世界银行 -几内亚比绍-人力资本审查_第1页
世界银行 -几内亚比绍-人力资本审查_第2页
世界银行 -几内亚比绍-人力资本审查_第3页
世界银行 -几内亚比绍-人力资本审查_第4页
世界银行 -几内亚比绍-人力资本审查_第5页
已阅读5页,还剩135页未读 继续免费阅读

下载本文档

版权说明:本文档由用户提供并上传,收益归属内容提供方,若内容存在侵权,请进行举报或认领

文档简介

PublicDisclosureAuthorized

HumanCapitalReview

PublicDisclosureAuthorizedPublicDisclosureAuthorizedPublicDisclosureAuthorized

WORLDBANKGROUP

Guinea-Bissau

HumanCapitalReview

WORLDBANKGROUP

©2024InternationalBankforReconstructionandDevelopment/TheWorldBank

1818HStreetNW

WashingtonDC20433

Telephone:202-473-1000

Internet:

ThisworkisaproductofthestaffofTheWorldBankwithexternalcontributions.Thefindings,interpretations,andconclusionsexpressedinthisworkdonotnecessarilyreflecttheviewsofTheWorldBank,itsBoardofExecutiveDirec-tors,orthegovernmentstheyrepresent.

TheWorldBankdoesnotguaranteetheaccuracy,completeness,orcurrencyofthedataincludedinthisworkanddoesnotassumeresponsibilityforanyerrors,omissions,ordiscrepanciesintheinformation,orliabilitywithrespecttotheuseoforfailuretousetheinformation,methods,processes,orconclusionssetforth.Theboundaries,colors,denomi-nations,andotherinformationshownonanymapinthisworkdonotimplyanyjudgmentonthepartofTheWorldBankconcerningthelegalstatusofanyterritoryortheendorsementoracceptanceofsuchboundaries.

NothinghereinshallconstituteorbeconstruedorconsideredtobealimitationuponorwaiveroftheprivilegesandimmunitiesofTheWorldBank,allofwhicharespecificallyreserved.

RightsandPermissions

Thematerialinthisworkissubjecttocopyright.BecauseTheWorldBankencouragesdisseminationofitsknowledge,thisworkmaybereproduced,inwholeorinpart,fornoncommercialpurposesaslongasfullattributiontothisworkisgiven.

Anyqueriesonrightsandlicenses,includingsubsidiaryrights,shouldbeaddressedtoWorldBankPublications,TheWorldBank,1818HStreetNW,Washington,DC20433,USA;fax:202-522-2625;e-mail:

pubrights@

.

Coverphoto:WorldBank.

Editinganddesign:NitaCongress

Contents

Acknowledgments v

Abbreviations vi

Executivesummary vii

1Introduction 1

Countrycontext 1

Methodologyanddata:alife-cycleapproach 2

2Assessinghumancapitalacross

thelifecycleinGuinea-Bissau 5

Accumulationofhumancapitalinearly

childhood(ages0–5) 5

Accumulationofhumancapitalamong

school-agechildrenandyouth(ages6–18) 16

Utilizationofhumancapitalandproductivity

(ages19–60+) 29

3Humandevelopmentsystems

requiredtostrengthenhuman

capital 44

Fragilityandgovernance 44

Financingforhumancapital 46

Humanresources 50

Dataforinformeddecision-makingand

planning 53

Climatechange 54

4Keyrecommendations 57

References 59

Box

3.1Fragmentationindecision-making

highlightedduringCOVID-19 45

Figures

1.1Life-cyclelens:health,skills,and

productivityateachlifestage 3

2.1Trendsinchildmortalityrate,2001–21 6

2.2Childmortality,2021 6

2.3Topcausesofdeathinchildrenunderage

fiveinGuinea-Bissau 6

2.4TopcausesofDALYsinchildrenunder

agefiveinGuinea-Bissau 6

2.5Globalcomparisonofnotstuntedrates,

circa2020 10

2.6Wealthinequalitiesinchildstuntingin

Guinea-Bissau,2018–19 10

2.7Comparisonofadjustednetattendance

ratesforyearbeforeprimaryschool 13

2.8WorldBank’sInvestingintheEarlyYears

ConceptualFramework2016 14

2.9Guinea-Bissaupopulationstructure,

1990–2043 16

2.10Out-of-schoolratesforchildreninGuinea-

Bissau,byageanddemographic 17

2.11Contributingfactorstoout-of-school

incidenceandloweducationalattainment

inGuinea-Bissau 18

2.12RepetitionratesinGuinea-Bissau 18

2.13Expectedyearsofschool,circa2020 20

2.14Trendsingrossenrollmentratesandthe

GenderParityIndexbylevelofeducation

inGuinea-Bissau,2014–18 22

iii

iv

Guinea-BissauHumanCapitalReview

2.15Disparitiesingrossenrollmentrates

acrossGuinea-Bissau 23

2.16Leadingcausesofdeathinchildrenages

5–14inGuinea-Bissau,1990and2019 26

2.17LeadingcausesofDALYsinchildrenages

5–14inGuinea-Bissau,1990and2019 26

2.18Leadingcausesofdeathinchildrenages

5–14inGuinea-Bissaudisaggregatedby

sex,1990and2019 27

2.19Distributionofprofessions/employmentin

Guinea-Bissau(%) 31

2.20DistributionofGuinea-Bissauworkersby

sector 31

2.21Percapitaconsumptionbyprofession/

employmentcategoryinGuinea-Bissau 32

2.22UnemploymentratesinGuinea-Bissauby

sexandhighestlevelofeducationattained 33

2.23HoursworkedinGuinea-Bissaubylevelof

educationandworkerlocation 34

2.24Mainproblemsfacedbyenterprisesin

Guinea-Bissau 35

2.25PersonalremittancesreceivedinGuinea-

Bissau 36

2.26Servicesandownedgoodsbywelfarelevel 39

2.27Socialprotectiontargetingandpovertyin

Guinea-Bissau 40

2.28Socialprotectiontargetingby

consumptioninGuinea-Bissau 40

2.29Survivalrateofindividualsage15yearsin

Guinea-Bissauanditspeers 41

2.30Top10causesofDALYsamongpeople15

yearsandolderinGuinea-Bissau 41

2.31MaternalmortalityratioinGuinea-Bissau

anditspeers,2000–17 42

2.32LifeexpectancyatbirthinGuinea-Bissau

anditspeers,2015–20 42

2.33Age-standardizedmortalityratein

Guinea-Bissauanditspeers,2000–19 43

3.1EffectsofCOVID-19oneducationand

healthinGuinea-Bissau 46

3.2Sharesoftotalgovernmentspendingby

function,2020 46

3.3SocialassistancepackagesinGuinea-

Bissau,2020–21 47

3.4DonorfundingfornutritioninGuinea-

Bissau,2012–21 48

3.5EmploymentinGuinea-Bissau,2017and

2023 50

3.6Humanresourcesplanninginthehealth

andeducationsectors 52

Tables

2.1Priorityhealthcarestrategiesshownto

preventmostdeathsamongchildren

underagefive 9

2.2PreschoolnetenrollmentratesinGuinea-

Bissau(%) 13

2.3Socialassistanceprogramstargeting

earlyyearsinGuinea-Bissau,2020–21 15

2.4Summaryofkeyprimaryeducation

outcomesinGuinea-Bissau(%) 19

2.5Interventionstoimproveteachingand

learning 21

2.6Girls’marital,childbearing,and

educationalstatus,2018–19 24

2.7Adolescentbirthratebyresidence,

region,mother’seducation,andwealth

quintile 28

2.8Examplesofsocialassistanceprograms

targetingschool-agechildrenandyouth 29

2.9CashtransferprogramsinGuinea-Bissau,

2018–22 38

3.1Floodriskassociatedwithschoolsand

populationcount,byregion2021 55

Acknowledgments

ThemainauthorsofthereportareYemdaogoTougma(TaskTeamLeaderandSeniorEconomist,Health),OpopeOyakaTshivuilaMatala(Co–TaskTeamLeaderandSeniorHealthSpecialist),EmilyE.Gardner(Co–TaskTeamLeaderandSeniorEducationSpecialist),TeegwendeValeriePorgo(HealthSpecialist),andGermanDanielCaruso(SeniorEconomist,HumanCapitalProject).OtherauthorsincludeSilviaConi(SeniorSocialProtectionSpecialist),DjenifferZamyLimaMelo(YoungProfes-sional),YannTapsoba(Consultant),NuriaGarrigaLlavina(Consultant),JosepVicentPuigGomez(Consultant),JavierLovelleVarela(Consultant),NdohAshkenSanogo(ExtendedTermConsultant),MichelleAshwinMehta(NutritionSpecialist),Jona-thanKwekuAkuoku(NutritionSpecialist),YannisArvanitis(SeniorGovernanceSpecialist),HalimatouHimaMoussaDioula(ExtendedTermConsultant),PaulaTavares(SeniorPrivateSectorDevelopmentSpecialist),PatrickJohnMcCartney(Economist),SeringTouray(Economist),SylvestreBea(SeniorWaterSpecialist),BirgitEmbalo(Consultant),YaoThibautKpegli(Consultant),KhadidjaMalloumBoukar(Consultant),andAboubacarSidibe(Consultant).

ThereportwasdevelopedunderguidanceprovidedbyKeikoMiwa(CountryDirector),GastonSorgho(PracticeManager,WesternandCentralAfricaRegion),Anne-LucieLefebvre(ResidentRepre-sentativeforGuinea-Bissau),andRebekkaGrun(HumanDevelopmentPracticeLeader,WesternandCentralAfricaRegion).TheWorldBankteamisindebtedtothequalityassuranceteams,peerreviewers,andotherreviewersfortheirvaluablefeedbackthroughoutthepreparationofthisreport.

TheWorldBankteamwouldliketothankthestaffoftheGeneralDirectorateoftheEconomy,theNationalInstituteofHealth,andtheMinistryofEducationfortheirexcellentcollaboration.Theteamwouldliketoalsothanktherepresentativesofthefollowingnongovernmentalorganizationsanddevelopmentpartnersfortheircontributions:UNICEF,theWorldHealthOrganization,theWorldFoodProgramme,theUnitedNationsDevelopmentProgramme,andtheInstitutoMarquêsdeValleFlôr.

v

vi

Abbreviations

CECOMECentralDrugPurchasingAgency

(CentraldeComprasdeMedicamentosEssenciais)

DALYdisability-adjustedlifeyear

EHCVMHarmonizedSurveyonHouseholdLiving

Standards(EnquêteHarmoniséesurleConditionsdeViedesMénages)

GDPgrossdomesticproduct

HCIHumanCapitalIndex

HIV/AIDShumanimmunodeficiencyvirus/acquired

immunodeficiencysyndrome

IDAInternationalDevelopmentAssociation

INSSNationalSocialSecurityInstitute(Insti-

tutoNacionaldeSegurançaSocial)

MMFSSMinistryofWomen,Family,andSocial

Solidarity(MinistériodaMulherFamíliaeSolidariedadeSocial)

AlldollaramountsareUSdollarsunlessotherwiseindicated.

MICS

NGO

PASEC

SAB

TVET

UNICEF

WASH

MultipleIndicatorClusterSurveynongovernmentalorganization

ProgramfortheAnalysisofEducationSystems(Programmed’analysedes

systèmeséducatifsdelaConfemen)

Bissauautonomoussector(SectorAutó-nomodeBissau)

technicalandvocationaleducationandtraining

UnitedNationsInternationalChildren’sEmergencyFund

water,sanitation,andhygiene

Executivesummary

Humancapitalcomprisestheknowledge,skills,andhealthpeopleaccumulateovertheirlives,enablingthemtorealizetheirpotentialasproduc-tivemembersofsociety.Humancapitalisacentraldriverofsustainablegrowthandpovertyreduc-tion.ItismeasuredusingtheHumanCapitalIndex(HCI),whichquantifiesthecontributionofhealthandeducationtotheproductivityofthenextgener-ationofworkers.TheHCIquantitativelyillustratesthekeystagesinachild’shumancapitaltrajectoryandtheconsequencesfortheproductivityofthenextgenerationofworkers.MeasurementoftheHCIinvolvesthreecomponents:(1)survivalfrombirthtoschoolage,measuredusingunder-fivemortalityrates;(2)expectedyearsoflearning-adjustedschooling,whichcombinesinformationonthequan-tityandqualityofeducation;and(3)overallhealth,whichiscapturedbytwoproxies:adultsurvivalrates,definedasthefractionof15-year-oldswhosurviveuntilage60,andtherateofstuntingforchil-drenunderagefive.

ThisreportpresentsthefindingsofastudytoanalyzeGuinea-Bissau’sHCIindicatorsanditshumancapitalpoliciesacrossthreesectors—health,education,andsocialprotection.Thereporthighlightsadeepanalysisofsociodemographicvari-ablessuchasage,sex,income,andgeographicaldisparities,basedontheavailabledata.Itidentifiescriticalgapsandconstraintsinthedevelopmentofhumancapitalandprovidespolicyrecommenda-tionsforimprovinghumancapitaloutcomes;thesewillinformupcomingWorldBankoperationsinthecountry’ssocialsector.

Thestudyentailedseveralactivitiesandmethod-ologies:

■DiscussionswithGuinea-Bissauauthoritiesaroundthehumancapitalagenda

■Aworkshoptoidentifygovernmentprioritiesforthehumancapitalreviewtoensurealignmentwiththegovernment’shumancapitalvisionandfacilitatedisseminationoftheresultingreport

■Adeskreviewoftheliterature,existinganalyt-icalwork,anddataspecifictoGuinea-Bissau

Duringtheworkshop,consultationswithstake-holdersconductingtheirownassessmentofhumancapitalinGuinea-Bissauweremade;thesefindingswerecomparedwiththepreliminaryresultsofthisstudy.

Thereviewwasguidedbythelife-cycleapproach.

Thisisinlinewiththe2020WorldBankHCIupdateandtheInternationalDevelopmentAssociation’sIDA20approachtoandfocusonhumancapital.ThereviewexaminedHCIindicatorsacrossallstagesofthelifecycle,highlightinginvestmentsinhealth,education,andsocialprotectionandtheircontributiontohumancapitalaccumulation,use,andprotectionacrossagegroups.Thisprocessisusefulinidentifyingnecessaryactionsateachstepofthelifecycletobuildanddevelophumancapital.

Investmentsinhealth,nutrition,andeducationarekeyfortheaccumulationofhumancapital—aperiodspanningages0to18years—toenableindivid-ualstoreachtheirfullpotentialasfutureworkers.

ThecurrentmetricsoftheHCIinGuinea-Bissaurevealirreversiblelossestohumancapital,leadingtoreducedeconomicproductivity.Earlymortalityhasimproved,andthesurvivalrateofchildrenfrombirthtoschoolage(fiveyearsold),asmeasured

vii

viii

Guinea-BissauHumanCapitalReview

usingunder-fivemortalityrates,was94.4percentin2018.Therateoflivebirthshasalsoimprovedsince2001,droppingfrom116deathsper1,000livebirthsto56deathsper1,000in2018.However,nearly33percentofchildrenbetweentheagesof6and11haveneverattendedschool,andprimaryschoolcompletionratesarelow(27percentonaverage)mainlyduetohighrepetition.Whiletherateofstuntingforchildrenundertheageoffiveis27.7percentoverall,thismasksimportantsocio-economicandregionaldisparities.Boththesurvivalrateofchildrenunderagefiveandschoolperfor-mancearedirectlyaffectedbymalnutrition,whichalsohasadirectimpactonlaborproductivity.Forty-threepercentoftheworking-agepopulationsufferedfromstuntingbeforetheageoffive.

AlthoughthemortalityrateinGuinea-Bissaudecreasedfrom18.7to13.6per1,000person-yearsbetween2000and2019,theadultsurvivalrateisalow83percentandmaternalmortalityishigh.

Theadultsurvivalrateishigheramongwomen(86percent)thanmen(79percent).In2019,themostsignificanthealthburdensamongindividualsage15yearsandolderwereHIV/AIDS,followedbytuberculosisandroadinjuries.Aparticularareaofconcernamongwomenisthematernalmortalityrate,whichwasestimatedat667per100,000livebirthsin2017.Thisrateiscloselylinkedtofemalegenitalmutilation;52percentofgirlsandwomenages15to49yearsand29.7percentofgirlsunderage14havebeensubjectedtothepractice.Thehighadolescentbirthrate—84birthsper1,000womenbetweenages15and19—isalsothoughttobeassociatedwithearlymarriage.Thirtypercentofgirlsmarrybeforetheyturn18,whichdragsdownschoolcompletionrates.

Guinea-Bissau’seconomyreliesheavilyonagri-cultureastheprimaryeconomicsectorandonself-employment.Theformermakesthecountrysusceptibletoshocksandexternalfactors;thelatterishighlyinformalandlaborintensive.Thecoun-try’sunfavorablebusinessenvironmentresultsina

relativelysmallprivatesectorthatfailstosupportcapital-intensivelabor(sincefirmsfaceobstaclesintermsofaccesstofinance,informality,corrup-tion,andlackofadequateinfrastructure)andofferslimitedemploymentopportunities.Evenhighlyeducatedindividualsstruggletofindhigh-qualityemploymentopportunitiesinGuinea-Bissau.Thispatternbecomesmorepronouncedwhentakinggenderintoaccount,andleadstotheemigrationofmanyeducatedindividuals.Jobscreatedarepredominantlyoflowquality,andofferlowwages.Asignificantportionofthelaborforceisengagedininformalsectoractivities,whichlackjobsecurity,stability,andaccesstoessentialbenefits.

Thecombinationoflowwagesandlimitedjobopportunitieshasledtoawidespreadpovertycrisis,whichisworseinruralareasandlargelyunmitigatedbysocialprotection.Asof2018,21.7percentoftheGuinea-Bissaupopulationlivesinextremepoverty,whichlimitsinvestmentinhumancapitalforchil-drenandleadstointergenerationalimpacts.Inaddition,therearesignificantdisparitiesbetweenurbanandruralareas.Regardlessoflabormarketstatus,povertyratesarehigherinruralareasthanurban.Thepovertyrateamongworkersinruralareasis60.0percent,comparedwith23.5percentinurbanareasin2018.Asubstantialdisparityalsoexistsineducationalattainmentbetweenurbanandruralareas.SocialprotectionmechanismsinGuinea-Bissauhavelimitedcoveragerelativetothesizeofthepopulationgroupstheyaimtoassist.Thecoverageofcontributorysocialprotectiondevicesisextremelylow,mainlyduetothesmallsizeoftheformalsectorintheeconomy.Socialassistanceprogramsareextremelylimited—complementarydonorfinancingisessential—causinglowcoverage,fragmentation,andthepotentialforduplication.Theavailabilityofstatesocialassistanceisconstrained,anditstrugglestoreachthepooresthouseholdsinruralareas,wheretheincidenceofpovertyishigher.

Cross-cuttingconstraintssuchasclimatechal-lenges,gender,fragility,andgovernancehinderthe

Executive

summary

ix

strengtheningandpreservationofhumancapital.

TheeffectsofclimatechangearealreadyvisibleinGuinea-Bissau,withnotableimpactsincludingsealevelrise,temperatureincrease,changingprecipita-tionpatterns,shortercoolseasons,longerdroughtspells,andheatwaves.Thesechangeshavenegativeconsequencesforhumancapitalacrossmultipledimensionsalloverthecountry,particu-larlyinvulnerablecommunities.Climatechangedramaticallyaffectsareassuchasfoodsecurity,cleanwaterandsanitation,health,andeducation.GenderinequalityispervasiveinGuinea-Bissau,withmajorimplicationsforwomen’sandgirls’health,education,andeconomicopportunities.Factorscontributingtofragilityandgovernancechallengesincludeanongoingpoliticaltransformationdrivenbyelitefragmentationandnoninclusiveinstitutionsandpoorpublicadministration;anendemiclackofgovernanceanddysfunctionalinstitutions,leadingtofragmentationindecision-makingandweakplan-ningandcoordination;andlackofhumanresources.

Toimprovehumancapitalandaccelerateeconomicgrowthanddevelopment,Guinea-Bissaumustprioritizeeffortstoensurechildren’shealthandeducation.Astrategytoachievethisgoalinvolvesthefollowingactions:(1)sustainedeffortstoimproveaccesstoqualityhealthcareandenhancethequalityofcareinordertodecreasethehighmaternalandneonatalmortalityrates;(2)furtherprogressinimprovingnutritionforpregnantwomen

andchildrenundertheageoffivetopreventnegativeeffectsontheirphysicalandcognitivedevelopment;(3)expandedintegratedearlychild-hooddevelopmentprogramstoincreasechildren’sreadinessforelementaryschool;(4)greateraccesstoqualitybasiceducationthroughimprovedteacherperformanceandtheavailabilityofteachingandlearningmaterials;(5)incomesupporttovulner-ablehouseholdsthroughcashtransfers,alongwithaccompanyingmeasurestoincreasehouseholds’abilitytoinvestinhealthandeducationandtocopewithshocks;and(6)economicinclusionmeasurestosupportunemployededucatedyouthtopromoteself-employmentandforpoorhouseholdsinruralareastofosterdiversificationbypromotingoff-farmincome-generatingactivities,throughapackageoftraining,cashstart-upgrants,andcoaching.

Governmentleadershipandinstitutionalalignmentandcoordination,aswellastargetedmechanismstoreachprioritygroups,areessential.Theseeffortsareinterconnectedandinvolvemultisectoralinter-ventions,raisingtheriskofduplicationandwastedresources.Toachievetheseobjectives,thegovern-mentshould(1)reactivatetheNationalCouncilforSocialProtection(CNPS)tofacilitatestrongcoordi-

nationamongstakeholders;(2)increaselocalandcommunityparticipationinservicedelivery;and(3)establishanationalsocialregistry.

1Introduction

Countrycontext

Humancapitalaccountsfortwo-thirdsoftotalwealthgloballyandremainsacentraldriverofinclusiveeconomicgrowth(Lange,Wodon,andCarey2018).

Humancapitalistheknowledge,skills,andhealthpeopleaccumulateovertheirlives,enablingthemtorealizetheirpotentialasproductivemembersofsociety.CountrieslikeSingaporehavedemon-stratedthateconomicgrowthcanbeaccelerated,equityenhanced,andpovertyalleviatedbybuildinghumancapitalthroughrobustinvestmentsineduca-tion,health,andsocialsafetynetsystems—utilizinghumancapitalinconcertwithothertypesofcapitalinvestments(WorldBank2021c).

Healthy,well-educatedpeoplefreeofpovertypromotepositivesocialexternalitiessuchassocialcohesionandenvironmentalprotection(WorldBank2021b).TheWorldBankHumanCapitalIndex(HCI)capturestheimpactofhumancapitalonfuturegrowthprospectsandisausefulstartingpointforconsideringhumancapitalchallenges.The2020HCIshowsthat,worldwide,beforetheCOVID-19pandemic,achildcouldexpecttoattainanaverageof56percentofhisorherpotentialproductivityasafutureworker(WorldBank2021b).Seriousdisparitiesinhumancapitaloutcomesexistsacrosshigh-andlow-incomecountriesandarelargelydrivenbygapsinaccesstoqualitysocialservices.Consequently,achildborninalow-incomecountrycanexpecttoattainonly37percentofhisorher

potentialproductivity,versus70percentforachildborninahigh-incomecountry(WorldBank2021b).

Guinea-Bissau’spoliticalandsocioeconomiccontextsinceindependencein1974hasnotbeenconducivetobuilding,protecting,andutilizinghumancapital.ThesmallWestAfricanstatewithapopulationofapproximately1.9millioncontinuestograpplewithloweconomicgrowth,highlevelsofpoverty,andlong-standingpoliticalinstabilityandfragility.Sinceindependence,pervasivefragility—drivenmostlybyconflictsandpoliticalturmoil—hasbeenconducivetoneitherstabilitynorgrowth,withdevastatingconsequencesfortheeconomyandhumandevelopment.Percapitaincomeremainslow,withagrossdomesticproduct(GDP)percapitaof$832.70in2022,showingonlymarginalgrowthoveraspanof40years;the1981GDPpercapitawas$606.

PovertycontinuestobewidespreadinGuin-ea-Bissau,increasingby2.8percentagepointsbetween2018and2021.Datafromthe2018–19and2021–22HarmonizedSurveysonHouse-holdLivingStandards(EHCVM)showthatpovertyincreasedfrom47.7percentin2018to50.5percentin2021—theequivalentofmorethan80,000additionalpoor.ThesurveysindicatethatothermeasuresofpovertyalsoincreasedinGuin-ea-Bissauoverthe2018–21period.Thepovertygap(whichmeasurestheextenttowhichindividualsonaveragefallbelowthepovertyline)increasedfrom

1

2

Guinea-BissauHumanCapitalReview

13.7percentin2018to15.2percentin2021.Simi-larly,thepovertyseverityindex(whichputsmoreweightonthepooresthouseholds,measuredbysquaringthepovertygap)alsoincreased,from5.2to6.2overthesameperiod.Theriseintheseindica-torsillustratesanincreasingintensityofpovertyinGuinea-Bissauduringtheperiod.RecoveryfromtheCOVID-19pandemichasbeenconstrainedbyaddi-tionalshocks—notablyspillovereffectsfromthewarinUkraine,resultingindisruptionsinglobalsupplychainsandrisingfoodprices.

Despiteavolatilepoliticalsituation,Guinea-Bissaudemonstratedawillingnessforstrategicreformsandinvestmentstodriveeconomicrecoveryfollowingthepandemicandtobuildresilienceagainstfutureshocks.Givenitscentralroleinfosteringsustainedeconomicgrowth,improvinghumancapitaloutcomeshasemergedasacorepillarofthegovernment’spost-COVIDdevelopmentstrategy.

ThisGuinea-Bissauhumancapitalreviewwasdevel-opedtoinformthehumandevelopmentprioritiesoftheWorldBank’sengagementinthecountryunderthenewCountryPartnershipFrameworkFY2024–28.Thestudyhastwomainobjectives:

■ToconductadiagnosticofhumancapitaloutcomesinGuinea-Bissauacrossthehealth,education,andsocialprotectionsectors,andidentifyexistinggapsandconstraintsinhumancapitaldevelopment,protection,andutilization.

■ToproposepolicyrecommendationstothegovernmentofGuinea-Bissauthatwillenablethecountrytoachievethehumancapitalaspi-rationssetoutinitsNationalDevelopmentPlan2020–2030.

Methodologyanddata:alife-cycleapproach

ThisreportanalyzeshumancapitaloutcomesinGuinea-Bissauusingalife-cycleapproach.Asshownin

figure1.1

,itlooksatkeychallengesandoutcomesatdifferentpointsinhumancapitaldevelopmentandutilization.BothquantitativeandqualitativemethodswereusedtoassesshumancapitalchallengesandsolutionsinGuinea-Bissauandtocomparethemtothecountry’sregionalpeers,structuralpeers(fragileandnonfragilecountrieswithsimilarstruc-turalcharacteristics;i.e.,Burundi,theCentralAfricanRepublic,TheGambia,andSierraLeone),andaspirationalpeers(countriessettingagooddevelopmentprecedent;i.e.,LaoPeople’sDemo-craticRepublic,Rwanda,andTajikistan).1

Theworkwasco-shapedbystakeholders.SeveralstrategicdiscussionswereheldwithGuinea-Bissauauthoritiesregardingthecountry’shumancapitalagenda.Atthestudy’slaunch,aWorldBankteamengagedwithkeystakeholderstopresentthehumancapitalreviewconcept,includingtheHCI,anditsobjectivesinGuinea-Bissau.Aworkshopwasheldtoidentifythegovernment’shumancapitalpriorities.Duringthissession,anationalfocalpointforhumancapitalwasidentifiedtofacilitatecoor-dinationacrosssectors,aidindatacollection,andensurethestudy’salignmentwi

温馨提示

  • 1. 本站所有资源如无特殊说明,都需要本地电脑安装OFFICE2007和PDF阅读器。图纸软件为CAD,CAXA,PROE,UG,SolidWorks等.压缩文件请下载最新的WinRAR软件解压。
  • 2. 本站的文档不包含任何第三方提供的附件图纸等,如果需要附件,请联系上传者。文件的所有权益归上传用户所有。
  • 3. 本站RAR压缩包中若带图纸,网页内容里面会有图纸预览,若没有图纸预览就没有图纸。
  • 4. 未经权益所有人同意不得将文件中的内容挪作商业或盈利用途。
  • 5. 人人文库网仅提供信息存储空间,仅对用户上传内容的表现方式做保护处理,对用户上传分享的文档内容本身不做任何修改或编辑,并不能对任何下载内容负责。
  • 6. 下载文件中如有侵权或不适当内容,请与我们联系,我们立即纠正。
  • 7. 本站不保证下载资源的准确性、安全性和完整性, 同时也不承担用户因使用这些下载资源对自己和他人造成任何形式的伤害或损失。

评论

0/150

提交评论