房地产 -2025年第四季度亚特兰大工业数据报告 Atlanta Industrial Figures Report Q4 2025_第1页
房地产 -2025年第四季度亚特兰大工业数据报告 Atlanta Industrial Figures Report Q4 2025_第2页
房地产 -2025年第四季度亚特兰大工业数据报告 Atlanta Industrial Figures Report Q4 2025_第3页
房地产 -2025年第四季度亚特兰大工业数据报告 Atlanta Industrial Figures Report Q4 2025_第4页
房地产 -2025年第四季度亚特兰大工业数据报告 Atlanta Industrial Figures Report Q4 2025_第5页
已阅读5页,还剩7页未读 继续免费阅读

下载本文档

版权说明:本文档由用户提供并上传,收益归属内容提供方,若内容存在侵权,请进行举报或认领

文档简介

CBRE

FIGURES|ATLANTAINDUSTRIAL|Q42025

Atlantaindustrialreboundsaslarge-scaledeals

driveabsorptionandcompressvacancy

,8.0%

DirectVacancyRate

Note:Arrowsindicatechangefrompreviousquarter.

r5.7M

SFDirectNetAbsorption

▲7.6M

SFUnderConstruction

471K

SFDelivered

▲17.3M

SFLeasingActivity

$7.54

AvgNNNLeaseRate

KeyTakeaways

-Netabsorptionsurgedto5.7-millionsq.ft.,thehighestsince2022,drivenbythreetransactionsexceeding1-millionsq.ft.eachthroughleasesorowner-usersales.

-Leasingactivityclosedtheyearstrongat17.3-millionsq.ft.,markingthebestquarterof2025.

-Directvacancyfellto8.0%,itslowestsincemid-2024,aslargeblockswereremovedinQ4.

-ConstructionactivitypickedupinQ4with2.3-millionsq.ft.breakingground,expandingthepipelineto7.6-millionsq.ft.

-TheaverageNNNrentalrateclimbedto$7.54persq.ft.,a3.4%increaseQoQ.

Aftermutedbulkleasingduringthefirstthreequartersof2025,themarketgainedsignificantmomentuminQ4.Activityculminatedinthree1-millionsq.ft.transactions,includingtwoowner-usersalesandonelease.Theconfidential1-millionsq.ft.leasewasthefirstofitssizesince2024andsignaledrenewedlarge-scaledemand.Together,thesetransactionsdrovenetabsorptionto

5.7-millionsq.ft.,thehighestsince2022,andcompressedthedirectvacancyrateto8.0%from9.0%inQ3.Marketwideleasingreached17.3-millionsq.ft.inQ4,indicatingbroadtenantengagementbeyondthemegaboxcohort.Onthesupplyside,constructionstartsregistered2.3-millionsq.ft.inQ4anddeliveriesslowedto471Ksq.ft.,supportingamorebalancedpipelineasthemarketenters2026.

FIGURE1:QuarterlyNetAbsorptionandDirectVacancyRate

MillionSq.Ft.

DirectVacancyRate

Q1

Q3

Q4

Q2

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

202020212022202320242025Source:CBREResearch,Q42025

10.0%

9.0%

8.0%

7.0%

6.0%

5.0%

4.0%

3.0%

2.0%

1.0%

0.0%

1CBRERESEARCH©2026CBRE,INC.

FIGURES|ATLANTAINDUSTRIAL|Q42025

2CBRERESEARCH©2026CBRE,INC.

MarketOverview

TheAtlantaIndustrialMarkethasalwaysbeenattractivefrombothfiscalandgeographicperspectives.TheSoutheastisoneofthehottestindustrialregionsinthecountry,andavigoroushighwaynetworkallowsforeasyaccesstoandfromAtlanta.Furthermore,bothCSXandNorfolkSouthernmaintainastoutrailpresenceinthemarket,furtherbolsteringregionalandnationaldistributioncapabilities.ThePortofSavannah,thefastestgrowingandthirdbusiestinthecountry,liesamere240milestothesoutheast.NorthofAtlanta,theGeorgiaPortsAuthorityalsooperatestheAppalachianRegionalPort,whichcanoffsethundredsoftruckmilesviadirectrailaccesstoandfromtheGardenCityTerminalinSavannah.Theplanned104-acreNortheastGeorgiaInlandPortwilldecreasetruckdeliverytimesbyroughlysevenhoursonceitiscompleted.Constructionisunderwaywithdeliveryexpectedearly2026.Inadditiontoasophisticatedrailandhighwaysystem,AtlantaalsoboaststhebusiestairportintheworldinHartsfield-JacksonInternationalAirport,makingnationalandglobaltradeeasilyaccessible.Atlanta,liketherestofGeorgia,isextremelybusinessfriendly.SurroundingcountiesofferbusinessesintheAtlantametronumeroustaxincentives.TheseincentivesincludeaJobTaxCreditof$1,750pernewjobcreated,aPortTaxCreditforqualifiedincreasesinshipmentsthroughaGeorgiaPort,aFreeportExemptionwhichexemptsqualifiedinventorystoredinwarehousesfromstateandlocaltaxesofupto100%,andtaxexemptionsforqualifiedmanufacturersanddistributioncenterstonameonlyafew.Moreover,theAtlantamarketcontainsmultipleFederalandStateOpportunityZones,whichoffertaxexemptionsofupto$3,500.

SurveyCriteria

Includesallclassesofcompetitivewarehouse/distribution,shallowbay,andflexspace10,000sq.ft.andgreaterinBarrow,Bartow,Carrol,Cherokee,Clayton,Cobb,Coweta,Dawson,DeKalb,Douglas,Fayette,Forsyth,Fulton,Gordon*,Gwinnett,Hall,Haralson,Heard,Henry,Jackson,Newton,Rockdale,andWaltoncounties.Buildingsunderconstructionareevidencedbysiteexcavationorfoundationwork.Excludesself-storage,specializedmanufacturing,datacenters,andindustrialoutdoorstorage.

*Note:AsofQ12025,ourmethodologyforcollectingdatahaschanged.Inpreviousquarters,weconsideredspaceabsorbedassoonasacompanyphysicallyoccupiedspace.Anewleasewillfactorintonetabsorptionassoonastheleaseissignedandconfirmed.Toreflectthesechanges,wehavealsogonebackthepastyearandchangedthosenumbersproactively.Specialcircumstancesmayoccurwheremethodologyadjustmentshavebeenmadewhichmayimpactcurrentquarterdata.

FIGURE2:MarketStatistics

Submarket

Market

Rentable

Area(sq.ft)

Direct

Vacancy

Rate%

Q42025Net

Absorption

(sq.ft.)

YTD25Net

Absorption

(sq.ft.)

Under

Construction

(sq.ft.)

Q42025

Deliveries

(sq.ft.)

Avg.NNN

LeaseRate

($/sq.ft./Yr)

ATLANTA

762,896,791

8.0

5,745,787

9,053,381

7,561,137

471,069

$7.54

WAREHOUSE/

DISTRIBUTION

635,731,480

8.5

5,992,194

10,638,812

7,561,137

471,069

$7.31

SHALLOWBAY

88,356,382

6.2

(241,244)

(1,278,614)

-

-

$9.20

FLEX

38,808,929

5.3

(5,163)

(306,817)

-

-

$11.83

CentralAtlanta

7,109,687

5.2

125,266

67,313

626,176

-

$13.51

Chattahoochee

14,977,876

4.7

(101,376)

392,034

-

-

$9.57

Northwest/I-75

83,746,461

10.8

520,004

1,279,340

1,184,005

-

$7.77

NCentral/GA400

25,523,604

5.9

16,044

196,978

530,531

-

$12.46

Northeast/I-85

216,272,914

7.3

2,474,289

4,703,514

2,065,181

60,000

$7.55

StoneMountain

27,791,851

4.1

(114,800)

(72,378)

-

-

$9.03

Airport

85,953,831

7.1

545,616

(107,328)

229,776

-

$7.38

Southeast/I-75

80,959,268

12.9

(520,646)

181,069

2,394,752

301,069

$6.56

Southwest/I-85

65,612,536

7.0

2,281,875

1,635,014

348,352

110,000

$7.40

I-20East

44,183,607

9.9

545,288

458,604

-

-

$7.49

I-20West

110,765,156

7.0

(25,773)

319,221

182,364

-

$7.59

Source:CBREResearch,Q42025

FIGURES|ATLANTAINDUSTRIAL|Q42025

3CBRERESEARCH©2026CBRE,INC.

NetAbsorptionandLeasingHighlights

Aftermutedbulkleasingthroughthefirstthreequartersof2025,activityacceleratedinQ4.Two1-millionsq.ft.owner-userpurchasesandone1-millionsq.ft.leaseliftednetabsorptionto5.7-millionsq.ft.,signalingrenewedengagementfrommajorindustrialoccupiers.Thesefirmsprioritizedcostcontrolandoperationalcertainty,choosingtopurchaseamidadeeppoolofavailablemegaboxoptionstomitigatefuturerentescalationandaligncapitalimprovementswithlong-termoperations.Marketwideleasingtotaled17.3-millionsq.ft.,drivenbyrenewedbig-boxmomentumandsteadysmallerbayactivity.Renewaldiscussionsalsoacceleratedastenantssoughttomitigaterentresetsonpre-2020leases.Inresponse,landlordsareincreasinglyopentoearlynegotiations,sometimesuptotwoyearsinadvance.Lookingahead,owner-userpreferencetopurchaseappearspoisedtotransitiontoagradualnewnorm,supportedbyuserswithsufficientliquiditytobuyandadesiretocontroloccupancycostsratherthanabsorbcontinuedrentinflation.Thisalongwithactiverenewalengagement,andseveralusersinthemarketpendingtotakelargerspacepositionsAtlantaforamorebalancedmarketas2026unfolds.

FIGURE4:Warehouse/DistributionNetAbsorption&OverallMarketLeasingActivity

Vacancy&Availability

Atyear-end2025,thedirectvacancyratefellto8.1%,reachingitslowestpointsincemid-2024.Thisimprovementwasdrivenbytheremovalofthree1-million-sq.ft.blocksfromthemarket,whichreducedvacancyinthissizerangeto7.4%,thelowestsince2022.Flight-to-qualityremainsadefiningtrend,withClassAvacancyfallingto11.7%,asdemandconcentratesinmodern,efficientfacilities.Incontrast,ClassBvacancyclimbedto5.8%,thehighestlevelofthedecade,reinforcingthewideningperformancegapbetweentop-tierproductandolder,lessadaptablespace.Overallavailabilitymirroredthesetrends,decliningto11.7%,itslowestsince2023.Subleaseavailabilitymoderatedquarter-over-quarter,thoughmostspacereturningtothemarketistiedtopandemic-eraleaseswithlongremainingterms,often10years,whichaddscomplexityforoccupiersseekingshort-termflexibility.Lookingahead,asbulkspacecontinuestobeabsorbedandconstructionactivityslowsfrompriorpeaks,vacancyisexpectedtotrendlowerthrough2026.

FIGURE3:KeyLeasingTransactions

FIGURE5:Warehouse/DistributionSubleaseAvailability

MillionSq.Ft.

14

12

10

8

6

4

2

-

0.9%increaseQ-o-Q

Q1Q2Q3Q4

Q1Q2Q3Q4

Q1Q2Q3Q4

Q1Q2Q3Q4

Q1Q2Q3Q4

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

SubleaseSFAvailable

20

18

16

MillionsSq.Ft.

14

12

10

8

6

4

2

0

Q1Q2Q3Q4

2021

Q1Q2Q3Q4

2022

Q1Q2Q3Q4

2023

Q1Q2Q3Q4

2024

Q1Q2Q3Q4

2025

NetAbsorptionLeasingActivity

Tenant

Location

Size(sq.ft.)

Submarket

TransactionType

Confidential

Confidential

1,638,000

Southeast/I-75

Renewal

Confidential

Confidential

1,061,663

Northeast/I-85

Renewal

Confidential

MajesticAirportCenterIII-Bldg.1

UnionCity,GA

1,001,893

Southwest/I-85

NewLease

WinsunPersonalCare

Jefferson85LogisticsCenter

Jefferson,GA

497,094

Northeast/I-85

NewLease

BroadrangeLogistics

McDonough75LogisticsCenter

LocustGrove,GA

427,200

Southeast/I-75

NewLease

Source:CBREResearch,Q42025

FIGURES|ATLANTAINDUSTRIAL|Q42025

4CBRERESEARCH©2026CBRE,INC.

IndustrialRentalRates

TheaverageNNNrentinAtlanta’sindustrialmarketroseto$7.54persq.ft.inQ42025,anincreaseof3.4%QoQ.StrongleasingvelocityandapronouncedtilttowardClassAproductreinforcedlandlordpricingpower.Additionally,thecompositionofavailablespaceshiftedbetweenQ3andQ4,withnearly1-millionsq.ft.ofbelow-averagequotedavailabilitiesexitingthemarketandapproximately5.5-millionsq.ft.ofhigher-pricedavailabilitiesenteringthemarket.Thismixshift,combinedwithlimitedspeculativesupplyandongoingtenantflighttoquality,supportedhigheraskingrentsevenasconcessionssuchastenantimprovementpackagesandfreerentwereusedtofacilitatetransactions.Rentalgrowthisexpectedtoremainfirminto2026asavailabilitytightens,andlandlordssustainpricingforhighqualityassets.Overthelongerhorizon,pricingisanticipatedtofollowaconsistentupwardpath,exhibitinglessvolatilitythantheearlycyclesurgeandsupportedbybalancedsupply-demanddynamicsandsustainedpreferenceforwell-located,specification-richproduct.

FIGURE7:NotableQ42025IndustrialSales

Location

Submarket

Buyer

Seller

Size(sq.ft.)

SalePrice

Price/Sq.Ft.

AtlantaIndustrialGrowth

Portfolio*

Various

HillwoodInvestmentProperties

Blackstone

1,225,659

$181.4M

$148

TheCubesatBridgeport–

Bldg.D

Southwest/I-85

QTSDataCenters

CRG

1,201,200

$133.0M

$111

RiversideBusinessCenter

I-20West

BGO

FHRCapital,LLC

653,454

$96.1M

$147

WestOakPortfolio*

Northwest/I-75

GID

ClarionPartners

503,085

$90.0M

$179

*DenotesPartofMulti-PropertySaleSource:CBREResearch,Q42025

FIGURE6:Historic&ProjectedAverageNNNRentalRates

$9.00

$8.50

$8.00

$7.50

$7.00

$6.50

$6.00

$5.50

$5.00

$4.50

$4.00

$8.36

$7.54

$5.21

4Q204Q214Q224Q234Q244Q254Q264Q274Q284Q29

CapitalMarkets

Atlanta’sindustrialinvestmentmarketcontinueditspositivemomentuminQ42025,withtotalsalesvolumereaching$1.32billion.Transactionactivitygainedstrengthaftertwoyearsofrecalibration,supportedbyimprovingconfidenceinlong-termfundamentalsandsteadydebtmarketconditions.Value-addremainedthedeepestpoolofcapitalacrosstherisk-spectrumwithdealsofthisprofileexceedingpricingexpectations.Liquidityimprovedacrossthecoreandcore+spaceasmorecapitalcameoffthesidelines,thoughselectivitypersistedasinvestorsheavilyscrutinizedlocation,creditoftenancy,WALT,andapreferencetowardsbite-sizedassets.User-salescontinuetocyclethroughthemarketwithseverallargeformatbuildingstakendowninthefourthquarter.Pricingheldfirm,andcapratesforstabilizedClassAproductshowedearlysignsofcompression,particularlyinwell-leasedportfoliosandinfilllocations.Withrealisticsellerexpectationsandampleliquidity,conditionspointtowardsahealthycapitalmarketsenvironmentheadinginto2026.

Source:CBREResearch,Q42025

FIGURES|ATLANTAINDUSTRIAL|Q42025

5CBRERESEARCH©2026CBRE,INC.

Construction&Deliveries

Atlanta’sdevelopmentpipelinecontractedsharplyin2025,closingtheyearatjustunder7.6-millionsq.ft.underconstruction,thelowestlevelsince2014.Thispullbackreflectsastrategicshifttowardsmallerfootprintsandbuild-to-suitprojectsasspeculativebulkdevelopmentslowedamidmutedleasingvelocity.Annualdeliveriestotaledroughly9.7-millionsq.ft.,heavilyconcentratedinsub-250K-square-footbuildings,signalingamoremeasuredapproachbydevelopers.Whilespeculativeactivityremainedlimited,Q4includedthestartofa1-millionsq.ft.building,underscoringselectiveconfidenceinlarge-scalelogisticsassets.Withonlyahandfulofsizableprojectsremainingandoversupplyriskeasing,developersareincreasinglytargetinginfillandredevelopmentopportunitiestoalignwithtenantdemandformodern,well-locatedfacilities.Thecontractioninspeculativeactivityandaleanerpipelineshouldsupportimprovedbalancebetweennewsupplyanddemandasabsorptionworksthroughrecentcompletionsin2026.

FIGURE8:UnderConstruction&Deliveries

UnderConstructionDelivered

MillionSq.Ft.

50

45

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

1Q21

2Q21

3Q21

4Q21

1Q22

2Q22

3Q22

4Q22

1Q23

2Q23

3Q23

4Q23

1Q24

2Q24

3Q24

4Q24

1Q25

2Q25

3Q25

4Q25

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

FIGURE9:Year-To-DateConstructionStarts&Deliveries

0510152025303540

YTDConstructionStartsYTDDeliveriesMillionsSq.Ft.

FIGURE9:TopDeliveriesinQuarter

PropertyName

Submarket

BuildingSize

(sq.ft.)

Construction

Completion

Developer

RiverPark3

Southeast/I-75

301,069

December2025

ClaycoInc

100NaecoWay

Southwest/I-85

110,000

October2025

-

3296CatalinaDr

Southwest/I-85

60,000

November2025

WardenCapital,LLC

Source:CBREResearch,Q42025

FIGURES|ATLANTAINDUSTRIAL|Q42025

MarketAreaOverview

Northwest/I-75

Contacts

Definitions

AvailableSq.Ft.:Spaceinabuildingreadyforoccupancywithinsixmonths;canbeoccupiedorvacant.

AvailabilityRate:Totalavailablesq.ft.dividedbythetotalbuildingarea.

Big-Box:Anindustrialpropertytotaling200,000sq.ft.orgreater.

CapitalizationRates:Alsoknownas“caprates”;ameasureusedtoestimateratesofreturnoncommercialreal-estateproperties.

ClearHeight:Theusableheightinabuildingtowhichanoccupiercanstoreitsgoodsonracking.Clearheightismeasuredbelowanyceilingobstructionssuchaslightsorsprinklers.

Deliveries:Completionofrequiredconstructionforabuilding.

Distribution/Logistics:Anindustrialpropertysubtypeofwarehouse/storagedesignedtoaccommodatetheefficientmovementofgoods.Distributionspaceisatleast100,000sq.ft.,officearealessthan10%,andclearheights30ft.andhigher.

FlexSpace:Anindustrialpropertysubtypebuilttoallowflexibilityofalternativeuses.Flexspacecontainsatleast25%officearea,highcurbappeal,andhighparkingratios.

LeasingActivity:Squarefootagecommittedtoandsignedunderaleaseobligationforaspaceinagivenperiod.

NetAbsorption:Thechangeinphysicallyoccupiedsquarefeetfromoneperiodtothenextperiod.

NetNetNet(NNN)LeaseRate:Rentexcludes“net”costs(realpropertytaxes,buildinginsurance,andmajormaintenance)typicallyincludedinaGrossLeaseRate.

OccupiedSq.Ft.:Buildingareanotconsideredvacant.

ShallowBay:Anindustrialpropertysubtypewithbaydepthof120to200feetwithtypicalclearheightsbetween18and24feet.

TotalRentableArea:Thetotalrentablefloorareasquarefeetofthebuilding.

VacantSq.Ft.:Existingspacenotoccupiedbyatenant.Vacantspacecanbeavailableornotavailable.

VacancyRate:Totalvacantsq.ft.dividedbythetotalbuildingarea.

Warehouse/Storage:Anindustrialpropertysubtypedesignedforthewarehousingandstorageofmaterials,goodsandmerchandise.Officeareaislessthan15%ofthe

温馨提示

  • 1. 本站所有资源如无特殊说明,都需要本地电脑安装OFFICE2007和PDF阅读器。图纸软件为CAD,CAXA,PROE,UG,SolidWorks等.压缩文件请下载最新的WinRAR软件解压。
  • 2. 本站的文档不包含任何第三方提供的附件图纸等,如果需要附件,请联系上传者。文件的所有权益归上传用户所有。
  • 3. 本站RAR压缩包中若带图纸,网页内容里面会有图纸预览,若没有图纸预览就没有图纸。
  • 4. 未经权益所有人同意不得将文件中的内容挪作商业或盈利用途。
  • 5. 人人文库网仅提供信息存储空间,仅对用户上传内容的表现方式做保护处理,对用户上传分享的文档内容本身不做任何修改或编辑,并不能对任何下载内容负责。
  • 6. 下载文件中如有侵权或不适当内容,请与我们联系,我们立即纠正。
  • 7. 本站不保证下载资源的准确性、安全性和完整性, 同时也不承担用户因使用这些下载资源对自己和他人造成任何形式的伤害或损失。

最新文档

评论

0/150

提交评论