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Chapter7
GrowthandTrade
ObjectivesoftheChapter
Inthischapter,theHeckscherOhlinmodelofinternationaltradeisextendedtoincludegrowthintheendowmentofacountry’sfactorsofproductionandtechnologicalimprovements.Theimpactofeconomicgrowthoninternationaltradewilldependonwhetherthegrowthisbalancedinallgoodsorisbiasedtowardonegood,andonwhetherthecountryexperiencinggrowthislargeorsmall.
Aninterestingresultemergesfromtheinteractionofgrowthandinternationaltrade:growthinone’sowncountrymaynotbeanunmitigatedblessing.First,astheRybczynskitheoremshows,growthinonesectorcancauseproductioninnon-growingsectorstodecline.Second,undercertainconditions,export-biasedgrowthmayleadtoanadversetermsoftradeeffect,andnationalwell-beingmayactuallydecline.
AfterreadingChapter7youshouldbeableto
showhowtradepatternsareinfluencedbythesourceofeconomicgrowth.
showhoweconomicgrowthcanchangetheproductionpatternsofacountry.
discusshowgrowthaffectsthetermsoftradeandthewell-beingofthecountryexperiencingit.
relatetherateofgrowthinacountrytoitsopennesstointernationaltrade.
ImportantConcepts
Dutchdisease: AfamousexampleofthephenomenondescribedbytheRybczynskitheorem.ThetermwasusedtodescribeaproblemexperiencedbytheNetherlands,inwhichthediscoveryofnewnaturalgasfieldswasthoughttohaveledtoadeclineintheproductionofmanufacturedgoods.
Immiserizinggrowth: Inalargetradingcountrywhichisheavilydependentontrade,growthintheexportsectormayleadtoadeteriorationinitstermsoftradelargeenoughtoreducethecountry’swelfare.
Productcyclehypothesis: Predictsthatasthetechnologyofaproductbecomesmorestandardizedandstatic,productionshiftsfromhigh-skilledlaborcountriestocountriesabundantinlow-cost,low-skilledlabor.
Rybczynskitheorem: Inatwo-productworldwithconstantprices,thegrowthofonefactorofproductionresultsinadecreaseintheoutputoftheproductthatdoesnotusethisfactorintensively.
Small/largecountryassumption: Asmallcountryhasnoimpactoninternationalcommodityprices;alargecountrycanhaveanimpactoninternationalprices.
WarmupQuestions
TrueorFalse?Explain.
1. T/F Acountrywhichis“large”mayimproveitstermsoftradebyinvestinginthegrowthoftheimportcompetingsectorratherthanintheexportsector.
2. T/F Growthinasmallcountry,bydefinition,willleavethetermsoftradeunchanged.
3. T/F Adolescenceisanexampleof“immiserizinggrowth.”
4. T/F Growthinacountry’sfactorsofproductionalwaysmakesthecountrymoreself-sufficientandlessreliantoninternationaltrade.
5. T/F Acountrythatisolatesitselffromtherestoftheworldmaydoomitscitizenstoalowerstandardofliving.
MultipleChoice
1. “Rapidaccumulationofnewcapitalinafastgrowingtradingcountrycanmakethecountryimportmorenaturalresources.”Thisstatementisimpliedbythe
A. HeckscherOhlintheorem.
B. StolperSamuelsontheorem.
C. Rybczynskitheorem.
D. factorpriceequalizationtheorem.
2. Accordingtotradetheory,ifanationhasacomparativeadvantageinacapital-intensivelyproducedgood,andtherateofgrowthofcapitalisgreaterthantherateofgrowthofotherinputs(e.g.,labor),thepatternofgrowthwhichresultswillbe
A. importreplacing.
B. neutralasbetweencapitalintensiveandotherproducts.
C. exportexpanding.
D. noneoftheabove.
3. Anecessaryconditionforimmiserizinggrowthisthatthe
A. country’sgrowthisbiasedtowardtheexportsector.
B. foreigndemandforthecountry’sexportispriceelastic.
C. country’sconsumptionpreferencesareheavilybiasedinfavoroftheexportgood.
D. leveloftradeisnotasignificantpartofthecountry’seconomy.
4. TheHeckscherOhlintheorysuccessfullyexplainsthe
A. productinnovationprocessandthelocationofindustriesincountriesotherthantheUnitedStates.
B. risingimportanceofacountrybothexportingandimportingthesameproduct.
C. risingtradebetweentheUnitedStatesandCanadabecausebotharesimilarinfactorendowments.
D. tradepatternsbetweenindustrializedcountriesandthedevelopingcountries,whichdifferinfactorendowments.
5. Whichofthefollowingismostlikelytoundergoaproductcycle?
A. Rice.
B. Televisionsets.
C. Crudeoil.
D. Minerals.
Problems
1. BacktoourcountriesofLeinsterandSaxony.PPCsforeachofthecountriesaredrawnonthefollowinggraphwiththefreetradepriceof0.25telephones/loafindicated.(Fromthisquestionforward,youshouldconsiderLeinstera“largecountry”andSaxonya“smallcountry.”)
Leinster
Saxony
Price=
0.25telephones
perloaf
Price=
0.25telephones
perloaf
Bread
Bread
IO
IO
Telephones
Telephones
Figure7.1
SupposethatSaxonydiscoversawayofirrigatingpreviouslyaridland.
a. WhatwouldyouexpecttohappentothevolumeoftradebetweenLeinsterandSaxony?
b. WhatwouldhappentothelevelofeconomicwellbeinginSaxonyasaresultofthegrowthitexperiencedaftertheexpansionofirrigation?
Suppose,instead,thataplaguewipesout20percentofLeinster’slaborforce.
c. WhatwouldyouexpecttohappentothevolumeoftradebetweenLeinsterandSaxony?
d. WhatwouldhappentothelevelofeconomicwellbeinginLeinsterafterthepopulationdecline?
2. AssumethatCanadaexportslandintensivewheatandimportscloththatusesunskilledlaborintensively,eventhoughCanadadoesmakesomeclothathome.IfamajorbreakthroughinbiotechnologydoublesCanada’sabilitytogrowwheat,andiftheextrawheatsupplylowerstheworldpriceofwheat(inyardsofclothperbushelofwheat),
a. willthissetofeventsmakeCanadabetterofforworseoffasanation?
b. willthissetofeventsmaketherestoftheworldbetterofforworseoff?
c. willtheseeventsraiseorlowertherealwagerateofunskilledCanadianlaborers?
If,instead,therestoftheworld’slaborsupplydoubleswhileitslandsupplyremainsthesame,
d. willthiseventanditseffectsmakeCanadabetterofforworseoffasanation?
3. ThetradeministerforSaxonyisanationalist,amercantilist,anisolationist,andnearlyeveryotherkindof“ist”youcanthinkof.ShehassuggestedthatSaxonycloseitsdoorstotelephoneimportsfromLeinster.Focusingontheroleoftechnologyineconomicgrowth,trytotalkheroutofherantiimportstance.
4. SupposeKazakhstanislandandunskilledlaborabundantandcapitalandskilledlaborscarce.
a. AccordingtotheHeckscherOhlinmodel,whattypeofgoodswillKazakhstanexport,andwhattypewillitimport?
b. SupposethatKazakhstanwantstoachieve“importreplacing”growth.Whatchangeinitsendowmentswouldachievethisgrowth?IfKazakhstanwerelarge,whatwouldbetheeffectonitstermsoftrade?
5. SomeoilexecutivesareurgingCongresstoopenupthewildlifepreservesintheArcticregionofAlaskatooilexploration.If,indeed,hugenewoilreservesarediscoveredthere,
a. whatisli
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