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PoweredbyUBSEvidencePoweredbyUBSEvidenceLaba§●●●●●If●●●If●婚§2 90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%1980198519901995200020052010201520202025100%婚§3 20192019201920192020202020202020202120212021202120222022202220222023202320232023202420242024202420252025202520252026202640%35%30%25%20%15%10%5%0%婚§4 AMZN婚§5 501980198519901995200020052010201520202025Note:USsizeweightedTechnologyaggregat301980198519901995200020052010201520202025Networks&Internet96婚§6 200920202021202220232024202580060040020002009202020212022202320242025202645,00040,00035,00030,00025,00020,0000reflectsvaluesasoftheti婚§7 200920092020202120222023202420258006004002000200920092020202120222023202420258006004002000婚§8 GrowthGrowthHighValuationValuationPremiumParlowgrowth婚§9婚§10 ”“MarkZuckerberg,CEO,Meta”“MarkZuckerberg,CEO,Meta“deploying,countriesaregoingtodeploycapital.”“thantheriskofoverinvestingforushere…”“reinventionofeverythingweknow.”婚§11 5020162018202020222024202620002002200420062008201020122014婚§12 .0200520102015202020254002005201020152020202540婚§13 400-20-40-60InfrastructureMedian:+60%Infrastructuregiventhenatureoftheirbusinessm婚§14 SoftwareMarketImpliedYield(%)202020212022202320242025202684206SoftwareSalesGrowth(%)2020202120222023202420255020202021202220232024202505ofthefirm.Theconceptissimilartotheyield-to-maturityonabond.婚§15婚§16 FundAIOutlayastheAIBoomSoftwareStocksSufferWorstStarttoYearDisruptionFearsMountinUnprecedentedMismatchUnsettlingInvestorsSubstantialROIfromAISpending婚§17 0201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026E700600400300200201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026E,200,000800600400200011Note:HyperscalersincludeGOOGL,META,MSFT,andAMZNCapitalCommitmentsi婚§18 20192020202120222023202420252026Source:Assetlifechangessourcedfromcompany-specific10-Ksandfilings.MSFTrefeandnetworkingequipment.”AMZN婚§19 30%25%20%15%10%5%0%4030040300婚§20 uillim.…400-20400-20-40––405020002001200220032004200550-1020002001200220032004200555050200020020002001200220032004200520062007200820092000200120022003200420052006200720082009202020212022202320242025wereevidentinthecompaniesaboveandareimportanttomonitorasweentertheageofAI.婚§21a§ 201120162021202686420200120066543210201120162021202620062001currententerprisevalueofthefirm.Tvaluemetric,calculatedasthesumofthemarketvaluesofdebtandequity(includingthevalueofminorityinterest)divided婚§23 50502015202020252030203550201520202025203020352015202020252030203550201520202025203020355020152020202520302035502015202020252030203550201520202025203020355020152020202520302035婚§24 MarketCap20256-MonthCFROI6-MonthPriceReturn(%)MarketImpliedYield5-YearMedian5,230.2201.025.922.92,036.532.048.838.6842.43.663.028.3214AMD742.02.643627.52283.23367.7AMAT345.63.0489.6261.93.8408.53.7232.020.3203.43.9498.44.63.53.12.7婚§25 MarketCap20256-MonthCFROI6-MonthPriceReturn(%)MarketImpliedYieldUpside(%)Downside(%)3,083.90.4563.40.8329.52.946215.30.39.5403.3218.69.00.24.40.18.20.296.12.02.20.494.00.354069.00.10.102.23.40.8WDAY33.1companiesandappliesa6%discountrate,representingthelong-runglobalaverage.T婚§26婚§27婚§28 ReturnonEquityInflationAdj.GrossInvestmentCashReturnonInflationAdjustedGrossInvestmentGrosscashFlowsonInvestmentReturnonInvestedCapitalGrosscashFlowsGrossInvestmentNOPATInvestedcapitalNetProfitBooKEquity====婚§29 NetCashReceiptsMIYisstatedinrealtermsandisforSolveforMarketImpliedYieldCFROIGrowthAssetbaseNote:HOLT'smarket-impliedyieldistheyieldthatsetsthepresentvalueofHOLT'sforecastcashflowsequa婚§30 ““newproducts.”weekoftime.”““ourbusinesswillgrowwithit0202020212022202320242028,0007,0006,0004,0003,0002,00070060040030020002020202120222023202420252026E婚§31婚§32婚§33 12-MonthRatingDefinition254%24%40%21%6%21%婚§34 婚§35 theGlobalWealthManag婚§36 a§ a§ a§ a§
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