatertogrowakiloofpeanutsas
akiloofsoybeans,nearlyfourtimesasmuchwatertoproduce
akiloofbeefasakiloofchicken.With2billionpeoplearound
theworldabouttoenterthemiddleclass,theagricultural
demandsonwaterwouldincreaseevenifthepopulationstood
still.
5.Industry,too,needswater.Ittakesabout22%oftheworld's
withdrawals.Domesticactivitiestaketheother8%.Together,
thedemandsofthesetwocategoriesquadrupledinthesecond
halfofthe20thcentury,growingtwiceasfastasthoseof
farming.
6.Meetingthatdemandisadifficulttask.Onereasonisthatthe
supplyofwaterisfinite.Theworldwillhavenomoreofitin
2025or2050thanithastoday,orwhenitlappedatthesidesof
Noah'sArk.Thisisbecausethelawofconservationofmasssays,
broadly,thathoweveryouuseit,youcannotdestroythestuff.
Neithercanyoureadilymakeit.Ifsomeofitseemstocome
fromtheskies,thatisbecauseithasevaporatedfromthe
Earth'ssurface,condensedandreturned.
7.Mostofthissurfaceissea,andthewaterbelowit—over97%
ofthetotalonEarth—issalty.Inprinciple,thesaltcanbe
removedtoincreasethesupplyoffreshwater,butatpresent
desalinationisexpensiveanduseslotsofenergy.
8.Ofthe2.5%ofwaterthatisnotsalty,about70%isfrozen,
eitheratthepoles,inglaciersorinpermafrost.Soallliving
things,exceptthoseinthesea,haveabout0.75%ofthetotalto
surviveon.Mostofthisavailablewaterisunderground,in
aquifersorsimilarformations.Therestisfallingasrain,sitting
inlakesandreservoirsorflowinginriverswhereitis,withluck,
replacedbyrainfallandmeltingsnowandice.Thereisalso,
takenote,watervaporintheatmosphere.
9.Thevalueofwaterasacommodityofcoursevariesaccording
tolocality,purposeandcircumstance.Takelocalityfirst.Water
isnotevenlydistributed—justninecountriesaccountfor60%
ofallavailablefreshsupplies—andamongthemonlyBrazil,
Canada,Colombia,Congo,IndonesiaandRussiahavean
abundance.Americaisrelativelywelloff,butChinaandIndia,
withoverathirdoftheworld'spopulationbetweenthem,have
lessthan10%ofitswater.
10.Evenwithincountriesthevariationsmaybehuge.The
averageannualrainfallinIndia'snortheastis110timesthatin
itswesterndesert.Andmanyplaceshaveplentyofwater;or
evenfartoomuch.Floodingisroutine,andmaybecomemore
frequentanddamagingwithclimatechange.
ll.Scarceorplentiful,waterisabovealllocal.Itisheavy—one
cubicwaterweighsatonne—,soexpensivetomove.Surface
water—mostlyrivers,lakesandreservoirs—willnotflowfrom
onebasinintoanotherwithoutartificialdiversion,andusually
onlywithpumping.Withinabasin,thewaterupstreammaybe
usefulforirrigation,industrialordomesticuse.Asitnearsthe
sea,though,theopportunitiesdiminishtothepointwhereit
hasnousesexcepttosustaindeltas,wetlandsandtocarrysilt
outtosea.
12.Theseshouldnotbeoverlooked.Ifriversdonotflow,
nothingcanliveinthem.Overafifthoftheworld'sfreshwater
fishspeciesofacenturyagoarenowendangeredorextinct.
Halftheworld'swetlandshavealsodisappearedoverthepast
200years.Thepointis,though,thatevenwithinabasinwater
ismorevaluableinsomeplacesthaninothers.
13.Almostanywherearid,thewaterunderground,oncelargely
ignored,hascometobeseenasespeciallyvaluableasthe
demandsoffarmershaveoutgrowntheirsuppliesofrainand
surfacewater.Groundwaterhascometotherescue,andfora
whileitseemedamiraculoussolution:drillaborehole,pump
thestuffupfrombelowandinduecourseitwillbereplaced.In
manyplaces,however,fromtheUnitedStatestoIndiaand
China,thequantitiesbeingwithdrawnexceedtheannual
recharge.Thisisseriousformillionsofpeoplenotjustinthe
countrybutalsoinmanyoftheworld'sbiggestcities,which
oftendependonaquifersfortheirdrinkingwater.
14.The20millioninhabitantsofMexicoCityanditssurrounding
area,forexample,drawover70%oftheirwaterfromanaquifer
thatwillrundrywithin200years,maybesooner.Alreadythe
cityissinkingasaresult.IntheHairiverbasininChina,
deep-groundwatertableshavedroppedbyupto90meters.
15.Partofthebeautyoftheboreholeisthatitrequiresno
elaborateapparatus.Asinglefarmermaybeabletosinkhis
owntubewellandstartpumping.ThatiswhyIndiaandChina
arenowperforatedwithmillionsofirrigationwells,each
drawingonthecommonresource.Sometimesthisresource
maybehuge.Butevenbigaquifersarenotimmunetothelaws
ofphysics.Manyplacesareseriouslyoverdrawn.Inthoseplaces,
farmersprobablyhavetopaysomethingfortherighttodraw
groundwater.Butalmostnowherewillthepricereflectscarcity,
andoftenthereisnochargeatallandnoonemeasureshow
muchwaterisbeingtaken.
16.Pricedornot,wateriscertainlyvalued,andthatvalue
dependsontheusetowhichitisharnessed.Waterisusednot
justtogrowfoodbuttomakeeverykindofproduct,from
microchipstosteelgirders.Thelargestindustrialpurposeto
whichitisputiscoolinginthermalpowergeneration,butitis
alsousedindrillingforandextractingoil,themakingof
petroleumproductsandethanol,andtheproductionof
hydroelectricity.Someoftheprocessesinvolved,suchashydro
powergeneration,consumelittlewater(afterdrivingthe
turbines,mostisreturnedtotheriver),butsome,suchasthe
techniquesusedtoextractoilfromsands,arebigconsumers.
17.Industrialusetakesabout60%ofwaterinrichcountriesand
10%intherest.Thedifferenceindomesticuseismuchsmaller,
11%and8%respectively.Someofthevariationisexplainedby
capaciousbaths,powershowersandflushlavatoriesintherich
world.Allhumans,however;needabasicminimumoftwolitres
ofwaterinfoodordrinkeachday,andforthisthereisno
substitute.NoonesurvivedintheruinsofPort-au-Princefor
morethanafewdaysafterJanuary'searthquakeunlessthey
hadaccesstosomewater-basedfoodordrink.Thatiswhy
manypeopleinpoorandaridcountries—usuallywomenor
children—setoffearlyeachmorningtotrudgetothenearest
wellandreturnfiveorsixhourslaterburdenedwithprecious
supplies.Thatiswhymanypeoplebelievewatertobeahuman
right,anecessitymorebasicthanbreadoraroofoverthehead.
18.Fromthismuchfollows.Oneconsequenceisawidespread
beliefthatnooneshouldhavetopayforwater.TheByzantine
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