TCSES72-2022流域水环境模型评估验证技术指南

T/CSES72—Technicalguidanceonevaluationofenvironmentalmodelsforwatershed 发T/CSEST/CSES72—T/CSEST/CSES72— 前 范 本文件按照GB/T1.1—2020《标准化工作导则第1部分：标准化文件的结构和起草规则》的规定T/CSEST/CSES72—T/CSEST/CSES72—GB/T22482GB/T50138GB50179HJ91.1HJ493HJ494水质采样技术指导HJ495HJ819排污单位自行监测技术指南总则HJ915（试行SL58SL59SL196SL257SL/T278SL339SL/T784流域水环境模型environmentalmodelforwatershed模型概化model模型评估验证model变量参数参数率定parameter参数验证parameter边界条件boundary灵敏度不确定性可识别性稳健性机理模型mechanistic经验模型empirical等效性顾评价retrospective预警应急real-timealertand规划评估planning 1。系和支撑技术应符合附录A要求，可采用附录B1 C；程度，以及模型所需数据的可获得性（8.1.1.1）； c）d） 模型机理的科学性可采用附录B算法设计的合理性可采用附录B 时，应采取合理的数据替代措施（8.2；模型数据的代表性可采用附录B水文调查和监测应符合GB/T22482、GB/T50138、GB50179、SL58、SL59、SL196、257、SL/T278、SL339、SL/T784水环境调查和水质监测应符合HJ91.1、HJ493、HJ494、HJ495、HJ819、HJ915等的要B的数据质量评估技术评估数据的规c）d）B的同行评议技术评估。 9.3 9.1.29.1.3 应根据管理决策目标对不同类型指标模拟效果的需求（5章B中对管理决策模拟效果优劣可参照附录D 模型输入和参数不确定性表征方式的合理性可采用附录BB的灵敏度分析技术，评价模拟结果的变化趋势； 模型业务化运行时技术服务支撑的可获得性可采用附录B附录附录B.1122.12.22.333.23.33.444.2567T/CSEST/CSES72—附录C.1model(AGNPS)/AnnualizedAgriculturalNon-PointSourcemodel(AnnAGNPS)HydrologicSimulationProgramFORTRAN(HSPF)/LoadingSimulationPrograminC++(LSPC)MIKESoilandWaterAssessmentTool(SWAT)Model(SWMM)T/CSES72—T/CSEST/CSES72—T/CSEST/CSES72—MIKEHYDRO/MIKEMIKEEnvironmentalFluidDynamicsCode(EFDC)WaterQualityAnalysis附录（月值数据[0.75,[0.65,[0.5,(-∞,（月值数据[-10%,[-15%,-或(10[-25%,-或(15[-100%,-或(25（月值数据[-15%,[-35%,-或(15[-55%,-或(35[-100%,-或(55（月值数据[-25%,[-40%,-或(25[-70%,-或(40[-100%,-或(70（月值数据[0,(50%,(60%,(70%,（月值数据[0.8,[0.65,[0.5,[0,∑𝑛𝑁𝑆𝐸=1−𝑖=1

∑𝑛𝑃𝐵𝐼𝐴𝑆=𝑖=1 ×100%——————————(D.2) 𝑖=1

𝑅𝑆𝑅

𝑖=1

𝑖=1∑𝑛(𝑌𝑠𝑖𝑚−̅)(𝑌𝑜𝑏𝑠−̅)𝑅2= 𝑖=1

(𝑌𝑠𝑖𝑚−̅)2√∑𝑛

(𝑌𝑜𝑏𝑠−̅)2

𝑖=1

𝑖=1𝑌𝑠𝑖𝑚——i𝑌𝑜𝑏𝑠——iT/CSEST/CSES72—T/CSEST/CSES72—

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