面向多层级新能源消纳的准线型需求响应-上海交大

2026|第十一届紫金论电学术研讨会multi-levelrenewableen上海交通大学Background2233CollaborativeResponseMechanismCDL-basedIncentiveMechanism55ApplicationScenarios66202020212022cncrgyresourcsareheingintegratodintotrnsdistributionnctworksandtheconsumcr户南方某市分布式光伏渗透率超100%台区台区占比台区数南方某市分布式光伏渗透率超100%台区台区占比台区数台区数南方某省上海2026年需求响应Dcmandresponseiswidclystudicdandapplicdtounlockdcmand-side上海2026年需求响应系统总量|发用平衡dTomeetevolvingbalancingneeds,denandresponsemustprovidespatiallypreciseguidancenodebalaneingandtemporallycontinuousguidanceofloadprofil节点准线需求响应节点准线需求响应Pric-baseddemandresponsereliesonunobservablepriceelasticity,whereasmfalsifiablecotntorfactualbasclinc.Ncithercanobjectivolyquantifytheactualcontributionofcontinmousloadprmeetingnodalbalancingnee调节能力越强越无调节能力越强越无连续开展Thccustoncrdiroetrixload(CDL)isintroduccodasadircetroprescntationofcontimonsbalademandresponseguidescustomerloadprofilestowardtheCDLtomeetsystembalancingreqdemandresponsedrivenbybalancin扣除新能源发电后本质上是在描述电与准线差异巨大实际功率曲线BTheCDLconcpthasgaincdacadenierccognition,thedevelopmcntofthestandard,andinitialapplica逐年增加202020212"Directrix-baseddemandrapionccringloudadjustznentIEEEThans.SmartGrid,17(3),2026."CDLprovidesanup-bottomapprouchtoofferingroul-tine,systen-widetarygetsthatefectivelymanngelarge-scnleDR”ApplilEuergy,2025,395126144.dTheresearchfocusesonthreeareas:CDLcalculation,collaborativecustomerresponsetoCDLs,anmechanismsacrosstransmission,distributio调节贡献调节贡献激励激励用户层调节用户层调节2Backgroud233CollaborativeResponseMechanismtoCDL445CDL-basedIncentizeMechanism566DefinitionsandcalculationmodelsareestablishedforCDLs,nodalCDLs,aCustomerdirectrizload(CDL)LocationalLocationalCDL(LCDL)日前一日内2负荷准线基础理论(1)负荷准线CDLACDLcalenlationmodelisdeveopedfromthebalancingnoedsofregionalinflexibleresourcestoprovidearesponsetarget,togetherwithaCDL-similarity-basedmethodf贡献评价算例分析计算模型贡献评价算例分析计算模型高贡献中贡献小为目标小为目标(MW)幸3节点算(MW)幸Y,PamaSYuXY,PamaSYuXetweosranwmedsnteyselosimuatNngetweosranwmedsnteyselosimuatNng2负荷准线基础理论(2)节点准线LocationalCDL导并分化。为此，分别构建输电网层级节点准线(T-LCDL)与配电网层级节点准线(D-Toaddressspatialvariationsinbalaucingnoodscauseodbygridconstraints,LCDLsareedistributionanddistributioncustomerPCCstofacilitatethecoordi算例分析算例分析Toaccontforrenewableforcastmcrtaintyandresponsedeviation实施框架实施框架gY,YmsYFmSn!MlnwLintnxkatIdmwdunsnal聚焦新型电力系统建设全力支撑新型能源庸系构建BackgroundCollaborativeResponseMechanismtCDL-basedIncentiveMechanismApplicationScenariosFlexibilityassessment,sub-CDLdecomposition,andlocaltradi聚合商层面分解准线用户侧自主选择子准线模驱动——资源聚合数据驱动——用户画像建立本地用户间端对端交易机制183准线协同响应机制(1)潜力评估——资源聚合FlexibilityAssesment—ResourceAggregationForlarge-scaleheterogcnconsflexibleresources,anaggregationmethconstraintsisdevelopedtoconstructadispatchableagre框架与模型a₂FUk≤H*,ReK,3准线协同响应机制(1)潜力评估——用户画像FlexibilityAssessment—CustomTemporalfeaturesrelevanttoLCDLresponseareextractedfromhistoricaluserloadstoidpatterns.ResponsepotentialisthenevaluatedbyintegratingimplementationcostswitwhichtheCDLrcsponsecos3准线协同响应机制(2)子准线分解机制AggregatorsdecomposetheCDLintoporsoralizeodsub-CDLs,athesub-CDLbestalignedwiththeirconsumptionpatterns,ther计算模型分解原理计算模型分解原理SlnioYunlki,FiamShaui°,McngYuliung,euLPmomilizeddkeundrengyouneLunxdosusnub-CDLcouskeriueistomers.ApphiodFnergv,2024.374:129643准线协同响应机制(3)本地交易机制统一出清，实现灵活性在用户间互补流动。个体仅基于本地信息决策，即可在Availableorroquiredbalaucingfexibilityistradollocallythroughnuserbiddipeerflexibilitytrading.Individualdecisionsbasedsolelyonlocalinfo量量lleancilleysetviesmarkelbasedlonP2Puafing.AppliedEnerG,205,38412472.(ESIIliayCtedPoBackground22334CollaborativeResponseMechanismtoCDL45CDL-basedIncentiveMechanism56ApplicationScenarios64准线协同激励机制CDL-basedIncentivBasedonbalancingcontributionsandcostcausation,multistakeholderequilibriumandevclopedacrosstransmission,distribution,andcustomcrstocnablenon-iterative,sustainableince调贡献量化评估基于成本因果的激励框架奠定基础输配用多层级主体均衡输配用多层级主体均衡节点准线客观不变从理论层面刻画均衡状态基于历史响应结果快速生成下一周期激励价格趋近于均衡的实用方案Followingthecost-causationprineiple,anincentiveallocationandcost-recoveryfr算例分析算例分析lnclasticload实施框架ContributorsofZhugYLFanShou²,MregYimnCueIkPogmnanImernmtseAlbebuwtIeuedRapen*BoumnCuCnalioPinctpkITnucutian4准线协同激励机制(1)激励分配与成本疏导.基于加托方向导数理论，将用户负荷曲线对调节需求的边际消弭作用化简为其与节点准线的余弦相似度，形成可事前、显式计算的贡献评价函数，具备明确的物理可解释性和调节引导评估模型评估模型用户数量增加，基于准线相似度的评价结果与评价结果趋近正向贡献正向贡献 -1<U(x)≤0负向贡献ZangY1.FanShmP,MeYemCumueswIk.PymuaInsniseADsakumDLumdTapaueDasnCuInueli4准线协同激励机制(2)输配用多主体激励机制MultistakeholderIncentAStackelbeorggauneaunongTSO,DSO,andcustomorsyieldanddistributedrenewableintegrationw纳量提升4准线协同激励机制(3)激励价格在线学习针对运营商无法观测用户协同响应特性、反复迭代易产生决策疲劳的问题，将“激励价Theincentiveprice-aggregateresponsemappingisformmlateolasanonlinc-learnableparaunetrie在线定价模型pricsrrlosd-basodemandnesponsofowloodaggteatorsIEEETtaneactioneon5mortCrid,carly4准线协同激励机制(3)激励价格在线学习TheproposolonlinelcaurningmcchaunismachievesamO(log(Days)cumasymptoticallyconvergingtothetheoreticalequilibriumover算例分析在线学习效果算例分析在线学习效果cxilinepricingufszelomerdiestrixZhangYi,FamnShuai°,MergYan.Tluangfeike.Lkod-basddemandnspou6ofuloodaggregatora.IEEETtansactioneonSeBackground2233CollaborativeResponseMech5CDL-basedIncentiveMechanism5ApplicationScenarios665应用场景(1)园区多用户需量交易MaximumMaximumDemandMechanForindustrial/commercialparkswithelectricity,customers'denand-reductioncommitmentsaredefirights"andtradedlocallytorcducemaxdcmand(MD市场框架与交易时序算例分析eveningd-1quote&cleveningd-1quote&clCoordinatedCoordinatedEnergyStorageFordistributionarcaswithhighdistributedrenewablepenctration,LCDLscnabletwo-stagecoordinatcdbalancingof容量有限建设成本高源5应用场景(3)主配微协同调控CoordinatedTransmission-DistribuFormultileveltransissiondistributionmierogridsystems,