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a§
GlobalResearch
7May2026
AlbemarleCorp
Lithiumpriceskeeponmovinghigher
OurView
●WemaintainourBuyratingonALBasweseelithiumpricescontinuingtoriseoverthecourseof2026andinto2027drivenbyanincreasingsupplydeficit(seeourpriorglobalupdatehere-link).WeexpectALBstocktobevolatileasitreactstoChinapricingmovementsandchangingdynamicsonS/D.However,ourviewremainsthatlithiumdemandwilloutpacesupplygrowthin2026/27,leavingmarketsinadeficitanddrivinglithiumpriceshigheroverthenext18months.
●ThelatestUBSlithiumpriceoutlookassumes~$30.5/kgavgpricefor2026,andweexpectthattomovehigherin2027to~$42/kg.Goingforward,wemodelsupplygrowthof~596ktfrom2025-2027E,vs623ktdemandgrowth.Weraiseour2026/27/28EBITDAestimatesby~22%/40%/36%to~$3.8B/$5.8B/$5.0Bprimarilyonhigherprices.Thenear-termvolumeguidancewasunchangedwithshipmentsflatin2026afteraninventorydrawdownlastyear,followedby2-10%growthin2027.TherampofCGP3attheGreenbushesmineremainsontrackwhichhelpssupplygrowthin2027andALBalsoexpectsincrementalvolumesfromWodginawith3fulltrainsinoperationbyyearend.LowervolumesandhighercostsflaggedbyALB'sJVpartnerinGreenbushesappearedmorebakedintoALB'soutlooksodidnotpresentamaterialneartermnegative.ALBcalledout$70-90MofincreasedcostsfromdisruptionsintheMiddleEastwhichoffsetsstrongerSpecialtiesearningsin1H26andcostsavingsin2H26.
●WeforecastmeaningfullyimprovedFCFin2026of$1B,up~90%Y/Y(ex.theprepaymentof$350Min1Q25).WorkingcapitalwillbeaheadwindduetohigherlithiumpricesandasALBrebuildsinventories.Capexisforecastrelativelyflatat$550-600Mvs.$590Min2025.Onourhigherpriceoutlook,weexpectALBcangenerate~$3BinexcessFCFover2027/2028,whichadds~$12/shforALBstockandispartiallybakedintoourincreasedPT.
1Q26adjEBITDA$664Mvs$412MUBSe/$444MCons
●ALBreported1Q26EBITDAof$664M,up~150%Y/Y,and~50%aboveconsensusprimarilydrivenbyhigherEnergyStoragemargins.EnergyStorage(batterygradelithium)volumeswereup+14%Y/Yvs+18%UBSe,andsegmentEBITDAmarginswere61.9%vs40.2%UBSedrivenbytheflowthroughoflowercostspodumeneonaonequarterlag.
●ALBunchangedguidanceincludesthreelithiumpricescenariosforthefullyear:$10,20,30/kg.ThisimpliesEBITDAof$0.95/$2.5B/$4.3Bateachmidpoint,respectively.Contractmixwillskewmoretowardspot(40%/60%contract/spotfor2026evs.45%/55%in2025).SpotpricesforlithiumcarbonateandhydroxideinChinaarecurrentlytradingat~$26-27/kg.Wemodel2026spotpricesat~$29/kgand2027at~$42/kg.ThecompanyraisedSpecialtiessegment
Equities
UnitedStates
Chemicals,Specialty
12-monthrating
Buy*
12mpricetarget
US$264.00
Prior:US$230.00
Price(07May2026)
US$213.25
RIC:ALB.NBBG:ALBUS
Tradingdataandkeymetrics
52-wkrangeUS$215.62-55.09
Marketcap.US$25.3b
Shareso/s119m(COM)
Freefloat100%
Avg.dailyvolume('000)588
Avg.dailyvalue(m)US$105.1
Commons/hequity(12/26E)US$9.47bP/BV(12/26E)2.7x
NetdebttoEBITDA(12/26E)0.7x
EPS(UBS,diluted)(USD)
12/26E
From
To
%ch
Cons.
Q1
0.78
2.95
280
2.95
Q2E
2.66
3.25
22
2.37
Q3E
3.41
4.26
25
2.58
Q4E
4.05
4.92
21
2.55
12/26E
10.90
15.50
42
8.90
12/27E
16.90
25.35
50
9.38
12/28E
15.20
21.90
44
10.38
JoshuaSpector,CFA
Analyst
joshua.spector@
+1-212-7136188
LucasBeaumont
Analyst
lucas.beaumont@
+1-212-7134809
ChristopherPerrella
Analyst
christopher.perrella@
+1-212-7131443
Highlights(US$m)
12/23
12/24
12/25
12/26E
12/27E
12/28E
12/29E
12/30E
Revenues
9,617
5,378
5,143
7,484
10,289
9,513
8,648
7,641
EBIT(UBS)
475
(599)
124
1,836
3,063
2,601
2,112
1,719
Netearnings(UBS)
1,792
(276)
(93)
2,031
3,428
2,909
2,340
1,890
EPS(UBS,diluted)(US$)
15.23
(2.35)
(0.79)
15.50
25.35
21.90
18.10
15.00
DPS(net)(US$)
2.49
2.96
1.62
1.45
1.57
1.60
1.64
1.68
Net(debt)/cash
(3,277)
(4,624)
(3,876)
(2,534)
2,595
3,962
4,747
5,164
Profitability/valuation
12/23
12/24
12/25
12/26E
12/27E
12/28E
12/29E
12/30E
EBIT(UBS)margin%
4.9
(11.1)
2.4
24.5
29.8
27.3
24.4
22.5
ROIC(EBIT)%
4.2
(4.7)
1.0
15.7
25.1
20.6
16.3
13.0
EV/EBITDA(UBScore)x
9.3
14.5
12.8
7.1
4.1
4.2
4.7
5.5
P/E(UBS,diluted)x
12.9
(45.7)
NM
13.0
8.0
9.2
11.2
13.5
EquityFCF(UBS)yield%
(3.0)
(7.8)
9.3
4.4
12.9
10.8
8.3
6.8
Dividendyield(net)%
1.3
2.8
2.0
0.7
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
Source:Companyaccounts,LSEGEikon,UBSestimates.Metricsmarkedas(UBS)havehadanalystadjustmentsapplied.Valuations:basedonanaveragesharepricethatyear,(E):basedonasharepriceofUS$202.13on07-May-202615:31:43EDT
ThisreporthasbeenpreparedbyUBSSecuritiesLLC.*Exceptiontocoreratingbands;SeeRequiredDisclosuressection.ANALYSTCERTIFICATIONANDREQUIREDDISCLOSURES,iNcLuDiNGiNFoRmAtioNoNtHEQuANtitAtivEREsEARcHREviEwpuBLisHEDByUBS,BEGiNoNpAGE8.
AlbemarleCorp7May2026婚§2
EBITDAguidanceby$50Mduetohigherthanexpectedbromineprices.
Segmenthighlights&EarningsTakeaways
●ALBguided2026lithiumvolumesasflatY/Yat~235K,unchangedfromthestartoftheyear.ALBshipped53kTofLCEin1Q26vs.52kTUBSeatanaveragepriceof~$17/kg.
●EnergyStorageadj.EBITDAwas$551M,+200%Y/Y,(vs$350MUBSe)on51%higherpricesand14%highervolumes(vs48%/+18%UBSe).EBITDAmarginswere61.9%vs40.2%UBSe.
●SpecialtiesadjEBITDAwas$76M,+30%Y/Y(vs$47MUBSe),withpricing+2%andvolumes+7%(vs-4%/-2%UBSe).EBITDAimprovedY/Yprimarilyduetoproductmixandcostandproductivityimprovements.EBITDAmarginswere
21.2%vs15.5%UBSe.
●ALBcompletedthesaleofa51%stakeinitsKetjensegmentandits50%stakeintheEurecatJVfor$648Minnetcash.ALBreducedlong-termdebtby$1.3Bin1Qloweringitsquarterlyinterestexpenseby$15M.
Valuation:BuyRated;PriceTargetmovesto$264from$230
OurNTMEBITDAestimatemovesto~$5.58B(endMarQ28)from~$4.15B(endDecQ27)primarilyonhigherlithiumprices.Weapplyalower~6.5xEV/EBITDAmultiplevs~7.5xprior,asearningsmovetowardspeaklevel.OurPTincreasesto$264from$230asaresult.Thisbasisisconsistentwith~12-13xourmid-cycleassumptionof~$2.5BinEBITDAandanassumed~$12/shofexcessFCF.WeexpectthatiflithiumpricesmoveupasweforecastALBstockcouldovershootourPTandmovetowardsourupsidescenario.
AlbemarleCorp7May2026婚§3
Figure1:ALB1Q26VarianceAnalysis
1Q26A
1Q26EUBS
ActvsUBSe
1Q25A
%chgYoY
4Q25A
%chgQoQ
EnergyStorage
891
871
20
525
70%
759
17%
Specialties
358
302
57
321
12%
349
3%
Ketjen
0
170
-170
231
-100%
320
-100%
TotalSales
1,250
1,342
-93
1,077
16%
1,428
-12%
AdjEBITDA
EnergyStorage
551
350
201
186
196%
167
230%
Specialties
76
47
29
59
30%
69
11%
Ketjen
0
21
-21
39
-100%
50
-100%
Corporate
36
(6)
42
(16)
NM
(17)
-320%
AdjEBITDA
664
412
252
267
148%
269
147%
D&A
158
168
-10
162
-2%
164
-4%
Adj.EBIT
324
100
224
13
NM
71
NM
Netinterestexpense
(33)
(40)
7
(49)
NM
(58)
NM
Other
54
4
50
10
NM
(10)
NM
Pre-TaxIncome
345
64
280
(25)
NM
3
NM
Taxes
(40)
(13)
-27
(11)
NM
(52)
NM
Equityincome,netoftax
96
104
-7
64
50%
41
137%
MinorityInterest
(10)
(8)
-1
(8)
NM
(12)
NM
Conv.StockDividends
(42)
(42)
0
(42)
0%
(42)
0%
NetIncome
350.0
105.0
245
-21.4
-1734%
-63
-659%
Sharesoutstanding
118.6
135.2
-16.6
117.6
1%
117.7
1%
EPS
$2.95
$0.78
$2.17
($0.18)
-1720%
($0.53)
-655%
Taxrate
12%
20%
-43%
1699%
AdjEBITDAMargin
EnergyStorage
61.9%
40.2%
+2167bps
35.5%
+2634bps
22.0%
+3986bps
Specialties
21.2%
15.5%
+574bps
18.3%
+297bps
19.6%
+159bps
Ketjen
#DIV/0!
12.5%
#DIV/0!
16.7%
#DIV/0!
15.5%
#DIV/0!
AdjEBITDAMargin
53.1%
30.7%
+2242bps
24.8%
+2832bps
18.8%
+3430bps
Source:Companyreports,UBSestimates
AlbemarleCorp7May2026婚§4
AlbemarleCorp(ALB.N)
IncomeStatement(US$m)
12/23
12/24
12/25
12/26E
%ch
12/27E
%ch
12/28E
12/29E
12/30E
Revenues
9,617
5,378
5,143
7,484
45.5
10,289
37.5
9,513
8,648
7,641
Grossprofit
1,191
142
707
2,637
273.0
4,246
61.1
3,714
3,150
2,644
EBITDA(UBS)
2,766
1,146
1,098
3,819
247.8
5,807
52.1
4,984
4,181
3,566
Depreciation&amortisation
(2,291)
(1,745)
(974)
(1,983)
-103.6
(2,744)
-38.4
(2,384)
(2,068)
(1,847)
EBIT(UBS)
475
(599)
124
1,836
NM
3,063
66.8
2,601
2,112
1,719
Associates&investmentincome
0
0
0
0
-
0
-
0
0
0
Othernon-operatingincome
104
186
23
66
190.4
10
-84.2
11
11
12
Netinterest
(116)
(166)
(208)
(123)
40.7
(120)
2.5
(90)
(90)
(90)
Exceptionals(inclgoodwill)
0
0
0
0
-
0
-
0
0
0
Pre-taxprofit
463
(579)
(61)
1,779
-
2,954
66.1
2,521
2,034
1,641
Tax
(428)
(232)
(63)
(442)
NM
(901)
-103.6
(754)
(590)
(461)
Profitaftertax
35
(811)
(125)
1,336
-
2,053
53.6
1,768
1,444
1,180
Preferencedividends
0
(137)
(167)
(167)
0.0
(42)
75.0
0
0
0
Minorities
1,757
671
198
862
334.5
1,417
64.4
1,142
896
710
Extraordinaryitems
0
0
0
0
-
0
-
0
0
0
Netearnings(localGAAP)
1,792
(276)
(93)
2,031
-
3,428
68.7
2,909
2,340
1,890
Netearnings(UBS)
1,792
(276)
(93)
2,031
-
3,428
68.7
2,909
2,340
1,890
Taxrate(%)
92.4
0.0
0.0
24.9
-
30.5
22.6
29.9
29.0
28.1
PerShare(US$)
12/23
12/24
12/25
12/26E
%ch
12/27E
%ch
12/28E
12/29E
12/30E
EPS(UBS,diluted)
15.23
(2.35)
(0.79)
15.50
-
25.35
63.6
21.90
18.10
15.00
EPS(localGAAP,diluted)
15.23
(2.35)
(0.79)
15.50
-
25.35
63.6
21.90
18.10
15.00
EPS(UBS,basic)
15.23
(2.35)
(0.79)
15.50
-
25.35
63.6
21.90
18.10
15.00
DPS(net)(US$)
2.49
2.96
1.62
1.45
-10.2
1.57
7.8
1.60
1.64
1.68
CashEPS(UBS,diluted)1
34.69
12.49
7.49
30.63
309.0
45.64
49.0
39.84
34.10
29.66
Bookvaluepershare
82.06
67.21
63.57
72.26
13.7
111.14
53.8
125.89
138.08
147.07
Averageshares(diluted)
118
118
118
131
11.4
135
3.2
133
129
126
BalanceSheet(US$m)
12/23
12/24
12/25
12/26E
%ch
12/27E
%ch
12/28E
12/29E
12/30E
Cashandequivalents
890
1,192
1,618
1,648
1.8
4,477
171.7
5,244
6,029
6,445
Othercurrentassets
4,327
2,650
2,390
3,846
60.9
4,447
15.6
4,218
4,016
3,680
Totalcurrentassets
5,217
3,842
4,008
5,494
37.1
8,924
62.4
9,462
10,045
10,125
Nettangiblefixedassets
9,495
9,331
8,612
8,475
-1.6
8,517
0.5
8,598
8,885
9,161
Netintangiblefixedassets
1,892
1,813
2,206
1,696
-23.1
1,696
0.0
1,696
1,696
1,696
Investments/otherassets
1,667
1,622
1,548
2,064
33.3
2,175
5.4
2,101
2,013
1,903
Totalassets
18,271
16,610
16,374
17,729
8.3
21,312
20.2
21,858
22,640
22,886
Tradepayables&otherSTliabilities
2,935
1,568
1,724
2,354
36.6
2,524
7.2
2,059
1,937
1,742
Shorttermdebt
626
398
74
75
0.7
75
0.0
75
75
75
Totalcurrentliabilities
3,560
1,966
1,798
2,429
35.1
2,599
7.0
2,134
2,012
1,817
Longtermdebt
3,541
3,118
3,119
1,807
-42.1
1,807
0.0
1,207
1,207
1,207
Otherlongtermliabilities
1,504
1,325
1,675
1,722
2.8
1,877
9.0
1,791
1,567
1,330
Preferredshares
0
2,300
2,300
2,300
0.0
0
-
0
0
0
Totalliabilities(inclprefshares)
8,606
8,710
8,893
8,258
-7.1
6,283
-23.9
5,132
4,786
4,354
Commons/hequity
9,665
7,900
7,481
9,471
26.6
15,029
58.7
16,726
17,854
18,532
Minorityinterests
0
0
0
0
-
0
-
0
0
0
Totalliabilities&equity
18,271
16,610
16,374
17,729
8.3
21,312
20.2
21,858
22,640
22,886
CashFlow(US$m)
12/23
12/24
12/25
12/26E
%ch
12/27E
%ch
12/28E
12/29E
12/30E
Netincome(beforeprefdivs)
1,792
(139)
74
2,198
NM
3,469
57.8
2,909
2,340
1,890
Depreciation&amortisation
2,291
1,745
974
1,983
103.6
2,744
38.4
2,384
2,068
1,847
Netchangeinworkingcapital
(1,498)
1,251
575
(1,031)
-
(288)
72.1
(98)
90
152
Otheroperating
(1,138)
(2,155)
(121)
(1,530)
NM
(2,110)
-37.9
(1,814)
(1,461)
(1,191)
Operatingcashflow
1,447
702
1,502
1,620
7.9
3,816
135.6
3,381
3,038
2,699
Tangiblecapitalexpenditure
(2,149)
(1,686)
(590)
(559)
5.3
(733)
-31.2
(803)
(1,041)
(1,071)
Intangiblecapitalexpenditure
0
0
0
0
-
0
-
0
0
0
Net(acquisitions)&disposals
(426)
0
0
525
-
0
-
0
0
0
Otherinvesting
(206)
111
444
163
-63.3
0
-
0
0
0
Investingcashflow
(2,781)
(1,574)
(146)
129
-
(733)
-
(803)
(1,041)
(1,071)
Equitydividendspaid
(293)
(212)
(24)
(191)
NM
(212)
-11.2
(212)
(212)
(212)
Shareissues/(buybacks)
0
0
3
9
175.2
0
-
(1,000)
(1,000)
(1,000)
Otherfinancing
560
1,590
(198)
(221)
-11.9
(42)
81.2
0
0
0
Changeindebt&prefshares
356
0
(449)
(1,278)
-184.7
0
-
(600)
0
0
Financingcashflow
624
1,378
(667)
(1,681)
-151.9
(254)
84.9
(1,812)
(1,212)
(1,212)
Cashflowinc/(dec)incash
(710)
506
689
68
-90.1
2,830
NM
766
785
416
FX/noncashitems
101
(204)
(263)
(38)
85.5
0
-
0
0
0
Balancesheetinc/(dec)incash
(609)
302
426
30
-93.0
2,830
NM
766
785
416
Source:Companyaccounts,UBSestimates.(UBS)metricsusereportedfigureswhichhavebeenadjustedbyUBSanalysts.1CashEPS(UBS,diluted)iscalculatedusingUBSnetincomeaddingbackdepreciationandamortization.
AlbemarleCorp(ALB.N)
AlbemarleCorp7May2026婚§5
Valuation(x)
12/23
12/24
12/25
12/26E
12/27E
12/28E
12/29E
12/30E
P/E(localGAAP,diluted)
12.9
NM
NM
13.8
8.4
9.7
11.8
14.2
P/E(UBS,diluted)
12.9
(45.7)
NM
13.8
8.4
9.7
11.8
14.2
P/CEPS
5.7
8.6
11.1
6.3
4.2
4.8
5.6
6.5
EquityFCF(UBS)yield%
(3.0)
(7.8)
9.3
4.2
12.2
10.2
7.9
6.4
Dividendyield(net)%
1.3
2.8
2.0
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.8
0.8
P/BV
2.4
1.6
1.3
2.7
1.7
1.5
1.4
1.3
EV/revenues(core)
2.7
3.1
2.7
3.5
2.2
2.0
2.1
2.4
EV/EBITDA(UBScore)
9.3
14.5
12.8
6.8
3.9
3.9
4.4
5.1
EV/EBIT(core)
54.0
NM
>100
14.1
7.4
7.5
8.7
10.7
EV/OpFCF(core)
24.5
NM
22.4
7.7
4.3
4.5
5.5
6.8
EV/op.investedcapital
2.2
1.3
1.2
2.2
1.9
1.5
1.4
1.4
Enterprisevalue(US$m)
12/23
12/24
12/25
12/26E
12/27E
12/28E
12/29E
12/30E
Marketcap.
23,172
12,616
9,765
25,293
25,293
25,293
25,293
25,293
Netdebt(cash)
2,497
3,950
4,250
3,205
(31)
(3,279)
(4,355)
(4,355)
Buyoutofminorities
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Pensionprovisions/other
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Totalenterprisevalue
25,669
16,567
14,015
28,498
25,262
22,014
20,938
20,938
Noncoreassets
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Coreenterprisevalue
25,669
16,567
14,015
28,498
25,262
22,014
20,938
20,938
Growth(%)
12/23
12/24
12/25
12/26E
12/27E
12/28E
12/29E
12/30E
Revenue
31.4
(44.1)
(4.4)
45.5
37.5
(7.5)
(9.1)
(11.6)
EBITDA(UBS)
(20.4)
(58.6)
(4.2)
NM
52.1
(14.2)
(16.1)
(14.7)
EBIT(UBS)
(81.3)
-
-
NM
66.8
(15.1)
(18.8)
(18.6)
EPS(UBS,diluted)
(30.6)
-
66.3
-
63.6
(13.6)
(17.3)
(17.1)
NetDPS
58.9
19.1
(45.4)
(10.2)
7.8
2.0
2.5
2.5
Margins&Profitability(%)
12/23
12/24
12/25
12/26E
12/27E
12/28E
12/29E
12/30E
Grossprofitmargin
12.4
2.6
13.7
35.2
41.3
39.0
36.4
34.6
EBITDAmargin
28.8
21.3
21.4
51.0
56.4
52.4
48.3
46.7
EBIT(UBS)margin
4.9
(11.1)
2.4
24.5
29.8
27.3
24.4
22.5
Netearnings(UBS)margin
18.6
NM
NM
27.1
33.3
30.6
27.1
24.7
ROIC(EBIT)
4.2
NM
1.0
15.7
25.1
20.6
16.3
13.0
ROICposttax
0.3
NM
1.0
11.8
17.4
14.5
11.6
9.3
ROE(UBS)
20.1
(3.1)
(1.2)
24.0
28.0
18.3
13.5
10.4
Capitalstructure&Coverage(x)
12/23
12/24
12/25
12/26E
12/27E
12/28E
12/29E
12/30E
Netdebt/EBITDA
1.2
4.0
3.5
0.7
(0.4)
(0.8)
(1.1)
(1.4)
Netdebt/totalequity%
33.9
58.5
51.8
26.8
(17.3)
(23.7)
(26.6)
(27.9)
Netdebt/(netdebt+totalequity)%
25.3
36.9
34.1
21.1
(20.9)
(31.0)
(36.2)
(38.6)
Netdebt/EV%
9.7
23.8
30.3
11.2
(0.1)
(14.9)
(20.8)
(23.7)
Capex/depreciation%
93.8
96.6
60.5
28.2
26.7
33.7
50.3
58.0
Capex/revenue%
22.3
NM
11.5
7.5
7.1
8.4
12.0
14.0
EBIT/netinterest
4.1
-
0.6
14.9
25.5
28.9
23.5
19.1
Dividendcover(UBS)
6.1
-
-
10.7
16.2
13.7
11.0
8.9
Div.payoutratio(UBS)%
16.3
-
-
9.4
6.2
7.3
9.1
11.2
Revenuesbydivision(US$m)
12/23
12/24
12/25
12/26E
12/27E
12/28E
12/29E
12/30E
Corporate
0
0
0
179
0
0
0
0
Others
9,617
5,378
5,143
7,305
10,289
9,513
8,648
7,641
Total
9,617
5,378
5,143
7,484
10,289
9,513
8,648
7,641
EBIT(UBS)bydivision(US$m)
12/23
12/24
12/25
12/26E
12/27E
12/28E
12/29E
12/30E
Others
475
(599)
124
1,836
3,063
2,601
2,112
1,719
Total
475
(599)
124
1,836
3,063
2,601
2,112
1,719
Source:Companyaccounts,UBSestimates.(UBS)metricsusereportedfigureswhichhavebeenadjustedbyUBSanalysts.
AlbemarleCorp7May2026a§6
Forecastreturns
Forecastpriceappreciation
23.8%
Forecastdividendyield
0.7%
Forecaststockreturn
24.5%
Marketreturnassumption
8.9%
Forecastexcessreturn
15.6%
CompanyDescription
Albemarle,aleadingspecialtychemsproducer,operates3segments.EnergyStoragefocusesonlithiumforbatteries(EVs,electronics).Ketjen(catalysts)consistsprimarilyofHeavyOilUpgrading(FCC)andCleanFuelTechnologies(hydro-processing).Specialtiesconsistsofbromine-relatedchemicals(fireretardants,oilfieldchems)plusspecialtylithium(ceramics/glass,greases,pharma).
ValuationMethodandRiskStatement
OurpricetargetisbaseduponanEV/EBITDAmultiplerelativetothemarket.Albemarle'searningsaresignificantlyweightedtowardsthelithiumindustry.Supply/demanddynamicswithinthelithiumindustrycansignificantlyaffectAlbemarle'searnings.Thecatalystindustryisweightedtowardsfuels/oil(primarilythroughrefinerycatalysts)andthereforesalesaresusceptibletochangesinoilindustryperformanceandsubjecttoglobalmacrorisk.Whilewebelievethatsalesarebalancedagainstproducts,regions,andendmarketexposurewecannotpredictextraordinaryeventsthatcouldimpactthecompanyandthestock
AlbemarleCorp7May2026a§7
QuantitativeResearchReview
UBSGlobalResearchpublishesaquantitativeassessmentofitsanalysts'responsestocertainquestionsaboutthelikelihoodofanoccurrenceofanumberofshorttermfactorsinaproductknownasthe'QuantitativeResearchReview'.Theviewsforthismonthcanbefoundbelow.Viewscontainedinthisassessmentonaparticularstockreflectonlytheviewsonthoseshorttermfactorswhichareadifferenttimeframetothe12-monthtimeframereflectedinanyequityratingsetoutinthisnote.Forpreviousresponsespleasemakereferenceto(i)previousUBSGlobalResearchreports;and(ii)wherenoapplicableresearchreportwaspublishedthatmonth,theQuantitativeResearchReviewwhichcanbefoundat
/quantitative
,orcontactyourUBSsalesrepresentativeforaccesstothereportortheQuantitativeResearchTeamon
ubs-quant-answers@.Aconsolidated
reportwhichcontainsallresponsesisalsoavailableandagainyoushouldcontactyourUBSsalesrepresentativefordetailsandpricingortheQuantitativeResearchTeamontheemailabove.
1.Istheindustrystructurefacingthefirmlikelytoimproveordeteriorateoverthenextsixmonths?Rateonascaleof1-5(1=gettingworse,3=nochange,5=
gettingbetter,N/A=noview)
2.Istheregulatory/governmentenvironmentfacingthefirmlikelytoimproveordeteriorateoverthenextsixmonths?Rateonascaleof1-5(1=gettingtougher3=nochange,5=gettingbetter,N/A=noview)
3.Overthelast3-6monthsinbroadtermshavethingsbeenimproving/nochange/gettingworseforthisstock?Rateonascaleof1-5(1=gettingalotworse,3=notmuchchange,5=gettingalotbetter,N/A=noview)
4.RelativetothecurrentCONSENSUSEPSforecast,isthenextcompanyEPSupdatelikelytoleadto:(1=negativesurprisevsconsensus,3=in-linewithconsensus,5=positivesurprisevsconsensusexpectations,N/A=noview)
5.What’sdrivingthedifference?
6.RelativetoYOURcurrentearningsforecast,isthererelativelygreaterriskatthenextearningsresultof:(1=downsideskewrisktoearnings,3=equalupsideordownsiderisktoearnings,5=upsideskewrisktoearnings,N/A=noview)
7.What’sdrivingthedifference?
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
NA
N/A
NA
AlbemarleCorp
Question
Response
8.Isthereanupcomingcatalystforthecompanyoverthenextthreemonths?
9.Isthereanactualorapproximatedateforthecatalyst?
10.Isthecatalystdateanactualorapproximatedate?
11.Whatisthecatalyst?
AlbemarleCorp7May2026婚§8
RequiredDisclosures
ThisdocumenthasbeenpreparedbyUBSSecuritiesLLC,anaffiliateofUBSAG.UBSAG,itssubsidiaries,branchesandaffiliates,includingformerCreditSuisseAGanditssubsidiaries,branchesandaffiliatesarereferredtohereinas"UBS".
ForinformationonthewaysinwhichUBSmanagesconflictsandmaintainsindependenceofitsUBSGlobalResearchproduct;historicalperformanceinformation;certainadditionaldisclosuresconcerningUBSGlobalResearchrecommendations;andtermsandconditionsforcertainthirdpartydatausedinresearchreport,pleasevisit
/disclosures.Unless
otherwiseindicated,informationanddatainthisreportarebasedoncompanydisclosuresincludingbutnotlimitedtoannual,interim,quarterlyreportsandothercompanyannouncements.Thefigurescontainedinperformancechartsrefertothepast;pastperformanceisnotareliableindicatoroffutureresults.Additionalinformationwillbemadeavailableuponrequest.UBSSecuritiesCo.LimitedislicensedtoconductsecuritiesinvestmentconsultancybusinessesbytheChinaSecuritiesRegulatoryCommission.UBSactsormayactasprincipalinthedebtsecurities(orinrelatedderivatives)thatmaybethesubjectofthisreport.Thisrecommendationwasfinalizedon:07May202608:37PMGMT.UBShasdesignatedcertainUBSGlobalResearchdepartmentmembersasDerivativesResearchAnalystswherethosedepartmentmemberspublishresearchprincipallyontheanalysisofthepriceormarketforaderivative,andprovideinformationreasonablysufficientuponwhichtobaseadecisiontoenterintoaderivativestransaction.WhereDerivativesResearchAnalystsco-authorresearchreportswithEquityResearchAnalystsorEconomists,theDerivativesResearchAnalystisresponsibleforthederivativesinvestmentviews,forecasts,and/orrecommendations.QuantitativeResearchReview:UBSGlobalResearchpublishesaquantitativeassessmentofitsanalysts'responsestocertainquestionsaboutthelikelihoodofanoccurrenceofanumberofshorttermfactorsinaproductknownasthe'QuantitativeResearchReview'.Viewscontainedinthisassessmentonaparticularstockreflectonlytheviewsonthoseshorttermfactorswhichareadifferenttimeframetothe12-monthtimeframereflectedinanyequityratingsetoutinthisnote.Forthelatestresponses,pleaseseetheQuantitativeResearchReviewAddendumatthebackofthisreport,whereapplicable.Forpreviousresponsespleasemakereferenceto(i)previousUBSGlobalResearchreports;and(ii)wherenoapplicableresearchreportwaspublishedthatmonth,theQuantitativeResearchReviewwhichcanbefoundat
/
quantitative
,orcontactyourUBSsalesrepresentativeforaccesstothereportortheQuantitativeResearchTeamonubs-quant-
answers@.Aconsolidated
reportwhichcontainsallresponsesisalsoavailableandagainyoushouldcontactyourUBSsalesrepresentativefordetailsandpricingortheQuantitativeResearchteamontheemailabove.
AnalystCertification:
Eachresearchanalystprimarilyresponsibleforthecontentofthisresearchreport,inwholeorinpart,certifiesthatwithrespecttoeachsecurityorissuerthattheanalystcoveredinthisreport:(1)alloftheviewsexpressedaccuratelyreflecthisorherpersonalviewsaboutthosesecuritiesorissuersandwerepreparedinanindependentmanner,includingwithrespecttoUBS,and(2)nopartofhisorhercompensationwas,is,orwillbe,directlyorindirectly,relatedtothespecificrecommendationsorviewsexpressedbythatresearchanalystintheresearchreport.
UBSGlobalResearch:GlobalEquityRatingDefinitions
12-MonthRating
Definition
Coverage1
IBServices2
Buy
FSRis>6%abovetheMRA.
54%
24%
Neutral
FSRisbetween-6%and6%oftheMRA.
40%
21%
Sell
FSRis>6%belowtheMRA.
6%
21%
Source:UBS.Ratingallocationsareasof31March2026.
1:Percentageofcompaniesundercoveragegloballywithinthe12-monthratingcategory.
2:Percentageofcompanieswithinthe12-monthratingcategoryforwhichinvestmentbanking(IB)serviceswereprovidedwithinthepast12months.
KEYDEFINITIONS:ForecastStockReturn(FSR)isdefinedasexpectedpercentagepriceappreciationplusgrossdividendyieldoverthenext12months.Insomecases,thisyieldmaybebasedonaccrueddividends.MarketReturnAssumption(MRA)isdefinedastheone-yearlocalmarketinterestrateplus5%(aproxyfor,andnotaforecastof,theequityriskpremium).UnderReview(UR)StocksmaybeflaggedasURbytheanalyst,indicatingthatthestock'spricetargetand/orratingaresubjecttopossiblechangeinthenearterm,usuallyinresponsetoaneventthatmayaffecttheinvestmentcaseorvaluation.EquityPriceTargetshaveaninvestmenthorizonof12months.
EXCEPTIONSANDSPECIALCASES:UKandEuropeanInvestmentFundratingsanddefinitionsare:Buy:Positiveonfactorssuchasstructure,management,performancerecord,discount;Neutral:Neutralonfactorssuchasstructure,management,performancerecord,discount;Sell:Negativeonfactorssuchasstructure,management,performancerecord,dis
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